Dylan Carlson
Dylan Carlson
22-Year-Old OutfielderOF
St. Louis Cardinals
2021 Fantasy Outlook
The best Cardinals hitting prospect since Oscar Taveras, Carlson was a spring training standout and would have spent the bulk of the year in the majors under normal circumstances. He eventually got the call in mid-August when the Cardinals resumed play following a team-wide COVID-19 outbreak. He struggled and was demoted in early September. While it's damning with faint praise, Carlson was the Cardinals' best hitter after getting recalled Sept. 18. Including three playoff games, he hit .288/.389/.533 over his final 54 PA. Strikeouts were still an issue over that stretch (27.8 K%), but he got a lot more patient (13.0 BB%) as he settled in against big-league pitching. He doesn't have eye-popping exit velocity readings or blazing speed (74th percentile), but the 22-year-old switch hitter projects to be good at every aspect of the game. He should open the year with a prime lineup spot and everyday role. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#161
ADP
$Signed a $1.35 million contract with the Cardinals in June of 2016.
Continues run of production
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
July 28, 2021
Carlson went 2-for-4 with a solo home run and two runs scored Wednesday against Cleveland.
ANALYSIS
Carlson led off the third inning with his 11th home run of the season. Though he's had disappointing power production for much of the campaign, Carlson now has four homers in his last nine starts. In that same span, he's recorded at least one hit in eight contests while also tallying 12 RBI and six runs. For the season, Carlson has a .255/.338/.417 line across 426 plate appearances.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
26
39
3
3
5
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
15
1
1
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+13%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+10%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+10%
OPS vs LHP
2019
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .783 104 13 1 13 0 .308 .365 .418
Since 2019vs Right .690 421 47 12 41 1 .223 .304 .386
2021vs Left .815 90 12 1 10 0 .325 .378 .438
2021vs Right .738 336 40 10 33 0 .236 .327 .411
2020vs Left .558 14 1 0 3 0 .182 .286 .273
2020vs Right .508 85 7 2 8 1 .173 .212 .296
2019vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+28%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+23%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+50%
OPS at Home
2019
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .827 244 31 5 28 0 .309 .373 .455
Since 2019Away .648 297 32 9 31 1 .190 .279 .368
2021Home .841 191 25 3 18 0 .326 .387 .453
2021Away .683 235 27 8 25 0 .195 .298 .385
2020Home .779 53 6 2 10 0 .250 .321 .458
2020Away .520 62 5 1 6 1 .172 .210 .310
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Dylan Carlson compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.40
 
BB Rate
9.9%
 
K Rate
24.4%
 
BABIP
.321
 
ISO
.161
 
AVG
.255
 
OBP
.338
 
SLG
.417
 
OPS
.755
 
wOBA
.333
 
Exit Velocity
81.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
28.9%
 
Barrels/PA
6.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dylan Carlson
DraftKings MLB: Thursday Breakdown
8 days ago
Mike Barner is rolling with a Braves stack Thursday against the Phillies.
DraftKings MLB: Sunday Breakdown
19 days ago
Nick Pivetta has looked wildly inconsistent of late, so Dan Marcus is recommending a few Philly bats.
FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Targets
24 days ago
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NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
26 days ago
With Evan Longoria set to be back later this month, Jan Levine figures he'll be a popular add.
DraftKings MLB: Thursday Breakdown
29 days ago
Mike Barner delivers his picks for Thursday’s DraftKings slate, turning to a Rockies stack against the Cardinals.
2020 Fantasy Outlook
In just one season, Carlson went from an interesting sleeper in the Cardinals' system to a top-10 prospect in all of baseball, and he is now knocking on the door of the majors. He was the second-youngest player and second-best hitter (142 wRC+) in the Texas League, and his 10.8 BB% and 20.3 K% are marks we would expect from a player several years older. Carlson's 33.3 Oppo% and 25.9 LD% on that circuit were also elite marks and his above-average speed led to 18 steals on 25 attempts. The switch hitter posted the best statistics of his career in 18 games at Triple-A, but there was obviously a lot of noise in those numbers. Carlson has a chance to be a plus contributor in all five roto categories, but it's his high floor that makes him so appealing in dynasty and redraft leagues. Regardless of who the Cardinals open the year with in the outfield, Carlson should force the issue sometime in the first half.
More Fantasy News
Launches two-run blast
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
July 25, 2021
Carlson went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run in Sunday's 10-6 win over Cincinnati.
ANALYSIS
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Powers offense in win
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
July 22, 2021
Carlson went 3-for-4 with a solo home run, two doubles and an additional run scored in Thursday's 3-2 win over the Cubs.
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Drives in four runs
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
July 19, 2021
Carlson went 2-for-4 with a home run, a walk and four RBI in Monday's 8-3 win over the Cubs.
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Doubles, scores in win
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
July 18, 2021
Carlson went 1-for-4 with a double and a run scored in Saturday's 3-1 win over the Giants.
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Has three-hit afternoon
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
July 9, 2021
Carlson went 3-for-4 with a double, a walk and two runs in Friday's 10-5 loss to the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
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