Joc Pederson

Joc Pederson

32-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Arizona Diamondbacks
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Pederson accepted the $19 million qualifying offer to remain in San Francisco for 2023, and he delivered an underwhelming performance with 15 homers and a .245/.348/.416 slash line, which was good for a 111 wRC+. He saw most of his playing time at designated hitter but retained outfield eligibility with 37 appearances, and he's unlikely to play the field much more than that going forward with minus-20 DRS across the last two years. Pederson improved his walk rate to 13.7 percent but posted a career-low .181 ISO despite a career-best 52.2 percent hard-hit rate, which resulted in a .263 xBA and .483 xSLG. A rebound in 2024 could be in store given those expected figures, especially if his new team has a more favorable home than pitcher-friendly Oracle Park. A .606 OPS in 52 plate appearances against lefties likely means the lefty-hitting Pederson is destined for a platoon role once again, regardless of where he signs. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#399
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $9.5 million contract with Diamondbacks in January of 2024. Contract includes $14 million mutual option ($3 million buyout) for 2025.
Tallies homer and steal
OFArizona Diamondbacks
June 14, 2024
Pederson went 2-for-4 with a homer, a steal, two RBI and two runs scored in Friday's 7-1 win over the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
Pederson collected his fourth steal, marking the most he's had in a season since 2017 (his career-high is six, set in 2016). The veteran lefty bat flashed his power too, tattooing a 425-foot solo homer off Michael Soroka in the seventh for the Diamondbacks' final run of the evening. The 32-year-old Pederson has found new life in Arizona, slashing .291/.387/.521 over 197 plate appearances with nine homers, 24 runs scored and 30 RBI this season.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
26
1
17
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+17%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+53%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
+30%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+21%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .728 119 15 4 15 0 .222 .345 .384
Since 2022vs Right .850 934 125 43 136 7 .266 .359 .491
2024vs Left 1.357 10 3 1 1 0 .286 .500 .857
2024vs Right .887 185 21 8 29 4 .291 .380 .506
2023vs Left .606 52 6 1 3 0 .186 .327 .279
2023vs Right .786 373 53 14 48 0 .241 .351 .435
2022vs Left .741 57 6 2 11 0 .245 .333 .408
2022vs Right .894 376 51 21 59 3 .278 .356 .538
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+3%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+21%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+13%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+8%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .848 508 71 22 80 2 .270 .354 .493
Since 2022Away .827 545 69 25 71 5 .253 .360 .466
2024Home .993 96 14 6 19 1 .321 .385 .607
2024Away .820 99 10 3 11 3 .259 .388 .432
2023Home .715 203 29 6 22 0 .232 .325 .390
2023Away .811 222 30 9 29 0 .238 .369 .442
2022Home .909 209 28 10 39 1 .284 .368 .541
2022Away .842 224 29 13 31 2 .264 .339 .503
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Stat Review
How does Joc Pederson compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.44
 
BB Rate
11.5%
 
K Rate
26.2%
 
BABIP
.362
 
ISO
.217
 
AVG
.286
 
OBP
.384
 
SLG
.503
 
OPS
.887
 
wOBA
.387
 
Exit Velocity
92.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
40.3%
 
Barrels/PA
6.1%
 
Expected BA
.271
 
Expected SLG
.447
 
Sprint Speed
20.3 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
39.3%
 
Line Drive %
22.3%
 
Fly Ball %
38.4%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Close to deal with Diamondbacks
OFFree Agent
January 25, 2024
The Diamondbacks are "very close" to agreeing to a contract with Pederson, Nick Piecoro of the Arizona Republic reports.
ANALYSIS
The terms of the deal are not yet known. Pederson hit a disappointing 15 home runs over 121 contests with the Giants last season but boasts a career .834 OPS against right-handed pitching. He would figure to see most of his playing time in the designated hitter spot versus righties.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Pederson joined the Giants on a one-year, $6 million deal in March and delivered an .874 OPS, 23 home runs and 70 RBI in 134 contests. The 144 wRC+ and .274 average are the best figures of his big-league career, and he also hit well against left-handed pitching with a .245/.333/.408 slash line, though that covers only 57 plate appearances. Pederson will likely reprise that exact same strong-side platoon role after accepting the Giants' qualifying offer. He also took a major step back defensively, which could result in him seeing more time at designated hitter, especially since the club added Mitch Haniger and Michael Conforto.
Pederson is a tough player to roster. He only provides some power from the left side of the plate. The steals are just about gone. He's never had a batting average over .250. Over the last two seasons, he's struggled to even get his on-base rate up to .300, and most importantly, there is the platoon issue. In his career, he has an .832 OPS against right-handers and a catcher-like .610 OPS against lefties. He has not had over 514 plate appearances since 2016. One change last year was that he quit pulling the ball as much (47.1% to 35.3%), but that led to a career-low 13.7 HR/FB%, with Pederson not taking advantage of short right-field porches. Also, after he posted a career-low 8.0 BB% in 2020, it didn't rebound this past season. The decline in power and walks might just be the start of the end.
Pederson's one-dimensional skill set and strict platoon role has long hampered his fantasy value, and a drop in both his home-run output and on-base numbers resulted in the left-handed hitter ending last season on the waiver wire in a majority of standard mixed leagues. Pederson continued to hit the ball hard -- his 93.0 mph average exit velocity ranked in the 96th percentile -- but a 9.2-point jump in his groundball rate (to a career-high 51.7%) resulted in fewer balls leaving the park. Once among baseball's most patient batters, Pederson has taken fewer walks in recent campaigns, culminating in a career-low 8.0 BB% and .285 OBP last season. Pederson could get more regular playing time and face more lefties after signing with the Cubs. His power potential is tantalizing, but he needs to show he's more than a platoon player with a limited skill set.
The Dodgers gave Pederson just 162 plate appearances against left-handers over the past three seasons. A trade to the Angels fell through in February, and the Dodgers are saying he will remain with the team, so expect Pederson to remain in a strict platoon role. With the new rules governing pitcher usage, Pederson stands to benefit a little bit as opposing managers will be reluctant to bring in a LOOGY with fewer than two outs. Pederson set a personal best with 36 homers, benefiting from the added-flight ball. His average exit velocity and launch angle were virtually the same as the prior year, but his average flyball distance was up seven feet, in line with the projected 5-to-10 feet of added distance from the reduction in drag. The caution is Pederson stands to suffer if MLB reverts to the 2018 version of the baseball. Assuming more is known about the ball in the spring, Pederson could be a target if it doesn't change, or potentially someone to avoid with the old ball.
Pederson enjoyed an offensive resurgence in 2018 after a disappointing 2017 season. The resurgence came from his power as he re-worked his swing to get more loft in his game. He improved his average launch angle from 10 degrees to 15 degrees year over year, while maintaining an already-solid exit velocity. The Dodgers do a good job of limiting Pederson's exposure to lefties since he has proven he can do little with them. The overall offensive rebound came from Pederson simply repeating what he did in 2016 against righties. The issue for him is that he has yet to put together back-to-back seasons of good production against righties. He has 20 or more home runs in three of the past four seasons against righties, but the .209, .269, .214, and .260 averages the past four seasons push or pull down his fantasy value in standard leagues. In OBP leagues, he still gets it done rather well.
2017 was an up-and-down year for Pederson. The outfielder hit .241/.361/.466 with nine homers in the first half before a .156/.253/.312 start to the second half led to his demotion to Triple-A Oklahoma City in the middle of August. His struggles continued for the remainder of the regular season (at Triple-A and with the Dodgers), and he finished out the second half with a .162/.278/.303 line in 43 games. Pederson turned things around in the postseason, however, hitting .304/.360/.826 with three homers in the final two series after being left off the NLDS roster. Most of his opportunities came against right-handed pitching last season due to his struggles against same-handed pitching, and given the depth that the Dodgers possess in the outfield, it's hard to see that changing in 2018. Still, he's a solid source of power late in drafts and is even more intriguing in leagues where OBP is used in place of batting average.
Plenty of questions awaited Pederson going into 2016, as the young outfielder had walked and homered his way into the 2015 All-Star Game, then struggled mightily in the second half. He acquitted himself well during his 2016 campaign, improving his contact rate from 66.7 percent to 75 percent. The latter figure is still below league average, but the Dodgers will certainly take it when bundled with Pederson's raw power. The improved contact led to fewer walks, but the extra hits made the change a net positive to his on-base percentage, along with improvements to batting average and slugging percentage. The Dodgers limited his exposure to lefties, as 399 of his 476 plate appearances came against right-handers. They could continue to do so in 2017, by platooning him with Trayce Thompson or Enrique Hernandez. Still, Pederson's power still gives him significant value, especially in leagues that use OBP in place of batting average.
A strong spring training both at the plate and in the field elevated Pederson to be the team's Opening Day center fielder, and he quickly rewarded the organization's confidence. Pederson hit .230/.364/.487 with 20 home runs before making the NL All-Star team and battling Todd Frazier in the Home Run Derby finals. From there Pederson hit just .178/.317/.300 with six homers after the break, ultimately losing playing time to Enrique Hernandez late in the season. Pederson has earned some Adam Dunn comparisons for his power as well as his propensity to take a walk (15.7-percent BB rate) and strike out (29.1 percent). He is unlikely to ever hit .300 given the strikeouts, but the power is real and he should show improvement in his sophomore campaign. Pederson should head to camp as the starting center fielder, but given his dismal second half, he's not a lock to keep the job through another prolonged slump.
The Dodgers' outfield depth kept Pederson at Triple-A for the bulk of 2014, even though he seemed ready to contribute at the big league level. Of some concern is that he struck out 26.9% of the time at Albuquerque, but Pederson has a good eye at the plate (100 walks, 18.1% BB%) and the combination of power and speed necessary to become a five-category star. He also showed significant improvement against lefties with the move from Double-A to Triple-A, striking out less against lefties than righties last season and posting a very similar batted ball profile in each split. Reaching the 30-30 plateau for the first time in his professional career at Triple-A, Pederson has nothing left to prove in the minors and should be on track to start in center field for the Dodgers on Opening Day.
Pederson solidified his status as arguably the organization's top position prospect, batting .278/.381/.497 for Double-A Chattanooga. That line included 22 home runs and 31 stolen bases to go with 70 walks. Pederson was considered for a 2013 callup at times, but his big league debut will instead likely come in 2014. The Dodgers have a crowded outfield, but Pederson's ability to play center field should get him a look at some point this season, a timetable that could move up if the front office finds a taker for one of the team's high-priced veterans currently on the roster.
Pederson was named the organization's 2012 minor league player of the year, as he broke out with a .313/.396/.516 performance for High-A Rancho Cucamonga. Pederson homered 18 times and stole 26 bases all while playing the entire year at age 20. The true test will come this year as Pederson makes the jump out of a hitter-friendly environment to Double-A where the pitching will be far more advanced. How he handles himself at the plate in 2013 will go a long way toward determining how we think about him long term, but 2012 was a step in the right direction.
More Fantasy News
Drives in five in rout
OFArizona Diamondbacks
June 14, 2024
Pederson went 2-for-5 with a walk, a home run, five RBI and an additional run scored in Thursday's 11-1 over the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Getting breather versus LHP
OFArizona Diamondbacks
June 11, 2024
Pederson isn't in Arizona's lineup for Tuesday's game versus the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Swipes bag in loss
OFArizona Diamondbacks
June 7, 2024
Pederson went 2-for-3 with a double and a stolen base in Friday's 10-3 loss to the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting versus southpaw
OFArizona Diamondbacks
June 4, 2024
Pederson is out of the lineup for Tuesday's game against the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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Taking seat against southpaw
OFArizona Diamondbacks
June 2, 2024
Pederson is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Mets.
ANALYSIS
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