Dylan Carlson
22-Year-Old
2021 Stats
AVG
.259
HR
3
RBI
11
R
12
SB
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2021 Fantasy Outlook
The best Cardinals hitting prospect since Oscar Taveras, Carlson was a spring training standout and would have spent the bulk of the year in the majors under normal circumstances. He eventually got the call in mid-August when the Cardinals resumed play following a team-wide COVID-19 outbreak. He struggled and was demoted in early September. While it's damning with faint praise, Carlson was the Cardinals' best hitter after getting recalled Sept. 18. Including three playoff games, he hit .288/.389/.533 over his final 54 PA. Strikeouts were still an issue over that stretch (27.8 K%), but he got a lot more patient (13.0 BB%) as he settled in against big-league pitching. He doesn't have eye-popping exit velocity readings or blazing speed (74th percentile), but the 22-year-old switch hitter projects to be good at every aspect of the game. He should open the year with a prime lineup spot and everyday role. Read Past Outlooks
Laces first triple of '21
Carlson went 1-for-3 with a triple and two runs in a win over the Nationals on Monday.
ANALYSIS
Carlson's first three-bagger of the season put him in position to eventually come home on Paul DeJong's fifth-inning grand slam. The 22-year-old appears to have made significant strides at the plate since his initial big-league cup of coffee last season, as he's already matched his 2020 home-run tally (three) in 96 fewer plate appearances. Carlson now sports a .260/.377/.540 line that leaves last year's .200/.252/.364 slash across 119 PAs in the dust.
Carlson's first three-bagger of the season put him in position to eventually come home on Paul DeJong's fifth-inning grand slam. The 22-year-old appears to have made significant strides at the plate since his initial big-league cup of coffee last season, as he's already matched his 2020 home-run tally (three) in 96 fewer plate appearances. Carlson now sports a .260/.377/.540 line that leaves last year's .200/.252/.364 slash across 119 PAs in the dust.
Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2021 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
3
5
2
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
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#8
#9
1
1
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
+14%
OPS vs LHP
2021
+1%
OPS vs RHP
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2019vs Left | .745 | 29 | 1 | 6 | .217 | ||||
| Since 2019vs Right | .656 | 135 | 4 | 16 | .203 | ||||
| 2021vs Left | .917 | 15 | 1 | 3 | .250 | ||||
| 2021vs Right | .928 | 50 | 2 | 8 | .262 | ||||
| 2020vs Left | .558 | 14 | 0 | 3 | .182 | ||||
| 2020vs Right | .508 | 85 | 2 | 8 | .173 | ||||
| 2019vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2019vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
+15%
OPS at Home
2021
+14%
OPS on Road
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2019Home | .799 | 75 | 2 | 10 | .273 | ||||
| Since 2019Away | .693 | 105 | 4 | 17 | .191 | ||||
| 2021Home | .843 | 22 | 0 | 0 | .333 | ||||
| 2021Away | .964 | 43 | 3 | 11 | .222 | ||||
| 2020Home | .779 | 53 | 2 | 10 | .250 | ||||
| 2020Away | .520 | 62 | 1 | 6 | .172 | ||||
| 2019Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2019Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Dylan Carlson compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.53BB Rate
12.3%K Rate
23.1%BABIP
.297ISO
.296AVG
.259OBP
.369SLG
.556OPS
.925wOBA
.390Exit Velocity
79.7 mphHard Hit Rate
27.5%Barrels/PA
6.6%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dylan Carlson
For Monday night's slate, Chris Morgan likes righty Randy Arozarena against Kansas City pitcher Danny Duffy.
Jan Levine analyzes the latest crop of available players with a look towards Harrison Bader's eventual return.
Jesse Siegel reports on how some up-and-comers performed so far and how others are progressing in their development.
Dan Marcus likes Jorge Soler at home versus the Rangers.
Jesse Siegel is back with a few prospect updates as players battle for Opening Day spots.
2020 Fantasy Outlook
In just one season, Carlson went from an interesting sleeper in the Cardinals' system to a top-10 prospect in all of baseball, and he is now knocking on the door of the majors. He was the second-youngest player and second-best hitter (142 wRC+) in the Texas League, and his 10.8 BB% and 20.3 K% are marks we would expect from a player several years older. Carlson's 33.3 Oppo% and 25.9 LD% on that circuit were also elite marks and his above-average speed led to 18 steals on 25 attempts. The switch hitter posted the best statistics of his career in 18 games at Triple-A, but there was obviously a lot of noise in those numbers. Carlson has a chance to be a plus contributor in all five roto categories, but it's his high floor that makes him so appealing in dynasty and redraft leagues. Regardless of who the Cardinals open the year with in the outfield, Carlson should force the issue sometime in the first half.
More Fantasy News
Gets day off Wednesday
Carlson isn't in the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Nationals, Katie Woo of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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First multi-hit effort
Carlson went 3-for-4 with a walk and two runs scored Tuesday against the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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Smacks grand slam
Carlson went 1-for-4 with a grand slam Wednesday against the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Smacks second homer
Carlson went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Tuesday's 4-2 win over the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Launches Opening Day homer
Carlson went 1-for-3 with a walk, a three-run homer and two strikeouts in Thursday's win over the Reds.
ANALYSIS
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