Braxton Garrett

Braxton Garrett

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Miami Marlins
Out
Injury Shoulder
Est. Return 3/1/2024
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Garrett's first full season in the big-league rotation was a rousing success, as he struck out more than five batters for every one he walked and maintained a 3.66 ERA over 159.2 innings. The seventh overall pick by Miami in 2016, he lost essentially two years of development time due to Tommy John surgery and the pandemic. While the left-hander doesn't light up the radar gun, the slider has proven to be a quality swing-and-miss pitch for him (40% Whiff the last two seasons). He keeps the ball on the ground and locates all six of his pitches for strikes. Those playing the fantasy game may find it tough to get excited about such a control-dependent pitcher lacking overpowering dominance (career 23.3 K%), but the skills point to a mid-3.00s ERA being sustainable. Still just 26, Garrett should be able to add innings to his 2023 total. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#209
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Marlins in March of 2022.
Throws first bullpen
PMiami Marlins
Shoulder
February 24, 2024
Garrett (shoulder) threw his first bullpen session of the spring Friday, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
The Marlins are still taking things slow when it comes to Garrett's throwing program, but manager Skip Schumaker was encouraged by Garrett's performance Friday, calling it "one of the better bullpens he's thrown." It's unclear how long it will be before Garrett is able to pitch in a Grapefruit League game, but he should be ready to go by Opening Day.
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Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
79
Last 10 Games
80
Last 5 Games
81
How many pitches does Braxton Garrett generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Braxton Garrett generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-18%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-19%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-38%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-26%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2021vs Left .223 287 72 21 57 10 1 4
Since 2021vs Right .271 904 206 52 225 52 6 28
2023vs Left .211 156 39 11 30 5 1 3
2023vs Right .261 503 117 18 124 32 3 17
2022vs Left .173 90 26 6 14 2 0 1
2022vs Right .280 283 64 18 72 15 3 8
2021vs Left .394 41 7 4 13 3 0 0
2021vs Right .293 118 25 16 29 5 0 3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-2%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-36%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-40%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-54%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2021Home 3.77 1.32 140.2 5 9 0 10.0 2.8 1.2
Since 2021Away 3.83 1.21 141.0 8 7 0 7.7 1.9 0.9
2023Home 4.46 1.25 80.2 3 4 0 9.3 1.5 1.5
2023Away 2.85 1.04 79.0 6 3 0 8.3 1.8 0.8
2022Home 2.63 1.29 41.0 1 3 0 11.6 3.5 0.7
2022Away 4.40 1.21 47.0 2 4 0 7.1 1.5 1.1
2021Home 3.32 1.63 19.0 1 2 0 9.9 6.6 0.9
2021Away 7.20 2.07 15.0 0 0 0 6.6 3.6 0.6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Braxton Garrett compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
5.38
 
K/9
8.8
 
BB/9
1.6
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
90.6 mph
 
ERA
3.66
 
WHIP
1.15
 
BABIP
.313
 
GB/FB
2.12
 
Left On Base
74.2%
 
Exit Velocity
84.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.9%
 
Spin Rate
2134 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
32.4%
 
Swinging Strike
11.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2021
2020
2018
2017
Garrett began the season with Triple-A Jacksonville, on the IL with a right shoulder impingement. When he was able to take the hill, Garrett pitched well for seven starts before being called up in early June. He initially struggled, at least on the surface a .411 BABIP and 67% LOB mark bloated his 5.24 ERA well over the associated 3.38 FIP and 3.68 xFIP. Regression ensued as Garrett recorded a 3.02 ERA and 1.10 WHIP the rest of the way, supported by a solid 25.4% K-BB% mark and 3.62 FIP and 3.45 xFIP. Garrett doesn't have the pedigree of some of his teammates, but he's always been able to miss bats and his control has improved over the last couple of seasons. Miami has a bevy of fledgling arms, but Garrett has a chance to break camp in the back end of their rotation. He checks all the boxes for a mixed league streamer.
Garrett was called upon to make a pair of starts for the Marlins last season despite having previously logged a single appearance above High-A ball. He fared well in his debut, allowing one run and striking out six over five innings, but was far less effective his next time out, yielding four earned runs in 2.2 frames. The southpaw doesn't throw hard -- he averaged less than 90 mph on his fastball in his two big-league appearances -- but has registered over a strikeout per inning over the course of his brief professional career thanks to a standout curveball and mature pitching acumen. Those skills could allow Garrett to ascend to a role as a solid mid-rotation starter, especially if he is able to bump up his velocity. He is likely to open 2021 at Triple-A but should be among the first in line for a big-league rotation spot should the opportunity become available.
Tommy John surgery delayed Garrett's professional development, but the No. 7 overall pick in 2016 finally logged his first full season and looked like a future No. 3 starter. A 22-year-old lefty with an excellent frame (6-foot-3, 190 pounds), Garrett features a low-90s fastball that can touch 95 mph, a plus curveball that has long been his calling card and an average changeup. He is still pretty projectable, so we could see his fastball add some juice and his changeup could be at least an above-average offering by the time he reaches the majors. He has an easy delivery that portends above-average command, and he showed last year (52.7 GB%) that he is already adept at inducing weak contact. This should be his final full season in the minors, opening at Double-A and finishing at Triple-A, with a 2021 MLB debut on tap if he stays healthy.
Garrett, who the Marlins selected with the No. 7 pick in the 2016 draft, only logged 15.1 innings in 2017 before eventually needing Tommy John surgery in late June. This, after he didn't pitch at all the year he was drafted as the Marlins attempted to exercise caution with his workload. Even though Garrett won't return to game action until July or August of this year, at the earliest, he is still one of the top prospects in a system that was essentially bare before this offseason's rebuild. A lefty with the potential for a plus fastball, plus curveball and above-average command, Garrett could top out as a No. 2 starter if his recovery goes perfectly and his changeup develops. The more likely outcome is that he develops into a No. 3 or No. 4 starter. Given how much his development is delayed, Garrett is unlikely to reach the majors until 2021 or 2022.
Garrett might be the safest of the high school arms from the 2016 draft class, which is an odd statement considering he is the only pitcher who was selected in the first 30 picks who has not yet pitched in a game. The Marlins opted to let Garrett take his time in his recovery from Tommy John surgery rather than rush him to an affiliate. He fell to the Marlins with the seventh pick, but his $4.15 million bonus ranks third in the class, reflecting his pre-draft pedigree. Unfortunately that pedigree does not quite translate over to fantasy. Garrett, a 6-foot-3, 190-pound southpaw, should be owned in leagues that roster 125-plus prospects, but he lacks frontline upside. A low-90s fastball and plus curveball lead a three-pitch mix, and if everything goes well, he will develop into a No. 3 starter. Jason Groome, Forrest Whitley, Riley Pint and Matt Manning are preferable investments among the prep arms from his draft class.
More Fantasy News
Nursing sore pitching shoulder
PMiami Marlins
Shoulder
February 16, 2024
Garrett is being brought along slowly in Marlins camp due to soreness in his left shoulder, Jordan McPherson of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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Starting Game 2
PMiami Marlins
October 1, 2023
Garrett will start Game 2 of the NL Wild Card Series against the Phillies on Wednesday, Jordan McPherson of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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Falls to Mets for seventh loss
PMiami Marlins
September 28, 2023
Garrett (9-7) took the loss in the first game of Wednesday's doubleheader against the Mets, giving up four runs on three hits and two walks over four innings as the Marlins were routed 11-2. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Start delayed
PMiami Marlins
September 26, 2023
Garrett won't start as scheduled Tuesday against the Mets after the game was postponed due to poor field conditions.
ANALYSIS
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Sharp in no-decision
PMiami Marlins
September 19, 2023
Garrett did not factor into the decision Tuesday, allowing one run (zero earned) on five hits over six innings against the Mets. He struck out seven without issuing any walks.
ANALYSIS
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