Trey Mancini

Trey Mancini

29-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Baltimore Orioles
2021 Fantasy Outlook
In mid-March 2020, Mancini was diagnosed with a malignant tumor in his colon. He underwent surgery and embarked on a long recovery process, sidelining him the entire season. Late last year, Mancini reported his latest bloodwork revealed no tumor DNA and he was already working out in an effort to be ready for spring training. When Mancini last took the field in 2019, he was one of the many benefiting from the Happy Fun Ball. He launched a career-best 35 homers that year, but considering the long layoff, it's best to temper expectations, especially early. Mancini was one of the more durable and reliable players in the league and should qualify at first base and in the outfield based on 2019 games played. Assuming no one is paying for Mancini's 2019 numbers, he's a candidate to supply discounted power, in a climate where useful cheap power is hard to find. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#182
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $4.75 million contract with the Orioles in January of 2021.
On base three times Sunday
1BBaltimore Orioles
October 3, 2021
Mancini went 2-for-4 with a walk in Sunday's 12-4 loss to Toronto.
ANALYSIS
The 29-year-old ended the year on a high note, going 9-for-29 (.310) across his last eight games. Mancini's power drought continued, however, as he had no homers in last 21 contests, leaving him with 21 long balls overall. He added a .255/.326/.432 slash line with 71 RBI, 77 runs scored and 33 doubles across 616 plate appearances as a near-everyday option at designated hitter or first base.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
30
39
14
3
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
16
32
9
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+14%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+32%
OPS vs LHP
2020
No Stats
2019
 
 
+2%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .904 442 74 23 61 0 .283 .364 .540
Since 2019vs Right .794 853 109 33 107 1 .269 .336 .458
2021vs Left .899 223 34 11 35 0 .288 .363 .535
2021vs Right .680 393 43 10 36 0 .237 .305 .374
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Left .910 219 40 12 26 0 .277 .365 .545
2019vs Right .893 460 66 23 71 1 .297 .363 .530
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+11%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+29%
OPS at Home
2020
No Stats
2019
 
 
+2%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .873 656 95 32 91 1 .287 .355 .518
Since 2019Away .788 639 88 24 77 0 .260 .336 .452
2021Home .853 314 43 14 39 0 .284 .357 .496
2021Away .660 302 34 7 32 0 .226 .295 .365
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Home .891 342 52 18 52 1 .290 .354 .537
2019Away .906 337 54 17 45 0 .292 .374 .532
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Stat Review
How does Trey Mancini compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.36
 
BB Rate
8.3%
 
K Rate
23.2%
 
BABIP
.308
 
ISO
.176
 
AVG
.255
 
OBP
.326
 
SLG
.432
 
OPS
.758
 
wOBA
.332
 
Exit Velocity
82.4 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
34.5%
 
Barrels/PA
7.0%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Trey Mancini
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Even bad teams score runs. Look no further than Mancini's combined 203 runs and RBI, tied for 20th in MLB. Mancini's 74th percentile hard-hit rate with a relatively low 7.8-degree launch angle favors average over power. However, he clubbed a personal best 35 homers, a remarkable total considering a 32% flyball rate. It wasn't just a Camden Yards thing as Mancini slugged 17 long balls on the road. The homers were earned as illustrated by a 342.8-feet average flyball distance, the 11th longest among qualified hitters. Last season, Mancini split time between first base and outfield and is likely to do so again. The dual eligibility combined with a stable skill set and durability (averaging 152 games the past three seasons) render the righty a solid fantasy hitter, providing stability so risks can be taken elsewhere. With limited speed, Mancini's ceiling is capped unless he elevates the ball more.
Boom-boom had somewhat similar numbers in 2017 and 2018. He repeated his home-run total from his breakout 2017 season, although he needed 50 more plate appearances to get there. He scored a few more runs, thanks to those extra plate appearances, despite a 39-point drop in his on-base percentage. He is a bit of an oddball at the plate because, as a righty, he has been rather terrible against lefty pitchers the past two seasons, and was especially bad against them last year (.225/.287/.364). The only thing worse than his hitting lefties is watching him play the outfield. He has a good arm and can throw well from left field, but his lateral movement can be measured by laying down a yardstick without picking it up again. Statcast says there was more to his contact than the final numbers showed last year, but in a division loaded with quality lefty pitchers, there is a limit to his upside. As long as he stays in Camden, he can pull 20 homers.
There are not too many combinations in baseball better than being a right-handed pull hitter in Camden Yards. The slugger surprised us all when he not only made the Opening Day roster, but stayed on it all year and produced better power numbers than he had anywhere in the minor leagues. The problem for Mancini is this: he had a 51.0 percent groundball rate. Can he continue to hit one of every five flyballs out of the yard? Both are sustainable numbers for any hitter, and we still do not have enough batted balls in play to know confidently the sum of Mancini's abilities. His groundball rate was split neutral, but his HR/FB rate dropped to 16.1 percent in the second half from 23.7 percent in the first half. As long as he gets to hit in Baltimore, he is a decent bet to repeat a 20-homer season, but forecasting 25-plus is tough to do.
Coming off of a breakout 2015 season in which he slashed a hearty .331/.370/.539 between High-A and Double-A, Mancini entered the 2016 season as one of the organization's more promising prospects. After bludgeoning Double-A pitching to the tune of seven home runs in his first 17 games, he was promoted to Triple-A. In 125 games there, the power-hitting first baseman put together an impressive campaign in which he slashed .280/.349/.427 and saw his walk rate increase to nine percent, but also his strikeout rate spike to nearly 23 percent. He joined the O's as a September callup and belted three homers in his 15 big league plate appearances. It will be interesting to see what the Orioles do with Mancini in 2017. With first base blocked by Chris Davis and the DH role likely accounted for with the return of Mark Trumbo, he could end up seeing time in left field in an effort to get his bat in the lineup. It appears to be a tall task, but if he carves out a consistent role, he is capable of providing value due to his impressive power profile.
Mancini vaulted himself to the top of Baltimore's prospect pipeline with a breakout 2015. Drafted in 2013, Mancini had not been regarded as a high level prospect. He started by repeating the High-A level and had a .213 ISO, earning a promotion to Double-A. Mancini was even better at the higher level, punching up his ISO to .227. Mancini sported a .400 BABIP at Double-A, a mark which will be difficult to sustain. With a walk rate of 5.8 percent between the two levels, he still has some work to do on plate discipline, but his 21 home runs on the season reflect power that is beginning to show up in games. Mancini appears to have surpassed Christian Walker as the top prospect at first base. Given how Mancini dominated Double-A, he seems likely to begin the season at Triple-A and he could warrant a midseason promotion unless the Orioles make a big commitment to a free agent first baseman.
More Fantasy News
Back to bench Wednesday
1BBaltimore Orioles
September 22, 2021
Mancini is not in the lineup Wednesday against the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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Takes seat Monday
1BBaltimore Orioles
September 20, 2021
Mancini is out of the lineup for Monday's game against the Phillies, Joe Trezza of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Drives in three runs
1BBaltimore Orioles
September 19, 2021
Mancini went 1-for-5 with a three-run double in Sunday's 8-6 loss to Boston.
ANALYSIS
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Back on bench
1BBaltimore Orioles
September 18, 2021
Mancini will sit Saturday against the Red Sox, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
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Back in lineup Friday
1BBaltimore Orioles
September 17, 2021
Mancini (abdomen) is back in the starting lineup as the designated hitter for Friday's game against the Red Sox, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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