Josiah Gray

Josiah Gray

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Washington Nationals
Out
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 9/1/2025
2025 Fantasy Outlook
There was no outlook written for Josiah Gray in 2025. Check out the latest news below for more on his current fantasy value.
$Signed a one-year contract with the Nationals in March of 2024.
Undergoes Tommy John surgery
PWashington Nationals
Elbow
July 24, 2024
Gray (elbow) underwent Tommy John surgery and an internal brace procedure Wednesday, Mark Zuckerman of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Gray's operation rules him out for the remainder of the 2024 campaign, and he'll likely be forced to miss most of 2025 as well. The 26-year-old righty will finish the season with 13 earned runs allowed over 8.1 innings across two starts.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
88
Last 10 Games
88
Last 5 Games
88
How many pitches does Josiah Gray generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Josiah Gray generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-41%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-17%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .261 650 148 92 144 22 3 37
Since 2022vs Right .241 741 158 59 159 32 2 25
2024vs Left .500 23 4 2 10 3 0 2
2024vs Right .294 21 5 3 5 2 0 0
2023vs Left .242 347 79 46 72 11 1 13
2023vs Right .261 351 64 34 80 18 0 9
2022vs Left .265 280 65 44 62 8 2 22
2022vs Right .221 369 89 22 74 12 2 16
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-38%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-21%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-46%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-33%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 6.05 1.60 131.0 6 14 0 8.7 5.1 2.1
Since 2022Away 3.75 1.32 185.0 9 11 0 8.8 3.7 1.6
2024Home 12.46 2.31 4.1 0 1 0 6.2 6.2 0.0
2024Away 15.75 2.50 4.0 0 1 0 13.5 4.5 4.5
2023Home 5.49 1.69 59.0 4 6 0 7.3 5.8 1.7
2023Away 2.97 1.32 100.0 4 7 0 8.6 3.8 1.0
2022Home 6.12 1.46 67.2 2 7 0 10.0 4.4 2.5
2022Away 4.11 1.27 81.0 5 3 0 8.8 3.7 2.1
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Josiah Gray compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.80
 
K/9
9.7
 
BB/9
5.4
 
HR/9
2.2
 
Fastball
92.6 mph
 
ERA
14.04
 
WHIP
2.40
 
BABIP
.473
 
GB/FB
0.69
 
Left On Base
40.7%
 
Exit Velocity
83.1 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.8%
 
Spin Rate
2034 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
28.8%
 
Swinging Strike
13.6%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Josiah Gray See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
On the surface, it might look like Gray took a significant step forward last year. He reached the 30-start plateau and stopped allowing quite as many home runs as his ERA dropped from 5.02 in 2022 to 3.91 in 2023. There is more to the story, though, and none of it is particularly encouraging. The most glaring issue is Gray's walk rate, which rose from 10.2 percent in 2022 to 11.5 percent in 2023, third-worst among the 58 major-league starters who logged more than 150 innings last season. Also concerning is that his strikeout rate fell from 23.7 percent in 2022 to 20.5 percent in 2023 despite various tweaks and modifications to his arsenal. A lack of command makes Gray a detriment when it comes to WHIP, and he doesn't miss enough bats to make up for it like a Blake Snell or Dylan Cease.
Gray completed his first full season in the majors with 28 starts and had a 5.02 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 154:66 K:BB across 148.2 innings. His strikeout and walk rates (23.7 and 10.2 percent, respectively) remained relatively unchanged from his first taste of the big leagues in 2021, and he also had the same HR/FB rate (18.6 percent). The subpar Washington defense didn't help his numbers, which is illustrated by his 4.57 xFIP. Now entering his age-25 campaign, the Nationals are likely banking on Gray taking a significant step forward in 2023, and he should be locked into a rotation spot as long as he stays healthy. His fantasy outlook is a bit less certain, but the potential and workload will be there in spades.
Gray reached the majors as a 23-year-old in 2021 and showed why he was a key piece in the Trea Turner deal. Gray has two excellent breaking balls that each generated whiffs 45% of the time or more and the league hit below .200 against both offerings. Those two pitches helped him strike out 25% or more of the hitters he faced at every stop throughout the minor leagues. It was not until he reached the majors that hitters became more disciplined and forced him to throw fastballs when down in the count and made him pay for it with 12 homers, a .282 average and .620 slugging percentage. All in all, he allowed 19 homers in 70.2 innings last season while struggling with his command, which marked the first time he had any such struggles to that extent. More consistent fastball command could allow him to take a big step forward in 2022 as a guaranteed member of the Nationals' rotation.
It's been a couple years since the Dodgers swindled the Reds in the deal that sent Gray to Los Angeles. They already flipped Jeter Downs to get Mookie Betts and Gray should start making an impact in the majors early this season. The converted shortstop has only been pitching full time for a few years, so it's quite the feat that he is not only close to big-league ready, but that he is a good bet to have a long career as a starting pitcher. The 6-foot-1 righty has a trio of above-average to plus offerings (fastball, slider, changeup) and his athleticism allows him to command his pitches quite well. He could have debuted last year if there was a need, and the Dodgers' internal depth could result in his debut coming as a swingman or reliever -- Dustin May's usage over the past couple years should be instructive. That usage may be frustrating early on, but eventually he should settle in as a rotation fixture.
From a fantasy standpoint, Jeter Downs was the jewel of the Dodgers' return from Cincinnati for Yasiel Puig, but Gray might have more real-life value. An athletic 6-foot-1 righty who has only been working as a starter for two years (dating back to college), Gray's mid-90s fastball remains his top offering, but his above-average slider and average changeup improved in his first full season. He does not generate groundballs at a high clip, but could end up with plus command/control. Gray climbed from Low-A (21.6 K-BB%) to High-A (25.1 K-BB%) and finished the year with an impressive run (18.6 K-BB%) as one of the youngest pitchers in the Texas League. The fact that he has come this far in less than two years in pro ball is incredibly impressive, and suggests that there is still more room for growth. He could reach the majors this summer as a reliever/swing man and could join the rotation full time in 2021.
More Fantasy News
Set for season-ending UCL surgery
PWashington Nationals
Elbow
July 19, 2024
Gray will undergo season-ending surgery Wednesday in Texas to repair a partial tear of the UCL in his right elbow, Andrew Golden of The Washington Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Moved to 60-day IL
PWashington Nationals
Elbow
July 5, 2024
The Nationals transferred Gray (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Friday, Andrew Golden of The Washington Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Timeline pushed back
PWashington Nationals
Elbow
July 2, 2024
Nationals manager Dave Martinez said Tuesday that the club will wait to send Gray (elbow) for an MRI until around the All-Star break, Spencer Nusbaum of The Washington Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Reports elbow discomfort
PWashington Nationals
Elbow
July 2, 2024
Gray experienced elbow discomfort and felt more fatigued than normal during Sunday's rehab start at Triple-A Rochester, Andrew Golden of The Washington Post reports. Gray will undergo testing in the coming days.
ANALYSIS
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Remaining on assignment
PWashington Nationals
Elbow
June 26, 2024
Manager Dave Martinez said Wednesday that Gray (elbow) will make one or two more rehab starts with Triple-A Rochester, Bobby Blanco of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Worth monitoring
PWashington Nationals
March 29, 2023
Gray is entering his age-25 campaign after a stellar spring training. Gray posted a 0.55 ERA over 16.1 innings, recording 14 strikeouts versus two walks.
ANALYSIS
Gray carries plenty of pedigree as a highly-touted arm, and 2022 marked his first full MLB campaign. There was a significant gulf between Gray's 5.03 ERA and 4.25 xERA last season, and he also generated solid strikeout and swing-and-miss statistics. He's a reasonable buy-low option to be mindful of.
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