Nate Lowe
Nate Lowe
25-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Texas Rangers
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Lowe opened the year at the Rays' alternate training site despite having demonstrated he can handle major-league pitching by posting a .779 OPS in 50 games the season prior. Injuries created a need for a corner bat, and Lowe was promoted Aug. 2. He started slow, slashing .071/.235/.143 over his first six games before closing on fire with a .409/.500/.864 line, though Lowe fanned at a 42% clip over those final seven games. Tampa Bay traded Lowe to Texas in December and he's slated to be the Rangers' regular first baseman. Lowe has proven all he can at the Triple-A level, but he's been unable to carry the contact shown in the minors to the major-league level. When he hits the ball, Lowe has made a lot of hard contact with a good mix of flyballs and groundballs to aid both average and power. It's speculative, but there are ample positive signs to take a late flier on Lowe at corner or utility. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#414
ADP
$Signed a $100,000 contract with the Rays in June of 2016. Traded to the Rangers in December of 2020.
Takes seat Wednesday
1BTexas Rangers
June 9, 2021
Lowe isn't starting Wednesday against the Giants.
ANALYSIS
Lowe will get a breather after he went 3-for-15 with a run, an RBI and four strikeouts across the last four games. Charlie Culberson will start at first base and bat seventh.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
23
12
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
7
12
5
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+13%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+13%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+194%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+39%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .694 152 14 3 15 1 .246 .336 .358
Since 2019vs Right .784 344 47 16 47 4 .248 .337 .446
2021vs Left .663 107 8 1 9 1 .253 .336 .326
2021vs Right .746 159 20 7 23 3 .226 .340 .406
2020vs Left .369 17 1 0 1 0 .133 .235 .133
2020vs Right 1.085 44 8 4 10 1 .297 .409 .676
2019vs Left 1.018 28 5 2 5 0 .292 .393 .625
2019vs Right .734 141 19 5 14 0 .258 .312 .422
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+9%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+19%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+70%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+26%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .704 232 31 11 34 3 .222 .310 .394
Since 2019Away .770 279 31 8 28 2 .262 .348 .422
2021Home .648 125 14 4 17 2 .227 .312 .336
2021Away .768 141 14 4 15 2 .246 .362 .407
2020Home .955 36 6 3 8 1 .281 .361 .594
2020Away .561 40 4 1 3 0 .171 .275 .286
2019Home .675 71 11 4 9 0 .180 .282 .393
2019Away .852 98 13 3 10 0 .319 .357 .495
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Stat Review
How does Nate Lowe compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.47
 
BB Rate
13.2%
 
K Rate
27.8%
 
BABIP
.311
 
ISO
.136
 
AVG
.237
 
OBP
.338
 
SLG
.373
 
OPS
.711
 
wOBA
.321
 
Exit Velocity
83.7 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
37.8%
 
Barrels/PA
7.6%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Nate Lowe
MLB Barometer: Second Chance Leagues Risers and Fallers
5 days ago
Erik Halterman takes a look at the players at each position who rose and fell the most from their preseason ADP, starting with Marlins pitcher Trevor Rogers.
Collette Calls: The Other Third
8 days ago
With a third of the season in the books, Jason Collette checks in on his preseason predictions to see how he's doing. So far, so good for Yuli Gurriel.
DraftKings MLB: Wednesday Breakdown
10 days ago
Mike Barner is rolling with a double-stack of both the Rangers and Rockies on Wednesday at Coors Field.
FanDuel MLB: Wednesday's Targets
10 days ago
Kevin Payne looks over Wednesday's slate and suggests a Twins stack, including rookie Alex Kirilloff, as a pivot from expensive Coors Field bats.
DraftKings MLB: Saturday Breakdown
14 days ago
Christopher Olson provides his picks for the evening slate, including a St. Louis stack in Arizona.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
Lowe appeared in his first 50 MLB games in 2019, holding his own with a .263/.325/.454 slash line (good for a 107 wRC+) and seven homers. On most teams that would be enough for him to at least start on the strong side of a platoon, but with Ji-Man Choi and Yoshitomo Tsutsugo already in the fold as left-handed hitters at the bottom of the defensive spectrum, Lowe could be ticketed for Triple-A. Scouts like both his power and contact, and he managed a strong .289/.421/.508 line in 93 games for Triple-A Durham. His plate discipline was particularly noteworthy over that stretch, as he posted a 17.7 BB% and a 20.2 K%, far better than his 7.7 BB% and 29.6 K% in the majors. He had an .888 OPS in 178 PA against same-handed pitching at Triple-A, so a move to a less platoon-happy organization would be a boon for his fantasy value. If the Rays stand pat, it could mean another year of inconsistent playing time.
Prior to 2018, Lowe’s claim to fame was being the older brother of Josh Lowe, the Rays’ selection with the No. 13 overall pick in 2016. Nathaniel was less heralded, transferring from Mercer to St. Johns River State College to Mississippi State before Tampa selected him in the 13th round in 2016. As an older first baseman with minimal pedigree, he wasn’t considered much of a prospect until he exploded in his third pro season. Lowe was the best hitter in the Florida State League (191 wRC+), got promoted to Double-A, was the best hitter in the Southern League (193 wRC+), and finally got challenged after a promotion to Triple-A. His walk rate dipped (15.6% to 7.3%), his strikeout rate spiked (13.3% to 24.5%) and his pull rate jumped by 11%. If he can recapture the patient, all-fields, flyball-oriented approach he showed at Double-A, Lowe will look the part of a big-league cleanup hitter. If not, there is some Quadruple-A hitter risk.
More Fantasy News
Sits for first time
1BTexas Rangers
June 3, 2021
Lowe is not in the lineup for Thursday's game against the Rockies.
ANALYSIS
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Homers, extends hit streak
1BTexas Rangers
May 27, 2021
Lowe went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run and a second run scored in Wednesday's 9-8 loss to the Angels.
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Goes deep in loss
1BTexas Rangers
May 8, 2021
Lowe went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Friday's 5-4 loss to the Mariners.
ANALYSIS
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Shows off wheels
1BTexas Rangers
May 4, 2021
Lowe went 2-for-5 with a double, a stolen base and a run scored in Monday's 6-5 loss to the Twins.
ANALYSIS
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Hits with RISP
1BTexas Rangers
May 2, 2021
Lowe went 1-for-4 with two RBI in Saturday's 8-6 win over Boston.
ANALYSIS
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