Brandon Lowe

Brandon Lowe

28-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
Tampa Bay Rays
Out
Injury Back
Est. Return 2/1/2023
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Lowe took hold of an everyday role in 2021 and delivered an .863 OPS and 39 homers in 149 games, but a nagging back injury limited him to only 65 games last year. He batted .221 but finished 2022 witha slightly-above-average 104 wRC+, and he also cut his strikeout rate nearly five percentage points to 22.9 percent. It's unclear exactly how much the back injury affected the second baseman's production, and it's worth keeping an eye on whether the issue resurfaces again during 2023. He fared better against left-handed pitching with a .793 OPS, though that success may not indicate much since it covered only 48 plate appearances. A return to his 2021 form shouldn't be expected, but Lowe should be in store for a bounceback season in 2023. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a six-year, $24 million contract with the Rays in March of 2019. Contract includes a $10.5 million team options ($1 million buyout) for 2025 and an $11.5 million team option ($500,000 buyout) for 2026.
Heads to 60-day IL
2BTampa Bay Rays
Back
September 28, 2022
The Rays transferred Lowe (back) from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
Lowe was officially ruled out for the season last week, so his move to the 60-day IL is merely procedural with the Rays needing to open up a spot on the 40-man roster for right-hander Tyler Glasnow (elbow), who will start Wednesday's game in Cleveland. The Rays are hopeful the 28-year-old infielder will be back to 100 percent for spring training, but it's unclear when he might be ready to resume offseason workouts while he recovers from lower-back discomfort.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
24
17
3
9
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
6
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+10%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+19%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+44%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+34%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .775 296 33 19 45 3 .228 .294 .481
Since 2020vs Right .856 805 131 42 116 8 .253 .353 .503
2022vs Left .793 48 5 3 9 1 .261 .271 .522
2022vs Right .666 218 26 5 16 0 .212 .317 .349
2021vs Left .662 188 17 10 27 1 .198 .261 .401
2021vs Right .956 427 80 29 72 6 .270 .375 .581
2020vs Left 1.137 60 11 6 9 1 .300 .417 .720
2020vs Right .851 160 25 8 28 2 .264 .344 .507
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+4%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+30%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+4%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+7%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .853 534 84 29 73 9 .248 .343 .511
Since 2020Away .817 562 79 32 87 2 .244 .331 .486
2022Home .785 125 18 4 11 1 .263 .320 .465
2022Away .604 141 13 4 14 0 .182 .298 .306
2021Home .847 313 51 19 47 5 .234 .342 .506
2021Away .879 302 46 20 52 2 .259 .338 .541
2020Home .968 96 15 6 15 3 .272 .375 .593
2020Away .905 119 20 8 21 0 .276 .353 .552
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Brandon Lowe compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.44
 
BB Rate
10.2%
 
K Rate
22.9%
 
BABIP
.263
 
ISO
.162
 
AVG
.221
 
OBP
.308
 
SLG
.383
 
OPS
.691
 
wOBA
.308
 
Exit Velocity
89.4 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
28.6%
 
Barrels/PA
6.8%
 
Expected BA
.237
 
Expected SLG
.401
 
Sprint Speed
22.5 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
37.9%
 
Line Drive %
20.7%
 
Fly Ball %
41.4%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Brandon Lowe
2023 Fantasy Baseball Rankings - Way Too Early Top 300 Draft Ranks
46 days ago
James Anderson provides a way too early top 300 rankings for those who have the itch to start drafting for 2023.
MLB Barometer: End-of-Season Risers and Fallers
59 days ago
For his end-of-year-wrap-up, Erik Halterman goes by round to list his risers to see how they performed vs. their earned auction value ranking, starting with Mookie Betts in Round 1.
MLB: Postseason Cheat Sheet and Strategy
60 days ago
Todd Zola tackles the MLB Postseason Cheat Sheet for RotoWire and discusses his approach to postseason leagues this year.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
Lowe was finally given his chance to function as an everyday player, and he rewarded the club's faith in him by having a career year at the plate despite his flaws. He fell just shy of joining Marcus Semien last season, and historically Rogers Hornsby and Ryne Sandberg, as the only second basemen to ever hit 40 or more homers while scoring 100 runs and driving in 100. Around the excellent run production, Lowe still has too much swing-and-miss in his game (bottom seventh percentile), but the strikeout rate has improved over the ugly rate from the 2019 season. The full-time playing time also meant increased exposure to lefties, and while he did hit 10 of his 39 homers against lefties, his .198 average and 34.0% strikeout rate against them in 188 plate appearances explain why his batting average tumbled from the prior two seasons. His 2022 should be another above-average offense campaign, but it will be tough for him to hit even .250 against southpaws.
Lowe is 5-foot-10 and 185 pounds, yet continues to barrel the baseball like few others in the game. Lowe hits what the local radio team calls "Helium Balls" because they tend to just stay in the air longer than most flyballs until they find the seats. For the first six weeks of the 2020 season, Lowe was a leading candidate for the AL MVP as he had a .273/.371/.612 slash line with 10 homers, 26 runs, and 27 RBI heading into September. He cooled off a bit with a .264/.345/.458 line the rest of the way, but then was downright abysmal in the playoffs, hitting .118/.183/.276 around the two-homer game in the World Series with a 34% strikeout rate. He hit .300 with six homers against lefties in 2020, somewhat quieting the concerns of him being platooned, but the postseason slump is definitely concerning. The strikeouts limit his batting average upside, but he does accept his walks and hits with power to all fields.
Lowe inked a six-year, $24 million extension last March, ensuring he would hold a vital role for the Rays right away after a strong 43-game cameo in 2018. Injuries effectively kept Lowe out of the mix after the All-Star break, but his big first half still made his season an unequivocal success. Initially tabbed for a utility role, the 25-year-old settled at the keystone and was among the top fantasy options at the position when healthy, slashing .276/.339/.523 with 16 homers and five steals before the break. If injuries hadn't intervened, Lowe may have been headed for a drop-off, as his 33.9 K% and .381 BABIP loomed as major signs that the .276 average would fall. Lowe's ability to rack up counting stats appears more repeatable based on his Statcast metrics, so as long as fantasy managers can deal with a sub-.250 average and the Rays benching him versus lefties, there's still value to be had.
It's difficult to make heads or tails of Lowe. He totaled 28 homers and posted wRC+ marks of 156 and 178 at Double-A and Triple-A, respectively, last season. Lowe was also 13% better than league average, offensively, in his first foray into the major leagues. However, he was relatively old for those levels in the minors and had a 25.7% strikeout rate in the big leagues. Statcast suggests he was a .220-ish hitter. His 77.4% zone-contact rate was way below league average and is a red flag looking ahead to 2019 and beyond. There is some speed here to go along with the pop, and Lowe has shown that he will accept his walks. After the Rays traded Mallex Smith, general manager Erik Neander said publicly that Lowe will be in the mix for a spot on the Opening Day roster, but a starting spot seems unlikely barring multiple injuries in front of him on the depth chart.
More Fantasy News
Won't return in 2022
2BTampa Bay Rays
Back
September 24, 2022
Lowe (back) has been ruled out for the remainder of the season, Ryan Bass of Bally Sports Sun reports.
ANALYSIS
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Receives injection Tuesday
2BTampa Bay Rays
Back
September 20, 2022
Rays manager Kevin Cash said that Lowe (back) received an injection Tuesday and will be shut down for the next two days, Neil Solondz of the Rays Radio Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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MRI reveals inflammation
2BTampa Bay Rays
Back
September 14, 2022
Lowe underwent an MRI that showed some inflammation in his back, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Heading to IL
2BTampa Bay Rays
Back
September 13, 2022
Lowe was placed on the 10-day injured list with lower-back discomfort ahead of Game 2 of Tuesday's doubleheader against the Blue Jays, Neil Solondz of the Rays Radio Network reports. The transaction is retroactive to Sept. 12.
ANALYSIS
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Bothered by sore back
2BTampa Bay Rays
Back
September 13, 2022
Lowe was left out of the lineup for Game 1 of Tuesday's doubleheader against the Blue Jays due to a sore back, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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