Zach Davies
Zach Davies
28-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago Cubs
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Davies was shipped from Milwaukee to San Diego last offseason, and the significant upgrade in park seemed set to boost his fantasy value. That did indeed happen, as he produced a very strong 2.73 ERA in 12 starts after posting a 3.91 ERA in his five years as a Brewer. His improvement was more than just a change in park, however. After producing a career-low 15.2 K% in 2019, he smashed his previous high in 2020, posting a 22.8 K%. His 6.9 BB% was his lowest mark since 2017. Those changes came with a shift in his repertoire, as his changeup usage soared to 41.3%, ahead of his fastball (38.5%). That means there's a good chance his short-season gains stick, though we still shouldn't get too ahead of ourselves. Even his improved strikeout rate remained below-average, and his ERA came with a modest 3.88 FIP, so don't expect another sub-3.00 mark, especially now that he'll call hitter-friendly Wrigley Field home. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#260
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $5.25 million contract with the Padres in January of 2020. Traded to the Cubs in December of 2020.
Strikes out eight in win
PChicago Cubs
July 23, 2021
Davies (6-6) allowed two runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out eight in 5.1 innings to earn the win against the Diamondbacks on Friday.
ANALYSIS
Davies returned to the win column for the first time in nearly a month after he was forced to settle for a pair of losses and a pair of no-decisions in his last four starts. He got plenty of run support from the Cubs' offense in the 8-3 victory, and he's now allowed three or fewer runs in each of his last six appearances. The right-hander tentatively lines up to make his next start at home against the Reds on Wednesday.
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2021 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2020 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2019 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2018 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2017 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
82
Last 10 Games
89
Last 5 Games
89
How many pitches does Zach Davies generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Zach Davies generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-11%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-17%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-31%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .231 657 95 62 134 28 4 18
Since 2019vs Right .261 736 139 62 172 32 3 20
2021vs Left .230 197 30 29 37 11 0 4
2021vs Right .276 255 40 25 62 14 1 5
2020vs Left .168 120 20 7 19 3 1 2
2020vs Right .244 149 42 12 33 5 0 7
2019vs Left .254 340 45 26 78 14 3 12
2019vs Right .258 332 57 25 77 13 2 8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-20%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-5%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-24%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-31%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 4.01 1.28 163.2 13 9 0 6.1 3.1 1.5
Since 2019Away 3.21 1.33 168.0 10 8 0 6.6 3.6 0.6
2021Home 4.19 1.38 58.0 4 3 0 5.1 3.6 1.2
2021Away 4.43 1.63 44.2 2 3 0 7.5 6.2 0.2
2020Home 3.13 1.11 31.2 3 2 0 8.8 2.3 1.7
2020Away 2.39 1.04 37.2 4 2 0 7.6 2.6 0.7
2019Home 4.26 1.27 74.0 6 4 0 5.7 3.0 1.6
2019Away 2.94 1.31 85.2 4 3 0 5.8 2.7 0.7
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Zach Davies compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.30
 
K/9
6.1
 
BB/9
4.7
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
87.8 mph
 
ERA
4.30
 
WHIP
1.49
 
BABIP
.291
 
GB/FB
1.53
 
Left On Base
73.4%
 
Exit Velocity
81.1 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.6%
 
Spin Rate
1923 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
28.3%
 
Swinging Strike
8.8%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Zach Davies
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Aces Flying Solo
3 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week’s starting pitching as Julio Urias is one of the few top-quality pitchers with two starts.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Giants Steps
10 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching, and the Giants' Kevin Gausman is on top with two starts.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: The Short and Long of It
12 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the starting pitchers for the next scoring periods. No surprise, Jacob deGrom is on top.
DraftKings MLB: Saturday Breakdown
17 days ago
Christopher Olson considers David Fletcher an excellent value option against Chris Flexen and the Mariners.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Halfway Home
24 days ago
Todd Zola's weekly pitcher rankings feature the first half's best hurler, Jacob deGrom, at the top of the charts.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Injuries limited Davies to just 13 starts in 2018, but he bounced back in 2019, leading the Brewers with 31 starts and 159.2 innings pitched. Davies became the first pitcher in Brewers history to begin a season 7-0, compiling a 2.41 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 48 strikeouts in his first 74.2 frames. The right-hander labored through his next 10 starts before briefly landing on the IL with a back injury. Davies righted the ship upon his return, posting a 2.92 ERA and 0.95 WHIP over his final eight appearances (37 innings). He finished the season with a career-best 3.55 ERA, though the estimators say he was pitching over his skis (4.56 FIP, 5.20 xFIP). Davies should enter spring training with the inside track on a rotation spot for San Diego following a November trade. While he doesn't miss many bats (career 6.6 K/9), Davies has tallied 10 or more wins while posting a sub-4.00 ERA in three of the past four seasons.
Davies started 61 games for the Brewers across the 2016 and 2017 seasons, so it was thought that he would be a regular in the Brewers' rotation all last year. However, thanks to injuries and managerial decisions, he made just 13 starts, and only saw action in one postseason game. Davies' underlying numbers in 2018 weren't all that different than the year before -- he averaged 89 mph on his fastball, and his 4.43 FIP was just a tick higher than the 4.27 FIP he posted in 2017 -- so not much has changed with his profile. Davies will head into spring training as a favorite to come away with a spot in the team's rotation to open the regular season. He accumulated 28 wins across 2016 and 2017 for teams not as talented as the current Brewers' version, so he could be a sneaky producer in that category should he stay healthy in 2019.
Davies struggled throughout the first half of 2017, as he gave up a surprisingly high number of homers (1.39 HR/9) and also missed bats at a significantly lower clip than he did in 2016, with his strikeout rate falling from 7.4 K/9 to 5.8. Fortunately for the Brewers, he was much more effective in the second half, lowering his ERA by more than two full runs (2.87) despite similar strikeout and walk rates thanks to a big step forward with the long ball. For the season, Davies improved his groundball rate (50.2 percent), and managed to reduce his home-run rate from 2016 in a year where the league-wide surge in homers pushed most pitchers in the other direction. The lack of overpowering stuff and a low swinging-strike rate (7.2 percent) make a spike in strikeouts unlikely, and widen the range of outcomes for him as he's very dependent on the defense behind him. Davies commands his arsenal well, and he should remain a fixture in the Milwaukee rotation throughout 2018.
For the second straight season, the rail-thin righty turned in an above-average performance out of Milwaukee's rotation. Davies may not have big velocity (89.3 mph average fastball), but he can change speeds and use his offspeed pitches to close out counts when he gets ahead. It was also impressive to see Davies respond positively after an utterly atrocious start. He allowed five runs over just 2.1 innings in his first start April 17 and finished April with an 8.78 ERA in three starts. He went on to allow more than three runs just four times in his final 25 starts, going 11-4 with a 3.54 ERA in 150 innings over that span. His lack of dominant stuff limits his ceiling, but Davies is already looking like a solid mid-rotation pitcher -- at just 24 years old no less.
Davies earned six starts after rosters expanded in September and steadily improved throughout his stint, as he posted three consecutive quality starts to finish off the season, including two starts of at least six shutout innings. Davies is rail-thin, listed at 6-feet and 160 pounds, and his fastball averaged just under 90 mph. But he induced an extreme amount of groundballs (57.6%) and was just crafty enough to keep the ball in the yard, as he surrendered just two home runs. His changeup looked particularly nasty, as hitters swung and missed at more than one in every four he threw, and he picked up 13 of his 25 strikeouts with the pitch. Davies will have to remain crafty without a big fastball, but he has the diverse repertoire necessary to succeed in the majors, even if he lacks a top-end ceiling.
More Fantasy News
Walks four in no-decision
PChicago Cubs
July 19, 2021
Davies allowed two earned runs on six hits and four walks while striking out three over 4.2 innings on Sunday in the loss to the Diamondbacks. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Handed loss Saturday
PChicago Cubs
July 10, 2021
Davies (5-6) allowed three runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out three in 4.1 innings, taking the loss versus St. Louis on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Takes no-decision Monday
PChicago Cubs
July 5, 2021
Davies allowed two runs on four hits and two walks with one strikeout in five innings in a no-decision versus Philadelphia on Monday.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Inefficient in Tuesday's loss
PChicago Cubs
June 30, 2021
Davies (5-5) took the loss Tuesday, giving up two runs on two hits and three walks over four innings as the Cubs were downed 2-1 by the Brewers. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Six no-hit innings
PChicago Cubs
June 24, 2021
Davies (5-4) won Thursday's 4-0 game against the Dodgers, throwing six innings and allowing only five walks. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.