Zach Davies
Zach Davies
26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Milwaukee Brewers
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Davies started 61 games for the Brewers across the 2016 and 2017 seasons, so it was thought that he would be a regular in the Brewers' rotation all last year. However, thanks to injuries and managerial decisions, he made just 13 starts, and only saw action in one postseason game. Davies' underlying numbers in 2018 weren't all that different than the year before -- he averaged 89 mph on his fastball, and his 4.43 FIP was just a tick higher than the 4.27 FIP he posted in 2017 -- so not much has changed with his profile. Davies will head into spring training as a favorite to come away with a spot in the team's rotation to open the regular season. He accumulated 28 wins across 2016 and 2017 for teams not as talented as the current Brewers' version, so he could be a sneaky producer in that category should he stay healthy in 2019. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $2.6 million contract with the Brewers in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Avoids arbitration
PMilwaukee Brewers
January 11, 2019
Davies agreed to an unspecified one-year deal with the Brewers, avoiding arbitration.
ANALYSIS
He will have his work cut out for him to hold onto a rotation spot for the entire 2019 season, particularly if he does not improve upon last season's numbers (4.77 ERA, 49 strikeouts in 66 innings). That said, he notched sub-4.00 ERAs over full seasons in 2016 and 2017, so perhaps he can return to his old form in his age-26 campaign.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-1%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-4%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2016
 
 
-6%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .268 865 153 71 207 43 9 25
Since 2016vs Right .271 914 155 43 230 33 6 23
2018vs Left .263 133 25 16 30 8 2 2
2018vs Right .274 147 24 5 37 4 1 6
2017vs Left .265 406 69 36 95 19 4 13
2017vs Right .285 411 55 19 109 17 3 7
2016vs Left .272 326 59 19 82 16 3 10
2016vs Right .255 356 76 19 84 12 2 10
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-34%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-5%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-65%
ERA on Road
2016
 
 
-15%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 4.71 1.35 248.1 16 16 0 7.1 2.4 1.2
Since 2016Away 3.13 1.25 172.1 14 7 0 5.9 2.5 0.8
2018Home 4.70 1.30 46.0 1 4 0 7.2 2.5 1.0
2018Away 4.95 1.40 20.0 1 3 0 5.4 3.6 1.4
2017Home 5.82 1.60 94.1 8 7 0 6.0 3.0 1.1
2017Away 2.04 1.11 97.0 9 2 0 5.7 2.2 0.7
2016Home 3.75 1.16 108.0 7 5 0 7.9 1.9 1.3
2016Away 4.39 1.43 55.1 4 2 0 6.5 2.4 0.8
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Stat Review
How does Zach Davies compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
2.33
 
K/9
6.7
 
BB/9
2.9
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
89.9 mph
 
ERA
4.77
 
WHIP
1.33
 
BABIP
.301
 
GB/FB
1.90
 
Strand %
66.3%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Brewers Depth Chart
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Zach Davies
MLB DFS: Friday Cheat Sheet
147 days ago
Friday's slate of 16 games features a road matchup for Gerrit Cole against Baltimore.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Season Finale
153 days ago
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153 days ago
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Yahoo DFS Baseball: Saturday Picks
153 days ago
In addition to offering up a couple value pitchers, Adam Zdroik touts a couple A's bats to do well against the Twins' Chase De Jong.
DraftKings MLB: Saturday Picks
153 days ago
Among his Saturday selections, Mike Barner recommends Rich Hill to post some points against a poor Padres lineup.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
Davies struggled throughout the first half of 2017, as he gave up a surprisingly high number of homers (1.39 HR/9) and also missed bats at a significantly lower clip than he did in 2016, with his strikeout rate falling from 7.4 K/9 to 5.8. Fortunately for the Brewers, he was much more effective in the second half, lowering his ERA by more than two full runs (2.87) despite similar strikeout and walk rates thanks to a big step forward with the long ball. For the season, Davies improved his groundball rate (50.2 percent), and managed to reduce his home-run rate from 2016 in a year where the league-wide surge in homers pushed most pitchers in the other direction. The lack of overpowering stuff and a low swinging-strike rate (7.2 percent) make a spike in strikeouts unlikely, and widen the range of outcomes for him as he's very dependent on the defense behind him. Davies commands his arsenal well, and he should remain a fixture in the Milwaukee rotation throughout 2018.
For the second straight season, the rail-thin righty turned in an above-average performance out of Milwaukee's rotation. Davies may not have big velocity (89.3 mph average fastball), but he can change speeds and use his offspeed pitches to close out counts when he gets ahead. It was also impressive to see Davies respond positively after an utterly atrocious start. He allowed five runs over just 2.1 innings in his first start April 17 and finished April with an 8.78 ERA in three starts. He went on to allow more than three runs just four times in his final 25 starts, going 11-4 with a 3.54 ERA in 150 innings over that span. His lack of dominant stuff limits his ceiling, but Davies is already looking like a solid mid-rotation pitcher -- at just 24 years old no less.
Davies earned six starts after rosters expanded in September and steadily improved throughout his stint, as he posted three consecutive quality starts to finish off the season, including two starts of at least six shutout innings. Davies is rail-thin, listed at 6-feet and 160 pounds, and his fastball averaged just under 90 mph. But he induced an extreme amount of groundballs (57.6%) and was just crafty enough to keep the ball in the yard, as he surrendered just two home runs. His changeup looked particularly nasty, as hitters swung and missed at more than one in every four he threw, and he picked up 13 of his 25 strikeouts with the pitch. Davies will have to remain crafty without a big fastball, but he has the diverse repertoire necessary to succeed in the majors, even if he lacks a top-end ceiling.
More Fantasy News
Added to NLCS roster
PMilwaukee Brewers
October 17, 2018
Davies was added to the Brewers' NLCS roster versus the Dodgers, taking the place of Gio Gonzalez (ankle).
ANALYSIS
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Not on NLDS roster
PMilwaukee Brewers
October 4, 2018
Davies was left off Milwaukee's roster for the NLDS against Colorado.
ANALYSIS
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Allows three runs in no-decision against Tigers
PMilwaukee Brewers
September 29, 2018
Davies didn't factor into the decision in Friday's 6-5 win over the Tigers, allowing three runs on five hits over four innings while striking out three.
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Drops fifth straight decision
PMilwaukee Brewers
September 23, 2018
Davies (2-7) took the loss Saturday, allowing two runs on four hits and a walk over four innings while striking out three as the Brewers fell 3-0 to the Pirates.
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Takes sixth loss
PMilwaukee Brewers
September 15, 2018
Davies (2-6) took the loss Saturday, allowing two runs on three hits and a walk over five innings while striking out three as the Brewers fell 3-1 to the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
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