Javier Assad

Javier Assad

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago Cubs
2024 Fantasy Outlook
After a promising stint with Team Mexico in the World Baseball Classic over the offseason, Assad settled in as a valuable swing man for the Cubs in 2023, though his role limited his fantasy value. He appeared in 32 games for Chicago, making 10 starts, and he posted a solid 3.05 ERA and 1.23 WHIP with 94 strikeouts across 109.1 innings. Assad was useful in gobbling up innings out of the bullpen, but fantasy managers would rather see him start regularly than serve as a long reliever. That could happen in 2024, as veteran Marcus Stroman is a free agent and fellow veteran Drew Smyly struggled last year and may be ticketed for the bullpen at this point in his career. Hayden Wesneski is also still in the fold, though he didn't do a ton to stand out in 2023. The key question in spring training will be where the Cubs think Assad can make the biggest impact. If the righty is back in his swing role, fantasy managers may want to look elsewhere. However, if Assad breaks camp in the rotation, he could be ready for a breakout campaign. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#428
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Cubs in March of 2024.
Walks six in no-decision
PChicago Cubs
July 22, 2024
Assad did not factor into the decision in Monday's 3-1 win over Milwaukee, allowing one hit and six walks over 3.1 innings. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
Assad made his second appearance since returning from a forearm strain and was unable to locate the strike zone, issuing a career-worst six free passes and needing 76 pitches to record 10 outs. He's now yielded eight walks across 6.2 innings since coming off the IL. Overall, the Cubs righty sports a 3.15 ERA in 88.2 innings, but he may be unable to maintain that mark given his subpar 4.61 FIP and 4.2 BB/9. Assad is currently scheduled to make his next start against the Royals on the road this weekend.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2024 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
85
Last 5 Games
78
How many pitches does Javier Assad generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Javier Assad generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-9%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-22%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-12%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-30%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .226 489 107 50 97 16 3 14
Since 2022vs Right .247 512 98 52 112 25 2 15
2024vs Left .215 207 51 19 39 7 1 6
2024vs Right .275 179 30 22 42 11 0 6
2023vs Left .215 209 44 20 40 6 1 6
2023vs Right .245 240 50 21 53 12 2 7
2022vs Left .290 73 12 11 18 3 1 2
2022vs Right .202 93 18 9 17 2 0 2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-3%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-47%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-17%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-52%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 3.04 1.38 121.1 5 6 0 8.0 4.5 1.2
Since 2022Away 3.15 1.25 114.1 6 2 0 7.6 3.3 1.0
2024Home 2.20 1.38 45.0 2 1 0 7.4 5.0 0.8
2024Away 4.12 1.37 43.2 2 2 0 9.1 3.3 1.6
2023Home 3.30 1.32 60.0 2 3 0 8.4 3.6 1.4
2023Away 2.74 1.11 49.1 3 0 0 6.9 3.1 0.7
2022Home 4.41 1.65 16.1 1 2 0 8.3 6.1 1.7
2022Away 2.11 1.31 21.1 1 0 0 6.3 3.8 0.4
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Javier Assad compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.98
 
K/9
8.2
 
BB/9
4.2
 
HR/9
1.2
 
Fastball
91.8 mph
 
ERA
3.15
 
WHIP
1.38
 
BABIP
.290
 
GB/FB
1.25
 
Left On Base
84.6%
 
Exit Velocity
81.7 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.5%
 
Spin Rate
2017 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
24.3%
 
Swinging Strike
6.9%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2023 Fantasy Outlook
Assad made his MLB debut in 2022 and had some nice moments in a small sample size. He appeared in nine games and made eight starts, recording a 3.11 ERA and 1.46 WHIP with 30 strikeouts across 37.2 innings. Assad was good in two minor-league stops as well, posting a 2.51 ERA over 71.2 innings for Double-A Tennessee and a 2.95 ERA across 36.2 innings for Triple-A Iowa. He had a K/9 above 9.0 at each of those stops as well, so while his strikeouts dipped a bit in the majors, there could be room for growth there. The 25-year-old probably did enough to work his way into the team's 2023 Opening Day rotation mix. Veteran Marcus Stroman will lead the way, followed by Kyle Hendricks when healthy. Behind those two are the likes of Justin Steele, Keegan Thompson, Hayden Wesneski, Adbert Alzolay and Adrian Sampson. It's a muddled picture, but Assad certainly could emerge from that pack, and he'd be on the fantasy radar if he can continue his success from last year.
More Fantasy News
Pitch count limited in return
PChicago Cubs
July 14, 2024
Assad came away with a no-decision in the second game of Saturday's doubleheader against the Cardinals, giving up three runs on seven hits and two walks over 2.1 innings. He failed to strike out a batter.
ANALYSIS
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Activated, starting nightcap
PChicago Cubs
July 13, 2024
The Cubs reinstated Assad (forearm) from the 15-day injured list Saturday, Sahadev Sharma of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Pre-break return possible
PChicago Cubs
Forearm
July 7, 2024
Cubs manager Craig Counsell said Sunday that Assad (forearm) could be activated from the injured list prior to the All-Star break, Mike McGraw of the Chicago Daily Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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Throws bullpen session
PChicago Cubs
Forearm
July 5, 2024
Assad (forearm) will throw a bullpen session Friday, Andy Martinez of Marquee Sports Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Hits IL with strained forearm
PChicago Cubs
Forearm
June 27, 2024
The Cubs placed Assad on the 15-day injured list Thursday with a right forearm extensor strain, Maddie Lee of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Part of Cubs' future plans
PChicago Cubs
October 5, 2022
Assad will be in the mix for a rotation spot next season, reports Andy Martinez of Marquee Sports Network.
ANALYSIS
Assad wasn't mentioned much as a future rotation piece for the Cubs before this season, but a strong campaign in the minors led to a promotion to the big-league club in August. The 25-year-old made nine appearances -- eight starts -- for the Cubs this year and went 2-2 with a 3.11 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 30:20 K:BB in 37.2 innings. Peripheral numbers suggest he was fairly lucky and his below-average walk and strikeout rates imply he may not produce the same results in 2023. Nonetheless, he's impressed Cubs management and has a shot to break camp as a member of the Opening Day roster.
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