Nate Lowe News

Nate Lowe

25-Year-Old First Baseman1B

Texas Rangers

2020 Stats

AVG

.224

RBI

2021 Projections

AVG

RBI

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2021 Fantasy Outlook

Lowe opened the year at the Rays' alternate training site despite having demonstrated he can handle major-league pitching by posting a .779 OPS in 50 games the season prior. Injuries created a need for a corner bat, and Lowe was promoted Aug. 2. He started slow, slashing .071/.235/.143 over his first six games before closing on fire with a .409/.500/.864 line, though Lowe fanned at a 42% clip over those final seven games. Tampa Bay traded Lowe to Texas in December and he's slated to be the Rangers' regular first baseman. Lowe has proven all he can at the Triple-A level, but he's been unable to carry the contact shown in the minors to the major-league level. When he hits the ball, Lowe has made a lot of hard contact with a good mix of flyballs and groundballs to aid both average and power. It's speculative, but there are ample positive signs to take a late flier on Lowe at corner or utility. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

#343

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats L

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'4"

Weight 220

DOB 7/7/1995

Born Norfolk, VA

College Mississippi State

Drafted 13th Rd 2016 TB

Could play third base

1BTexas Rangers

February 23, 2021

Texas manager Chris Woodward said it's possible that both Lowe and Ronald Guzman make the Opening Day roster, Evan Grant of the Dallas Morning News reports.

ANALYSIS
When the Rangers acquired Lowe, it was presumed the organization was moving on from Guzman. However, that was before Guzman earned MVP honors in the Dominican Winter League. Woodward said there's a world where both first basemen can break camp with the Rangers, but that would mean both have a strong spring training. In that event, the Rangers could use Lowe at third base, where he's appeared six times for Tampa Bay and another five times while in the minors.

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Batting Stats

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2020

2019

2020 MLB Game Log

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Scoring

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2019 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2018

+6%

OPS vs RHP

2020

+194%

OPS vs RHP

2019

+39%

OPS vs LHP

2018

No Stats

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2018vs Left	.769	45	6	2	6	0	.231	.333	.436
Since 2018vs Right	.814	185	27	9	24	1	.267	.335	.479
2020vs Left	.369	17	1	0	1	0	.133	.235	.133
2020vs Right	1.085	44	8	4	10	1	.297	.409	.676
2019vs Left	1.018	28	5	2	5	0	.292	.393	.625
2019vs Right	.734	141	19	5	14	0	.258	.312	.422
2018vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2018vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2018

Even Split

2020

+70%

OPS at Home

2019

+26%

OPS on Road

2018

No Stats

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2018Home	.771	107	17	7	17	1	.215	.308	.462
Since 2018Away	.770	138	17	4	13	0	.278	.333	.437
2020Home	.955	36	6	3	8	1	.281	.361	.594
2020Away	.561	40	4	1	3	0	.171	.275	.286
2019Home	.675	71	11	4	9	0	.180	.282	.393
2019Away	.852	98	13	3	10	0	.319	.357	.495
2018Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2018Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
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Stat Review

How does Nate Lowe compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.

BB/K

0.32

BB Rate

11.8%

K Rate

36.8%

BABIP

.314

ISO

.209

AVG

.224

OBP

.316

SLG

.433

OPS

.749

wOBA

.386

Exit Velocity

83.1 mph

Hard Hit Rate

25.6%

Barrels/PA

7.9%

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

Games By Position

Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Nate Lowe

Collette Calls: 2021 AL West Bold Predictions

43 days ago

Jason Collette kicks off his annual Bold Predictions series with a pair of predictions for each of the five teams in the American League West. Is he in or out on Yuli Gurriel?

Bernie on the Scene: Analyzing AL Offseason Moves

44 days ago

Bernie Pleskoff analyzes some key offseason moves in the American League, including the Rangers trading Lance Lynn.

Fantasy Baseball Podcast: Magazine Mock Draft Discussion

58 days ago

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The Z Files: Who's on First?

76 days ago

Todd Zola offers up his first base tiers, where Freddie Freeman finally seems to be getting his due.

Super Early Top 400 for 2021

134 days ago

James Anderson releases his super early top 400 redraft rankings, which features a trio of Atlanta hitters in the top 20.

Past Fantasy Outlooks

2020

2019

Lowe appeared in his first 50 MLB games in 2019, holding his own with a .263/.325/.454 slash line (good for a 107 wRC+) and seven homers. On most teams that would be enough for him to at least start on the strong side of a platoon, but with Ji-Man Choi and Yoshitomo Tsutsugo already in the fold as left-handed hitters at the bottom of the defensive spectrum, Lowe could be ticketed for Triple-A. Scouts like both his power and contact, and he managed a strong .289/.421/.508 line in 93 games for Triple-A Durham. His plate discipline was particularly noteworthy over that stretch, as he posted a 17.7 BB% and a 20.2 K%, far better than his 7.7 BB% and 29.6 K% in the majors. He had an .888 OPS in 178 PA against same-handed pitching at Triple-A, so a move to a less platoon-happy organization would be a boon for his fantasy value. If the Rays stand pat, it could mean another year of inconsistent playing time.

Prior to 2018, Lowe’s claim to fame was being the older brother of Josh Lowe, the Rays’ selection with the No. 13 overall pick in 2016. Nathaniel was less heralded, transferring from Mercer to St. Johns River State College to Mississippi State before Tampa selected him in the 13th round in 2016. As an older first baseman with minimal pedigree, he wasn’t considered much of a prospect until he exploded in his third pro season. Lowe was the best hitter in the Florida State League (191 wRC+), got promoted to Double-A, was the best hitter in the Southern League (193 wRC+), and finally got challenged after a promotion to Triple-A. His walk rate dipped (15.6% to 7.3%), his strikeout rate spiked (13.3% to 24.5%) and his pull rate jumped by 11%. If he can recapture the patient, all-fields, flyball-oriented approach he showed at Double-A, Lowe will look the part of a big-league cleanup hitter. If not, there is some Quadruple-A hitter risk.

More Fantasy News

Traded to Rangers

1BTexas Rangers

December 10, 2020

Lowe was traded from the Rays to the Rangers on Thursday in exchange for outfielder Heriberto Hernandez and other prospects, Mark Feinsand of MLB.com reports.