Aaron Civale
29-Year-Old
2024 Stats
W-L
2-7
ERA
5.17
WHIP
1.40
K
102
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Civale was traded from Cleveland to Tampa Bay for first base prospect Kyle Manzardo straight up at the deadline. His strikeout rate jumped from 19 percent to 29.3 percent and his walk rate dropped from 7.2 percent to 5.6 percent after the trade. Don't downgrade him because of his 5.36 ERA in 10 starts with the Rays. He had a 3.26 xFIP over that unlucky stretch and his 23.7 K-BB% in 45.1 innings after the trade was an elite mark. In fact it was similar to his new teammate Zach Eflin's 23.0 K-BB% on the season, and Civale happens to have almost an identical repertoire to Eflin. Perhaps that's why the Rays targeted him. Civale missed almost two months early in the season with an oblique strain and still tallied 133.1 innings, including his rehab assignment. He shouldn't have any notable workload restrictions in 2024. Read Past Outlooks
Roughed up in no-decision
Civale did not factor into the decision Sunday, allowing five runs on four hits and four walks over 4.1 innings against the Twins. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
Civale allowed homers to Byron Buxton and Trevor Larnach, with Larnach's two-run blast in the fifth representing the biggest blow. The five runs allowed represented the most Civale has given up since the beginning of May. It was also the second time he's allowed multiple homers over his first three starts in Milwaukee, matching his previous total through the first 17 outings when he was still a member of the Rays. Civale has compiled 15.2 innings since joining the Brewers, carrying a 5.74 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. He is slated for a much softer matchup in his next start, tentatively slated to take place at home against the Marlins.
Civale allowed homers to Byron Buxton and Trevor Larnach, with Larnach's two-run blast in the fifth representing the biggest blow. The five runs allowed represented the most Civale has given up since the beginning of May. It was also the second time he's allowed multiple homers over his first three starts in Milwaukee, matching his previous total through the first 17 outings when he was still a member of the Rays. Civale has compiled 15.2 innings since joining the Brewers, carrying a 5.74 ERA and 1.53 WHIP. He is slated for a much softer matchup in his next start, tentatively slated to take place at home against the Marlins.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
89
Last 5 Games
90
How many pitches does Aaron Civale generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Aaron Civale generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-3%
BAA vs LHP
2024
Even Split
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .246 | 176 | 48 | 145 | 22 | |||
Since 2022vs Right | .253 | 140 | 43 | 165 | 25 | |||
2024vs Left | .266 | 58 | 19 | 50 | 9 | |||
2024vs Right | .265 | 44 | 17 | 58 | 12 | |||
2023vs Left | .234 | 66 | 16 | 55 | 6 | |||
2023vs Right | .237 | 50 | 17 | 54 | 6 | |||
2022vs Left | .240 | 52 | 13 | 40 | 7 | |||
2022vs Right | .257 | 46 | 9 | 53 | 7 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-14%
ERA at Home
2024
-41%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | 4.10 | 1.15 | 162.1 | 9.6 | 2.3 | ||||
Since 2022Away | 4.79 | 1.34 | 159.2 | 8.1 | 2.8 | ||||
2024Home | 3.93 | 1.22 | 55.0 | 9.5 | 2.5 | ||||
2024Away | 6.61 | 1.62 | 47.2 | 8.3 | 4.0 | ||||
2023Home | 4.48 | 1.16 | 62.1 | 9.5 | 2.5 | ||||
2023Away | 2.40 | 1.17 | 60.0 | 7.5 | 2.4 | ||||
2022Home | 3.80 | 1.07 | 45.0 | 9.8 | 1.8 | ||||
2022Away | 5.88 | 1.29 | 52.0 | 8.5 | 2.3 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Aaron Civale compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.83K/9
8.9BB/9
3.2HR/9
1.8Fastball
92.5 mphERA
5.17WHIP
1.40BABIP
.317GB/FB
0.91Left On Base
72.4%Exit Velocity
82.2 mphBarrels/BBE
4.9%Spin Rate
2659 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
25.2%Swinging Strike
9.7%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Three separate injuries did a number on Civale's 2022 campaign, as a glute issue, wrist sprain and forearm tightness cost him nearly a collective three months. The results weren't pretty when he was able to pitch -- his 4.92 ERA was a career-worst mark, though a 3.86 FIP suggests he was unlucky. The upside: he had a 9.1 K/9, the highest mark of his career. Civale threw a cut fastball 34.8 percent of the time in 2022, and he supplemented it with a nasty curveball that opponents hit .124 on with a .238 slugging percentage. He also used a sinker while cutting down on four-seamers and splitters, but he may want to revisit his pitch mix given the overall results. Cody Morris could challenge Civale or Zach Plesac for a rotation spot in 2023, but the Guardians aren't brimming with major-league ready arms, so Civale should have a good chance to work as a starter if he can get back into his 2021 form.
More Fantasy News
Outdueled in loss
Civale (2-7) took the loss Thursday against Pittsburgh, allowing one run on six hits and two walks across 6.1 innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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No-decision in Milwaukee debut
Civale allowed four runs on five hits and three walks while striking out eight over five innings in a no-decision versus the Dodgers on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Traded to Milwaukee
The Brewers acquired Civale from the Rays on Wednesday in exchange for minor-league infielder Gregory Barrios, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Takes sixth loss Saturday
Civale (2-6) was tagged with the loss against Washington on Saturday, allowing two runs on six hits and four walks while striking out two batters over 5.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Allows one run in no-decision
Civale did not factor into the decision Sunday, allowing one run on three hits and a walk over five innings against the Pirates. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Candidate to be traded
Civale could be a trade chip for the Rays once Jeffrey Springs and Shane Baz are ready to rejoin the rotation, Will Sammon, Katie Woo and Patrick Mooney of The Athletic report.
ANALYSIS
The Rays are going to have a surplus of starters soon, and Civale and Zack Littell are viewed as the team's most likely trade chips. Civale has had a disappointing season in collecting a 5.20 ERA, but an 82:23 K:BB points to some positive regression moving forward. He's also affordable with a $4.9 million salary in 2024 and one additional year of team control.
The Rays are going to have a surplus of starters soon, and Civale and Zack Littell are viewed as the team's most likely trade chips. Civale has had a disappointing season in collecting a 5.20 ERA, but an 82:23 K:BB points to some positive regression moving forward. He's also affordable with a $4.9 million salary in 2024 and one additional year of team control.