Freddy Peralta

Freddy Peralta

28-Year-Old PitcherSP
Milwaukee Brewers
2024 Fantasy Outlook
The right-hander was limited to 18 outings (17 starts) in 2022 due to lat and shoulder injuries, but he was able to stay healthy in 2023 and set career highs in starts (30) and innings (165.2). Peralta was one of the best strikeout pitchers in the league, with his 30.9 percent strikeout rate ranking fourth, and his .211 batting average against was also elite. However, a 1.4 HR/9 (double his 2022 figure) helped lead to a less impressive 3.86 ERA, though his 1.12 WHIP and 7.9 percent walk rate were also strong. A 16 percent HR/FB ratio was well above his career average entering the season, which could indicate some incoming positive regression after giving up 26 homers. Peralta's career-high workload sets him up for a potential ace-level campaign in 2024, especially if he's able to cut down the long balls closer to his career average of 1.1 HR/9. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#61
ADP
$Signed a five-year, $15.5 million contract extension with the Brewers in February of 2020. Contract includes team options for 2025 and 2026.
Strong in no-decision
PMilwaukee Brewers
July 20, 2024
Peralta allowed two hits and two walks while striking out eight over six scoreless innings in a no-decision versus the Twins on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
Peralta posted his third scoreless outing of the season. He's limited opponents to four hits or fewer in five of his last six starts, though this was just his third quality start in that span. The veteran right-hander is now at a 3.88 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 138:38 K:BB through 109 innings over 20 starts this season. His next outing is projected to be a favorable home start versus the Marlins.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
96
Last 10 Games
100
Last 5 Games
101
How many pitches does Freddy Peralta generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Freddy Peralta generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-5%
BAA vs LHP
2024
Even Split
2023
 
 
-3%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-35%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .205 730 206 68 134 30 3 19
Since 2022vs Right .215 720 228 51 140 22 0 27
2024vs Left .221 234 72 20 47 8 1 6
2024vs Right .220 219 66 18 42 4 0 8
2023vs Left .215 362 95 35 70 19 0 11
2023vs Right .209 318 115 19 61 11 0 15
2022vs Left .145 134 39 13 17 3 2 2
2022vs Right .222 183 47 14 37 7 0 4
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-8%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-25%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-21%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-42%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 3.95 1.00 184.2 13 10 0 11.7 2.4 1.2
Since 2022Away 3.64 1.24 168.0 9 9 0 10.3 3.8 1.1
2024Home 4.50 1.12 50.0 3 2 0 11.9 1.8 1.3
2024Away 3.36 1.20 59.0 3 3 0 11.0 4.3 1.1
2023Home 3.44 0.94 89.0 7 4 0 12.8 2.5 1.4
2023Away 4.34 1.32 76.2 5 6 0 9.7 3.4 1.4
2022Home 4.34 0.99 45.2 3 4 0 9.5 2.8 0.8
2022Away 2.51 1.11 32.1 1 0 0 10.6 3.6 0.6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Freddy Peralta compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.63
 
K/9
11.4
 
BB/9
3.1
 
HR/9
1.2
 
Fastball
94.4 mph
 
ERA
3.88
 
WHIP
1.17
 
BABIP
.307
 
GB/FB
1.05
 
Left On Base
73.6%
 
Exit Velocity
80.2 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.7%
 
Spin Rate
2312 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
21.2%
 
Swinging Strike
14.8%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
A lat strain put Peralta on the shelf for an extended period and shoulder fatigue cost him additional time late, with those issues conspiring to limit the righty to 18 appearances (17 starts) last season. This was after he made 27 starts in 2021, by far a career high after he'd spent most of the prior two seasons working in relief. Peralta showcased high-level stuff when available in 2022. In fact, his Statcast batted-ball numbers were off the charts in his 78-inning sample. His strikeouts took a step backward (from 33.6% to 27.1%), but he had success with all four of his pitches last season and projects to be firmly in the Brewers' rotation in 2023, health permitting. The 26-year-old has only cleared 100 big-league innings once so far and will be a candidate to move to relief full-time if he has another long-term injury, but the Brewers are likely holding out hope he can take the ball every fifth day.
Peralta has made the conversion from starter to reliever and back to starter with aplomb. After an impressive rookie showing, he struggled both in 2019 and 2020 with consistency, but always kept an uncanny ability to collect strikeouts with his deceptive fastball. Last winter, Peralta re-worked his slider in winter ball and unleashed hell on major-league hitters with it most of 2021, as the league hit .158 off the pitch while swinging and missing 43% of the time. He also dusted off his changeup, perhaps to give hitters a chance; it was the only one of his primary offerings the league hit over .160 against. The BABIP would give some pause, but his expected stats at a per-pitch level validate matters. Last season was the first in which Peralta shouldered any sort of workload. The skills are there, but the lack of workload track record should give you pause.
After starting the third game of the season a year ago Peralta pitched exclusively in relief, and his results were exceptional. In 26.1 innings over 14 relief appearances Peralta posted a 15.0 K/9, and of the 19 hits he allowed just two of them left the ballpark. At least part of that success can be attributed to the addition of a slider, and although it wasn't a dominant pitch, it made his sneaky fastball more effective than it was the year before. Peralta ditched his changeup but still went with his curveball 10 percent of the time, and with him now throwing three pitches with some regularity instead of two, and with him not turning 25 until June, there's still a chance he could rejoin the rotation. If he doesn't, expect him to be the primary bridge to the Brewers' talented back-end duo of Josh Hader and Devin Williams.
Peralta's stock was on the rise after a rookie year in which he posted an 11.0 K/9 and .178 BAA while working mainly as a starter, but he took a step back in his second season and bounced between the rotation and the bullpen before ultimately ending up in a relief role. Thanks mainly to a heater that comes in harder than it looks, Fastball Freddy continued racking up punchouts, and his K/9 went up in 2019, both when starting and relieving. However, he gave up far more hits and homers, which resulted in subpar results in both ratio categories. Peralta ended the season on a high note, posting a 1.86 ERA over eight September appearances and helping the Brewers secure a playoff spot. That could have him ticketed for a spot in the bullpen moving forward, but he will not turn 24 until this summer, so it seems likely he will get at least one more chance to prove he can be a quality starter at the top level.
Peralta burst onto the scene last year in his big-league debut, striking out 13 batters and allowing just one hit over 5.2 innings in Coors Field, of all places. Peralta averaged just 90.8 mph on his fastball last year, but that did not stop him from posting an 11.0 K/9 at the big-league level. With that velocity, Peralta’s success can be attributed to his deception, as he hides his pitches well from opposing hitters. That hasn’t been a pattern for sustained success in the past (think Ubaldo Jimenez, John Axford) but Peralta did throw in the mid-90s when working out of the bullpen late in the season, which gives him a nice long-term floor. He figures to compete for a rotation spot in the spring, but given the Brewers’ depth, it will be tough for him to secure a spot. If he doesn’t, he could work in relief at the big-league level or stay stretched out at Triple-A.
Peralta made steady improvements from 2014 through 2016, but he made a huge leap in 2017, dominating batters at both the High-A and Double-A ranks. A strong start to the season with High-A Carolina earned him a promotion to Double-A Biloxi, where he was even better. When it was all said and done, Peralta had struck out 169 batters over 120 innings while limiting opposing hitters to a minuscule .178 batting average. The only black mark on his ledger was a woeful walk rate that nearly touched 5.00. That is an area of concern for Peralta moving forward as he has struggled with free passes at nearly every level, as is his slight frame. However, Peralta's track record and strikeout potential give him tantalizing upside. If he is unable to reign in his control, his strikeout stuff should play just fine in a relief role.
Peralta was one of the lottery tickets acquired by the Brewers in the Adam Lind trade last winter. At just 6-foot and 168 pounds, he doesn't have the frame of the typical rotation prospect, but it's hard to argue with his results so far. In 16 appearances for Low-A Wisconsin, Peralta struck out 77 batters over just 60 innings en route to a 2.85 ERA. He took his lumps in eight games following a promotion to High-A Brevard County, but at 20 years old, there's no shame in that. He has issues with control but an arsenal that is nasty enough to rack up strikeouts. He'll never project as a top-of-the-rotation pitcher, but he could find himself starting in Milwaukee in a few years if he can improve his control.
More Fantasy News
Tagged for four runs in loss
PMilwaukee Brewers
July 12, 2024
Peralta (6-5) took the loss Friday against Washington, allowing four runs on 10 hits and no walks over five innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Lasts four innings in no-decision
PMilwaukee Brewers
July 7, 2024
Peralta did not factor into the decision in a loss to the Dodgers on Saturday, allowing three runs on four hits and three walks over four innings while striking out four.
ANALYSIS
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Notches eight strikeouts in win
PMilwaukee Brewers
June 30, 2024
Peralta (6-4) picked up the win Sunday against the Cubs, allowing one earned run on two hits and two walks while striking out eight over seven innings.
ANALYSIS
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Runs up pitch count in no-decision
PMilwaukee Brewers
June 24, 2024
Peralta allowed two runs on four hits and two walks while striking out six batters over five innings in a no-decision against Texas on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Throws six shutout innings
PMilwaukee Brewers
June 19, 2024
Peralta (5-4) earned the win over the Angels on Wednesday, allowing three hits and two walks while striking out eight over six shutout innings.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Ready for ace responsibility
PMilwaukee Brewers
March 21, 2024
Brewers pitching coach Chris Hook said Monday that Peralta is "starving for that limelight" of being the staff ace, reports Russell Dorsey of Yahoo Sports.
ANALYSIS
Milwaukee's pitching staff looks much different in 2024 with Corbin Burnes shipped to Baltimore and Brandon Woodruff out for the season due to shoulder surgery, so it will fully be Peralta's time to shine. The 27-year-old had a career-high workload last season with 30 starts and 165.2 innings, and he pitched well with a 3.86 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 210:54 K:BB. That production lines him up well to take advantage of the ace opportunity in front of him.
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