Matt Strahm
Matt Strahm
29-Year-Old PitcherRP
San Diego Padres
Out
Injury Knee
Est. Return 3/20/2021
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Strahm has been inconsistent over the past several seasons, but he performed well while working solely as a reliever in 2020. He posted a 2.61 ERA and career-best 0.87 WHIP over 20.2 innings while making 19 appearances for the Padres. Strahm worked as a late reliever in 2020 but failed to convert on either of his save chances. While his numbers were encouraging on the surface, Strahm's underlying marks were concerning. His 5.01 xFIP was his worst since 2017, and his strikeout rate dropped to 18.1% after posting marks above 24.0% over his first four seasons in the majors. Instead, the 29-year-old relied more on limiting meaningful contact, and he improved to a 44.1 GB% and 5.1% barrel rate. Although Strahm had encouraging results on the surface, he struggled with strikeouts. He's unlikely to close out games for the Padres in 2021, while his underlying marks suggest that his output may not be sustainable. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#598
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $2 million contract with the Padres in December of 2020.
Opening Day status in question
PSan Diego Padres
Knee
February 24, 2021
Strahm (knee) could miss the start of the regular season, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
Strahm underwent patellar tendon surgery on his right knee in late October and has been playing catch during the first few days of spring training. However, he isn't expected to start throwing bullpens until at least next week. While the southpaw is pushing himself to be ready in time for Opening Day, he also acknowledged that he could miss the first several games in order to preserve his long-term health. Strahm posted a 2.61 ERA and 0.87 WHIP with three holds over 20.2 innings with the Padres last season.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2017
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
16
Last 10 Games
18
Last 5 Games
17
How many pitches does Matt Strahm generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Matt Strahm generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-3%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-62%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-4%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-39%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .238 255 61 19 55 9 1 10
Since 2018vs Right .232 555 141 27 119 28 1 21
2020vs Left .119 42 10 0 5 0 0 2
2020vs Right .310 36 5 3 9 2 0 1
2019vs Left .274 137 31 10 34 8 0 5
2019vs Right .264 350 87 12 87 19 1 17
2018vs Left .246 76 20 9 16 1 1 3
2018vs Right .149 169 49 12 23 7 0 3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-32%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-68%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-39%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-33%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 4.40 1.10 94.0 4 6 0 8.2 2.1 1.7
Since 2018Away 2.98 1.15 102.2 5 10 0 10.2 2.2 1.1
2020Home 1.13 0.38 8.0 0 0 0 5.6 1.1 1.1
2020Away 3.55 1.18 12.2 0 1 0 7.1 2.1 1.4
2019Home 5.84 1.26 57.0 3 5 0 8.2 1.4 2.2
2019Away 3.59 1.23 57.2 3 6 0 10.3 2.0 1.2
2018Home 2.48 0.97 29.0 1 1 0 9.0 3.7 0.9
2018Away 1.67 0.99 32.1 2 3 0 11.1 2.5 0.8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Matt Strahm compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.75
 
K/9
6.5
 
BB/9
1.7
 
HR/9
1.3
 
Fastball
92.9 mph
 
ERA
2.61
 
WHIP
0.87
 
BABIP
.203
 
GB/FB
1.30
 
Left On Base
87.0%
 
Exit Velocity
79.7 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.8%
 
Spin Rate
2395 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
24.0%
 
Swinging Strike
9.1%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Matt Strahm
The Z Files: Changing Wins to Innings and Saves to Solds
4 days ago
Todd Zola examines the impact of new scoring categories on the pitching side, including the rise in value of top set-up men like Tyler Duffey.
Mound Musings: A Look at Pitching in the NL West
12 days ago
Brad Johnson’s first column of the season will focus on the NL West, where in Arizona, the Diamondbacks and Madison Bumgarner are in a state of transition.
The Z Files: Relievers -- From Tears to Tiers
105 days ago
Todd Zola looks at a volatile reliever pool heading into 2021 and finds that Aroldis Chapman is part of a much smaller elite tier than usual.
Collette Calls: Hidden Profit In New Pitching Landscape
232 days ago
Jason Collette analyzes the impact of the unique schedule on starting pitching and profiles pitchers who have hidden value in the new 2020 landscape, including Jeff Samardzija.
The Z Files: Winning Tendencies, Part Four
290 days ago
Todd Zola continues his breakdown of last year's NFBC Main Event rosters and explains why he thinks Christian Yelich showed up on so few league-winning squads.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
Strahm got the chance to work as a starter at the beginning of 2019, but his success out of the bullpen in 2018 did not translate to success in the rotation. In his time as a starter, he recorded a 5.42 ERA with a 77:17 K:BB in 16 starts before being sent back to the bullpen at the beginning of July. He settled down once he returned to his old role, with a 3.09 ERA and 41:5 K:BB. Strahm cut his walk rate drastically to 4.5% for the season, and his command graded out as above average by Command+. The 28-year-old has the repertoire to be a starter, with four pitches that he throws over 13% of the time, but his performance as a starter last season will likely give the team pause before considering him for a role in the rotation again. His fantasy value is limited as long as he remains a middle-innings reliever.
After returning from a knee injury that cost him the first month of the season, Strahm went on to post an excellent 2.05 ERA in 61.1 innings in his first season on the West Coast. Though he benefited from good luck in the form of an unsustainable .226 BABIP and an equally-unrepeatable 86.1% strand rate, he also made legitimate improvements, cutting his walk rate dramatically to a league-average 8.6% while raising his strikeout rate to 28.2%. It was a strong enough performance to give him some deep-league value. A role change could make him a mixed-league sleeper -- Strahm is expected to be in the mix for a rotation spot this season. He technically started five games last year, but all came as part of bullpen games. Strahm throws four pitches at least 12% of the time, so a transition back to starting should theoretically not be too difficult.
Strahm ranked among relief leaders over the final two months of 2016 with a 1.23 ERA and 30 strikeouts across 22 innings. After struggling to begin 2017, Strahm rebounded in May (2.08 ERA) before ultimately going down with a torn patellar tendon in his left knee. The Padres acquired him soon after the diagnosis, and he's expected to be ready sometime during spring training. A healthy Strahm should receive another look as a starter in another pitcher-friendly atmosphere. Though the 26-year-old's strikeout upside makes him worth a stash in some leagues, poor control (5.2 BB/9 in 56.2 career innings) and possibly limited pitch counts might prevent him from taking a significant step forward as a starter in 2018. He would probably enjoy more immediate success in another high-impact bullpen role.
It was reasonable to view Strahm as the Royals' top pitching prospect prior to his callup at the end of July, given Kyle Zimmer's recurring shoulder issues. However, Strahm had so much success as a reliever following his promotion that the Royals may simply see an elite late-inning arm who they have under control for six more years and be satisfied. Among relievers that threw 20-plus innings last year, Strahm ranked fifth in ERA (1.23), eighth in FIP (2.06) and 16th in strikeout rate (34.1 percent). The move to the bullpen certainly allowed his stuff to play up, as he was comfortably sitting in the mid-90s and touching 97 mph with his fastball in relief after sitting at 91-92 mph as a starter. Not surprisingly, his changeup and curveball both play quite nicely off 95 from the left side. His floor has been established as a shutdown setup man. Whether the Royals decide to get greedy and attempt to turn Strahm into a mid-rotation arm is to be determined.
More Fantasy News
Remaining with Padres
PSan Diego Padres
Knee
December 2, 2020
Strahm (knee) signed a one-year, $2 million contract to avoid arbitration with the Padres on Wednesday, Bob Nightengale of USA Today reports.
ANALYSIS
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Slated to undergo surgery
PSan Diego Padres
Knee
October 22, 2020
Strahm will undergo surgery to repair the patellar tendon in his right knee, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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Returns from injured list
PSan Diego Padres
September 22, 2020
Strahm (knee) was reinstated from the 10-day injured list Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Tosses bullpen session
PSan Diego Padres
Knee
September 16, 2020
Strahm (knee) threw a bullpen session Wednesday, Jeff Sanders of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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Placed on 10-day IL
PSan Diego Padres
Knee
September 11, 2020
Strahm was placed on the 10-day injured list with right knee inflammation Friday.
ANALYSIS
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