Tyler O'Neill

Tyler O'Neill

28-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Boston Red Sox
7-Day IL
Injury Concussion
Est. Return 4/23/2024
2024 Fantasy Outlook
After being limited to 96 games in 2022, O'Neill's stated goal last offseason was to tailor his workouts to prevent future injury. It didn't work, as O'Neill played just 72 contests in 2023 due to back, knee and foot problems. When on the field, the 28-year-old's production sagged to just a .715 OPS and nine homers in 266 plate appearances. O'Neill's plate discipline actually trended in a positive direction for the second straight year, but his quality of contact also dropped off again so perhaps he's best off returning to the ultra aggressiveness he displayed during his breakout 2021 campaign. He was traded to Boston this offseason, which not only signals a more secure role but a major upgrade in home park factors. Durability remains a significant concern, but he should produce for fantasy managers while healthy. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#216
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $5.85 million contract with the Red Sox in January of 2024.
Hopes to return when eligible
OFBoston Red Sox
Concussion
April 18, 2024
O'Neill (concussion) will travel with the Red Sox to Pittsburgh this weekend and hopes to be activated when first eligible Tuesday, Ian Browne of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
O'Neill confirmed that he has a concussion as a result of his collision with Rafael Devers on Monday, but he's feeling better and is aiming for a minimum absence. It's too soon to count on that, of course, given the uncertain nature of concussions. O'Neill is third in baseball with seven home runs this season.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
3
3
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
2
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+13%
OPS vs LHP
2024
 
 
+21%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+16%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+17%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .818 192 30 8 20 7 .247 .375 .443
Since 2022vs Right .721 518 67 22 67 13 .232 .303 .418
2024vs Left 1.045 22 2 1 2 0 .286 .545 .500
2024vs Right 1.263 39 12 6 6 1 .324 .410 .853
2023vs Left .794 79 10 3 5 3 .227 .354 .439
2023vs Right .684 187 17 6 16 2 .233 .294 .390
2022vs Left .788 91 18 4 13 4 .256 .352 .436
2022vs Right .673 292 38 10 45 10 .219 .295 .379
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+4%
OPS on Road
2024
 
 
+52%
OPS on Road
2023
 
 
+16%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+6%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .731 338 42 14 45 8 .228 .322 .408
Since 2022Away .761 372 55 16 42 12 .242 .323 .438
2024Home .925 24 2 2 3 0 .250 .375 .550
2024Away 1.406 37 12 5 5 1 .357 .514 .893
2023Home .768 133 14 6 10 2 .231 .323 .444
2023Away .664 133 13 3 11 3 .231 .301 .364
2022Home .677 181 26 6 32 6 .224 .315 .362
2022Away .720 202 30 8 26 8 .231 .302 .418
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Stat Review
How does Tyler O'Neill compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.85
 
BB Rate
18.0%
 
K Rate
21.3%
 
BABIP
.286
 
ISO
.438
 
AVG
.313
 
OBP
.459
 
SLG
.750
 
OPS
1.209
 
wOBA
.499
 
Exit Velocity
92.7 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
37.1%
 
Barrels/PA
13.1%
 
Expected BA
.297
 
Expected SLG
.699
 
Sprint Speed
 
Ground Ball %
22.9%
 
Line Drive %
17.1%
 
Fly Ball %
60.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Kansas City, Seattle interested
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
December 8, 2023
The Royals and Mariners are among the teams to show interest in O'Neill, Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
ANALYSIS
Kansas City is a bit of a surprise since it is not expected to contend in 2024, but the Royals could certainly use outfield help. Seattle drafted O'Neill back in 2013 and definitely needs to supplement its outfield, as well. O'Neill had a monster 2021 season but has failed to play 100 games in either of the last two campaigns and saw his 2023 season end prematurely due to a foot injury. He is slated for free agency after the 2024 season.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
After parlaying a more aggressive approach the prior year into his best season, O'Neill reverted to exhibiting more selectivity and his production suffered. Maybe it was injury-related as O'Neill dealt with shoulder, hamstring and leg issues over the course of the season. His strikeout rate decreased to a career-low 26.9%, but his average exit velocity dipped 3.2 mph and the ever-important average exit velocity on fly balls fell 4.1 mph. The litany of injuries limited O'Neill to just 96 games, though they didn't inhibit running as O'Neill stole 14 bases, one fewer than 2021 in 42 fewer games. Getting a read on O'Neill is difficult since he's displayed two different skill sets, perhaps due to injuries. As such, O'Neill remains a high-risk, high-reward option, with both health and performance questions. O'Neill's power/speed potential is enticing, but it's dangerous to chase.
In 2020, O'Neill improved selectivity, but he hit the ball with less authority. Last season, he regained some aggressiveness, establishing a new career best with 94th percentile average exit velocity and 93rd percentile hard-hit rate. The improvement began in 2020 when he chased fewer sliders and curves while increasing contact on both. Last season, he kept this, adding a 5-mph jump in average exit velocity on breakers. O'Neill's plate skills are still suspect, but he found a combination allowing him to drive the ball with pitch recognition the key. This bodes well for continued growth as O'Neill's athleticism just needed improved baseball sense. Health is an issue as O'Neill lost time with groin, finger, and back issues, though nothing appears chronic. O'Neill's defense remained a plus. Repeating last season's rate stats will be a challenge, but more playing time should keep counting stats bountiful.
O'Neill is an enigma. Physically, he screams athlete. He has a lot of raw power and speed to spare and looks like he could play slot receiver in the NFL. Those tools have yet to translate into much on the stat sheet as through 450 career PA; he has struck out 34.0% of the time and posted a .229/.291/.422 slash line. On the positive side, both his walk rate and strikeout rate have improved in each of his three seasons at the big-league level, but there is still too much swing-and-miss in his game. In 2020 we saw him rather overmatched at the plate, particularly against the fastball (.155 BA), and breaking balls (.186) continue to be a problem. The Cardinals traded away Tommy Pham and Randy Arozarena in recent seasons to help clear a path for O'Neill, so they hope he continues to improve at the plate to close the gorge between his tools and his production.
O'Neill was slowed by a number of injuries during the 2019 campaign, and as a result, he was limited to 60 major-league contests. During that span, he hit .262 with five home runs and 16 RBI, though he struck out at an alarming rate (35.1 K%) and finished with a 91 wRC+. He also walked in just 6.6% of his plate appearances. Oddly enough, O'Neill showcased more power against right-handed pitching, as all five of his long balls came against right-handers. O'Neill's sample size in the big leagues is still relatively small at this point, but he continues to struggle with plate discipline along with maintaining good health over the course of a major-league season. Taking into consideration the depth that the Cardinals currently have in the outfield, the 24-year-old appears to have his work cut out for him in spring training if he's to make the Opening Day roster.
O'Neill split his time in 2018 between Triple-A Memphis and St. Louis, and certainly flashed his big-league potential with nine home runs in only 142 at-bats while showing off an impressive outfield glove. The 23-year-old has little else to prove after posting a 1.078 OPS at Triple-A, but it remains to be seen if that success will translate to the majors. The big issue is his plate discipline. He posted a 40.1 K% and 4.9 BB% with the Cardinals. It was obviously a small sample size, but his strikeout rate ranked third worst in MLB among hitters with 100-plus PA, behind only Drew Robinson and Brett Phillips. Players like Aaron Judge have famously overcome similarly rough debuts, and O'Neill won't turn 24 until June 22. He will certainly get a chance to showcase himself come spring training, and has as much raw power as anyone on the roster. However, the Cardinals' outfield depth means he may be ticketed for Triple-A again to start the season.
The Cardinals netted O'Neill from Seattle for a soft-tossing southpaw (Marco Gonzales) who brings a 5.47 MLB ERA into his age-26 season. That's a good way of contextualizing how valuable the 22-year-old slugger is. He has posted isolated power figures above .200 at every stop above rookie ball, but his .293 average (.364 BABIP) at Double-A in 2016 now looks like an extreme outlier. The power is very legitimate, but so are his swing and miss issues. He has kept his strikeout rate below 30 percent over the past two seasons, but he is the type of a player who gets to the majors and immediately strikes out roughly 35 percent of the time because there are fewer mistakes to crush and big-league pitchers will exploit the holes in his swing. Throw in the fact that the Cardinals have a heap of young big-league-ready outfielders, and it's hard to see where he fits in. If he appears in line to get regular at-bats, he will be worth rostering in deeper formats, but not before then.
O'Neill does not look the part of a top-50 prospect. He looks like he could be the body-building nephew of Ty Wigginton or Casey McGehee. Right or wrong, scouts factor in physical appearance, which is one reason why it took so long for the 5-foot-11, 210-pound corner outfielder to emerge as someone prospect hounds took seriously. Another factor that limited O'Neill's value heading into 2016 was the amount of swing-and-miss in his game. However, for the first time since he was 18 and playing in the Arizona League, he posted a strikeout rate south of 30 percent (26.1 percent). He also walked at a career-best 10.8 percent clip and sported a 152 wRC+ while playing in the neutral hitting environments of the Southern League, putting to rest any concerns that his 2015 numbers were buoyed by the thin air of the Cal League. The power is plus, the hit tool is average, and the bandwagon is starting to fill up.
After hitting 13 homers in 57 games at Low-A in 2014, O’Neill exploded for 32 big flies in 106 games with High-A Bakersfield last season. There are some flaws in his game -- namely a dubious hit tool, an abundance of swing-and-miss and uncertainty about where he is best suited to play in the field. O’Neill’s 30.5-percent K rate last season was not completely irresponsible given his game power, but if his home run production dips then that K rate would quickly become more unsavory. His .260/.316/.558 slash line can also be downgraded a bit due to the extreme hitting environments of Bakersfield and the California League in general. He stole 16 bases on 21 attempts, but at 5-foot-11, 205, double-digit steals seem unlikely. O’Neill’s overall value will ultimately hinge on his hit tool. If he can hit .240 or .250, then he could be an everyday player in left field or DH.
More Fantasy News
Goes on 7-day IL
OFBoston Red Sox
Concussion
April 18, 2024
Boston placed O'Neill on the 7-day concussion injured list Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Out again Thursday
OFBoston Red Sox
Forehead
April 18, 2024
O'Neill (forehead) remains out of the lineup for Thursday's contest versus the Guardians, Ian Browne of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not expected back Thursday
OFBoston Red Sox
Forehead
April 17, 2024
O'Neill (forehead) is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Guardians and is considered unlikely to be available for Thursday's series finale, Jen McCaffrey of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Clears concussion protocol
OFBoston Red Sox
Head
April 16, 2024
Red Sox manager Alex Cora said O'Neill (head) cleared the concussion protocol and will sit Tuesday and Wednesday against the Guardians before potentially rejoining the lineup in Thursday's series finale, Mac Cerullo of the Boston Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting Tuesday
OFBoston Red Sox
Head
April 16, 2024
O'Neill (head) is out of the lineup for Tuesday's game against the Guardians, Christopher Smith of The Springfield Republican reports.
ANALYSIS
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