Luis Castillo
Luis Castillo
26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Cincinnati Reds
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Usually it's easy to dismiss first-half/second-half splits, but in the case of Castillo, it's hard to overlook his superb second half, especially when there's an easy explanation for his improvement. Before the All-Star break, Castillo had a 5.49 ERA, 1.65 HR/9, 21.5 K% and 7.9 BB% over 103.1 innings. In 66.1 innings after the break, Castillo turned in a 2.44 ERA, 1.22 HR/9, 26.3 K% and 5.3 BB%. The difference? Every one of Castillo's pitches recovered most of the velocity that he had in 2017 but had lost during the first half of 2018. Take his four-seamer as an example -- in September 2017 it clocked in at 97.3 mph, but in April it was down to 95.4 mph, and stayed down at that level until late July/early August, when it got back up to 96.6 mph (velocity readings courtesy of Baseball Savant). Even with the strong second half, Castillo didn't earn his NFBC ADP of 103.3, but he might exceed that in 2019 if he maintains his second-half velocity. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $555,000 contract with the Reds in March of 2018.
Tabbed for Opening Day
PCincinnati Reds
March 19, 2019
Manager David Bell announced Tuesday that Castillo will start Opening Day against the Pirates, Bobby Nightengale of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
Castillo has produced subpar results in spring training with a 12.46 ERA and 1.29 WHIP over four appearances, but he still receives the Opening Day nod over veterans Sonny Gray and Tanner Roark. The 26-year-old made 31 starts for the Reds in 2018, compiling a 4.30 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 165:49 K:BB across 169.2 innings.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-19%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-30%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-14%
BAA vs LHP
2016
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .256 516 116 43 118 30 2 23
Since 2016vs Right .208 551 147 38 104 19 0 16
2018vs Left .289 351 76 29 91 22 0 18
2018vs Right .203 357 89 20 67 14 0 10
2017vs Left .185 165 40 14 27 8 2 5
2017vs Right .216 194 58 18 37 5 0 6
2016vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-19%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-30%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-16%
ERA on Road
2016
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 3.47 1.05 127.0 7 9 0 10.3 2.5 1.5
Since 2016Away 4.30 1.29 131.0 6 10 0 8.0 3.1 1.2
2018Home 3.51 1.07 82.0 6 5 0 10.5 2.0 1.5
2018Away 5.03 1.36 87.2 4 7 0 7.1 3.2 1.4
2017Home 3.40 1.00 45.0 1 4 0 9.8 3.4 1.4
2017Away 2.84 1.15 44.1 2 3 0 9.9 3.0 0.8
2016Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Luis Castillo compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
3.37
 
K/9
8.8
 
BB/9
2.6
 
HR/9
1.5
 
Fastball
95.8 mph
 
ERA
4.30
 
WHIP
1.22
 
BABIP
.293
 
GB/FB
1.60
 
Strand %
70.4%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
The Reds had been trying to develop a frontline starter to fill Johnny Cueto's shoes for a couple years, but it came to them in the unlikely form of Castillo, who was involved two trades and one rescinded trade before reaching the majors. He debuted after just 94.1 innings at Double-A and zero experience at Triple-A. Teams didn't figure him out as the year went on -- his ERA actually improved each month from July to September. Castillo was particularly dominant away from Great American Ball Park (2.84 ERA in 44.1 innings). His .247 BABIP, which would have been fifth lowest among qualified starters, will clearly regress. While we can't bank on a repeat of his rookie ratios, he should still be very effective in year two. He throws three pitches -- a fastball that averages 97.5 mph and tops out around 99-100 mph, an out-of-this world changeup and a rapidly improving slider. He has the stuff, command and size (6-foot-2, 190 pounds) to pitch atop a rotation.
Best known for being traded to San Diego and then sheepishly traded back to Miami when Colin Rea's elbow gave out after the trade, Castillo has emerged as one of the best prospects in a desolate Marlins system. He sports an 80-grade fastball with an above-average changeup and two breaking balls that are works in progress, but there is still plenty of time for refinement in the upper levels of the minors. That incomplete repertoire was still more than enough to dominate Florida State League hitters. The lack of strikeouts despite cheddar that touches triple digits illustrates his lack of a consistent out pitch, so he will need to continue to improve those offerings if he hopes to have success as a starter at Double-A and Triple-A. He is relatively new to starting, having worked exclusively as a reliever from 2012 to 2014, so becoming more adept at sequencing will also help him miss more bats. This is an arm that could take a big jump up prospect lists this year, especially now that he's in a Reds' system in the middle of a complete rebuild.
More Fantasy News
Another poor outing
PCincinnati Reds
March 7, 2019
Castillo gave up three runs over two innings against the Mariners on Thursday, allowing three hits (including a homer) and two walks, striking out four.
ANALYSIS
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Working on improving third pitch
PCincinnati Reds
February 27, 2019
Castillo, who allowed two hits and a run in his spring training debut Wednesday, spent the offseason working on improving his slider, Bobby Nightengale of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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Shut down for rest of season
PCincinnati Reds
Coach's Decision
September 26, 2018
Castillo will be shut down for the rest of the 2018 season due to an innings restriction, Bobby Nightengale of the Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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Throws 8.1 scoreless innings
PCincinnati Reds
September 21, 2018
Castillo struck out five in 8.1 scoreless innings Friday against the Marlins, allowing five hits and one walk in a no-decision.
ANALYSIS
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Bags 10th win
PCincinnati Reds
September 16, 2018
Castillo (10-12) picked up the win against the Cubs on Sunday, giving up one earned run on four hits over 6.2 innings, striking out two and walking four in the Reds' 2-1 victory.
ANALYSIS
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