Matt Strahm
Matt Strahm
27-Year-Old PitcherSP
San Diego Padres
2019 Fantasy Outlook
After returning from a knee injury that cost him the first month of the season, Strahm went on to post an excellent 2.05 ERA in 61.1 innings in his first season on the West Coast. Though he benefited from good luck in the form of an unsustainable .226 BABIP and an equally-unrepeatable 86.1% strand rate, he also made legitimate improvements, cutting his walk rate dramatically to a league-average 8.6% while raising his strikeout rate to 28.2%. It was a strong enough performance to give him some deep-league value. A role change could make him a mixed-league sleeper -- Strahm is expected to be in the mix for a rotation spot this season. He technically started five games last year, but all came as part of bullpen games. Strahm throws four pitches at least 12% of the time, so a transition back to starting should theoretically not be too difficult. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $507,500 contract with the Royals in March of 2016.
Pitch count will be monitored
PSan Diego Padres
May 17, 2019
Manager Andy Green said Thursday that Strahm's pitch counts will be monitored throughout the season, AJ Cassavell of MLB.com reports. "We're going to take care of him all season long, like we do Chris [Paddack]," Green said of Strahm. "We're going to still try to limit the number of pitches he throws on a daily basis and still try and have an opportunity to win every game."
ANALYSIS
Though Paddack and Strahm have shined out of the rotation this season, the Padres remain mindful of not overworking the two pitchers after both covered less than 100 innings in 2018. Strahm's restrictions were a byproduct of pitching almost exclusively out of the bullpen last season, so he may be subjected to a shorter leash during his starts even when he's cruising. Strahm has eclipsed the 90-pitch mark in just one of his eight starts and should continue to receive at least five days off between turns. He lines up for his next outing Tuesday against the Diamondbacks at home.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-29%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-37%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-39%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .279 166 40 20 39 6 1 4
Since 2017vs Right .197 417 105 31 74 18 0 12
2019vs Left .356 51 8 4 16 5 0 0
2019vs Right .224 133 31 4 28 6 0 4
2018vs Left .246 76 20 9 16 1 1 3
2018vs Right .149 169 49 12 23 7 0 3
2017vs Left .233 39 12 7 7 0 0 1
2017vs Right .237 115 25 15 23 5 0 5
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
Even Split
2019
 
 
-45%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-33%
ERA on Road
2017
 
 
-51%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 3.21 1.07 61.2 2 3 0 8.8 3.4 1.0
Since 2017Away 3.22 1.25 78.1 4 9 0 9.8 3.2 1.0
2019Home 4.24 1.18 17.0 0 1 0 7.4 2.1 1.6
2019Away 2.33 1.19 27.0 1 2 0 8.3 1.3 0.3
2018Home 2.48 0.97 29.0 1 1 0 9.0 3.7 0.9
2018Away 1.67 0.99 32.1 2 3 0 11.1 2.5 0.8
2017Home 3.45 1.15 15.2 1 1 0 9.8 4.0 0.6
2017Away 7.11 1.79 19.0 1 4 0 9.5 7.1 2.4
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Stat Review
How does Matt Strahm compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
4.88
 
K/9
8.0
 
BB/9
1.6
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
91.0 mph
 
ERA
3.07
 
WHIP
1.18
 
BABIP
.320
 
GB/FB
0.85
 
Strand %
77.1%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
Strahm ranked among relief leaders over the final two months of 2016 with a 1.23 ERA and 30 strikeouts across 22 innings. After struggling to begin 2017, Strahm rebounded in May (2.08 ERA) before ultimately going down with a torn patellar tendon in his left knee. The Padres acquired him soon after the diagnosis, and he's expected to be ready sometime during spring training. A healthy Strahm should receive another look as a starter in another pitcher-friendly atmosphere. Though the 26-year-old's strikeout upside makes him worth a stash in some leagues, poor control (5.2 BB/9 in 56.2 career innings) and possibly limited pitch counts might prevent him from taking a significant step forward as a starter in 2018. He would probably enjoy more immediate success in another high-impact bullpen role.
It was reasonable to view Strahm as the Royals' top pitching prospect prior to his callup at the end of July, given Kyle Zimmer's recurring shoulder issues. However, Strahm had so much success as a reliever following his promotion that the Royals may simply see an elite late-inning arm who they have under control for six more years and be satisfied. Among relievers that threw 20-plus innings last year, Strahm ranked fifth in ERA (1.23), eighth in FIP (2.06) and 16th in strikeout rate (34.1 percent). The move to the bullpen certainly allowed his stuff to play up, as he was comfortably sitting in the mid-90s and touching 97 mph with his fastball in relief after sitting at 91-92 mph as a starter. Not surprisingly, his changeup and curveball both play quite nicely off 95 from the left side. His floor has been established as a shutdown setup man. Whether the Royals decide to get greedy and attempt to turn Strahm into a mid-rotation arm is to be determined.
More Fantasy News
Gets no support in loss
PSan Diego Padres
May 16, 2019
Strahm (1-3) took the loss Wednesday as the Padres were downed 2-0 by the Dodgers, allowing two runs on seven hits and two walks over five innings while striking out five.
ANALYSIS
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Takes no-decision in quality start
PSan Diego Padres
May 8, 2019
Strahm allowed two runs on six hits and one walk over 6.1 innings during Wednesday's 3-2 win over the Mets. He struck out seven but did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Wins against Braves
PSan Diego Padres
May 2, 2019
Strahm (1-2) picked up the win against the Braves on Thursday, giving up two earned runs on eight hits over six innings, striking out six and walking none in the Padres' 11-2 victory.
ANALYSIS
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Likely to make next start Thursday
PSan Diego Padres
April 30, 2019
Strahm is expected to make his next start Thursday against the Braves, AJ Cassavell of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out eight in no-decision
PSan Diego Padres
April 26, 2019
Straham allowed two runs on four hits with eight strikeouts and no walks across six innings in a no-decision against the Nationals on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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