Trey Mancini
Trey Mancini
27-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Baltimore Orioles
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Boom-boom had somewhat similar numbers in 2017 and 2018. He repeated his home-run total from his breakout 2017 season, although he needed 50 more plate appearances to get there. He scored a few more runs, thanks to those extra plate appearances, despite a 39-point drop in his on-base percentage. He is a bit of an oddball at the plate because, as a righty, he has been rather terrible against lefty pitchers the past two seasons, and was especially bad against them last year (.225/.287/.364). The only thing worse than his hitting lefties is watching him play the outfield. He has a good arm and can throw well from left field, but his lateral movement can be measured by laying down a yardstick without picking it up again. Statcast says there was more to his contact than the final numbers showed last year, but in a division loaded with quality lefty pitchers, there is a limit to his upside. As long as he stays in Camden, he can pull 20 homers. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year contract with the Orioles in March of 2019.
Back in action
1BBaltimore Orioles
March 6, 2019
Mancini (finger) is in the lineup for Wednesday's spring game against the Rays, according to Roch Kubatko of MASN Sports.
ANALYSIS
Mancini will play for the first time since leaving Saturday's exhibition contest with a sore pinky finger. He will serve as the Orioles' designated hitter and hit second in the batting order in his return.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+10%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+14%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+16%
OPS vs RHP
2016
 
 
+177%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .726 363 40 13 28 0 .262 .306 .421
Since 2016vs Right .798 874 97 38 113 1 .270 .324 .474
2018vs Left .651 188 20 5 6 0 .225 .287 .364
2018vs Right .741 448 49 19 52 0 .249 .304 .438
2017vs Left .742 165 17 5 17 0 .293 .321 .420
2017vs Right .860 421 48 19 61 1 .293 .344 .516
2016vs Left 1.800 10 3 3 5 0 .400 .400 1.400
2016vs Right .650 5 0 0 0 0 .250 .400 .250
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+6%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+15%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+8%
OPS on Road
2016
 
 
-100%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .800 610 72 27 74 0 .269 .328 .472
Since 2016Away .754 627 65 24 67 1 .266 .309 .445
2018Home .765 309 36 13 31 0 .251 .317 .448
2018Away .667 327 33 11 27 0 .234 .281 .386
2017Home .793 289 33 11 38 0 .281 .332 .461
2017Away .858 297 32 13 40 1 .304 .343 .514
2016Home 1.864 12 3 3 5 0 .455 .500 1.364
2016Away .000 3 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000
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Stat Review
How does Trey Mancini compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.29
 
BB Rate
6.9%
 
K Rate
24.1%
 
BABIP
.285
 
ISO
.174
 
AVG
.242
 
OBP
.299
 
SLG
.416
 
OPS
.715
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Orioles Depth Chart
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
There are not too many combinations in baseball better than being a right-handed pull hitter in Camden Yards. The slugger surprised us all when he not only made the Opening Day roster, but stayed on it all year and produced better power numbers than he had anywhere in the minor leagues. The problem for Mancini is this: he had a 51.0 percent groundball rate. Can he continue to hit one of every five flyballs out of the yard? Both are sustainable numbers for any hitter, and we still do not have enough batted balls in play to know confidently the sum of Mancini's abilities. His groundball rate was split neutral, but his HR/FB rate dropped to 16.1 percent in the second half from 23.7 percent in the first half. As long as he gets to hit in Baltimore, he is a decent bet to repeat a 20-homer season, but forecasting 25-plus is tough to do.
Coming off of a breakout 2015 season in which he slashed a hearty .331/.370/.539 between High-A and Double-A, Mancini entered the 2016 season as one of the organization's more promising prospects. After bludgeoning Double-A pitching to the tune of seven home runs in his first 17 games, he was promoted to Triple-A. In 125 games there, the power-hitting first baseman put together an impressive campaign in which he slashed .280/.349/.427 and saw his walk rate increase to nine percent, but also his strikeout rate spike to nearly 23 percent. He joined the O's as a September callup and belted three homers in his 15 big league plate appearances. It will be interesting to see what the Orioles do with Mancini in 2017. With first base blocked by Chris Davis and the DH role likely accounted for with the return of Mark Trumbo, he could end up seeing time in left field in an effort to get his bat in the lineup. It appears to be a tall task, but if he carves out a consistent role, he is capable of providing value due to his impressive power profile.
Mancini vaulted himself to the top of Baltimore's prospect pipeline with a breakout 2015. Drafted in 2013, Mancini had not been regarded as a high level prospect. He started by repeating the High-A level and had a .213 ISO, earning a promotion to Double-A. Mancini was even better at the higher level, punching up his ISO to .227. Mancini sported a .400 BABIP at Double-A, a mark which will be difficult to sustain. With a walk rate of 5.8 percent between the two levels, he still has some work to do on plate discipline, but his 21 home runs on the season reflect power that is beginning to show up in games. Mancini appears to have surpassed Christian Walker as the top prospect at first base. Given how Mancini dominated Double-A, he seems likely to begin the season at Triple-A and he could warrant a midseason promotion unless the Orioles make a big commitment to a free agent first baseman.
More Fantasy News
Expects to return in a few days
1BBaltimore Orioles
Finger
March 4, 2019
Mancini (finger) is not in the lineup for Monday's spring game, but expects to return to action in a few days, according to Roch Kubatko of MASN Sports.
ANALYSIS
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Out of Sunday's lineup
1BBaltimore Orioles
Finger
March 3, 2019
Mancini (finger) is not in the starting lineup for Sunday's spring game against the Tigers, Roch Kubatko of MASN Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
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Exits with sore finger
1BBaltimore Orioles
Finger
March 2, 2019
Mancini left Saturday's game against the Red Sox with a sore pinky finger, Roch Kubatko of MASN Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
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Drives in three in nightcap versus BoSox
1BBaltimore Orioles
September 27, 2018
Mancini went 2-for-4 with a walk, a triple, two runs scored and three RBI in a 10-3 win over the Red Sox in the second game of Wednesday's doubleheader.
ANALYSIS
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Homers twice vs. White Sox
1BBaltimore Orioles
September 14, 2018
Mancini went 2-for-4 with two solo home runs in Friday's 8-6 loss to Chicago.
ANALYSIS
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