Aaron Civale

Aaron Civale

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Cleveland Guardians
2022 Fantasy Outlook
Civale came into 2021 with a lot of hype, but ended it with more questions than answers. The young hurler re-worked his repertoire in the winter with a desire to go with more four-seamers than two-seam fastballs while adding a split-change to give him six pitches by which to attack hitters. Early on, things went well as Civale was 10-2 in his first 15 starts with a 3.32 ERA and 1.06 WHIP while holding opponents to a .226 average. A finger sprain shut him down in mid-June and kept him out until September where he closed the season 2-3 with a 5.74 ERA (6.85 FIP), 1.31 WHIP and .257 opponents' average. The fastball was particularly painful for Civale as the league slugged over .600 off both the two- and four-seam fastballs, and even the splitter had a .484 SLG against, so the transition work is by no means done. His 2022 success hinges upon that transition getting over the speed bumps. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#266
ADP
$Signed a contract with the Indians in June of 2016.
Crushed for six runs
PCleveland Guardians
May 13, 2022
Civale (1-3) yielded six runs on seven hits and two walks over 4.2 innings Friday, striking out five and taking a loss against the Twins.
ANALYSIS
Civale got off to a rough start, allowing a pair of solo home runs to Byron Buxton and Jorge Polanco in the first inning. He managed to keep Minnesota scoreless for the next few innings before he and Bryan Shaw were tagged with eight combined runs in the fifth. Civale has now given up six runs in three of his last four starts, inflating his ERA to 9.84 through 24.2 frames. He's currently lined up face the Tigers at home next week.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
81
Last 10 Games
81
Last 5 Games
82
How many pitches does Aaron Civale generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Aaron Civale generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-24%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-35%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-16%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-28%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .225 461 111 31 95 18 3 16
Since 2020vs Right .295 461 81 24 125 25 4 23
2022vs Left .255 53 17 4 12 4 0 2
2022vs Right .390 68 10 4 23 6 0 4
2021vs Left .215 247 59 15 49 6 1 11
2021vs Right .257 251 40 16 59 12 3 12
2020vs Left .231 161 35 12 34 8 2 3
2020vs Right .319 142 31 4 43 7 1 7
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-20%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-46%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-37%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-41%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 5.42 1.35 99.2 8 8 0 9.0 2.3 2.1
Since 2020Away 4.31 1.18 123.1 9 6 0 6.9 2.2 1.2
2022Home 6.52 1.14 9.2 1 1 0 12.1 0.9 1.9
2022Away 12.00 2.13 15.0 0 2 0 8.4 4.2 2.4
2021Home 4.82 1.27 56.0 5 4 0 7.6 2.4 1.9
2021Away 3.03 1.00 68.1 7 1 0 6.8 2.1 1.4
2020Home 6.09 1.56 34.0 2 3 0 10.6 2.4 2.4
2020Away 3.60 1.13 40.0 2 3 0 6.5 1.6 0.5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Aaron Civale compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.38
 
K/9
9.9
 
BB/9
2.9
 
HR/9
2.2
 
Fastball
90.5 mph
 
ERA
9.85
 
WHIP
1.74
 
BABIP
.405
 
GB/FB
0.58
 
Left On Base
37.6%
 
Exit Velocity
82.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
7.6%
 
Spin Rate
2500 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
26.5%
 
Swinging Strike
10.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Aaron Civale
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Mercury Rising
4 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as warming weather is contributing to more scoring. Sugar Shane McClanahan only has one start, but still tops the AL rankings.
Collette Calls: Still Chasing Wins
5 days ago
Wins have been hard to come by this season. Jason Collette examines early run-support numbers and notes pitchers that have enjoyed good fortune in that regard, and those that have not, like Corbin Burnes.
FanDuel MLB: Friday Targets
5 days ago
Chris Bennett suggests checking out Houston’s Framber Valdez in the series opener with Washington on Friday.
DraftKings MLB: Friday Breakdown
5 days ago
It's Friday the 13th, with 13 games on the slate, including in Texas where Corey Seager will face Red Sox pitcher Nick Pivetta.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Wednesday Picks
7 days ago
Mike Barner sets up Wednesday's Yahoo DFS offering, turning to a Mets bat stack against the Nats.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
A popular sleeper pick heading into 2020, Civale looked early on like he was headed for that breakout, posting a 2.97 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and 32:3 K:BB over his first five starts spanning 34 innings. However, things took a turn for the worse and an eight-run blowup on the second-to-last day of the season capped a disappointing stretch run, bringing Civale's final ERA to 4.74. The estimators are kinder to his performance, putting his deserved ERA closer to 4.00 over his total of 12 starts. Civale does not light up the radar gun and there may not be much room for growth when it comes to strikeouts (22.1 K% last season), but he has a diverse pitch mix -- sinker, cutter, curveball, slider, changeup, four-seamer -- and good command. He pitches in a favorable division and for a team that has had success grooming its young starters. It's not a flashy skill set, but Civale is a nice staff filler with ratio upside.
Injuries to Cleveland's rotation opened the door for Civale to make his major-league debut in 2019 and he enjoyed quite a bit of success. His 92.6 mph sinking fastball doesn't overpower hitters and he does not have a true wipeout pitch, but he can change speed and command his pitches well enough to be effective. Although 2019 provided a limited sample size for the right-hander, he pitched five innings or more in nine of his 10 starts. The 24-year-old's performance will likely afford him an opportunity to compete for a starting role in 2020. Civale impressed in his first glimpse of major-league action and could be a fantasy sleeper in 2020; the low strikeout rate will understandably drive many away, but if you squint you can see a bit of Kyle Hendricks upside here. It helps that he pitches in the weak AL Central and has a top-five defense behind him.
More Fantasy News
Guardians-White Sox postponed
PCleveland Guardians
May 11, 2022
Civale and the Guardians won't face the White Sox on Wednesday after the game was postponed due to COVID-19-related concerns within Cleveland's organization.
ANALYSIS
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Earns first win
PCleveland Guardians
May 5, 2022
Civale (1-2) allowed four earned runs on six hits and no walks while striking out eight across 5.2 innings to earn the win Thursday against the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
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Hit hard again
PCleveland Guardians
April 30, 2022
Civale registered a no-decision during Friday's 9-8 win against Oakland, allowing six runs on seven hits and a walk with three strikeouts in four innings.
ANALYSIS
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Charged with second loss
PCleveland Guardians
April 24, 2022
Civale (0-2) allowed six runs on seven hits and a walk while striking out three in three innings to take the loss against the Yankees on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Handed loss Sunday
PCleveland Guardians
April 17, 2022
Civale (0-1) allowed four runs (three earned) on four hits and a walk over four innings Sunday, striking out five and taking the loss against San Francisco.
ANALYSIS
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