Pete Alonso

Pete Alonso

27-Year-Old First Baseman1B
New York Mets
2022 Fantasy Outlook
While Alonso has improved parts of his game, he hasn't come close to repeating the 53 homers he hit in 2019. His strikeout rate has dropped to under 20%. Meanwhile, his maxEV has been steady at around 118 mph. He's still walking roughly 10 percent of the time. His launch angle hovers around 15 degrees. With all that constant, his HR/FB has dropped from 30.6% to 24.6% to just 19.7% last season. He's just not hitting any home runs to center or right field. In 2019, he hit 28 homers to center and right field (25 to left). While he hit 30 homers to left in 2021, only seven went over the center-field or right-field fence. If he's just going to have 30-40 homers, a .250 average and no stolen bases, it's nothing special. Several first baseman fit this profile (Joey Votto and Max Muncy for example). That power upside we've seen is tantalizing, but 2019 was a historic juiced ball year and it's unwise to project Alonso for a return to that level of power production in 2022. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#47
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $7.4 million contract with the Mets in March of 2022.
Stays hot with walkoff blast
1BNew York Mets
May 19, 2022
Alonso went 3-for-4 with a walk, a two-run homer, and an additional RBI during Thursday's 7-6 win over the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
Alonso gave the Mets a 1-0 lead with an RBI single in the first and won the game with a two-run blast in the bottom of the 10th. The slugger has five hits, two home runs and seven RBI over his last two games, which boosts he season slash line to .276/.353/.513.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
30
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
12
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+3%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+22%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+7%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+21%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .838 315 42 23 46 1 .226 .330 .507
Since 2020vs Right .861 743 94 40 119 4 .273 .347 .514
2022vs Left .745 39 6 2 6 0 .235 .333 .412
2022vs Right .907 143 18 8 30 1 .299 .364 .543
2021vs Left .904 199 27 16 32 1 .237 .342 .562
2021vs Right .845 438 54 21 62 2 .273 .345 .500
2020vs Left .717 77 9 5 8 0 .194 .299 .418
2020vs Right .864 162 22 11 27 1 .248 .340 .525
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+15%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+5%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+36%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+40%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .778 503 53 24 66 3 .247 .326 .452
Since 2020Away .897 535 79 36 94 1 .263 .350 .547
2022Home .849 90 13 5 17 1 .273 .356 .494
2022Away .894 92 11 5 19 0 .298 .359 .536
2021Home .727 307 27 12 33 2 .234 .313 .414
2021Away .991 330 54 25 61 1 .288 .373 .618
2020Home .866 106 13 7 16 0 .263 .340 .526
2020Away .618 113 14 6 14 0 .156 .274 .344
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Stat Review
How does Pete Alonso compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.36
 
BB Rate
7.7%
 
K Rate
21.4%
 
BABIP
.316
 
ISO
.230
 
AVG
.286
 
OBP
.357
 
SLG
.516
 
OPS
.873
 
wOBA
.375
 
Exit Velocity
82.0 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
37.1%
 
Barrels/PA
13.3%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Pete Alonso
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Alonso had an amazing rookie season in Queens, which we knew was going to be exceedingly tough for him to repeat. It does not mean he did not try to repeat those lofty numbers, but the first baseman ultimately left managers wanting more. The thing with his metrics is most of them were right in line with his 2019 numbers, from his average exit velocity to his launch angle, but the little wiggle in his HR/FB - from 31% to 25% - cut into his homer ability. Perhaps the 2020 baseball was not as bouncy, though one thing that really stands out is his struggles against the fastball last season. Alonso had a .294 AVG and .669 SLG against the fastball as a rookie, but those numbers fell to .243 and .513 in his sophomore campaign. The power is still ridiculous, but 2020 was a humbling experience. Bank on a rebound toward his 2019 numbers in 2021, but expecting a repeat of those numbers is not the mindset to take here.
Alonso's 80-grade power plays in any environment, but the juiced ball made him especially lethal in his debut season. After breaking camp with the Mets, Alonso immediately justified his top-prospect billing early on, notching 12 extra-base hits and 17 RBI in his first 12 games. His power pace only slowed moderately from there, as the 25-year-old went on to lead MLB with 53 homers, breaking Aaron Judge's two-year-old rookie record. Almost just as encouragingly, Alonso kept his strikeout rate at an acceptable level (26.4%), something that had been a concern as he made the jump from Triple-A. Since he doesn't steal bases, Alonso would probably need to trade more pop flies for line drives to emerge as anything more than a neutral asset in batting average, but the high floor he offers in three categories makes him a comfortable early-round fantasy selection in 2020, and likely, many years to follow.
When factoring in his Arizona Fall League exploits, Alonso hit 42 home runs in 159 games last year, cementing himself as the top slugger in the minors. The 24-year-old first baseman has no problem squaring up elite velocity -- he took a 104-mph fastball out to center field in the Fall Stars game -- but can still be eaten up by good offspeed pitches. While the other top prospects expected to be called up in mid-to-late April, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Eloy Jimenez, project to be positive contributors in batting average and power right away, Alonso’s batting average will likely be closer to .230 than .270 in his first big-league season. That said, he has 80-grade power and should have no trouble posting big home run and RBI totals from day one. It is very rare that a R/R first base prospect emerges as a valuable dynasty-league asset, and the fact that Alonso has done so is a testament to his work ethic, which gets rave reviews.
A fairly easy player to evaluate, Alonso has a couple very clear strengths, and a couple very clear weaknesses. He has huge raw power -- his .231 ISO, which ranked second in the Florida State League, represented his career low in that metric. Alonso is also excellent at making contact, relative to most power hitters. His 18.5 percent strikeout rate at High-A was a career worst, and he struck out just 14.9 percent of the time in a brief 11-game run at Double-A to close the season. However, the right-handed slugger has dramatic splits. He absolutely obliterates left-handed pitching but is pretty mediocre against righties, especially for a first baseman. Additionally, he is a subpar defender, even at first base. The Mets have a better internal option in Dominic Smith, who is basically big-league ready, yet the organization is still entertaining ideas of getting a veteran placeholder there. If they follow through with that, Alonso would be a distant third on the organizational depth chart. He is probably best suited for the short side of a platoon in the American League.
As a right-handed first baseman who has yet to play in a full-season league, Alonso will not be showing up on real life prospect lists anytime soon. However, he should already be on the radar of dynasty league owners. Double-plus raw power is his calling card. That power was always on display at Florida, leading the Mets to select him with the 64th overall pick in 2016. His .266 ISO and 184 wRC+ illustrate how much damage he did in his brief 30-game run in the New York-Penn League, and his .969 OPS would have easily led the league if he had enough plate appearances to qualify. Alonso's hit tool, particularly his ability to hit right-handed pitching, will be what makes or breaks his ability to profile as a cleanup-hitting everyday player. Despite his gaudy overall numbers, he hit just .262/.306/.415 with a 4:15 BB:K in 65 at-bats against righties. Elite power makes him worth a flier in deeper formats, and it should become clear in a year if he is still worth a roster spot.
More Fantasy News
Blasts ninth long ball
1BNew York Mets
May 18, 2022
Alonso went 2-for-4 with a three-run home run, an additional run and an additional RBI in Wednesday's 11-4 victory versus the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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Slugs eighth homer
1BNew York Mets
May 12, 2022
Alonso went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run in Wednesday's 8-3 loss to the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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Two big flies
1BNew York Mets
May 8, 2022
Alonso went 3-for-5 with two home runs and five RBI in a 6-1 win Sunday during the second game of a doubleheader in Philadelphia.
ANALYSIS
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Launches fifth homer
1BNew York Mets
May 4, 2022
Alonso went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in a 3-0 win over Atlanta in the second game of Tuesday's doubleheader.
ANALYSIS
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Starting Wednesday
1BNew York Mets
April 27, 2022
Alonso is starting Wednesday's game against the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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