Nick Lodolo

24-Year-Old PitcherSP
10-Day IL
Injury Back
Est. Return 6/5/2022
2022 Fantasy Outlook
Reports of Lodolo struggling at the alternate training site threw us off the scent, but he showed in 2021 that he can still make good on his potential as a mid-rotation starter, perhaps sooner than later. The lanky 6-foot-6 lefty logged a 2.31 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, a 78:11 K:BB and a groundball rate over 54% in 50.2 innings across 13 starts (11 at Double-A, two at Triple-A). A blister knocked him out of action for four weeks early in the summer and a shoulder strain ended his season in August, so Lodolo was unable to build up his innings to a satisfactory level in his first full season in the minors. In many ways, Lodolo is the antithesis of org. mate Hunter Greene, as he lacks high-octane stuff, but he has excellent command of four average or better pitches. His upper-80s slider and low-to-mid-90s sinker are his bread and butter offerings, enabling him to miss enough bats while generating weak contact. The Reds have already made it clear that Lodolo will get to compete for a rotation spot this spring. Barring some big trades after the lockout, he will likely head back to Triple-A, but chances are he will make more appearances in the majors than in the minors. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a one-year contract with the Reds in April of 2022.
Pausing throwing program
PCincinnati Reds
Back
May 17, 2022
Reds manager David Bell said Tuesday that Lodolo (back) won't throw for at least the next week, Charlie Goldsmith of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
Lodolo had previously been expected to return from the injured list back on May 7, but those plans wound up being scrapped after he continued to feel sore. He played catch late last week, but that evidently didn't go well, either, so he'll rest for a week before the Reds determine a new timeline for his recovery. He'll need to build back up after that shutdown period.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
83
Last 10 Games
83
Last 5 Games
83
How many pitches does Nick Lodolo generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Nick Lodolo generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-100%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-100%
BAA vs LHP
2021
No Stats
2020
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .000 6 1 1 0 0 0 0
Since 2020vs Right .316 63 18 4 18 4 0 3
2022vs Left .000 6 1 1 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right .316 63 18 4 18 4 0 3
2021vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-3%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-3%
ERA on Road
2021
No Stats
2020
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 5.59 1.55 9.2 1 1 0 10.2 2.8 1.9
Since 2020Away 5.40 1.60 5.0 0 1 0 14.4 3.6 1.8
2022Home 5.59 1.55 9.2 1 1 0 10.2 2.8 1.9
2022Away 5.40 1.60 5.0 0 1 0 14.4 3.6 1.8
2021Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Nick Lodolo compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.80
 
K/9
11.7
 
BB/9
3.1
 
HR/9
1.8
 
Fastball
94.2 mph
 
ERA
5.52
 
WHIP
1.57
 
BABIP
.401
 
GB/FB
2.50
 
Left On Base
74.5%
 
Exit Velocity
79.9 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.8%
 
Spin Rate
2320 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
24.1%
 
Swinging Strike
12.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
The consensus top college starter in a very weak 2019 pitching class, Lodolo was seen as more floor than ceiling, already possessing three average or better pitches and potentially plus command. At 6-foot-6, 205 pounds, he was also seen as projectable by college hurler standards. When the Driveline crew took over Reds pitching development, it seemed that projection might become a reality, but so far that has not been the case. Reports from the Reds' alternate training site weren't very promising, as he didn't show up in tip top baseball shape and his fastball was quite hittable as a result. The lanky lefty has typically sat in the low-90s, which means he really needs to spot his pitches against advanced hitters. His curveball has plus potential, but his changeup and fastball lag behind. There is still a chance his stuff will tick up, and it will need to if he is to develop into more than a No. 4 starter.
Despite being the consensus top pitcher heading into the 2019 draft, Lodolo was seen as more floor than ceiling -- a "safe" college arm. After striking out 30 and walking none in an 18.1-inning pro debut across the Pioneer League and Midwest League, it's fair to wonder if the 6-foot-6 southpaw out of TCU offers a bit more upside than initially believed. Lodolo pairs a low-90s fastball with two above-average secondaries (slider, changeup). He was already a candidate for added velocity, given his wiry frame and good mechanics, and with the Reds hiring Kyle Boddy of Driveline Baseball as pitching coordinator, Lodolo adding a tick or two to his fastball seems more likely than not. By the time he reaches the majors, Lodolo could have three plus pitches and plus command, which would make him a No. 2 starter. He is on track to spend most of his first full season in the upper levels, setting up a 2021 MLB debut.
More Fantasy News
Playing catch Thursday
PCincinnati Reds
Back
May 12, 2022
Lodolo (back) was playing catch ahead of Thursday's game at Pittsburgh, Charlie Goldsmith of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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No timetable for return
PCincinnati Reds
Back
May 7, 2022
Lodolo (back) was examined Friday night and it was determined he wasn't ready to rejoin the rotation, Bobby Nightengale of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
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Not starting this weekend
PCincinnati Reds
Back
May 6, 2022
Lodolo (back) will not make a start this weekend against the Pirates after Friday's game was postponed and the rotation was pushed back, Charlie Goldsmith of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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On track to start Saturday
PCincinnati Reds
Back
May 5, 2022
Lodolo (back) is penciled in to return from the 10-day injured list to start the first game of Saturday's doubleheader against the Pirates, Bobby Nightengale of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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Brief absence expected
PCincinnati Reds
Back
April 28, 2022
Lodolo (back) is expected to return from the 10-day injured list next weekend against the Pirates, Charlie Goldsmith of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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