60-Day IL
Injury Ankle
Est. Return 2/1/2024
2023 Stats
AVG
.219
HR
5
RBI
27
R
27
SB
3
Rest-of-Season Projections
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Carlson's own manager was driving the hype train last spring, predicting big things for a player he envisioned as his leadoff man. That train went off the rails in a hurry as Carlson mostly struggled before landing on the injured list in May with a hamstring strain. A thumb sprain put him back on the shelf in September and the outfielder couldn't really get going in between. In the end, Carlson slashed .236/.316/.380 across 488 plate appearances. After popping 18 home runs in 2021, Carlson managed eight long balls last season to go along with five steals in seven attempts. If there's a silver lining it's that Carlson trimmed his strikeout rate five percentage points to 19.3%. Keep in mind too that Carlson is still only 24 years old and will be for the entirely of the 2023 season. While far too young to give up on, the switch hitter had dramatic platoon splits and the Cardinals may be forced dial back his playing time slightly if his struggles against lefties continue. Read Past Outlooks
Pushed to 60-day IL
Carlson (ankle) was transferred Friday from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day injured list.
ANALYSIS
This is just a procedural move, as Carlson had already been ruled out for the remainder of the season after undergoing surgery Wednesday to repair his troublesome left ankle. The 24-year-old outfielder is expected to be ready for the start of spring training next February.
This is just a procedural move, as Carlson had already been ruled out for the remainder of the season after undergoing surgery Wednesday to repair his troublesome left ankle. The 24-year-old outfielder is expected to be ready for the start of spring training next February.
Batting Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2023 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
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12
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#1
#2
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2
3
5
5
2
4
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2021
+27%
OPS vs LHP
2023
+30%
OPS vs LHP
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2021vs Left | .858 | 364 | 10 | 41 | .311 | ||||
| Since 2021vs Right | .677 | 998 | 21 | 93 | .223 | ||||
| 2023vs Left | .771 | 85 | 2 | 7 | .268 | ||||
| 2023vs Right | .592 | 170 | 3 | 20 | .196 | ||||
| 2022vs Left | .845 | 141 | 3 | 15 | .305 | ||||
| 2022vs Right | .633 | 347 | 5 | 27 | .207 | ||||
| 2021vs Left | .923 | 138 | 5 | 19 | .341 | ||||
| 2021vs Right | .739 | 481 | 13 | 46 | .243 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2021
+16%
OPS at Home
2023
+2%
OPS at Home
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2021Home | .781 | 664 | 17 | 77 | .268 | ||||
| Since 2021Away | .673 | 698 | 14 | 57 | .225 | ||||
| 2023Home | .657 | 140 | 3 | 16 | .220 | ||||
| 2023Away | .643 | 115 | 2 | 11 | .219 | ||||
| 2022Home | .771 | 230 | 5 | 26 | .249 | ||||
| 2022Away | .631 | 258 | 3 | 16 | .226 | ||||
| 2021Home | .847 | 294 | 9 | 35 | .306 | ||||
| 2021Away | .718 | 325 | 9 | 30 | .227 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Dylan Carlson compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.53BB Rate
10.2%K Rate
19.2%BABIP
.256ISO
.114AVG
.219OBP
.318SLG
.333OPS
.651wOBA
.296Exit Velocity
89.3 mphHard Hit Rate
30.6%Barrels/PA
3.9%Expected BA
.237Expected SLG
.379Sprint Speed
23.7 ft/secGround Ball %
43.6%Line Drive %
18.0%Fly Ball %
38.4%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dylan Carlson See More
Jan Levine offers up a few NL options, including a top prospect in St. Louis projected to play for the remainder of the season.
Jan Levine lists a couple stash candidates for the fantasy stretch run.
Ryan Boyer steps up to the plate with Lineup Lowdown, a look at National League lineup trends, including Alec Bohm's hot hitting seeing him rise up the lineup for the Phillies.
Kevin Payne checks out Thursday's slate as Dansby Swanson and the Cubs look to continue swinging hot bats against Cincinnati pitching.
Ryan Boyer has the MLB Lineup Lowdown, with a look at the National League's lineup's including the first base debut of Bryce Harper to give him dual eligibilty in most leagues.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
Many prospects cruising through Double A and Triple A when they're 20 years old are overmatched in the majors if they debut the next season. Such was the case for Carlson in 2020 before he picked things up down the stretch. Carlson's follow-up was much better as he demonstrated many of the skills earning him top prospect status. Specifically, Carlson improved his plate discipline by walking more and fanning less. His overall average exit velocity was only 29th percentile, but it was closer to league average on flyballs, supporting power. A low exit velocity on grounders combined with 73rd percentile sprint speed and a little good fortune yielded a .250 BABIP on groundballs, 11 points above average. It all added up to a 113 wRC+, impressive for a 22-year-old. Carlson has 25-15 upside, just temper expectations this season. Pay for moderate growth, likely from continued improvement with his plate discipline.
More Fantasy News
Undergoes ankle surgery
Carlson underwent successful surgery Wednesday on his left ankle, Jeff Jones of the Belleville News-Democrat reports.
ANALYSIS
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Headed for ankle surgery
Cardinals manager Oliver Marmol announced Wednesday that Carlson will undergo season-ending surgery on his left ankle, Lynn Worthy of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
ANALYSIS
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Taking light batting practice
Cardinals manager Oliver Marmol said Thursday that Carlson (oblique/ankle) is taking light batting practice and doing defensive work, John Denton of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Ramping up activities
Carlson has upped his activity level recently after receiving a cortisone injection in his injured left ankle last week, Lynn Worthy of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
ANALYSIS
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Hopes to return this season
Carlson (ankle/oblique) said Tuesday that he's hoping to play again this season, John Denton of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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