Erick Fedde

Erick Fedde

30-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago White Sox
2024 Fantasy Outlook
A 31-year-old with a career 5.41 ERA who hasn't made a major-league start in over a year wouldn't ordinarily have any fantasy appeal. Fedde, however, made the most of his time away from the majors, making 30 starts for the KBO's NC Dinos and pitching to a 2.00 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Those numbers came with excellent supporting stats such as his 29.5 percent strikeout rate and 4.9 percent walk rate. A healthy dose of skepticism regarding those numbers is fair given the level of competition, but it's far from unheard of for pitchers to figure things out in Korea and return to some success stateside. Chris Flexen recorded a 3.01 ERA with similar strikeout and walk rates to Fedde in his lone KBO campaign in 2020 and then returned to post sub-4.00 ERAs in two straight seasons, while Merrill Kelly spent four years in Korea and returned to post a 3.80 ERA across five MLB campaigns. The White Sox will hope that Fedde can follow a similar path, and the fact that he reinvented his arsenal overseas (adding a sweeper and adjusting his grips on other pitches) gives reason to believe he has a chance. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#510
ADP
$Signed a two-year, $15 million contract with the White Sox in December of 2023.
Signs with White Sox
PChicago White Sox
December 5, 2023
Fedde signed a two-year, $15 million contract with the White Sox on Tuesday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Fedde will return to the majors after spending the 2023 season in the KBO, where he posted a 2.00 ERA and was named the league's MVP. The 30-year-old righty put up a 5.41 ERA and 1.52 WHIP with the Nationals from 2017-22, but the White Sox are apparently willing to take a chance on Fedde after finishing with one of baseball's worst pitching staffs last season.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
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2017
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-1%
BAA vs LHP
2023
No Stats
2022
 
 
-13%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-11%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2021vs Left .282 582 99 52 146 27 1 21
Since 2021vs Right .286 581 123 54 147 29 0 23
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Left .272 279 40 27 67 15 0 8
2022vs Right .313 294 54 31 82 12 0 13
2021vs Left .290 303 59 25 79 12 1 13
2021vs Right .258 287 69 23 65 17 0 10
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-9%
ERA at Home
2023
No Stats
2022
 
 
-18%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-1%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2021Home 5.35 1.51 117.2 6 10 0 8.6 3.7 1.5
Since 2021Away 5.87 1.55 142.2 7 12 0 6.9 3.6 1.5
2023Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Home 5.23 1.56 62.0 2 6 0 7.8 3.8 1.6
2022Away 6.37 1.69 65.0 4 7 0 5.5 4.4 1.4
2021Home 5.50 1.46 55.2 4 4 0 9.4 3.7 1.5
2021Away 5.45 1.43 77.2 3 5 0 8.1 2.9 1.6
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Prospect Rankings History
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Erick Fedde See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Fedde received his most extensive run in the majors as a starter last season, but he struggled to a 5.47 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 128:48 K:BB over 133.1 innings. However, his 21.7 percent strikeout rate and 8.1 percent walk rate were the best figures of his career, and his xFIP of 4.06 indicates he may have deserved some better results. The right-hander should remain a regular rotation piece to open 2022, though his availability for Opening Day is in question due to an oblique issue. Fedde has a fairly low ceiling but could be a decent streaming or deep-league option.
Fedde has remained consistent in many areas over the past two seasons, even though he had a limited sample during the abbreviated 2020 campaign. He worked mainly as a starter in 2020, posting a career-best 4.29 ERA and 1.37 WHIP over 50.1 innings. His 5.22 xFIP and 5.44 SIERA suggest that some of his results were due to luck, but both marks were quite similar to his results from 2019. The right-hander averaged a strikeout rate over 20.0% during his first two years in the league, but he's been just above 12% over the past two seasons, while his walk rate has remained steady. Fedde posted a 54.2 GB% in 2020, and was relatively effective at limiting meaningful contact with a 32.5% hard-hit rate. The 28-year-old likely earned the chance to compete for a back-end starting role to begin the season. However, he could wind up serving as a swingman for Washington, which would limit his fantasy value in 2021.
Fedde made 11 starts for the Nationals when not in the minors or on the shelf with a shoulder injury. He wasn't particularly effective when called upon, finishing the season with a 5.54 ERA. His underlying numbers were in line with those of a back-end starter, matching his prospect reports. The righty's 21.2% strikeout rate and 10.1% walk rate were each worse than league average, though neither by a large amount, and he kept the ball on the ground fairly well at a 53.1% clip. He was hurt by the long ball when batters did manage to hit it in the air, however, giving up a 22.2% HR/FB rate, nearly double the league average. If that number regresses this season, Fedde should be able to eat innings at the back of the rotation without hurting the Nationals too much. He looks to be the team's sixth starter heading into the year.
Fedde has the best shot to break camp as Washington's No. 5 starter as of early January, but the Nationals would undoubtedly prefer a better option. Fedde is entering his age-25 season and has made just 21 starts above High-A. His limited experience as a starter in the upper levels is due largely to the Nationals using him as a reliever at Double-A and Triple-A for a good chunk of last season. His slider grades out as a plus pitch, but his 93-mph fastball and improved changeup are just average offerings. Fedde's development brings flashbacks to the days when A.J. Cole was seen as a potential mid-rotation arm, then hit a wall against upper-level hitting and now projects to be a permanent member of the Nationals' bullpen. Fedde will continue to be developed as a starter for now, but he is more likely to develop into a No. 5 starter or setup man than a No. 3 starter.
Few prospects have seen their stock rise more in the last 12 months than Fedde. The 2014 first-round pick continued recovering from Tommy John surgery with flying colors, throwing 121 innings between High-A and Double-A while posting combined 9.1 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 rates. His fastball returned to the mid-90s with excellent life, his slider flashed as a true out pitch, and he even showed improvement with his changeup. As he's already 23 years old, the Nats have little reason to continue babying him, and it wouldn't be a shock to see him fire his last few frames in the majors. The development of that changeup remains key to his long-term value, as without it Fedde could find himself trying to find a role as a dominant late-inning reliever instead of a starter, but with Giolito and Reynaldo Lopez now in Chicago, the path is cleared for Fedde to challenge for a full-time rotation spot as soon as 2018.
The 18th overall pick in the 2014 draft, Fedde slid out of the top 10 after undergoing Tommy John surgery to close an outstanding career at UNLV. Making his pro debut in late June with short-season Auburn, the right-hander made eight strong starts before a promotion to Low-A Hagerstown to finish the year, and scouting reports had him back in his pre-surgery form with a mid-90s fastball that can touch higher as well as a developing slider and changeup that both have the makings of plus pitches. The Nationals have done very well in handling Lucas Giolito's development following his TJ surgery, and while the college-trained Fedde is older than Giolito, the organization won't likely rush him through the system. Expect the 22-year-old to return to Low-A in 2016 and get a possible midseason promotion if he's earned it, with his major league debut coming no earlier than late 2017.
The Nationals selected Fedde in the first round of the 2014 first-year player draft knowing that he would be rehabbing from Tommy John surgery performed just a month earlier, but given their track record with players like Lucas Giolito, you have to give them some credit for knowing what they're doing. In college, Fedde displayed a low-90s sinking fastball that he could crank up to 96 mph when he needed to, along with a sharp slider and the makings of a useful changeup. If he returns from surgery without a hitch, and used his time off the mound to improve his strength and fitness as well as rehabbing his elbow, he could advance through the Nats' system as quickly as their ultra-cautious plan will allow him. The earliest he'll realistically be knocking on the door of the major league roster is 2018, but keeper league owners who aren't deterred by that timetable could wind up with a gem if they grab him now.
More Fantasy News
Drawing interest from MLB teams
PFree Agent
November 7, 2023
Fedde is drawing interest from MLB teams this winter after a successful 2023 season in the Korea Baseball Organization, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.
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Headed to Korea
PFree Agent
December 20, 2022
Fedde agreed to a one-year, $1 million contract with the NC Dinos of the Korea Baseball Organization on Tuesday, Jee-ho Yoo of the Yonhap News Agency reports.
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Non-tendered by Washington
PFree Agent
November 18, 2022
The Nationals declined to tender Fedde a contract for 2023, Mark Zuckerman of MASNSports.com reports.
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Shelled for nine runs
PWashington Nationals
October 6, 2022
Fedde (6-13) took the loss against the Mets on Wednesday, allowing nine runs on nine hits and two walks over 2.1 innings while striking out one.
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Allows four runs during loss
PWashington Nationals
September 25, 2022
Fedde (6-11) took the loss Saturday, allowing four runs on nine hits and one walk over 5.2 innings against the Marlins. He struck out four.
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