2025 Stats
W-L
2-2
ERA
4.50
WHIP
1.25
K
33
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Elder reeked of pitchability in 2023 as he came out of nowhere to provide Atlanta with some much-needed innings and out-pitched his stuff. In 2024, he simply reeked. Elder is normally a high ground-ball rate pitcher, but he left too many balls up, and the league hit eight homers off him in 49.2 innings of work, which pushed his ERA up and pushed him up the road on I-85 to Gwinnett to work most of the season. Elder pitched better in Triple-A but will be coming to camp competing with multiple names who have better stuff. Since Elder's fastball is a poor pitch by both velocity and stuff measures, his success is wholly contingent upon his ability to keep the ball on the ground and to stay out of fastball counts. He showed that is possible in 2023 when he was at his best, but 2024 also reminded us how fine a line pitchers of this build must walk. NL Only leaguers should keep an eye on Elder for the depth purposes and spot starts, but not fill out a rotation with him as he is unlikely to work a big load this season with Atlanta. Read Past Outlooks
Optioned to Triple-A
Atlanta optioned Elder to Triple-A Gwinnett on Thursday, David O'Brien of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Elder has put up a 3.10 ERA over his last five starts, including tossing six innings of one-run ball his last time out against the Nationals. However, Spencer Strider (hamstring) is due back next week and Atlanta will not go to a six-man rotation, so Elder having minor-league options left worked against him here. He'll likely be the next starter called upon when the big club needs a rotation reinforcement.
Elder has put up a 3.10 ERA over his last five starts, including tossing six innings of one-run ball his last time out against the Nationals. However, Spencer Strider (hamstring) is due back next week and Atlanta will not go to a six-man rotation, so Elder having minor-league options left worked against him here. He'll likely be the next starter called upon when the big club needs a rotation reinforcement.
Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
89
Last 10 Games
89
Last 5 Games
91
How many pitches does Bryce Elder generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Bryce Elder generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-3%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .262 | 86 | 57 | 135 | 18 |
| Since 2023vs Right | .257 | 121 | 36 | 131 | 17 |
| 2025vs Left | .250 | 12 | 10 | 18 | 3 |
| 2025vs Right | .258 | 21 | 3 | 24 | 5 |
| 2024vs Left | .336 | 19 | 11 | 36 | 5 |
| 2024vs Right | .283 | 27 | 6 | 28 | 3 |
| 2023vs Left | .241 | 55 | 36 | 81 | 10 |
| 2023vs Right | .248 | 73 | 27 | 79 | 9 |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-6%
ERA at Home
2025
-43%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 4.30 | 1.37 | 140.1 | 7.1 | 3.4 |
| Since 2023Away | 4.57 | 1.30 | 128.0 | 6.8 | 2.8 |
| 2025Home | 3.27 | 1.32 | 22.0 | 5.7 | 3.7 |
| 2025Away | 5.73 | 1.18 | 22.0 | 7.8 | 1.6 |
| 2024Home | 7.99 | 1.99 | 23.2 | 9.1 | 3.8 |
| 2024Away | 5.19 | 1.31 | 26.0 | 7.6 | 2.4 |
| 2023Home | 3.61 | 1.23 | 94.2 | 6.9 | 3.2 |
| 2023Away | 4.05 | 1.34 | 80.0 | 6.2 | 3.3 |
Minor League Left/Right Pitching Splits (AAA)
Since 2023
-10%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-100%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .253 | 48 | 23 | 48 | 7 |
| Since 2023vs Right | .228 | 65 | 22 | 52 | 1 |
| 2025vs Left | .429 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 2025vs Right | .000 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024vs Left | .254 | 44 | 20 | 45 | 6 |
| 2024vs Right | .226 | 58 | 20 | 47 | 0 |
| 2023vs Left | .000 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023vs Right | .313 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
Stat Review
How does Bryce Elder compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.54K/9
6.8BB/9
2.7HR/9
1.6Fastball
91.5 mphERA
4.50WHIP
1.25BABIP
.272GB/FB
1.97Left On Base
75.3%Exit Velocity
81.7 mphBarrels/BBE
5.8%Spin Rate
2251 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
28.2%Swinging Strike
8.4%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
A fifth-round pick in the 2020 MLB Draft out of the University of Texas, Elder rocketed through Atlanta's minor-league system and made his big-league debut in April of 2022 at the ripe age of 22. He's enjoyed a good amount of success so far at baseball's highest level, carrying a 3.66 ERA through his first 228.2 innings of work with Atlanta, but the now 24-year-old right-hander probably won't be overly popular in fantasy drafts this spring because of his low strikeout rate. Leaning heavily on cutters, sinkers and sliders, Elder likes to put batters away by inducing soft contact as opposed to the more elite fantasy starters who rack up punchouts. He should be a solid source of ERA help and wins with a locked-in rotation spot for the reigning NL East champions, but don't count on a sudden change in approach.
More Fantasy News
Stuck with no-decision
Elder didn't factor into the decision Wednesday, allowing one run on five hits and one walk with three strikeouts across six innings during the 5-4 loss to Washington.
ANALYSIS
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Fans eight in loss
Elder (2-2) took the loss against the Pirates on Friday, allowing three runs on five hits while striking out eight across six innings. He did not issue a walk.
ANALYSIS
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Steady in Sunday's win
Elder (2-1) allowed two runs on four hits and two walks while striking out six over five-plus innings to earn the win over the Dodgers on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Secures first victory
Elder (1-1) earned the win over Colorado on Monday, allowing three runs on five hits and two walks while striking out four batters over six innings.
ANALYSIS
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Sharp in no-decision
Elder came away with a no-decision in Wednesday win over the Cardinals, allowing one run on five hits and three walks over six innings. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Opening for spot start?
Atlanta is skipping Spencer Schwellenbach's turn in the rotation this weekend at Colorado, per Mark Bowman of MLB.com, which could provide an opening for Elder to be recalled for a spot start.
ANALYSIS
Elder would be on turn to take the open rotation spot Sunday since he last pitched Tuesday against the Brewers. However, the 25-year-old was demoted to Triple-A Gwinnett after he surrendered seven earned runs, so Atlanta would need to place a player on the injured list in order for him to be able to return to the big leagues so quickly. Elder has a 6.52 ERA across 10 starts in the majors this season, so he has minimal fantasy appeal if Atlanta gives him another look.
Elder would be on turn to take the open rotation spot Sunday since he last pitched Tuesday against the Brewers. However, the 25-year-old was demoted to Triple-A Gwinnett after he surrendered seven earned runs, so Atlanta would need to place a player on the injured list in order for him to be able to return to the big leagues so quickly. Elder has a 6.52 ERA across 10 starts in the majors this season, so he has minimal fantasy appeal if Atlanta gives him another look.