Nate Lowe
Nate Lowe
25-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Texas Rangers
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Lowe opened the year at the Rays' alternate training site despite having demonstrated he can handle major-league pitching by posting a .779 OPS in 50 games the season prior. Injuries created a need for a corner bat, and Lowe was promoted Aug. 2. He started slow, slashing .071/.235/.143 over his first six games before closing on fire with a .409/.500/.864 line, though Lowe fanned at a 42% clip over those final seven games. Tampa Bay traded Lowe to Texas in December and he's slated to be the Rangers' regular first baseman. Lowe has proven all he can at the Triple-A level, but he's been unable to carry the contact shown in the minors to the major-league level. When he hits the ball, Lowe has made a lot of hard contact with a good mix of flyballs and groundballs to aid both average and power. It's speculative, but there are ample positive signs to take a late flier on Lowe at corner or utility. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#343
ADP
$Signed a $100,000 contract with the Rays in June of 2016. Traded to the Rangers in December of 2020.
Could play third base
1BTexas Rangers
February 23, 2021
Texas manager Chris Woodward said it's possible that both Lowe and Ronald Guzman make the Opening Day roster, Evan Grant of the Dallas Morning News reports.
ANALYSIS
When the Rangers acquired Lowe, it was presumed the organization was moving on from Guzman. However, that was before Guzman earned MVP honors in the Dominican Winter League. Woodward said there's a world where both first basemen can break camp with the Rangers, but that would mean both have a strong spring training. In that event, the Rangers could use Lowe at third base, where he's appeared six times for Tampa Bay and another five times while in the minors.
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Batting Stats
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2020
2019
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
7
2
1
2
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+6%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+194%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+39%
OPS vs LHP
2018
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .769 45 6 2 6 0 .231 .333 .436
Since 2018vs Right .814 185 27 9 24 1 .267 .335 .479
2020vs Left .369 17 1 0 1 0 .133 .235 .133
2020vs Right 1.085 44 8 4 10 1 .297 .409 .676
2019vs Left 1.018 28 5 2 5 0 .292 .393 .625
2019vs Right .734 141 19 5 14 0 .258 .312 .422
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
Even Split
2020
 
 
+70%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+26%
OPS on Road
2018
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .771 107 17 7 17 1 .215 .308 .462
Since 2018Away .770 138 17 4 13 0 .278 .333 .437
2020Home .955 36 6 3 8 1 .281 .361 .594
2020Away .561 40 4 1 3 0 .171 .275 .286
2019Home .675 71 11 4 9 0 .180 .282 .393
2019Away .852 98 13 3 10 0 .319 .357 .495
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Nate Lowe compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.32
 
BB Rate
11.8%
 
K Rate
36.8%
 
BABIP
.314
 
ISO
.209
 
AVG
.224
 
OBP
.316
 
SLG
.433
 
OPS
.749
 
wOBA
.386
 
Exit Velocity
83.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
25.6%
 
Barrels/PA
7.9%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Nate Lowe
Collette Calls: 2021 AL West Bold Predictions
43 days ago
Jason Collette kicks off his annual Bold Predictions series with a pair of predictions for each of the five teams in the American League West. Is he in or out on Yuli Gurriel?
Bernie on the Scene: Analyzing AL Offseason Moves
44 days ago
Bernie Pleskoff analyzes some key offseason moves in the American League, including the Rangers trading Lance Lynn.
Fantasy Baseball Podcast: Magazine Mock Draft Discussion
58 days ago
Clay and James discuss their picks from their mock drafts. Middle infielders and power outfielders will go early on. Quality starting pitchers are rare this year. Who will you draft in your first few rounds?
The Z Files: Who's on First?
76 days ago
Todd Zola offers up his first base tiers, where Freddie Freeman finally seems to be getting his due.
Super Early Top 400 for 2021
134 days ago
James Anderson releases his super early top 400 redraft rankings, which features a trio of Atlanta hitters in the top 20.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
Lowe appeared in his first 50 MLB games in 2019, holding his own with a .263/.325/.454 slash line (good for a 107 wRC+) and seven homers. On most teams that would be enough for him to at least start on the strong side of a platoon, but with Ji-Man Choi and Yoshitomo Tsutsugo already in the fold as left-handed hitters at the bottom of the defensive spectrum, Lowe could be ticketed for Triple-A. Scouts like both his power and contact, and he managed a strong .289/.421/.508 line in 93 games for Triple-A Durham. His plate discipline was particularly noteworthy over that stretch, as he posted a 17.7 BB% and a 20.2 K%, far better than his 7.7 BB% and 29.6 K% in the majors. He had an .888 OPS in 178 PA against same-handed pitching at Triple-A, so a move to a less platoon-happy organization would be a boon for his fantasy value. If the Rays stand pat, it could mean another year of inconsistent playing time.
Prior to 2018, Lowe’s claim to fame was being the older brother of Josh Lowe, the Rays’ selection with the No. 13 overall pick in 2016. Nathaniel was less heralded, transferring from Mercer to St. Johns River State College to Mississippi State before Tampa selected him in the 13th round in 2016. As an older first baseman with minimal pedigree, he wasn’t considered much of a prospect until he exploded in his third pro season. Lowe was the best hitter in the Florida State League (191 wRC+), got promoted to Double-A, was the best hitter in the Southern League (193 wRC+), and finally got challenged after a promotion to Triple-A. His walk rate dipped (15.6% to 7.3%), his strikeout rate spiked (13.3% to 24.5%) and his pull rate jumped by 11%. If he can recapture the patient, all-fields, flyball-oriented approach he showed at Double-A, Lowe will look the part of a big-league cleanup hitter. If not, there is some Quadruple-A hitter risk.
More Fantasy News
Traded to Rangers
1BTexas Rangers
December 10, 2020
Lowe was traded from the Rays to the Rangers on Thursday in exchange for outfielder Heriberto Hernandez and other prospects, Mark Feinsand of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Cast off ALDS roster
1BTampa Bay Rays
October 5, 2020
The Rays removed Lowe from their 28-man roster for their American League Division Series with the Yankees that begins Monday in San Diego, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting against lefty
1BTampa Bay Rays
September 30, 2020
Lowe is out of the lineup Wednesday for Game 2 of the Rays' wild-card series with the Blue Jays, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Homers for go-ahead run
1BTampa Bay Rays
September 21, 2020
Lowe went 1-for-3 with a solo homer, a walk and two runs scored in Monday's 2-1 win over the Mets.
ANALYSIS
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Multi-hit effort in nightcap
1BTampa Bay Rays
September 18, 2020
Lowe went 2-for-3 with an RBI single and two runs during a win over the Orioles in the second game of a doubleheader Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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