Dylan Carlson

Dylan Carlson

23-Year-Old OutfielderOF
St. Louis Cardinals
2022 Fantasy Outlook
Many prospects cruising through Double A and Triple A when they're 20 years old are overmatched in the majors if they debut the next season. Such was the case for Carlson in 2020 before he picked things up down the stretch. Carlson's follow-up was much better as he demonstrated many of the skills earning him top prospect status. Specifically, Carlson improved his plate discipline by walking more and fanning less. His overall average exit velocity was only 29th percentile, but it was closer to league average on flyballs, supporting power. A low exit velocity on grounders combined with 73rd percentile sprint speed and a little good fortune yielded a .250 BABIP on groundballs, 11 points above average. It all added up to a 113 wRC+, impressive for a 22-year-old. Carlson has 25-15 upside, just temper expectations this season. Pay for moderate growth, likely from continued improvement with his plate discipline. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#167
ADP
$Signed a $1.35 million contract with the Cardinals in June of 2016.
Hammers homer in loss
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
May 13, 2022
Carlson went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Thursday's 3-2 loss to the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
Carlson took Orioles reliever Cionel Perez deep in the seventh inning to get the Cardinals on the board. The outfielder has hit safely in seven straight games, going 9-for-25 (.360) in that span as he looks to steer out of a slow start to the year. He's up to a .225/.273/.360 slash line with two homers, nine RBI, 12 runs scored, a stolen base and seven doubles in 121 plate appearances.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2021
2020
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
8
1
1
3
7
5
1
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
2
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+25%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+21%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+25%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+10%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .857 184 28 6 24 0 .315 .366 .491
Since 2020vs Right .684 668 71 16 62 4 .228 .304 .380
2022vs Left .701 32 5 1 2 0 .258 .281 .419
2022vs Right .580 102 7 1 8 1 .207 .265 .315
2021vs Left .923 138 22 5 19 0 .341 .394 .528
2021vs Right .739 481 57 13 46 2 .243 .328 .411
2020vs Left .558 14 1 0 3 0 .182 .286 .273
2020vs Right .508 85 7 2 8 1 .173 .212 .296
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+17%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+8%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+18%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+50%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .794 419 51 12 51 2 .280 .339 .455
Since 2020Away .678 449 51 11 40 2 .221 .304 .374
2022Home .588 72 5 1 6 1 .200 .250 .338
2022Away .635 62 7 1 4 0 .241 .290 .345
2021Home .847 294 40 9 35 1 .306 .364 .483
2021Away .718 325 39 9 30 1 .227 .324 .394
2020Home .779 53 6 2 10 0 .250 .321 .458
2020Away .520 62 5 1 6 1 .172 .210 .310
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Dylan Carlson compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a batter in feet per second.
BB/K
0.36
 
BB Rate
5.6%
 
K Rate
15.4%
 
BABIP
.248
 
ISO
.122
 
AVG
.221
 
OBP
.273
 
SLG
.344
 
OPS
.616
 
wOBA
.269
 
Exit Velocity
81.7 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
23.4%
 
Barrels/PA
3.7%
 
Sprint Speed
24.1
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dylan Carlson
MLB Barometer: Risers & Fallers
2 days ago
Bryce Harper tops Erik Halterman's list of risers and fallers, as he's slashing .305/.361/.634 even with an injured elbow.
FanDuel MLB: Friday Targets
5 days ago
Chris Bennett suggests checking out Houston’s Framber Valdez in the series opener with Washington on Friday.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Thursday Picks
6 days ago
Mike Barner breaks down Thursday’s Yahoo offering, which affords eight games worth of action to build your DFS lineup from.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
10 days ago
Jan Levine looks at a couple players who should return soon and produce decent numbers.
DraftKings MLB: Sunday Breakdown
17 days ago
Chris Morgan likes Anthony Rendon based on his lower salary and continued prowess against left-handed pitchers.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
The best Cardinals hitting prospect since Oscar Taveras, Carlson was a spring training standout and would have spent the bulk of the year in the majors under normal circumstances. He eventually got the call in mid-August when the Cardinals resumed play following a team-wide COVID-19 outbreak. He struggled and was demoted in early September. While it's damning with faint praise, Carlson was the Cardinals' best hitter after getting recalled Sept. 18. Including three playoff games, he hit .288/.389/.533 over his final 54 PA. Strikeouts were still an issue over that stretch (27.8 K%), but he got a lot more patient (13.0 BB%) as he settled in against big-league pitching. He doesn't have eye-popping exit velocity readings or blazing speed (74th percentile), but the 22-year-old switch hitter projects to be good at every aspect of the game. He should open the year with a prime lineup spot and everyday role.
In just one season, Carlson went from an interesting sleeper in the Cardinals' system to a top-10 prospect in all of baseball, and he is now knocking on the door of the majors. He was the second-youngest player and second-best hitter (142 wRC+) in the Texas League, and his 10.8 BB% and 20.3 K% are marks we would expect from a player several years older. Carlson's 33.3 Oppo% and 25.9 LD% on that circuit were also elite marks and his above-average speed led to 18 steals on 25 attempts. The switch hitter posted the best statistics of his career in 18 games at Triple-A, but there was obviously a lot of noise in those numbers. Carlson has a chance to be a plus contributor in all five roto categories, but it's his high floor that makes him so appealing in dynasty and redraft leagues. Regardless of who the Cardinals open the year with in the outfield, Carlson should force the issue sometime in the first half.
More Fantasy News
Slugs first homer
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
May 8, 2022
Carlson went 1-for-5 with a three-run home run in a loss to San Francisco on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Takes seat Wednesday
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
May 4, 2022
Carlson isn't starting Wednesday's game against the Royals, Jeff Jones of the Belleville News-Democrat reports.
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Serving as designated hitter
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
April 28, 2022
Carlson (toe) is starting Thursday's game against the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
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Suffers toe injury
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
Toe
April 27, 2022
Carlson was removed from Wednesday's 10-5 win over the Mets with a toe injury, Jeff Jones of the Belleville News-Democrat reports.
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On base three times
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
April 22, 2022
Carlson went 2-for-4 with a walk and a run scored in Friday's 4-2 win over the Reds.
ANALYSIS
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