Trey Mancini
Trey Mancini
28-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Baltimore Orioles
Out
Injury Abdomen
Est. Return 5/15/2020
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Even bad teams score runs. Look no further than Mancini's combined 203 runs and RBI, tied for 20th in MLB. Mancini's 74th percentile hard-hit rate with a relatively low 7.8-degree launch angle favors average over power. However, he clubbed a personal best 35 homers, a remarkable total considering a 32% flyball rate. It wasn't just a Camden Yards thing as Mancini slugged 17 long balls on the road. The homers were earned as illustrated by a 342.8-feet average flyball distance, the 11th longest among qualified hitters. Last season, Mancini split time between first base and outfield and is likely to do so again. The dual eligibility combined with a stable skill set and durability (averaging 152 games the past three seasons) render the righty a solid fantasy hitter, providing stability so risks can be taken elsewhere. With limited speed, Mancini's ceiling is capped unless he elevates the ball more. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $4.75 million contract with the Orioles in January of 2020.
Discharged from hospital
1BBaltimore Orioles
Abdomen
March 22, 2020
Orioles general manager Mike Elias said Thursday that Mancini (stomach) has been released from the hospital and is scheduled to undergo additional tests in the near future, Joe Trezza of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Mancini was hospitalized for roughly a week after requiring surgery to remove a malignant tumor from his colon. The Orioles aren't likely to reveal a timeline for Mancini's return to activity until more information is available following testing, but the delayed start to the Major League Baseball season could help the 28-year-old avoid missing games while he's on the mend.
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Batting Stats
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2019
2018
2017
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
53
33
8
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
35
24
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+7%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+2%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+14%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+16%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .774 572 77 22 49 0 .265 .327 .447
Since 2017vs Right .831 1329 163 61 184 2 .279 .337 .494
2019vs Left .910 219 40 12 26 0 .277 .365 .545
2019vs Right .893 460 66 23 71 1 .297 .363 .530
2018vs Left .651 188 20 5 6 0 .225 .287 .364
2018vs Right .741 448 49 19 52 0 .249 .304 .438
2017vs Left .742 165 17 5 17 0 .293 .321 .420
2017vs Right .860 421 48 19 61 1 .293 .344 .516
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+1%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+2%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+15%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+8%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .819 940 121 42 121 1 .274 .335 .484
Since 2017Away .809 961 119 41 112 1 .276 .333 .476
2019Home .891 342 52 18 52 1 .290 .354 .537
2019Away .906 337 54 17 45 0 .292 .374 .532
2018Home .765 309 36 13 31 0 .251 .317 .448
2018Away .667 327 33 11 27 0 .234 .281 .386
2017Home .793 289 33 11 38 0 .281 .332 .461
2017Away .858 297 32 13 40 1 .304 .343 .514
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Stat Review
How does Trey Mancini compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.44
 
BB Rate
9.3%
 
K Rate
21.1%
 
BABIP
.326
 
ISO
.244
 
AVG
.291
 
OBP
.364
 
SLG
.535
 
OPS
.899
 
wOBA
.387
 
Exit Velocity
90.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
37.1%
 
Barrels/PA
6.9%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Trey Mancini
AL FAAB Factor: April Update
5 days ago
FAAB might not be running yet, but Erik Siegrist looks at AL players and roster situations worth discussing in the meantime, like Kansas City's Danny Duffy.
Minor League Barometer: Risers & Fallers
17 days ago
Jesse Siegel analyzes prospects who are rising, and those who are falling, including Nick Madrigal, whose lack of power might hinder his fantasy value.
Delayed Season Primer: Whose Draft Stock Is Rising?
21 days ago
Erik Halterman analyzes how the postponement of the baseball season will impact injured players like Justin Verlander and others who spring draft stock was suppressed.
Minor League Barometer: Risers & Fallers
24 days ago
Jesse Siegel highlights minor leaguers to keep an eye on, including Texas' Nick Solak, who has the bat to join the Rangers but just needs a position.
My AL Tout Wars Team
My AL Tout Wars Team
25 days ago
25 days ago
Chris Liss bought a few injured players at a discount, figuring the delayed start to the season will give them time to heal.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
Boom-boom had somewhat similar numbers in 2017 and 2018. He repeated his home-run total from his breakout 2017 season, although he needed 50 more plate appearances to get there. He scored a few more runs, thanks to those extra plate appearances, despite a 39-point drop in his on-base percentage. He is a bit of an oddball at the plate because, as a righty, he has been rather terrible against lefty pitchers the past two seasons, and was especially bad against them last year (.225/.287/.364). The only thing worse than his hitting lefties is watching him play the outfield. He has a good arm and can throw well from left field, but his lateral movement can be measured by laying down a yardstick without picking it up again. Statcast says there was more to his contact than the final numbers showed last year, but in a division loaded with quality lefty pitchers, there is a limit to his upside. As long as he stays in Camden, he can pull 20 homers.
There are not too many combinations in baseball better than being a right-handed pull hitter in Camden Yards. The slugger surprised us all when he not only made the Opening Day roster, but stayed on it all year and produced better power numbers than he had anywhere in the minor leagues. The problem for Mancini is this: he had a 51.0 percent groundball rate. Can he continue to hit one of every five flyballs out of the yard? Both are sustainable numbers for any hitter, and we still do not have enough batted balls in play to know confidently the sum of Mancini's abilities. His groundball rate was split neutral, but his HR/FB rate dropped to 16.1 percent in the second half from 23.7 percent in the first half. As long as he gets to hit in Baltimore, he is a decent bet to repeat a 20-homer season, but forecasting 25-plus is tough to do.
Coming off of a breakout 2015 season in which he slashed a hearty .331/.370/.539 between High-A and Double-A, Mancini entered the 2016 season as one of the organization's more promising prospects. After bludgeoning Double-A pitching to the tune of seven home runs in his first 17 games, he was promoted to Triple-A. In 125 games there, the power-hitting first baseman put together an impressive campaign in which he slashed .280/.349/.427 and saw his walk rate increase to nine percent, but also his strikeout rate spike to nearly 23 percent. He joined the O's as a September callup and belted three homers in his 15 big league plate appearances. It will be interesting to see what the Orioles do with Mancini in 2017. With first base blocked by Chris Davis and the DH role likely accounted for with the return of Mark Trumbo, he could end up seeing time in left field in an effort to get his bat in the lineup. It appears to be a tall task, but if he carves out a consistent role, he is capable of providing value due to his impressive power profile.
Mancini vaulted himself to the top of Baltimore's prospect pipeline with a breakout 2015. Drafted in 2013, Mancini had not been regarded as a high level prospect. He started by repeating the High-A level and had a .213 ISO, earning a promotion to Double-A. Mancini was even better at the higher level, punching up his ISO to .227. Mancini sported a .400 BABIP at Double-A, a mark which will be difficult to sustain. With a walk rate of 5.8 percent between the two levels, he still has some work to do on plate discipline, but his 21 home runs on the season reflect power that is beginning to show up in games. Mancini appears to have surpassed Christian Walker as the top prospect at first base. Given how Mancini dominated Double-A, he seems likely to begin the season at Triple-A and he could warrant a midseason promotion unless the Orioles make a big commitment to a free agent first baseman.
More Fantasy News
Undergoes successful surgery
1BBaltimore Orioles
Illness
March 12, 2020
Mancini (illness) underwent successful surgery Thursday to remove a malignant tumor from his colon, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Set for non-baseball surgery
1BBaltimore Orioles
Undisclosed
March 7, 2020
Mancini (illness) will miss time due to a non-baseball surgical procedure, Jon Meoli of The Baltimore Sun reports.
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Remains day-to-day with illness
1BBaltimore Orioles
Illness
March 6, 2020
Mancini (illness) remains day-to-day, Nathan Ruiz of The Baltimore Sun reports.
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Out two more days
1BBaltimore Orioles
Illness
March 3, 2020
Mancini (illness) won't be available for the Orioles' Grapefruit League road games Tuesday versus the Nationals and Wednesday versus the Marlins, Roch Kubatko of MASN Sports reports.
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Leaves with illness
1BBaltimore Orioles
Illness
March 2, 2020
Mancini left Monday's game against the Rays due to illness, Joe Trezza of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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