2025 Stats
AVG
.241
HR
4
RBI
12
R
10
SB
2
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
There was a time when Carlson was one of the top prospects in baseball. There likely wasn't a scenario where managers envisioned Carlson signing a one-year deal at age 26 after being dumped by his second organization, but Baltimore swooped in and gave him a six-figure guarantee after he was non-tendered by Tampa Bay at the deadline. The Rays acquired Carlson at the last second of the deadline and hoped there was some more magic dust in the cupboard that had been applied to Randy Arozarena and Tommy Pham when those two outfielders were acquired from St. Louis, but the canister must have had an expiration date, as Carlson did very little for the Rays. He hit all three of his homers for them and hit 20 points better after the trade, but his actual and expected batting average on non-off-speed pitches was below .200 and his swing-and-miss rate was at least 30 percent on all pitch types. The old adage that says, once you display a skill, you own it, applies here, because Carlson has nearly 1,750 plate appearances in his major league career, and outside of a hot second half of 2021 in which he hit 11 homers with a .277/.343/.505 slash line, he has done very little over the remaining 1,500 plate appearances on his resume. Read Past Outlooks

Sent down to minors
The Orioles optioned Carlson to Triple-A Norfolk on Saturday.
Analysis
Carlson started four of Baltimore's past seven games but went 2-for-17 at the plate during that span. He's posted a .667 OPS across 115 major-league plate appearances this season and will now get a chance to work on his stroke in the minors. In a corresponding move, infielder Emmanuel Rivera had his contract selected from Norfolk.
Carlson started four of Baltimore's past seven games but went 2-for-17 at the plate during that span. He's posted a .667 OPS across 115 major-league plate appearances this season and will now get a chance to work on his stroke in the minors. In a corresponding move, infielder Emmanuel Rivera had his contract selected from Norfolk.
Batting Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
2
8
8
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
6
4
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2023
+13%
OPS vs LHP
2025
+12%
OPS vs RHP
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023vs Left | .666 | 231 | 4 | 19 | .236 |
Since 2023vs Right | .591 | 404 | 8 | 46 | .209 |
2025vs Left | .611 | 30 | 1 | 3 | .241 |
2025vs Right | .687 | 85 | 3 | 9 | .241 |
2024vs Left | .603 | 116 | 1 | 9 | .212 |
2024vs Right | .533 | 149 | 2 | 17 | .206 |
2023vs Left | .771 | 85 | 2 | 7 | .268 |
2023vs Right | .592 | 170 | 3 | 20 | .196 |
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2023
+11%
OPS at Home
2025
+3%
OPS at Home
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023Home | .649 | 313 | 7 | 37 | .232 |
Since 2023Away | .586 | 322 | 5 | 27 | .205 |
2025Home | .677 | 52 | 2 | 8 | .245 |
2025Away | .659 | 63 | 2 | 4 | .237 |
2024Home | .628 | 121 | 2 | 13 | .241 |
2024Away | .505 | 144 | 1 | 12 | .179 |
2023Home | .657 | 140 | 3 | 16 | .220 |
2023Away | .643 | 115 | 2 | 11 | .219 |
Minor League Left/Right Batting Splits (AAA)
Since 2023
+21%
OPS vs LHP
2025
+89%
OPS vs LHP
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023vs Left | 1.012 | 17 | 1 | 2 | .333 |
Since 2023vs Right | .837 | 103 | 2 | 14 | .288 |
2025vs Left | 1.018 | 16 | 1 | 2 | .357 |
2025vs Right | .539 | 77 | 1 | 12 | .279 |
2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2024vs Right | .782 | 15 | 1 | 1 | .273 |
2023vs Left | .000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .000 |
2023vs Right | .705 | 11 | 0 | 1 | .375 |
Stat Review
How does Dylan Carlson compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.20BB Rate
5.2%K Rate
26.1%BABIP
.293ISO
.148AVG
.241OBP
.278SLG
.389OPS
.667wOBA
.293Exit Velocity
88.4 mphHard Hit Rate
22.8%Barrels/PA
5.2%Expected BA
.231Expected SLG
.381Sprint Speed
24.1 ft/secGround Ball %
36.4%Line Drive %
22.1%Fly Ball %
41.6%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Just a few short years ago, Carlson was regarded as a promising, up-and-coming big leaguer, but his shine has taken a considerable hit on account of his .230/.316/.364 batting line over the past two seasons (743 plate appearances). He injured his left ankle in mid-May of last year and battled the ankle throughout the campaign before ultimately undergoing surgery in September. The outfielder was cleared for running and baseball activities in December, but he will still be brought along slowly in spring training. Cardinals manager Oliver Marmol once considered Carlson his leadoff hitter of the future, and his optimism was justified after a 2021 season in which Carlson had 53 extra-base hits and a .343 OBP at the age of 22. Now 25, Carlson figures to bounce back with better luck on the health front, though he is not assured a regular role out of camp and may in fact open the year as the Cardinals' fourth outfielder.
More Fantasy News

On bench Monday
Carlson is out of the lineup for Monday's game against the Rangers.
Analysis
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Sitting after six straight starts
Carlson is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Rays.
Analysis
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Three hits, steal in win
Carlson went 3-for-4 with a steal and two runs scored in Tuesday's win over the Rays.
Analysis
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Knocks three hits in defeat
Carlson went 3-for-3 with a solo home run during Thursday's 4-1 loss to the Tigers.
Analysis
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Losing out on PT with Mullins back
Carlson is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Tigers, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Consistent starter in center field?
Carlson could see more starts in center field after the Orioles placed Cedric Mullins on the 10-day injured list Friday due to a right hamstring strain, per ESPN.com.
Analysis
The Orioles expect Colton Cowser to return from the 60-day injured list during their upcoming road trip in Seattle and Sacramento starting June 3. Even so, Baltimore has Mullins, Tyler O'Neill and Ramon Laureano all on the IL, so Carlson should have a good shot at meaningful playing time in the interim. Carlson has started in five straight games and has gone 7-for-20 with one steal, two home runs and six RBI over that span.
The Orioles expect Colton Cowser to return from the 60-day injured list during their upcoming road trip in Seattle and Sacramento starting June 3. Even so, Baltimore has Mullins, Tyler O'Neill and Ramon Laureano all on the IL, so Carlson should have a good shot at meaningful playing time in the interim. Carlson has started in five straight games and has gone 7-for-20 with one steal, two home runs and six RBI over that span.