Trey Mancini
Trey Mancini
28-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Baltimore Orioles
60-Day IL
Injury Abdomen
Est. Return 2/1/2021
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Even bad teams score runs. Look no further than Mancini's combined 203 runs and RBI, tied for 20th in MLB. Mancini's 74th percentile hard-hit rate with a relatively low 7.8-degree launch angle favors average over power. However, he clubbed a personal best 35 homers, a remarkable total considering a 32% flyball rate. It wasn't just a Camden Yards thing as Mancini slugged 17 long balls on the road. The homers were earned as illustrated by a 342.8-feet average flyball distance, the 11th longest among qualified hitters. Last season, Mancini split time between first base and outfield and is likely to do so again. The dual eligibility combined with a stable skill set and durability (averaging 152 games the past three seasons) render the righty a solid fantasy hitter, providing stability so risks can be taken elsewhere. With limited speed, Mancini's ceiling is capped unless he elevates the ball more. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#313
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $4.75 million contract with the Orioles in January of 2020.
Expected back for spring training
1BBaltimore Orioles
Abdomen
September 26, 2020
The Orioles are hopeful that Mancini will be able to join the team for spring training, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Mancini missed the entire season while undergoing treatment for colon cancer. He has to regain his general physical strength, let alone his baseball-specific skills, but the Orioles are confident he'll be able to do so this offseason.
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Batting Stats
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2020
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+4%
OPS vs RHP
2020
No Stats
2019
 
 
+2%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+14%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .788 407 60 17 32 0 .253 .329 .459
Since 2018vs Right .818 908 115 42 123 1 .273 .334 .484
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Left .910 219 40 12 26 0 .277 .365 .545
2019vs Right .893 460 66 23 71 1 .297 .363 .530
2018vs Left .651 188 20 5 6 0 .225 .287 .364
2018vs Right .741 448 49 19 52 0 .249 .304 .438
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+6%
OPS at Home
2020
No Stats
2019
 
 
+2%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+15%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .831 651 88 31 83 1 .271 .336 .495
Since 2018Away .787 664 87 28 72 0 .263 .328 .458
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Home .891 342 52 18 52 1 .290 .354 .537
2019Away .906 337 54 17 45 0 .292 .374 .532
2018Home .765 309 36 13 31 0 .251 .317 .448
2018Away .667 327 33 11 27 0 .234 .281 .386
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Trey Mancini
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
Boom-boom had somewhat similar numbers in 2017 and 2018. He repeated his home-run total from his breakout 2017 season, although he needed 50 more plate appearances to get there. He scored a few more runs, thanks to those extra plate appearances, despite a 39-point drop in his on-base percentage. He is a bit of an oddball at the plate because, as a righty, he has been rather terrible against lefty pitchers the past two seasons, and was especially bad against them last year (.225/.287/.364). The only thing worse than his hitting lefties is watching him play the outfield. He has a good arm and can throw well from left field, but his lateral movement can be measured by laying down a yardstick without picking it up again. Statcast says there was more to his contact than the final numbers showed last year, but in a division loaded with quality lefty pitchers, there is a limit to his upside. As long as he stays in Camden, he can pull 20 homers.
There are not too many combinations in baseball better than being a right-handed pull hitter in Camden Yards. The slugger surprised us all when he not only made the Opening Day roster, but stayed on it all year and produced better power numbers than he had anywhere in the minor leagues. The problem for Mancini is this: he had a 51.0 percent groundball rate. Can he continue to hit one of every five flyballs out of the yard? Both are sustainable numbers for any hitter, and we still do not have enough batted balls in play to know confidently the sum of Mancini's abilities. His groundball rate was split neutral, but his HR/FB rate dropped to 16.1 percent in the second half from 23.7 percent in the first half. As long as he gets to hit in Baltimore, he is a decent bet to repeat a 20-homer season, but forecasting 25-plus is tough to do.
Coming off of a breakout 2015 season in which he slashed a hearty .331/.370/.539 between High-A and Double-A, Mancini entered the 2016 season as one of the organization's more promising prospects. After bludgeoning Double-A pitching to the tune of seven home runs in his first 17 games, he was promoted to Triple-A. In 125 games there, the power-hitting first baseman put together an impressive campaign in which he slashed .280/.349/.427 and saw his walk rate increase to nine percent, but also his strikeout rate spike to nearly 23 percent. He joined the O's as a September callup and belted three homers in his 15 big league plate appearances. It will be interesting to see what the Orioles do with Mancini in 2017. With first base blocked by Chris Davis and the DH role likely accounted for with the return of Mark Trumbo, he could end up seeing time in left field in an effort to get his bat in the lineup. It appears to be a tall task, but if he carves out a consistent role, he is capable of providing value due to his impressive power profile.
Mancini vaulted himself to the top of Baltimore's prospect pipeline with a breakout 2015. Drafted in 2013, Mancini had not been regarded as a high level prospect. He started by repeating the High-A level and had a .213 ISO, earning a promotion to Double-A. Mancini was even better at the higher level, punching up his ISO to .227. Mancini sported a .400 BABIP at Double-A, a mark which will be difficult to sustain. With a walk rate of 5.8 percent between the two levels, he still has some work to do on plate discipline, but his 21 home runs on the season reflect power that is beginning to show up in games. Mancini appears to have surpassed Christian Walker as the top prospect at first base. Given how Mancini dominated Double-A, he seems likely to begin the season at Triple-A and he could warrant a midseason promotion unless the Orioles make a big commitment to a free agent first baseman.
More Fantasy News
Shifts to 45-day IL
1BBaltimore Orioles
Abdomen
June 28, 2020
Mancini (cancer) was placed on the 45-day injured list Sunday, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Expects to miss 2020 season
1BBaltimore Orioles
Abdomen
April 28, 2020
Mancini revealed Tuesday in an essay posted on The Players' Tribune that he will require six months of treatment for his battle with colon cancer and noted that he will likely miss the entire 2020 season. "If baseball returns in 2020, it will probably be without me," Mancini wrote.
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Still months away
1BBaltimore Orioles
Abdomen
April 13, 2020
Orioles general manager Mike Elias said Monday that Mancini's recovery timeline will be measured in months rather than weeks after the slugger underwent surgery in March to remove a malignant tumor from his colon, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
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Discharged from hospital
1BBaltimore Orioles
Abdomen
March 22, 2020
Orioles general manager Mike Elias said Thursday that Mancini (stomach) has been released from the hospital and is scheduled to undergo additional tests in the near future, Joe Trezza of MLB.com reports.
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Undergoes successful surgery
1BBaltimore Orioles
Illness
March 12, 2020
Mancini (illness) underwent successful surgery Thursday to remove a malignant tumor from his colon, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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