Dylan Carlson
22-Year-Old OutfielderOF
2021 Fantasy Outlook
The best Cardinals hitting prospect since Oscar Taveras, Carlson was a spring training standout and would have spent the bulk of the year in the majors under normal circumstances. He eventually got the call in mid-August when the Cardinals resumed play following a team-wide COVID-19 outbreak. He struggled and was demoted in early September. While it's damning with faint praise, Carlson was the Cardinals' best hitter after getting recalled Sept. 18. Including three playoff games, he hit .288/.389/.533 over his final 54 PA. Strikeouts were still an issue over that stretch (27.8 K%), but he got a lot more patient (13.0 BB%) as he settled in against big-league pitching. He doesn't have eye-popping exit velocity readings or blazing speed (74th percentile), but the 22-year-old switch hitter projects to be good at every aspect of the game. He should open the year with a prime lineup spot and everyday role. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#160
ADP
$Signed a $1.35 million contract with the Cardinals in June of 2016.
Laces first triple of '21
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
April 20, 2021
Carlson went 1-for-3 with a triple and two runs in a win over the Nationals on Monday.
ANALYSIS
Carlson's first three-bagger of the season put him in position to eventually come home on Paul DeJong's fifth-inning grand slam. The 22-year-old appears to have made significant strides at the plate since his initial big-league cup of coffee last season, as he's already matched his 2020 home-run tally (three) in 96 fewer plate appearances. Carlson now sports a .260/.377/.540 line that leaves last year's .200/.252/.364 slash across 119 PAs in the dust.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
3
5
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
1
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+14%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+1%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+10%
OPS vs LHP
2019
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .745 29 6 1 6 0 .217 .310 .435
Since 2019vs Right .656 135 14 4 16 1 .203 .274 .382
2021vs Left .917 15 5 1 3 0 .250 .333 .583
2021vs Right .928 50 7 2 8 0 .262 .380 .548
2020vs Left .558 14 1 0 3 0 .182 .286 .273
2020vs Right .508 85 7 2 8 1 .173 .212 .296
2019vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+15%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+14%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+50%
OPS at Home
2019
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .799 75 10 2 10 0 .273 .360 .439
Since 2019Away .693 105 13 4 17 1 .191 .257 .436
2021Home .843 22 4 0 0 0 .333 .455 .389
2021Away .964 43 8 3 11 0 .222 .326 .639
2020Home .779 53 6 2 10 0 .250 .321 .458
2020Away .520 62 5 1 6 1 .172 .210 .310
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Dylan Carlson compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.53
 
BB Rate
12.3%
 
K Rate
23.1%
 
BABIP
.297
 
ISO
.296
 
AVG
.259
 
OBP
.369
 
SLG
.556
 
OPS
.925
 
wOBA
.390
 
Exit Velocity
79.7 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
27.5%
 
Barrels/PA
6.6%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dylan Carlson
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2 days ago
For Monday night's slate, Chris Morgan likes righty Randy Arozarena against Kansas City pitcher Danny Duffy.
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3 days ago
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Minor League Barometer: Risers & Fallers
15 days ago
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DraftKings MLB: Sunday Breakdown
17 days ago
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22 days ago
Jesse Siegel is back with a few prospect updates as players battle for Opening Day spots.
2020 Fantasy Outlook
In just one season, Carlson went from an interesting sleeper in the Cardinals' system to a top-10 prospect in all of baseball, and he is now knocking on the door of the majors. He was the second-youngest player and second-best hitter (142 wRC+) in the Texas League, and his 10.8 BB% and 20.3 K% are marks we would expect from a player several years older. Carlson's 33.3 Oppo% and 25.9 LD% on that circuit were also elite marks and his above-average speed led to 18 steals on 25 attempts. The switch hitter posted the best statistics of his career in 18 games at Triple-A, but there was obviously a lot of noise in those numbers. Carlson has a chance to be a plus contributor in all five roto categories, but it's his high floor that makes him so appealing in dynasty and redraft leagues. Regardless of who the Cardinals open the year with in the outfield, Carlson should force the issue sometime in the first half.
More Fantasy News
Gets day off Wednesday
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
April 14, 2021
Carlson isn't in the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Nationals, Katie Woo of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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First multi-hit effort
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
April 13, 2021
Carlson went 3-for-4 with a walk and two runs scored Tuesday against the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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Smacks grand slam
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
April 7, 2021
Carlson went 1-for-4 with a grand slam Wednesday against the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Smacks second homer
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
April 6, 2021
Carlson went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Tuesday's 4-2 win over the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Launches Opening Day homer
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
April 1, 2021
Carlson went 1-for-3 with a walk, a three-run homer and two strikeouts in Thursday's win over the Reds.
ANALYSIS
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