Luis Castillo

Luis Castillo

29-Year-Old PitcherSP
Cincinnati Reds
2022 Fantasy Outlook
Castillo was the worst starting pitcher in the majors through May, posting a 7.22 ERA and 1.78 WHIP over 52 innings. Over the final four months, he was a near ace, posting a 2.73 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 144 strikeouts in 135.1 innings. Unfortunately, those first two months counted and wreaked havoc, and it's not the first time he has gotten off to a horrific start. It's been suggested by Castillo's agent and others that he's a warm-weather pitcher, and there might be something to that - his velocity was much lower in April and May, especially his peak velocity. There's another big warning sign for Castillo - the diminished effectiveness of his best pitch, his changeup. His K% on that pitch has dropped from 47% in 2019, to 40% in 2020, and all the way down to 28.2% in 2021. When Castillo's draft cost rises in March along with other purported aces, be sure not to get caught up in that inflation. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#117
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $7.35 million contract with the Reds in March of 2022, avoiding arbitration.
Pitches into fifth in season debut
PCincinnati Reds
May 9, 2022
Castillo tossed 4.2 innings, surrendering three runs on three hits and three walks while striking out five in Monday's win over the Brewers. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
Making his season debut, Castillo held the Brewers off the scoreboard for the first three innings Monday. He walked two batters to open the fourth frame before Rowdy Tellez roped a two-run double. The final run on his line came on a leadoff homer by Omar Narvaez the following inning. Castillo threw 87 pitches in the outing, making it likely that he will be able to toss a full workload in his next outing. After posting a 3.98 ERA with a 9.2 K/9 in 2021, his worst outputs since 2018, the 29-year-old will look to return to form this season.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
89
Last 10 Games
89
Last 5 Games
89
How many pitches does Luis Castillo generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Luis Castillo generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-72%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-4%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .243 573 137 75 119 26 5 13
Since 2020vs Right .248 547 147 28 126 22 3 13
2022vs Left .273 26 4 4 6 1 0 2
2022vs Right .077 13 3 0 1 0 0 0
2021vs Left .245 408 96 54 85 18 4 7
2021vs Right .264 395 96 21 96 16 3 12
2020vs Left .231 139 37 17 28 7 1 4
2020vs Right .221 139 48 7 29 6 0 1
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-36%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-7%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-35%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-50%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 3.01 1.28 134.1 8 9 0 10.6 3.3 0.7
Since 2020Away 4.67 1.36 133.0 4 14 0 8.8 3.6 1.0
2022Home 5.79 1.29 4.2 0 0 0 9.6 5.8 1.9
2022Away 5.40 1.00 5.0 0 1 0 3.6 1.8 1.8
2021Home 3.18 1.34 99.0 6 8 0 10.1 3.5 0.5
2021Away 4.87 1.39 88.2 2 8 0 8.2 3.7 1.3
2020Home 2.05 1.08 30.2 2 1 0 12.3 2.3 1.2
2020Away 4.12 1.35 39.1 2 5 0 10.8 3.7 0.2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Luis Castillo compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.75
 
K/9
6.5
 
BB/9
3.7
 
HR/9
1.9
 
Fastball
95.2 mph
 
ERA
5.59
 
WHIP
1.14
 
BABIP
.198
 
GB/FB
1.33
 
Left On Base
61.0%
 
Exit Velocity
82.7 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
7.3%
 
Spin Rate
2114 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
21.8%
 
Swinging Strike
7.9%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Luis Castillo
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Mercury Rising
3 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as warming weather is contributing to more scoring. Sugar Shane McClanahan only has one start, but still tops the AL rankings.
Mound Musings: Life, the Universe and Everything
5 days ago
Brad Johnson discusses why he hates the sinker, and in Rotation Ramblings he writes about how Nestor Cortes took a no-hitter, with 11 strikeouts, into the eighth inning of his last start against Texas.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Monday Picks
8 days ago
Mike Barner suggests checking out an Angels back stack in the series-opener with visiting Tampa Bay.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Knock on Woodruff
10 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as two-start Brandon Woodruff is looking good after a rough opener.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
30 days ago
Dan Marcus urges you to check and see if Odubel Herrera is still available in your leagues.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
By FIP, Castillo had a better season than former teammate and NL Cy Young winner Trevor Bauer. The surface numbers lagged way behind his indicators early on, and while they caught up to an extent, Castillo still finished well below where the underlying numbers say he deserved to be. Castillo's changeup is one of the most dominant pitches in baseball, and it plays off a heater that sits 97 mph. His slider has developed into a strong offering, making Castillo something close to a nightmare for right-handed hitters. Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati has not been a problem for Castillo, historically, as he has an ERA nearly a run better at home (3.18) than on the road (4.15 ) in his career. The Reds do not project to be any better with the team cutting costs this offseason, but Castillo is still only 28 years old and this is unquestionably an ace profile on its own merit.
Spring training can be helpful in evaluating a pitcher, but it does come with some risks. Castillo sported a 12.46 ERA over four Cactus League appearances amid reports that his velocity was down. It turned out that Castillo was working on improving his slider, rather than relying more on his two best pitches, his changeup and four-seamer. Given the disparity between Castllo's first half of 2018 when his velocity was down to his second-half when the velocity was up, it was natural to be concerned. That concern cost you a breakout if you downgraded him accordingly. Castillo's fastball velocity (96.5 mph) actually improved, allowing him to post video-game quality results with his changeup (48% whiff rate, .193 WOBA against). If you want to look for a concern, Castillo's August and September were shaky, and he was limited to five starts in September.
Usually it's easy to dismiss first-half/second-half splits, but in the case of Castillo, it's hard to overlook his superb second half, especially when there's an easy explanation for his improvement. Before the All-Star break, Castillo had a 5.49 ERA, 1.65 HR/9, 21.5 K% and 7.9 BB% over 103.1 innings. In 66.1 innings after the break, Castillo turned in a 2.44 ERA, 1.22 HR/9, 26.3 K% and 5.3 BB%. The difference? Every one of Castillo's pitches recovered most of the velocity that he had in 2017 but had lost during the first half of 2018. Take his four-seamer as an example -- in September 2017 it clocked in at 97.3 mph, but in April it was down to 95.4 mph, and stayed down at that level until late July/early August, when it got back up to 96.6 mph (velocity readings courtesy of Baseball Savant). Even with the strong second half, Castillo didn't earn his NFBC ADP of 103.3, but he might exceed that in 2019 if he maintains his second-half velocity.
The Reds had been trying to develop a frontline starter to fill Johnny Cueto's shoes for a couple years, but it came to them in the unlikely form of Castillo, who was involved two trades and one rescinded trade before reaching the majors. He debuted after just 94.1 innings at Double-A and zero experience at Triple-A. Teams didn't figure him out as the year went on -- his ERA actually improved each month from July to September. Castillo was particularly dominant away from Great American Ball Park (2.84 ERA in 44.1 innings). His .247 BABIP, which would have been fifth lowest among qualified starters, will clearly regress. While we can't bank on a repeat of his rookie ratios, he should still be very effective in year two. He throws three pitches -- a fastball that averages 97.5 mph and tops out around 99-100 mph, an out-of-this world changeup and a rapidly improving slider. He has the stuff, command and size (6-foot-2, 190 pounds) to pitch atop a rotation.
Best known for being traded to San Diego and then sheepishly traded back to Miami when Colin Rea's elbow gave out after the trade, Castillo has emerged as one of the best prospects in a desolate Marlins system. He sports an 80-grade fastball with an above-average changeup and two breaking balls that are works in progress, but there is still plenty of time for refinement in the upper levels of the minors. That incomplete repertoire was still more than enough to dominate Florida State League hitters. The lack of strikeouts despite cheddar that touches triple digits illustrates his lack of a consistent out pitch, so he will need to continue to improve those offerings if he hopes to have success as a starter at Double-A and Triple-A. He is relatively new to starting, having worked exclusively as a reliever from 2012 to 2014, so becoming more adept at sequencing will also help him miss more bats. This is an arm that could take a big jump up prospect lists this year, especially now that he's in a Reds' system in the middle of a complete rebuild.
More Fantasy News
Activated for season debut
PCincinnati Reds
May 9, 2022
Castillo (shoulder) was activated from the injured list as expected Monday ahead of his season debut against the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Season debut coming Monday
PCincinnati Reds
Shoulder
May 8, 2022
Castillo (shoulder) will be activated from the 10-day injured list to start Monday against the Brewers, Mark Sheldon of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Looks set for season debut Monday
PCincinnati Reds
Shoulder
May 4, 2022
Manager David Bell said Castillo (shoulder) is "penciled in" to return from the 10-day injured list to start in the Reds' series opener Monday against the Brewers in Cincinnati, C. Trent Rosecrans of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Excels in third rehab start
PCincinnati Reds
Shoulder
May 4, 2022
Castillo (shoulder) made his third rehab start Wednesday with Triple-A Louisville, striking out seven over 4.1 scoreless innings while allowing three hits and two walks.
ANALYSIS
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Needs two more rehab starts
PCincinnati Reds
Shoulder
April 27, 2022
Reds manager David Bell said Tuesday that Castillo (shoulder) will require two more rehab starts in the minors before returning from the 10-day injured list, Bobby Nightengale of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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