Walker Buehler

Walker Buehler

27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Los Angeles Dodgers
2021 Fantasy Outlook
A pair of IL stints due to a persistent blister on his pitching hand limited Buehler to just eight regular-season starts in 2020, but he nonetheless continued to demonstrate why he is touted as one of MLB's best young hurlers. The right-hander got off to a slow start after a delayed ramp-up to the shortened campaign, yet he still managed a 3.44 ERA, 28.6 K% and career-best 0.95 WHIP. His fastball was again the star of the show as Buehler placed in the 88th percentile with a 96.8 mph average velocity on his heater and in the 97th percentile for fastball spin while holding hitters to a .102 BA and .119 SLG on his four-seamer. The 26-year-old continued to shine in the postseason, turning in a 1.80 ERA with 39 strikeouts over 25 innings. There may be a handful of pitchers chosen ahead of Buehler in your fantasy draft; if he gets to you in the second round, run a celebratory lap around your home. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#22
ADP
$Signed a two-year, $8 million contract with the Dodgers in February of 2021.
Allows four runs in four innings
PLos Angeles Dodgers
October 23, 2021
Buehler took the loss in Game 6 of the NLCS against Atlanta, giving up four runs on seven hits in four innings of work. He struck out six while walking three.
ANALYSIS
Buehler was put in a tough position, starting on short rest after Max Scherzer was scratched due to arm fatigue. He gave up one run on an Austin Riley double in the first inning but avoided any trouble in the next two frames. He retired the first two batters in the fourth inning but allowed a walk and a double followed by a three-run blast from Eddie Rosario. Buehler will end the postseason with a 4.91 ERA in four starts, only one of which lasted more than 4.1 innings.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
94
Last 10 Games
81
Last 5 Games
80
How many pitches does Walker Buehler generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Walker Buehler generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-1%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .205 884 236 61 166 37 5 20
Since 2019vs Right .211 815 233 39 160 31 2 26
2021vs Left .201 423 102 33 77 18 2 9
2021vs Right .198 392 110 19 72 18 0 10
2020vs Left .176 79 25 5 13 2 0 3
2020vs Right .180 68 17 6 11 1 0 4
2019vs Left .216 382 109 23 76 17 3 8
2019vs Right .231 355 106 14 77 12 2 12
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-36%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-33%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-79%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-22%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 2.30 0.91 235.0 18 3 0 10.4 1.9 1.0
Since 2019Away 3.62 1.11 191.2 13 5 0 9.3 2.3 1.0
2021Home 2.05 0.96 123.0 11 2 0 9.5 2.5 1.0
2021Away 3.08 0.98 84.2 5 2 0 8.7 1.9 0.6
2020Home 1.31 0.68 20.2 1 0 0 12.6 2.6 0.0
2020Away 6.19 1.31 16.0 0 0 0 7.3 2.8 3.9
2019Home 2.86 0.89 91.1 6 1 0 11.0 1.0 1.2
2019Away 3.66 1.20 91.0 8 3 0 10.2 2.7 0.8
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Stat Review
How does Walker Buehler compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.08
 
K/9
9.2
 
BB/9
2.3
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
95.4 mph
 
ERA
2.47
 
WHIP
0.97
 
BABIP
.258
 
GB/FB
1.39
 
Left On Base
80.3%
 
Exit Velocity
81.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.9%
 
Spin Rate
2529 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
21.2%
 
Swinging Strike
12.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Walker Buehler
DraftKings MLB: Saturday Showdown Breakdown
Yesterday
It's Showdown time for Game 6 of the NLCS and Chris Morgan discusses his top category selections.
FanDuel MLB: Saturday National League Championship Series Targets
Yesterday
Atlanta outfielder Adam Duvall is an inexpensive option as Atlanta looks to close out the series against the Dodgers Saturday night.
MLB Betting: NLCS Game 6 Best Bets
Yesterday
Juan Blanco is betting on Braves bats to come alive in Game 6 of the NLCS on Saturday.
MLB Betting: Tuesday's Best Bets
5 days ago
Michael Rathburn digs into the board for Tuesday's two-game slate and hunts for value from the Los Angeles-Atlanta game where the Dodgers are heavy home favorites in a must-win situation.
DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Breakdown
5 days ago
Both Championship Series are in action Tuesday, and Mike Barner has your picks for emerging victorious in your DraftKings contest.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Buehler didn't take many days off, posting the first of what should be many 30-start campaigns. Early, the Dodgers limited Buehler's in-game workload as he's just two years removed from Tommy John surgery and they wanted their prized righty fresh for the playoffs. Buehler did his part, allowing just one run in 12.2 postseason frames, but his club of course came up short. With Buehler fronting their rotation, the Dodgers' championship window remains wide open. The 25-year-old right-hander deploys a four-pitch arsenal, featuring a 97-mph fastball he used 60% of the time along with a slider, cutter and curve evenly split the rest of the time. The result was a 3.26 ERA and 1.04 WHIP, with a 24.2 K-BB%, seventh best among qualified starters. Most will group Gerrit Cole, Jacob deGrom, Justin Verlander and Max Scherzer together. Buehler belongs in the next tier, perhaps even at the top.
Buehler was a blast to watch pitch as a rookie in 2018 as he showcased an electric fastball along with two different breaking balls. It was easy to see why he was a first-round draft pick and it is going to be hard to restrain ourselves this draft season in chasing him for our rosters. However, that pursuit should be exercised with an amount of caution. Buehler already has one Tommy John surgery under his belt, which limited the amount of pitching he could do in the minor leagues. Those restrictions were not present last season as Buehler threw a total of 173 innings, nearly doubling his total from 2017. At age 24, to have a workload jump of that size is a risk to keep in mind if you decide you are all in on rostering the young flamethrower. Everything else we want to see in a young future ace is here (21.1% K-BB, 50% GB%), and the team context is certainly favorable.
The 2016 season ended with whispers and a five-inning sample that suggested Buehler could be in for a breakout 2017. He delivered on that promise, and then some. Buehler, who underwent Tommy John surgery after being selected with the No. 24 pick in the 2015 draft, returned at the end of 2016 throwing harder than ever, sitting in the mid-90s and touching 99 mph with his fastball -- a byproduct of the Dodgers’ weighted ball program. He maintained that velocity over his first full pro season while also showing off a plus-plus curveball and hard low-90s cutter/slider. That pitch mix was predictably deadly against minor-league hitters, catapulting Buehler to the majors for a September run as a reliever. Given Buehler’s velocity jump and injury history, he seems a bit riskier than other top pitching prospects, but his upside is undeniable. The Dodgers will likely allow him to throw around 135 innings this season, presumably beginning the year at Triple-A. If he shows improved control, he could spend most of the summer pitching every fifth day in the big leagues.
The Dodgers took a calculated gamble when they selected Buehler with the 24th overall pick in the 2015 draft. Once considered a likely top-10 pick, a pre-draft elbow issue caused him to fall, and he ended up needing Tommy John surgery that August. Buehler returned to the mound late last season, and while he only logged five innings of game action, the early returns suggest the Dodgers may have hit big on their roll of the dice. He touched 99 mph with his fastball in instructs after sitting in the mid-90s during brief appearances in the Arizona and Midwest leagues. It is hard to expect him to maintain that velocity over lengthier outings in the coming years, but even if he settles in at 93-95 mph with his fastball, that makes for a plus offering. He also features a potentially plus curveball and a hard slider/cutter that could be a third plus pitch. An average changeup could round out the repertoire, and at that point Buehler would look the part of a No. 2 starter.
The team's top draft pick in the 2015 amateur draft (24th overall), Buehler dropped a bit down teams' boards due to an elbow injury last spring, and the injury ultimately led to Tommy John surgery this past August. When healthy, the 6-foot-2 Buehler features a mid-90s fastball, slider, curve, and changeup with solid command and the ability to miss bats. Buehler's last 14 starts for Vanderbilt resulted in an 81:25 K:BB over 78.2 innings. He seems likely to miss most, if not all of the 2016 season recuperating, but it is possible he could join a full-season affiliate late in the year, or he could pitch in the Arizona Fall League. Once healthy, he has the ability to move quickly as a college draftee and settle in as a No. 3 big league starter. He's won a College World Series and a Cape Cod Championship, a pedigree that the Dodgers certainly hope carries over.
More Fantasy News
Starting Saturday
PLos Angeles Dodgers
October 23, 2021
Buehler will start Game 6 of the NLCS against Atlanta on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Named starter for Game 3
PLos Angeles Dodgers
October 16, 2021
Buehler will start Game 3 of the NLCS against Atlanta on Tuesday, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out four in no-decision
PLos Angeles Dodgers
October 13, 2021
Buehler allowed one run on three hits and two walks while striking out four in 4.1 innings during Tuesday's win over the Giants in Game 4 of the NLDS. He didn't factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Gets ball on short rest
PLos Angeles Dodgers
October 12, 2021
Buehler will start Game 4 of the NLDS on Tuesday against the Giants on short rest, Alden Gonzalez of ESPN reports.
ANALYSIS
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Lasts 6.1 innings in loss
PLos Angeles Dodgers
October 9, 2021
Buehler (0-1) allowed three runs on six hits and a walk while striking out five in 6.1 innings to take the loss against the Giants in Game 1 of the NLDS on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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