Walker Buehler
Walker Buehler
27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Los Angeles Dodgers
2021 Fantasy Outlook
A pair of IL stints due to a persistent blister on his pitching hand limited Buehler to just eight regular-season starts in 2020, but he nonetheless continued to demonstrate why he is touted as one of MLB's best young hurlers. The right-hander got off to a slow start after a delayed ramp-up to the shortened campaign, yet he still managed a 3.44 ERA, 28.6 K% and career-best 0.95 WHIP. His fastball was again the star of the show as Buehler placed in the 88th percentile with a 96.8 mph average velocity on his heater and in the 97th percentile for fastball spin while holding hitters to a .102 BA and .119 SLG on his four-seamer. The 26-year-old continued to shine in the postseason, turning in a 1.80 ERA with 39 strikeouts over 25 innings. There may be a handful of pitchers chosen ahead of Buehler in your fantasy draft; if he gets to you in the second round, run a celebratory lap around your home. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#22
ADP
$Signed a two-year, $8 million contract with the Dodgers in February of 2021.
Blanks Giants over seven innings
PLos Angeles Dodgers
July 29, 2021
Buehler (11-1) tossed seven scoreless innings in a win over the Giants on Wednesday. He allowed just three hits and two walks while striking out eight.
ANALYSIS
Buehler was masterful Wednesday evening, throwing 70 of 98 pitches for strikes and allowing just one baserunner to reach scoring position. The 26-year-old has undoubtedly been one of the best starters in baseball this year, registering a quality outing in 18 of his 21 starts. He's gone at least seven while striking out eight or more batters over his last three appearances and has not allowed a home run since June 24. Buehler owns a 2.19 ERA, 0.90 WHIP and 139:31 K:BB over 135.2 innings. He's in line for a challenging matchup against the Astros next week.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
97
Last 10 Games
99
Last 5 Games
96
How many pitches does Walker Buehler generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Walker Buehler generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-17%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .208 730 205 46 140 29 4 17
Since 2019vs Right .204 676 191 33 128 19 2 23
2021vs Left .207 269 71 18 51 10 1 6
2021vs Right .171 253 68 13 40 6 0 7
2020vs Left .176 79 25 5 13 2 0 3
2020vs Right .180 68 17 6 11 1 0 4
2019vs Left .216 382 109 23 76 17 3 8
2019vs Right .231 355 106 14 77 12 2 12
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-28%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-2%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-79%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-22%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 2.42 0.89 189.1 13 2 0 10.6 1.7 1.0
Since 2019Away 3.38 1.08 165.1 13 3 0 9.4 2.3 1.0
2021Home 2.21 0.94 77.1 6 1 0 9.7 2.3 1.2
2021Away 2.16 0.84 58.1 5 0 0 8.6 1.7 0.5
2020Home 1.31 0.68 20.2 1 0 0 12.6 2.6 0.0
2020Away 6.19 1.31 16.0 0 0 0 7.3 2.8 3.9
2019Home 2.86 0.89 91.1 6 1 0 11.0 1.0 1.2
2019Away 3.66 1.20 91.0 8 3 0 10.2 2.7 0.8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Walker Buehler compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.48
 
K/9
9.2
 
BB/9
2.1
 
HR/9
0.9
 
Fastball
95.4 mph
 
ERA
2.19
 
WHIP
0.90
 
BABIP
.243
 
GB/FB
1.23
 
Left On Base
82.9%
 
Exit Velocity
80.8 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.2%
 
Spin Rate
2635 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
20.5%
 
Swinging Strike
11.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Walker Buehler
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Familiar Faces in Different Places
Yesterday
Todd Zola ranks Gerrit Cole atop his pitcher list in a week that has a number of hurlers debuting for new teams following the trade deadline.
FanDuel MLB: Wednesday Targets
4 days ago
Kevin Payne looks over Wednesday's slate as Shohei Ohtani leads the charge for the Angels at home against the Rockies.
DraftKings MLB: Wednesday Breakdown
4 days ago
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Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Aces Flying Solo
8 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week’s starting pitching as Julio Urias is one of the few top-quality pitchers with two starts.
FanDuel MLB: Thursday Picks
10 days ago
Kevin Payne looks over Thursday's slate and recommends a Red Sox stack headlined by J.D. Martinez as they host the Yankees.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Buehler didn't take many days off, posting the first of what should be many 30-start campaigns. Early, the Dodgers limited Buehler's in-game workload as he's just two years removed from Tommy John surgery and they wanted their prized righty fresh for the playoffs. Buehler did his part, allowing just one run in 12.2 postseason frames, but his club of course came up short. With Buehler fronting their rotation, the Dodgers' championship window remains wide open. The 25-year-old right-hander deploys a four-pitch arsenal, featuring a 97-mph fastball he used 60% of the time along with a slider, cutter and curve evenly split the rest of the time. The result was a 3.26 ERA and 1.04 WHIP, with a 24.2 K-BB%, seventh best among qualified starters. Most will group Gerrit Cole, Jacob deGrom, Justin Verlander and Max Scherzer together. Buehler belongs in the next tier, perhaps even at the top.
Buehler was a blast to watch pitch as a rookie in 2018 as he showcased an electric fastball along with two different breaking balls. It was easy to see why he was a first-round draft pick and it is going to be hard to restrain ourselves this draft season in chasing him for our rosters. However, that pursuit should be exercised with an amount of caution. Buehler already has one Tommy John surgery under his belt, which limited the amount of pitching he could do in the minor leagues. Those restrictions were not present last season as Buehler threw a total of 173 innings, nearly doubling his total from 2017. At age 24, to have a workload jump of that size is a risk to keep in mind if you decide you are all in on rostering the young flamethrower. Everything else we want to see in a young future ace is here (21.1% K-BB, 50% GB%), and the team context is certainly favorable.
The 2016 season ended with whispers and a five-inning sample that suggested Buehler could be in for a breakout 2017. He delivered on that promise, and then some. Buehler, who underwent Tommy John surgery after being selected with the No. 24 pick in the 2015 draft, returned at the end of 2016 throwing harder than ever, sitting in the mid-90s and touching 99 mph with his fastball -- a byproduct of the Dodgers’ weighted ball program. He maintained that velocity over his first full pro season while also showing off a plus-plus curveball and hard low-90s cutter/slider. That pitch mix was predictably deadly against minor-league hitters, catapulting Buehler to the majors for a September run as a reliever. Given Buehler’s velocity jump and injury history, he seems a bit riskier than other top pitching prospects, but his upside is undeniable. The Dodgers will likely allow him to throw around 135 innings this season, presumably beginning the year at Triple-A. If he shows improved control, he could spend most of the summer pitching every fifth day in the big leagues.
The Dodgers took a calculated gamble when they selected Buehler with the 24th overall pick in the 2015 draft. Once considered a likely top-10 pick, a pre-draft elbow issue caused him to fall, and he ended up needing Tommy John surgery that August. Buehler returned to the mound late last season, and while he only logged five innings of game action, the early returns suggest the Dodgers may have hit big on their roll of the dice. He touched 99 mph with his fastball in instructs after sitting in the mid-90s during brief appearances in the Arizona and Midwest leagues. It is hard to expect him to maintain that velocity over lengthier outings in the coming years, but even if he settles in at 93-95 mph with his fastball, that makes for a plus offering. He also features a potentially plus curveball and a hard slider/cutter that could be a third plus pitch. An average changeup could round out the repertoire, and at that point Buehler would look the part of a No. 2 starter.
The team's top draft pick in the 2015 amateur draft (24th overall), Buehler dropped a bit down teams' boards due to an elbow injury last spring, and the injury ultimately led to Tommy John surgery this past August. When healthy, the 6-foot-2 Buehler features a mid-90s fastball, slider, curve, and changeup with solid command and the ability to miss bats. Buehler's last 14 starts for Vanderbilt resulted in an 81:25 K:BB over 78.2 innings. He seems likely to miss most, if not all of the 2016 season recuperating, but it is possible he could join a full-season affiliate late in the year, or he could pitch in the Arizona Fall League. Once healthy, he has the ability to move quickly as a college draftee and settle in as a No. 3 big league starter. He's won a College World Series and a Cape Cod Championship, a pedigree that the Dodgers certainly hope carries over.
More Fantasy News
No-decision despite dominant outing
PLos Angeles Dodgers
July 23, 2021
Buehler didn't factor into the decision Thursday against the Giants despite tossing 7.1 innings of one-run ball, allowing five hits and a walk while fanning nine.
ANALYSIS
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Fans eight in win Saturday
PLos Angeles Dodgers
July 17, 2021
Buehler (10-1) allowed two earned runs on four hits and two walks while striking out eight across seven innings, earning the win over the Rockies on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Six shutout frames
PLos Angeles Dodgers
July 10, 2021
Buehler (9-1) won Saturday's 22-1 victory over Arizona, allowing no runs on three hits and two walks with six strikeouts in six innings.
ANALYSIS
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Labors in Miami
PLos Angeles Dodgers
July 5, 2021
Buehler gave up four runs (three earned) on five hits and two walks over five innings during Monday's 5-4 loss to the Marlins. He had six strikeouts and didn't factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Impressive against Giants
PLos Angeles Dodgers
June 30, 2021
Buehler (8-1) earned the win Tuesday against the Giants after giving up an unearned run on three hits and a walk across 6.2 innings, striking out seven.
ANALYSIS
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