Vladimir Guerrero
25-Year-Old
2023 Stats
AVG
.264
HR
26
RBI
94
R
78
SB
5
2024 Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
In the spring of 2022, Guerrero Jr. famously stated that 2021 was a trailer and now fans will see a movie. Like most sequels, the team and the player has failed to deliver on promises. Guerrero's 2021 nomadic season in friendly run environments helped him established career hights he has failed to come close to in each of the past two seasons. Management tweaked Rogers Centre before the 2023 season, but that did not prevent Guerrero's overall numbers from sliding for a second consecutive season as he and the rest of the club struggled to produce runs despite plenty of traffic on the bases throughout the season. If you treat 2021 as an outlier rather than a ceiling, 2024 Guerrero Jr. should not disappoint you given his skills provide a very high floor. Just remember that sequels are rarely better than the original and Vlady's 2021 season is a cult classic that should be appreciated rather than expected. Read Past Outlooks
Slugs homer Friday
Guerrero went 2-for-3 with a home run and four RBI in Friday's Grapefruit League game against the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
He launched a Mason Englert offering completely out of the stadium to left-center field for a two-run shot in the fifth inning. Guerrero sat out a few days with a knee bruise he picked up making a sliding catch in foul territory last weekend, but it looks like he's fully healthy again. Through nine Grapefruit League games, the 25-year-old slugger is batting .417 (10-for-24) with a double and two homers.
He launched a Mason Englert offering completely out of the stadium to left-center field for a two-run shot in the fifth inning. Guerrero sat out a few days with a knee bruise he picked up making a sliding catch in foul territory last weekend, but it looks like he's fully healthy again. Through nine Grapefruit League games, the 25-year-old slugger is batting .417 (10-for-24) with a double and two homers.
Batting Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2023 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
7
81
34
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
29
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2021
+7%
OPS vs RHP
2023
+3%
OPS vs RHP
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2021vs Left | .824 | 419 | 17 | 40 | .277 | ||||
Since 2021vs Right | .880 | 1667 | 89 | 262 | .285 | ||||
2023vs Left | .766 | 124 | 2 | 9 | .284 | ||||
2023vs Right | .792 | 558 | 24 | 85 | .260 | ||||
2022vs Left | .711 | 122 | 4 | 12 | .245 | ||||
2022vs Right | .841 | 584 | 28 | 85 | .280 | ||||
2021vs Left | .946 | 173 | 11 | 19 | .295 | ||||
2021vs Right | 1.020 | 525 | 37 | 92 | .317 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2021
+7%
OPS at Home
2023
+20%
OPS on Road
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2021Home | .897 | 1027 | 60 | 170 | .281 | ||||
Since 2021Away | .842 | 1059 | 46 | 132 | .285 | ||||
2023Home | .716 | 336 | 10 | 46 | .238 | ||||
2023Away | .858 | 346 | 16 | 48 | .289 | ||||
2022Home | .842 | 345 | 19 | 55 | .273 | ||||
2022Away | .795 | 361 | 13 | 42 | .276 | ||||
2021Home | 1.133 | 346 | 31 | 69 | .332 | ||||
2021Away | .875 | 352 | 17 | 42 | .291 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Vladimir Guerrero compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.67BB Rate
9.8%K Rate
14.7%BABIP
.277ISO
.179AVG
.264OBP
.345SLG
.444OPS
.788wOBA
.345Exit Velocity
92.1 mphHard Hit Rate
36.4%Barrels/PA
8.2%Expected BA
.295Expected SLG
.498Sprint Speed
20.8 ft/secGround Ball %
46.2%Line Drive %
18.4%Fly Ball %
35.4%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
It was expected that Guerrero would drop back from his incredible 2021 season due to Toronto playing full-time at Rogers Centre rather than the cozy environments of Dunedin and Buffalo, as well as the changes to Camden Yards for road trips. Factor in the mushball and his homers dropped off to where we realistically should have expected them to be, but it was surprising to see both his runs and RBIs fall back below 100 considering the talent in the lineup around him in Toronto. Whereas he hit .315 with 11 homers with runners in scoring position in 2021, those numbers fell to .267 and five respectively last year in nearly identical sample sizes. RISP production lacks year-over-year stickiness, but it was an issue last year as the league did tend to pitch around him leading to more walks (11 percent) in those situations than others (eight percent.) The eight steals were a nice bonus, considering he is not the fleetest of foot. We can call him a five-category contributor as a first baseman; he cannot quite pull off a younger Paul Goldschmidt, but who can?
More Fantasy News
Back at first base Friday
Guerrero (knee) is starting at first base and batting third in Friday's Grapefruit League game against the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Back in Wednesday as DH
Guerrero (knee) will bat third as the designated hitter in Wednesday's Grapefruit League game against the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
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Going through full workout Tuesday
Guerrero (knee) will go through a full workout Tuesday, Arden Zwelling of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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Out Tuesday with knee contusion
Guerrero (knee) is out of Tuesday's lineup against the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Nursing bruised knee
Guerrero was scratched from the lineup for Sunday's Grapefruit League game against the Orioles due to a left knee contusion, Keegan Matheson of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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