Zach Davies
Zach Davies
27-Year-Old PitcherSP
San Diego Padres
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Injuries limited Davies to just 13 starts in 2018, but he bounced back in 2019, leading the Brewers with 31 starts and 159.2 innings pitched. Davies became the first pitcher in Brewers history to begin a season 7-0, compiling a 2.41 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 48 strikeouts in his first 74.2 frames. The right-hander labored through his next 10 starts before briefly landing on the IL with a back injury. Davies righted the ship upon his return, posting a 2.92 ERA and 0.95 WHIP over his final eight appearances (37 innings). He finished the season with a career-best 3.55 ERA, though the estimators say he was pitching over his skis (4.56 FIP, 5.20 xFIP). Davies should enter spring training with the inside track on a rotation spot for San Diego following a November trade. While he doesn't miss many bats (career 6.6 K/9), Davies has tallied 10 or more wins while posting a sub-4.00 ERA in three of the past four seasons. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#476
ADP
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$Signed a one-year, $5.25 million contract with the Padres in January of 2020.
Takes tough loss against Dodgers
PSan Diego Padres
August 13, 2020
Davies (2-2) was tagged with the loss Wednesday against the Dodgers. He tossed seven innings of two-run ball, allowing four hits and two walks while fanning five.
ANALYSIS
Davies gave up two runs in the bottom of the fifth -- on an RBI single from Edwin Rios that scored A.J. Pollock, and on an RBI groundout from Austin Barnes that scored Chris Taylor. Despite the fact Davies was tagged with the loss, he delivered a strong performance against one of the best offenses in the National League and extended what has been a strong start to the season for him. He has allowed two or fewer earned runs in three of his first four starts and carries a 2.78 ERA with a 0.84 WHIP after his first 22.2 innings.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2017
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
81
Last 10 Games
81
Last 5 Games
81
How many pitches does Zach Davies generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Zach Davies generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-5%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-20%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-4%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .248 523 79 42 117 23 5 15
Since 2018vs Right .260 514 90 33 121 18 3 15
2020vs Left .180 50 9 0 9 1 0 1
2020vs Right .226 35 9 3 7 1 0 1
2019vs Left .254 340 45 26 78 14 3 12
2019vs Right .258 332 57 25 77 13 2 8
2018vs Left .263 133 25 16 30 8 2 2
2018vs Right .274 147 24 5 37 4 1 6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-20%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-100%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-31%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-5%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 4.23 1.25 125.2 8 8 0 6.4 2.7 1.3
Since 2018Away 3.38 1.27 122.2 6 8 0 5.8 2.7 0.9
2020Home 0.00 0.53 5.2 1 0 0 9.5 0.0 0.0
2020Away 3.71 0.94 17.0 1 2 0 6.4 1.6 1.1
2019Home 4.26 1.27 74.0 6 4 0 5.7 3.0 1.6
2019Away 2.94 1.31 85.2 4 3 0 5.8 2.7 0.7
2018Home 4.70 1.30 46.0 1 4 0 7.2 2.5 1.0
2018Away 4.95 1.40 20.0 1 3 0 5.4 3.6 1.4
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Zach Davies compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
6.00
 
K/9
7.1
 
BB/9
1.2
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
88.4 mph
 
ERA
2.78
 
WHIP
0.84
 
BABIP
.234
 
GB/FB
0.76
 
Left On Base
67.9%
 
Exit Velocity
79.4 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.0%
 
Spin Rate
1972 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
21.0%
 
Swinging Strike
9.9%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
Davies started 61 games for the Brewers across the 2016 and 2017 seasons, so it was thought that he would be a regular in the Brewers' rotation all last year. However, thanks to injuries and managerial decisions, he made just 13 starts, and only saw action in one postseason game. Davies' underlying numbers in 2018 weren't all that different than the year before -- he averaged 89 mph on his fastball, and his 4.43 FIP was just a tick higher than the 4.27 FIP he posted in 2017 -- so not much has changed with his profile. Davies will head into spring training as a favorite to come away with a spot in the team's rotation to open the regular season. He accumulated 28 wins across 2016 and 2017 for teams not as talented as the current Brewers' version, so he could be a sneaky producer in that category should he stay healthy in 2019.
Davies struggled throughout the first half of 2017, as he gave up a surprisingly high number of homers (1.39 HR/9) and also missed bats at a significantly lower clip than he did in 2016, with his strikeout rate falling from 7.4 K/9 to 5.8. Fortunately for the Brewers, he was much more effective in the second half, lowering his ERA by more than two full runs (2.87) despite similar strikeout and walk rates thanks to a big step forward with the long ball. For the season, Davies improved his groundball rate (50.2 percent), and managed to reduce his home-run rate from 2016 in a year where the league-wide surge in homers pushed most pitchers in the other direction. The lack of overpowering stuff and a low swinging-strike rate (7.2 percent) make a spike in strikeouts unlikely, and widen the range of outcomes for him as he's very dependent on the defense behind him. Davies commands his arsenal well, and he should remain a fixture in the Milwaukee rotation throughout 2018.
For the second straight season, the rail-thin righty turned in an above-average performance out of Milwaukee's rotation. Davies may not have big velocity (89.3 mph average fastball), but he can change speeds and use his offspeed pitches to close out counts when he gets ahead. It was also impressive to see Davies respond positively after an utterly atrocious start. He allowed five runs over just 2.1 innings in his first start April 17 and finished April with an 8.78 ERA in three starts. He went on to allow more than three runs just four times in his final 25 starts, going 11-4 with a 3.54 ERA in 150 innings over that span. His lack of dominant stuff limits his ceiling, but Davies is already looking like a solid mid-rotation pitcher -- at just 24 years old no less.
Davies earned six starts after rosters expanded in September and steadily improved throughout his stint, as he posted three consecutive quality starts to finish off the season, including two starts of at least six shutout innings. Davies is rail-thin, listed at 6-feet and 160 pounds, and his fastball averaged just under 90 mph. But he induced an extreme amount of groundballs (57.6%) and was just crafty enough to keep the ball in the yard, as he surrendered just two home runs. His changeup looked particularly nasty, as hitters swung and missed at more than one in every four he threw, and he picked up 13 of his 25 strikeouts with the pitch. Davies will have to remain crafty without a big fastball, but he has the diverse repertoire necessary to succeed in the majors, even if he lacks a top-end ceiling.
More Fantasy News
Earns win against Arizona
PSan Diego Padres
August 7, 2020
Davies (2-1) earned the win Friday against Arizona after tossing 5.2 scoreless innings, allowing three hits and fanning six.
ANALYSIS
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Slated to start Friday
PSan Diego Padres
August 6, 2020
Davies will have his next start moved up to Friday, AJ Cassavell of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Charged with loss
PSan Diego Padres
August 2, 2020
Davies (1-1) allowed three earned runs on four hits and a walk while striking out two across five innings to take the loss Sunday against the Rockies.
ANALYSIS
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Earns win in Padres debut
PSan Diego Padres
July 28, 2020
Davies (1-0) was charged with three runs (two earned) on five hits over five innings in a win over the Giants on Tuesday. He struck out five and did not issue a walk.
ANALYSIS
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Starting Tuesday
PSan Diego Padres
July 27, 2020
Davies will start Tuesday's game against the Giants, Annie Heilbrunn of the San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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