Trey Mancini
Trey Mancini
26-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Baltimore Orioles
2018 Fantasy Outlook
There are not too many combinations in baseball better than being a right-handed pull hitter in Camden Yards. The slugger surprised us all when he not only made the Opening Day roster, but stayed on it all year and produced better power numbers than he had anywhere in the minor leagues. The problem for Mancini is this: he had a 51.0 percent groundball rate. Can he continue to hit one of every five flyballs out of the yard? Both are sustainable numbers for any hitter, and we still do not have enough batted balls in play to know confidently the sum of Mancini's abilities. His groundball rate was split neutral, but his HR/FB rate dropped to 16.1 percent in the second half from 23.7 percent in the first half. As long as he gets to hit in Baltimore, he is a decent bet to repeat a 20-homer season, but forecasting 25-plus is tough to do. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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Homers twice vs. White Sox
OFBaltimore Orioles
September 14, 2018
Mancini went 2-for-4 with two solo home runs in Friday's 8-6 loss to Chicago.
ANALYSIS
Mancini launched homers in the second and fourth innings, but the White Sox would hold on for the victory. The 26-year-old has been having a down season in his second full year of big-league action, putting together a .241/.300/.418 slash line through 141 games, compared to a .293/.338/.488 batting line over 147 contests in 2017.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+11%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+17%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+16%
OPS vs RHP
2016
 
 
+177%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .724 347 38 12 26 0 .265 .308 .415
Since 2016vs Right .803 842 94 38 110 1 .270 .324 .479
2018vs Left .639 172 18 4 4 0 .228 .291 .348
2018vs Right .747 416 46 19 49 0 .246 .303 .444
2017vs Left .742 165 17 5 17 0 .293 .321 .420
2017vs Right .860 421 48 19 61 1 .293 .344 .516
2016vs Left 1.800 10 3 3 5 0 .400 .400 1.400
2016vs Right .650 5 0 0 0 0 .250 .400 .250
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+10%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+26%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+8%
OPS on Road
2016
 
 
-100%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .818 590 71 27 73 0 .274 .334 .484
Since 2016Away .743 599 61 23 63 1 .263 .306 .437
2018Home .800 289 35 13 30 0 .259 .329 .471
2018Away .636 299 29 10 23 0 .224 .271 .365
2017Home .793 289 33 11 38 0 .281 .332 .461
2017Away .858 297 32 13 40 1 .304 .343 .514
2016Home 1.864 12 3 3 5 0 .455 .500 1.364
2016Away .000 3 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000
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Stat Review
How does Trey Mancini compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.29
 
BB Rate
7.0%
 
K Rate
24.0%
 
BABIP
.281
 
ISO
.172
 
AVG
.240
 
OBP
.298
 
SLG
.413
 
OPS
.711
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
Coming off of a breakout 2015 season in which he slashed a hearty .331/.370/.539 between High-A and Double-A, Mancini entered the 2016 season as one of the organization's more promising prospects. After bludgeoning Double-A pitching to the tune of seven home runs in his first 17 games, he was promoted to Triple-A. In 125 games there, the power-hitting first baseman put together an impressive campaign in which he slashed .280/.349/.427 and saw his walk rate increase to nine percent, but also his strikeout rate spike to nearly 23 percent. He joined the O's as a September callup and belted three homers in his 15 big league plate appearances. It will be interesting to see what the Orioles do with Mancini in 2017. With first base blocked by Chris Davis and the DH role likely accounted for with the return of Mark Trumbo, he could end up seeing time in left field in an effort to get his bat in the lineup. It appears to be a tall task, but if he carves out a consistent role, he is capable of providing value due to his impressive power profile.
Mancini vaulted himself to the top of Baltimore's prospect pipeline with a breakout 2015. Drafted in 2013, Mancini had not been regarded as a high level prospect. He started by repeating the High-A level and had a .213 ISO, earning a promotion to Double-A. Mancini was even better at the higher level, punching up his ISO to .227. Mancini sported a .400 BABIP at Double-A, a mark which will be difficult to sustain. With a walk rate of 5.8 percent between the two levels, he still has some work to do on plate discipline, but his 21 home runs on the season reflect power that is beginning to show up in games. Mancini appears to have surpassed Christian Walker as the top prospect at first base. Given how Mancini dominated Double-A, he seems likely to begin the season at Triple-A and he could warrant a midseason promotion unless the Orioles make a big commitment to a free agent first baseman.
More Fantasy News
Three hits in win
OFBaltimore Orioles
September 5, 2018
Mancini went 3-for-5 with a double, an RBI and a strikeout in Tuesday's win over the Mariners.
ANALYSIS
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Not in Saturday's lineup
OFBaltimore Orioles
September 1, 2018
Mancini is out of the lineup for Saturday's game against the Royals, Jon Meoli of The Baltimore Sun reports.
ANALYSIS
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Plates five vs. Toronto
OFBaltimore Orioles
August 27, 2018
Mancini went 2-for-4 with a home run, a double, five RBI and two runs scored in Monday's 7-0 win over the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
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Reaches base four times
OFBaltimore Orioles
August 25, 2018
Mancini went 3-for-3 with a pair of doubles, a walk and a run scored in Game 2 of Saturday's doubleheader against the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Homers in three-hit day
OFBaltimore Orioles
August 11, 2018
Mancini went 3-for-3 with a home run, two RBI, two runs scored and two walks in a loss to the Red Sox on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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