Francisco Alvarez

20-Year-Old CatcherC
New York Mets AA
2022 Fantasy Outlook
Alvarez quickly showed that he was too advanced for an age-appropriate assignment to Low-A, hitting .417 with two home runs, five doubles, 15 walks and seven strikeouts in 15 games before getting a bump to High-A, where he was the only qualified 19-year-old hitter. His production there was still excellent, albeit less outrageous. He hit .247/.351/.538 with 22 home runs, a 12.0 BB% and a 24.6 K% in 84 games. Given how stocky and slow he is, it's not surprising that his 49.8 Pull% and 45.2 GB% resulted in a .260 BABIP. It's unrealistic to expect Alvarez to be much better than a neutral fantasy contributor in batting average, but that's still a strong outcome for a primary catcher with at least plus power. His defense behind the plate isn't amazing, but he will stick at the position. Given how quickly he has moved up the ladder and how productive he has been, Alvarez is one of the few catching prospects with a realistic chance to be a top-five fantasy option at the position. He will reach the majors in 2023 or 2024. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a $2.7 million contract with the Mets in July of 2018.
Power outage in Double-A lately
CNew York Mets  AA
May 18, 2022
Alvarez is hitting .248/.339/.438 with four homers and a 14:31 BB:K across 28 games for Double-A Binghamton.
ANALYSIS
He hit all four of those homers in his first six games of the season and has managed none since, with an ugly .210/.313/.272 line across his last 22 contests. That said, Alvarez has been showing signs of emerging from the slump recently, as he actually has a six-game hitting streak going during which he's hit .409 with a couple doubles. If he can keep that up, we might see him come up at some point this season, especially if James McCann's wrist injury lingers or further injuries hit the Mets' catcher corps; however, Alvarez is just 20 years old and would be best served by additional minor-league development time.
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Francisco Alvarez
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
Alvarez was the youngest player at the Mets' alternate training site and received rave reviews for his work on both sides of the ball. At 5-foot-11, 220 pounds, he is physically mature and his strength shows up in the form of plus all-fields power and a plus arm. His hit tool and approach are pretty advanced, but he will probably be power over hit in the majors. He was so good offensively in 2019 as a 17-year-old that some outside the organization speculated that he might be moved off catcher to fast-track his bat to the majors, but the Mets are keeping him behind the dish, which means he will need a couple more years in the minors to master the position. Evaluating catchers for dynasty leagues, especially ones who are multiple years away from contributing, is always a challenge, but he clearly has the upside to be a top-five fantasy catcher for a decade.
This offseason's catching prospect du jour, Alvarez was aggressively assigned to the Gulf Coast League as a 17-year-old, but that lasted just seven games (281 wRC+) before he needed to be given an even more ludicrous assignment. Six months younger than the next youngest hitter in the Appalachian League, Alvarez still managed to thrive, logging a 129 wRC+, 11.3 BB% and 21.9 K% while using the whole field (35.7 Oppo%) and lifting the ball with ease (38.1 GB%). The fact that he is a catching prospect is what makes this insane, as catchers typically lag a couple years behind other position players on their march to the big leagues, due to the time and effort needed to become a capable defender. Alvarez can improve his framing, but nobody questions his ability to stick behind the plate. He could be a 60- or 70-grade hitter with plus power and good on-base skills, and his bat should keep him on a fast track.
More Fantasy News
Sent to minor-league camp
CNew York Mets  AA
March 28, 2022
The Mets sent Alvarez to minor-league spring training Monday, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Clubs homer Thursday
CNew York Mets  AA
March 25, 2022
Alvarez went 1-for-2 with a solo home run in Thursday's Grapefruit League game against the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Four-RBI day for Brooklyn
CNew York Mets  AA
August 12, 2021
Alvarez went 3-for-4 with a homer, a walk, four RBI and two runs against High-A Wilmington on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Showing power, patience in High-A
CNew York Mets  AA
July 15, 2021
Alvarez has hit .231/.350/.479 with seven homers, 20 RBI, 21 runs and a 20:35 BB:K across 37 games since being promoted to High-A Brooklyn.
ANALYSIS
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Slugs first homer at High-A
CNew York Mets  AA
June 2, 2021
Alvarez went 1-for-5 with a two-run home run for High-A Brooklyn on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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