Anibal Sanchez
Anibal Sanchez
34-Year-Old PitcherSP
 Free Agent  
Free Agent
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Detroit declined to pick up the $16 million option on the final year of Sanchez's deal after his ERA rose for a fifth consecutive season. Ironically, he posted his best strikeout rate since 2013, but he also gave up an astounding 26 home runs in just 105.1 innings. He was bad in the rotation as opponents hit .298 against him and he had a 5.76 ERA in 84 innings as a starter. He was even worse out of the bullpen, as opponents hit .350 against him and he had a 9.00 ERA in 21 innings as a reliever. He can still strike batters out in either role, but the collateral damage he puts to your ratios simply is not worth the speculation in most formats. Unless he comes up with a new pitch or a new arm angle, it is going to be another year of ugly numbers. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a minor-league contract with the Braves in March of 2018.
Takes Game 2 loss
PAtlanta Braves  
October 5, 2018
Sanchez (0-1) gave up three runs on five hits and a walk over 4.2 innings in a loss to the Dodgers in Game 2 of the National League Division Series. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
Sanchez gave up two home runs through his 4.2 innings, and that is all Clayton Kershaw would need to help give the Dodgers a 2-0 lead in the series. Limiting the long ball had been a major key to Sanchez's success this season, as he sported a 0.99 HR/9 in the regular season.
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Pitching Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-16%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-18%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-17%
BAA vs LHP
2016
 
 
-16%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .246 851 198 76 188 32 4 27
Since 2016vs Right .293 852 176 48 228 38 1 44
2018vs Left .191 267 70 27 45 7 1 5
2018vs Right .233 286 65 15 61 14 1 10
2017vs Left .284 240 53 14 63 11 1 11
2017vs Right .342 242 51 15 76 13 0 15
2016vs Left .261 344 75 35 80 14 2 11
2016vs Right .310 324 60 18 91 11 0 19
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-18%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-11%
ERA on Road
2017
 
 
-24%
ERA at Home
2016
 
 
-25%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 4.44 1.23 190.1 7 13 0 8.9 2.3 1.5
Since 2016Away 5.44 1.49 204.0 10 13 0 8.2 3.3 1.7
2018Home 3.00 1.03 66.0 2 4 0 8.2 1.9 1.2
2018Away 2.67 1.13 70.2 5 2 0 9.6 3.6 0.8
2017Home 5.51 1.36 50.2 1 3 0 10.1 1.6 1.6
2017Away 7.24 1.81 54.2 2 4 0 7.7 3.3 2.8
2016Home 5.01 1.32 73.2 4 6 0 8.7 3.1 1.7
2016Away 6.67 1.59 79.2 3 7 0 7.2 3.2 1.8
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Stat Review
How does Anibal Sanchez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
3.21
 
K/9
8.9
 
BB/9
2.8
 
HR/9
1.0
 
Fastball
90.7 mph
 
ERA
2.83
 
WHIP
1.08
 
BABIP
.267
 
GB/FB
1.37
 
Strand %
78.9%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
In some ways, Sanchez is a steady pitcher. His strikeout rate and workload have been relatively stable the last few years, and that is where the spin zone ends. Sanchez has failed to reach 160 innings for three straight seasons, and combining a declining walk rate with an increasing inability to keep the ball in the yard leaves for a toxic fantasy asset. Sanchez's command -- the ability to locate the ball where the catcher wants it -- has waned in recent years, which has led to 59 homers over the past two seasons. Juiced ball or not, Sanchez has to either change his approach or fix his command. Until either happens, keep him at an arm's distance. He is not rosterable in mixed leagues due to lack of durability and unsightly stats, though AL-only players could make a case for dollar days with him.
Sanchez is coming off the worst season of his major league career. His ERA and FIP were double those of his elite 2013 numbers and he came within a hair of recording a 5.00 ERA. The most telling stat of 2015 was his HR/FB rate. After posting below-average rates in 2013 and 2014 (5.8 and 3.1, respectively), Sanchez gave up a homer on 16 percent of his flyballs in 2015. He allowed a career-worst 29 home runs after allowing only 21 in the previous three seasons combined. He did pitch for several months with a rotator cuff injury that he didn't reveal to anyone at the time, so that could be the reason for his poor 2015. There's really nowhere to go but up for Sanchez in 2016 if the rotator cuff is healed. Draft him as a No. 4 or 5 starter, but hope for the Sanchez of old -- a reliable No. 2 hurler who can fire Ks and deliver a great WHIP.
Sanchez missed over two months due to finger and pectoral injuries in 2014, but he was steady when on the mound. His ERA was up nearly a full run from his stellar 2013 campaign (2.57 ERA), but Sanhez’s FIP of 2.78 hints that he pitched nearly as well in 2014. Sanchez’s K/9 also dropped from the career-best rate he posted in 2013, but he offset that dip by posting personal-best rates in BB/9 (2.14) and HR/9 (0.29). While Sanchez missed a large chunk of the final two months of the season, he was able to return for a scoreless relief appearance in the playoffs, and the pectoral strain isn’t expected to be an issue going forward. Even if Sanchez can’t bounce-back to the strikeout-per-inning pitcher he was in 2013, his solid production across the board makes him a solid mid-rotation piece for any fantasy squad.
Sanchez took the step from mid-rotation starter to ace in 2013. He posted career-high marks in nearly every category, including wins (14), ERA (2.57), WHIP (1.15) and strikeouts (202). He missed a couple starts in June due to a minor shoulder injury, but that proved to be the only hurdle in his breakout campaign as Sanchez came back even stronger after the injury. The 29-year-old pitcher’s ascent towards elite-level production was backed by increased fastball velocity, which climbed from 91.8 mph in 2012 to 93.0 mph last season. His slider and changeup also proved to be more effective than in past years, as he become better at mixing his pitches to keep hitters off balance. His trend of becoming more of a groundball-heavy pitcher continued with a 1.51 GB/FB ratio and noticeable gains were made to keep the ball in the park (0.5 HR/9). Further, both his FIP (2.39) and xFIP (2.91) indicate that the leap Sanchez made on the mound was legitimate. As part of the Tigers' deep staff, Sanchez remains the team No. 3 starter, meaning he won’t have the pressures of being relied on as heavily as most team’s aces. While some regression could follow his breakout season, Sanchez is well positioned to once again post strong numbers across the board.
Sanchez split the 2012 campaign between the Marlins and Tigers after a midseason trade sent him to Motown. While he took a step back from his breakout 2011 season, Sanchez managed to fall in line close to his career averages, finishing 9-13 with 3.86 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. His strikeout rate dropped from 9.3 K/9 to 7.7 K/9 - a number which is a more fitting result given his career strikeout rate of 7.6 K/9. Despite the drop in strikeouts, Sanchez showed some improvements on the mound, including a career-best walk rate of 2.2 BB/9. His fastball and slider were not as effective as in previous seasons, but Sanchez was able to mix in his changeup more successfully than in years past to keep hitters off balance. After signing a five-year, $80 million deal with Detroit in December, Sanchez will slot in behind Justin Verlander as the Tigers' No. 2 starter in 2013.
For a time in the early part of last season, Sanchez looked like he had become one of the best pitchers in the National League, striking guys out at an elite level and posting an ERA and WHIP to match. A couple of rough outings in the summer heat marred his final numbers, but Sanchez still announced himself as someone to pay attention to. There wasn't much in his peripherals to indicate why his strikeouts spiked the way they did: he threw a few more change-ups instead of sliders, and batters chased a few more of his pitches out of the zone, but really he didn't do anything differently than he did in 2010 – he just did it better. Whether that means a regression is in store or he's found his true level remains to be seen, but Sanchez has struck out better than a batter an inning before in the minors and came close in his 2008 return from shoulder trouble, so this isn't completely uncharted territory for him. At the very least, an improved Marlins' offense should get him into double digits in wins.
Sanchez finally managed to stay healthy for an entire season, and the results last year were as good as the Marlins could have hoped. His slider was nearly as nasty as it had been in his rookie season, and for the first time in his major league career he struck out more than twice as many batters as he walked. He'll never be an ace, but just so long as he can keep taking the mound 30-plus times a year and deliver solid numbers, he'll be plenty useful.
After struggling out of the gate Sanchez developed more shoulder problems, and it appeared as though he'd never recover from his 2007 torn labrum. Some rest and further rehab did the trick though, and in the second half he again looked like the pitcher he was as a rookie, too wild for comfort but difficult to hit. His K/9 rate has improved a great deal since 2006 though, and if he can sustain it north of 7.0 while still breaking bats there's a chance his 2.68 ERA over his last nine starts could be more than a small sample mirage.
Sanchez made it back to the Marlins rotation after his 2007 labrum tear, but he looked nothing like the rookie who electrified baseball with his no-hitter the year before. Florida has him slotted in for a starting job, but if he continues to struggle they have more than enough prospects in the system to shunt Sanchez aside. On the bright side his strikeout rate took a big step forward in his 10 big league starts even as his control regressed, a very good indication that his change-up is as baffling as ever. Don't write him off just yet.
After struggling out of the gate and being sent down to Triple-A Sanchez admitted his shoulder had been bothering him, and the result was June surgery to repair a torn labrum and a lost 2007. His no-hitter as a rookie brought him a lot of notoriety, but his 2006 ERA and WHIP were fueled by a very low BABIP and must be taken with a grain of salt until he proves he can do it again. He's also a pitcher who relies heavily on a great change-up, and if the labrum tear costs him a few miles per hour on his fastball that change-up won't be nearly as effective. You may want to wait and see how he looks in spring training before you consider him even as a long shot pick.
Sanchez spent half the year putting up solid numbers at Double-A before getting called up to the majors and setting the world on fire, including a no-hitter in his 13th career start. His fastball/change-up combo proved utterly baffling to big league hitters, resulting in a batting average allowed of just .217. His walk rate rose and his strikeout rate dropped after his promotion though, so if that hit rate proves to be unsustainable he's likely in for some regression in 2007. Still, he'll be just 23 and has just scratched the surface of his talent. He could just as easily surprise once again.
Sanchez started last season ranked as Boston's fifth best prospect, according to Baseball America, and was traded to Florida in the Josh Beckett deal. He pitched in the Futures Game, World All-Star game and the Carolina League All-Star game, moving from Single-A to Double-A in the process. He's got a mid-90s heater with an excellent changeup, but is still developing command of his curve. The Marlins in the past have aggressively promoted their top pitching prospects from Double-A, so if Sanchez doesn't make the team out of spring training, he still could be up shortly thereafter.
More Fantasy News
Starting Game 2 of NLDS
PAtlanta Braves  
October 3, 2018
Manager Brian Snitker said Sanchez will start Game 2 of the NLDS against the Dodgers on Friday, Eric Stephen of TrueBlueLA.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Wraps fantasy season with six shutout innings
PAtlanta Braves  
September 29, 2018
Sanchez delivered six scoreless innings, allowing three hits and three walks while striking out seven, in a no-decision against the Phillies on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Five strong innings in win over Phillies
PAtlanta Braves  
September 23, 2018
Sanchez (7-6) allowed one run on four hits with no walks across five innings Sunday to earn the win against the Phillies. He recorded one strikeout.
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Gets two-start week
PAtlanta Braves  
September 21, 2018
Sanchez will make his next start Sunday against the Phillies, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Takes tough-luck loss versus Cardinals
PAtlanta Braves  
September 19, 2018
Sanchez (6-6) allowed two runs on four hits with no walks across six innings while taking the loss Tuesday against the Cardinals. He struck out nine.
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