2025 Stats
W-L
6-6
ERA
6.12
WHIP
1.56
K
63
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Perhaps no player improved his free-agency stock during the 2024 postseason more than Buehler, who wiped away some of his difficult regular season with a strong playoff run that included getting the final three outs in Game 5 of the World Series to forever cement his image in Dodgers lore. The question MLB teams (and fantasy managers) will have to ponder is whether Buehler's strong finish to the postseason (he didn't allow a run over 10 innings while notching a 13:4 K:BB across his final three outings) was a long-awaited sign that he could return to the form that made him an All-Star in 2019 and 2021 prior to his 2022 Tommy John surgery or simply a case of a pitcher letting it all hang loose with a championship in sight. It would be unwise to ignore Buehler's unattractive stats (5.38 ERA, 1.55 WHIP, 18.6% strikeout rate) during 16 regular-season starts, but his fastball velocity remained viable at 95.0 mph, and we know that pitchers can need varying amounts of time to get right again following the TJ procedure. Buehler landed in Boston on a one-year, $21.05 million contract, there's upside here for fantasy managers willing to take a gamble on him as a back-end piece of their rotation. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year, $21.05 million contract with the Red Sox in December of 2024. Contract includes $25 million mutual option ($3 million buyout) for 2026. Contract includes $500,000 in incentives for 20, 22, 24, 26 and 28 games started.
Quality start against Rays
Buehler took a no-decision Thursday against the Rays, giving up three runs on five hits and three walks in six innings. He struck out two.
Analysis
Thursday marked the first time that Buehler had thrown at least six innings since June 11, giving the right-hander his fifth quality start of 2025. He's punched out fewer than four batters in each of his last five appearances, and he's walked at least three in four of those five starts. Buehler has had a disappointing campaign so far, as his 6.12 ERA and 1.56 WHIP through 78 frames would be career worsts if they stand. He'll remain difficult to trust from a fantasy perspective coming out of the All-Star break.
Thursday marked the first time that Buehler had thrown at least six innings since June 11, giving the right-hander his fifth quality start of 2025. He's punched out fewer than four batters in each of his last five appearances, and he's walked at least three in four of those five starts. Buehler has had a disappointing campaign so far, as his 6.12 ERA and 1.56 WHIP through 78 frames would be career worsts if they stand. He'll remain difficult to trust from a fantasy perspective coming out of the All-Star break.
Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
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2022
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
86
Last 5 Games
90
How many pitches does Walker Buehler generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Walker Buehler generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-18%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-32%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .311 | 72 | 37 | 106 | 14 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .254 | 55 | 26 | 70 | 19 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .324 | 35 | 22 | 59 | 6 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .220 | 28 | 13 | 28 | 11 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .296 | 37 | 15 | 47 | 8 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .282 | 27 | 13 | 42 | 8 | |||
| 2023vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2023vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-44%
ERA at Home
2025
-54%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 4.31 | 1.31 | 87.2 | 8.0 | 2.9 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 7.68 | 1.89 | 65.2 | 6.7 | 4.8 | ||||
| 2025Home | 4.01 | 1.17 | 42.2 | 8.2 | 3.4 | ||||
| 2025Away | 8.66 | 2.04 | 35.1 | 6.1 | 4.8 | ||||
| 2024Home | 4.60 | 1.44 | 45.0 | 7.8 | 2.4 | ||||
| 2024Away | 6.53 | 1.71 | 30.1 | 7.4 | 4.7 | ||||
| 2023Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2023Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Walker Buehler compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
1.80K/9
7.3BB/9
4.0HR/9
2.0Fastball
94.1 mphERA
6.12WHIP
1.56BABIP
.308GB/FB
1.51Left On Base
67.2%Exit Velocity
81.5 mphBarrels/BBE
5.3%Spin Rate
2340 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
24.1%Swinging Strike
8.2%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Buehler threw as many pitches as you did in 2023, so you have that going for you, which is nice. What fantasy managers hoped would be a cinderella story out of nowhere with Buehler coming back late in 2023 to help in the stretch run never materialized as we were all yet again reminded Tommy John surgery recoveries are not the same and are not guaranteed. We know how talented Buehler was before his surgery, but 2024 is an all too familiar story of risk versus reward. It is extremely unlikely Buehler is going to work over 160 innings in 2024, and we do not know how much rust he has to shake off. Buehler also isn't expected to be available at the start of the season, though he isn't expected to miss too much time. His first pitch in a regular season game will come nearly 20 months from his last pitch of 2022. Your ability to roster him depends on your roster construction as well as your appetite for extreme risk.
More Fantasy News
Rebounds for sixth win
Buehler (6-6) earned the win Saturday in Washington, giving up three runs (two earned) on eight hits and no walks over five innings. He struck out two.
Analysis
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Expected to make next start
Buehler is expected to make his next start scheduled for Saturday against the Nationals, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports. "He's scheduled to make his next one," Red Sox manager Alex Cora said. "He's healthy, eager to work and like I said yesterday, he feels like he's getting close to finding it."
Analysis
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Struggles again in loss
Buehler (5-6) yielded four runs on four hits and three walks over four innings Sunday, striking out three and taking a loss against Toronto.
Analysis
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Issues seven walks Monday
Buehler gave up five runs on three hits and seven walks while striking out three batters over four innings in a no-decision against the Angels on Monday.
Analysis
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Shelled in fifth loss Tuesday
Buehler (5-5) was saddled with the loss Tuesday against the Mariners, giving up eight runs on eight hits and four walks in 3.1 innings. He struck out two.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Rotation spot in question?
Manager Alex Cora responded, "we'll talk about it," when asked about Buehler's status in Boston's starting rotation after Buehler gave up five runs over four innings Monday against the Angels, reports Bill Shaikin of the Los Angeles Times.
Analysis
The right-hander walked seven batters and plunked two in that contest and has a 6.29 ERA with 13 homers allowed through 13 starts this year. Buehler struggled to a 5.38 ERA in 16 regular-season starts last year in his first campaign back from Tommy John surgery, though he had a 3.60 ERA over 15 innings in the playoffs. Boston then inked him to a one-year, $21.05 million contract in December, and the club is likely having buyer's remorse. The 30-year-old also has a $25 million mutual option with a $3 million buyout for 2026, and the Red Sox could cut their losses if he doesn't show signs of improvement soon.
The right-hander walked seven batters and plunked two in that contest and has a 6.29 ERA with 13 homers allowed through 13 starts this year. Buehler struggled to a 5.38 ERA in 16 regular-season starts last year in his first campaign back from Tommy John surgery, though he had a 3.60 ERA over 15 innings in the playoffs. Boston then inked him to a one-year, $21.05 million contract in December, and the club is likely having buyer's remorse. The 30-year-old also has a $25 million mutual option with a $3 million buyout for 2026, and the Red Sox could cut their losses if he doesn't show signs of improvement soon.