Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
19-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
Toronto Blue Jays
2019 Fantasy Outlook
It has become an annual tradition for there to be a line in the sand, where fantasy analysts argue over whether the top prospect in baseball is worth his draft price. Of course, not all No. 1 prospects are created equal. In this case, the best hitting prospect in a generation is set to debut in mid-to-late April. He will be a second-round pick in some redraft leagues. Believers are paying up while doubters decry that anyone who pays that price is banking on the best-case scenario. It is widely accepted that Guerrero has an 80-grade hit tool. Scouts go years without bestowing that on a prospect, and some refuse to do so out of principle. He has at least 70-grade raw power, generating elite exit velocities in the Arizona Fall League. With all this in mind, nobody should be surprised if Guerrero hits well over .300 with 25-plus home runs in his MLB debut. He has a thick lower half and figures to eventually move off third base to first base or designated hitter. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a contract with the Blue Jays in July of 2015 that includes a $3.9 million signing bonus.
Leaves Fall League for family matter
3BToronto Blue Jays  AAA
November 13, 2018
Guerrero's time at the Arizona Fall League will end early as the prospect left to attend a family matter Tuesday, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
Guerrero couldn't manage to hit a home run in 19 games in Arizona, but otherwise did nothing to quell the hype that surrounds him. The 19-year-old hit an impressive .351/.409/.442 with seven doubles in the AFL.
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
The Z Files: Hacking the System
2 days ago
Todd Zola looks at a number of hitters who may be undervalued once you account for the stats accumulated by their temporary replacements on an active roster, such as the Rays' Tommy Pham.
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57 days ago
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Regan’s Rumblings: Wrapping up 2018
114 days ago
Dave Regan examines his personal highs and lows of the season including the enjoyable play of rookie duo Ronald Acuna and Juan Soto.
Minor League Barometer: That's A Wrap
129 days ago
Jesse Siegel takes us through his Minor League Barometer one last time this season, highlighting the prospects that have improved or struggled the most in 2018.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
An 18-year-old with future 70s and 80s on his hit and power tools (depending which scout you ask), Guerrero looks like a generational hitting talent. His accomplishments as the youngest player at Low-A and High-A rightfully inspire awe and hyperbole. Among hitters with at least 200 plate appearances, Guerrero’s 151 wRC+ ranked eighth in the Midwest League and his 179 wRC+ ranked first in the Florida State League. He walked significantly more than he struck out at both stops and appears to have experienced normal luck on balls in play. The more outlandish his assignment, the more productive Guerrero became. He will stick at third base for now, and while he could move to first base, an outfield corner or DH down the road, it has become clear that his bat will profile anywhere. He should finish his age-19 season at Triple-A, which could set him up to be next year’s Ronald Acuna, primed for a mid-April callup in 2019.
One may be tempted to say that Guerrero has impossibly large shoes to fill, but judging by the early returns at the ripe age of 17, the new "Junior" looks up to the task. He made it look easy at rookie-level Bluefield in 2016, posting a 122 wRC+, eight homers and a 33:35 BB:K in 276 plate appearances against competition that was on average more than three years older than him. Guerrero also showed an ability to handle right-handed pitching (.859 OPS), a necessity for any right-handed power bat. He may have to move from third base to first base or an outfield corner, but if he hits as expected, he will be a perennial early-round pick in fantasy, regardless of where he plays. He has a little speed at this stage but that is unlikely to be a big part of his game at maturity. While Guerrero is several years away from reaching the majors, he has all the makings of an impact fantasy option.
Few names are as synonymous with raw power as Vladimir Guerrero, so it’s no surprise that his 16-year-old son looks like quite the prospect. Signed in July of 2015 for $3.9 million, the teenager is a free-swinging power hitter that shares a number of other traits with his father. At the plate, despite being born in 1999, he has good hand-eye coordination and tremendous bat speed. He’s a poor runner, grading out as a 35 on the 20-80 scouting scale, and he possesses less-than-ideal arm strength (unlike his father, who packed a Howitzer). While that’s not to say that he can’t develop into the player his father was, the 6-foot-1, 200-pound Guerrero still has plenty of time to mature into a strong MLB contributor. He should start the season playing rookie ball, and while his dream of playing in the majors at 18 is highly unlikely to happen, he has the power to progress rapidly through the minor league ranks.
More Fantasy News
Won't receive promotion
3BToronto Blue Jays  AAA
September 3, 2018
Guerrero will not be promoted to the majors this season, Mike Wilner of Sportsnet 590 The Fan reports.
ANALYSIS
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Hits first Triple-A homer
3BToronto Blue Jays  AAA
August 9, 2018
Guerrero went 3-for-4 with a home run, double and two RBI for Triple-A Buffalo in its 6-1 win over Gwinnett on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Walks three times in Triple-A debut
3BToronto Blue Jays  AAA
August 1, 2018
Guerrero went 0-for-1 with three walks, two runs and an RBI in his debut Tuesday for Triple-A Buffalo in the affiliate's 11-8 loss to Lehigh Valley.
ANALYSIS
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Set for Triple-A promotion
3BToronto Blue Jays  AAA
July 28, 2018
Guerrero will join Triple-A Buffalo on Tuesday, Hazel Mae of Sportsnet.ca reports.
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Moves back to Eastern League
3BToronto Blue Jays  AAA
July 24, 2018
Guerrero went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run -- his 12th of the season -- in Double-A New Hampshire's 9-3 loss to Reading on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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