Brendan McKay
Brendan McKay
23-Year-Old PitcherSP
Tampa Bay Rays
2019 Fantasy Outlook
The bulk of the MLB value McKay will provide will come as a starting pitcher, but he will continue to be developed as a two-way player, for now. The 6-foot-2 southpaw dominated across 78.1 innings, primarily at Low-A and High-A. McKay works with a plus fastball (92-94 mph) and plus cutter, mixing in a curveball and changeup that are solid third and fourth pitches. His advanced strike-throwing ability allows his arsenal to play up. He missed a month in the middle of the season with a strained oblique and his GB% plummeted from an elite 61.0% in the Midwest League to a below-average 37.7% in the Florida State League. Already 23 years old, McKay seems destined to be a No. 3 starter, as early as 2020. At the plate, he walks almost as much as he strikes out, but that passivity prohibits him from regularly getting to his plus power. He is no Shohei Ohtani, but could get some starts at first base or DH against righties when he is not pitching. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a contract with the Rays in June of 2017 that includes a $7 million signing bonus.
Bound for minors after rough start
PTampa Bay Rays  AAA
August 19, 2019
McKay was optioned to Triple-A Durham following Monday's start against the Mariners, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
McKay struggled in Monday's outing, surrendering seven runs (three earned) on three hits and three walks over two frames, and as a result, he's been demoted to Durham. Hoby Milner was recalled from Triple-A in a corresponding move.
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Pitching Stats
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-100%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
-100%
OPS vs LHP
2018
No Stats
2017
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .500 2 0 0 0 0 .000 .500 .000
Since 2017vs Right .000 4 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000
2019vs Left .500 2 0 0 0 0 .000 .500 .000
2019vs Right .000 4 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-100%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
-100%
OPS on Road
2018
No Stats
2017
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .000 4 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000
Since 2017Away .500 2 0 0 0 0 .000 .500 .000
2019Home .000 4 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000
2019Away .500 2 0 0 0 0 .000 .500 .000
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-20%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-20%
BAA vs LHP
2018
No Stats
2017
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .235 36 7 2 8 3 0 0
Since 2017vs Right .295 123 34 10 33 8 0 8
2019vs Left .235 36 7 2 8 3 0 0
2019vs Right .295 123 34 10 33 8 0 8
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-30%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-30%
ERA on Road
2018
No Stats
2017
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 6.33 1.45 21.1 1 3 0 8.4 2.1 2.5
Since 2017Away 4.40 1.53 14.1 1 0 0 13.2 4.4 1.3
2019Home 6.33 1.45 21.1 1 3 0 8.4 2.1 2.5
2019Away 4.40 1.53 14.1 1 0 0 13.2 4.4 1.3
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Brendan McKay compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 70 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.42
 
K/9
10.3
 
BB/9
3.0
 
HR/9
2.0
 
Fastball
93.6 mph
 
ERA
5.55
 
WHIP
1.49
 
BABIP
.356
 
GB/FB
0.84
 
Left On Base
64.6%
 
Exit Velocity
89.9 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
10.5%
 
Spin Rate
2092 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
41.9%
 
Swinging Strike
11.4%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Brendan McKay
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14 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as the Rangers' Lance Lynn is pitching as well as he has all season.
2018 Fantasy Outlook
The dream of a true two-way player is alive with McKay, who received the second highest bonus in the 2017 draft. He was Hudson Valley's starting pitcher every Sunday, got Wednesday's off for his side session, and saw time at first base and DH in between. On the mound, the 6-foot-2 lefty has a quality four-pitch mix, led by his 93-94 mph fastball. He notched a 21:5 K:BB in 20 innings while holding hitters to a .147 average, looking the part of a future mid-rotation starter. As a hitter, he slashed .268/.374/.454 with four home runs in 97 at-bats against righties, but was completely overmatched in a small sample against lefties. The Rays have said they envisioned him as a hitter when they drafted him, so he may still end up as a full-time first baseman. He worked strictly as a hitter in fall instructs after reaching his innings limit on the mound, but given his relative success in both roles, he will probably go back out as a two-way player again this season.
More Fantasy News
Hit hard in loss
PTampa Bay Rays  AAA
August 19, 2019
McKay (2-3) gave up seven runs (three earned) on three hits and three walks while striking out one through two innings to take the loss against the Mariners on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Whiffs seven in no-decision
PTampa Bay Rays  AAA
August 14, 2019
McKay did not factor into the decision against San Diego on Tuesday, hurling four innings and giving up four runs on five hits and six walks while striking out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out eight in loss
PTampa Bay Rays  AAA
August 7, 2019
McKay (2-2) allowed three earned runs on six hits and a walk while striking out eight across five innings to take the loss Wednesday against the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
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Booked for another start
PTampa Bay Rays  AAA
August 4, 2019
McKay is slated to start Wednesday's game against the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
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Fans seven in win over Boston
PTampa Bay Rays  AAA
August 2, 2019
McKay (2-1) allowed three runs on seven hits and one walk across 5.1 innings Thursday to earn the win over the Red Sox. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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