Zach Davies
Zach Davies
26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Milwaukee Brewers
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Davies started 61 games for the Brewers across the 2016 and 2017 seasons, so it was thought that he would be a regular in the Brewers' rotation all last year. However, thanks to injuries and managerial decisions, he made just 13 starts, and only saw action in one postseason game. Davies' underlying numbers in 2018 weren't all that different than the year before -- he averaged 89 mph on his fastball, and his 4.43 FIP was just a tick higher than the 4.27 FIP he posted in 2017 -- so not much has changed with his profile. Davies will head into spring training as a favorite to come away with a spot in the team's rotation to open the regular season. He accumulated 28 wins across 2016 and 2017 for teams not as talented as the current Brewers' version, so he could be a sneaky producer in that category should he stay healthy in 2019. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $2.6 million contract with the Brewers in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Continues hot streak
PMilwaukee Brewers
May 16, 2019
Davies allowed three runs (one earned) on four hits with five strikeouts and one walk across six innings to earn a victory against the Phillies on Thursday.
Jean Segura hit a solo home run in the bottom of the first, and the Phillies added two unearned runs in the third, but the Brewers responded with nine unanswered to help Davies capture his fifth victory. Because two runs were unearned, he continued his streak of allowing two or fewer earned runs in his first nine starts. He only has 36 strikeouts in 52.2 innings, but behind that streak, he is 5-0 with a 1.54 ERA and 1.18 WHIP this season. Davies is scheduled to pitch next Wednesday against the Reds.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .259 636 105 64 143 28 7 16
Since 2017vs Right .277 674 104 28 174 27 5 16
2019vs Left .222 97 11 12 18 1 1 1
2019vs Right .252 116 25 4 28 6 1 3
2018vs Left .263 133 25 16 30 8 2 2
2018vs Right .274 147 24 5 37 4 1 6
2017vs Left .265 406 69 36 95 19 4 13
2017vs Right .285 411 55 19 109 17 3 7
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
ERA on Road
ERA at Home
ERA at Home
ERA on Road
Since 2017Home 4.77 1.45 164.0 12 11 0 6.0 2.9 1.0
Since 2017Away 2.47 1.18 146.0 12 5 0 6.1 2.4 0.8
2019Home 0.76 1.10 23.2 3 0 0 3.8 3.4 0.8
2019Away 2.17 1.24 29.0 2 0 0 8.1 2.2 0.6
2018Home 4.70 1.30 46.0 1 4 0 7.2 2.5 1.0
2018Away 4.95 1.40 20.0 1 3 0 5.4 3.6 1.4
2017Home 5.82 1.60 94.1 8 7 0 6.0 3.0 1.1
2017Away 2.04 1.11 97.0 9 2 0 5.7 2.2 0.7
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Stat Review
How does Zach Davies compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
88.4 mph
Strand %
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Zach Davies
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2 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's pitching as elder statesman Justin Verlander is still rolling along, right into the top spot in the rankings.
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9 days ago
Todd Zola's weekly pitcher rankings features Chris Sale in the top spot, as the Boston hurler looks to have turned around his season.
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15 days ago
Sasha Yodashkin notes left-handed slugger Daniel Vogelbach has been a revelation against right-handed pitching for the Mariners, posting a wOBA just under .500 heading into this matchup with the Indians.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Double Dippers Galore
16 days ago
Todd Zola's weekly pitcher rankings feature a number of top-flight hurlers with two games, including Washington's Max Scherzer.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
Davies struggled throughout the first half of 2017, as he gave up a surprisingly high number of homers (1.39 HR/9) and also missed bats at a significantly lower clip than he did in 2016, with his strikeout rate falling from 7.4 K/9 to 5.8. Fortunately for the Brewers, he was much more effective in the second half, lowering his ERA by more than two full runs (2.87) despite similar strikeout and walk rates thanks to a big step forward with the long ball. For the season, Davies improved his groundball rate (50.2 percent), and managed to reduce his home-run rate from 2016 in a year where the league-wide surge in homers pushed most pitchers in the other direction. The lack of overpowering stuff and a low swinging-strike rate (7.2 percent) make a spike in strikeouts unlikely, and widen the range of outcomes for him as he's very dependent on the defense behind him. Davies commands his arsenal well, and he should remain a fixture in the Milwaukee rotation throughout 2018.
For the second straight season, the rail-thin righty turned in an above-average performance out of Milwaukee's rotation. Davies may not have big velocity (89.3 mph average fastball), but he can change speeds and use his offspeed pitches to close out counts when he gets ahead. It was also impressive to see Davies respond positively after an utterly atrocious start. He allowed five runs over just 2.1 innings in his first start April 17 and finished April with an 8.78 ERA in three starts. He went on to allow more than three runs just four times in his final 25 starts, going 11-4 with a 3.54 ERA in 150 innings over that span. His lack of dominant stuff limits his ceiling, but Davies is already looking like a solid mid-rotation pitcher -- at just 24 years old no less.
Davies earned six starts after rosters expanded in September and steadily improved throughout his stint, as he posted three consecutive quality starts to finish off the season, including two starts of at least six shutout innings. Davies is rail-thin, listed at 6-feet and 160 pounds, and his fastball averaged just under 90 mph. But he induced an extreme amount of groundballs (57.6%) and was just crafty enough to keep the ball in the yard, as he surrendered just two home runs. His changeup looked particularly nasty, as hitters swung and missed at more than one in every four he threw, and he picked up 13 of his 25 strikeouts with the pitch. Davies will have to remain crafty without a big fastball, but he has the diverse repertoire necessary to succeed in the majors, even if he lacks a top-end ceiling.
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Settles for no-decision
PMilwaukee Brewers
May 11, 2019
Davies allowed one run on six hits with five strikeouts and a walk across 6.1 innings in a no-decision against the Cubs on Saturday.
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Cruises to fourth victory
PMilwaukee Brewers
May 5, 2019
Davies (4-0) allowed two runs on six hits and a walk while striking out five over 7.2 innings Sunday in a win over the Mets.
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Picks up third win
PMilwaukee Brewers
April 29, 2019
Davies (3-0) gave up no runs on three hits with three walks while striking out two through 5.1 innings to pick up the win over the Rockies on Monday.
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Works inefficiently
PMilwaukee Brewers
April 23, 2019
Davies allowed two earned runs on seven hits and one walk while striking out four across 4.2 innings Tuesday against the Cardinals. He did not factor into the decision.
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Tosses another stellar outing
PMilwaukee Brewers
April 18, 2019
Davies allowed three hits and three walks while striking out two over five scoreless innings Thursday in a no-decision against the Dodgers.
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