2023 Stats
W-L
8-13
ERA
3.91
WHIP
1.46
K
143
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Gray completed his first full season in the majors with 28 starts and had a 5.02 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 154:66 K:BB across 148.2 innings. His strikeout and walk rates (23.7 and 10.2 percent, respectively) remained relatively unchanged from his first taste of the big leagues in 2021, and he also had the same HR/FB rate (18.6 percent). The subpar Washington defense didn't help his numbers, which is illustrated by his 4.57 xFIP. Now entering his age-25 campaign, the Nationals are likely banking on Gray taking a significant step forward in 2023, and he should be locked into a rotation spot as long as he stays healthy. His fantasy outlook is a bit less certain, but the potential and workload will be there in spades. Read Past Outlooks

Takes tough-luck loss
Gray (8-13) took the loss Tuesday, allowing one run on five hits and two walks over six innings against the Orioles. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
The 25-year-old's only blemish occurred on his seventh pitch when Gunnar Henderson launched a leadoff solo home run. However, Gray didn't receive any run support and was saddled with the loss in what was likely to be his final start of the 2023 campaign. Over his last three outings, the righty has impressed with a 2.08 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 21:5 K:BB across 17.1 innings, but he has a 1-2 record to show for it. In fact, Tuesday marked the seventh time this year that Gray came away with a loss or no-decision despite tossing five-plus innings while surrendering less than two earned runs. He'll close out his third big-league season with an 8-13 record, 3.91 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 143:80 K:BB across 159 innings in 30 starts.
The 25-year-old's only blemish occurred on his seventh pitch when Gunnar Henderson launched a leadoff solo home run. However, Gray didn't receive any run support and was saddled with the loss in what was likely to be his final start of the 2023 campaign. Over his last three outings, the righty has impressed with a 2.08 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 21:5 K:BB across 17.1 innings, but he has a 1-2 record to show for it. In fact, Tuesday marked the seventh time this year that Gray came away with a loss or no-decision despite tossing five-plus innings while surrendering less than two earned runs. He'll close out his third big-league season with an 8-13 record, 3.91 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 143:80 K:BB across 159 innings in 30 starts.
Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2023 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
91
Last 10 Games
89
Last 5 Games
85
How many pitches does Josiah Gray generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Josiah Gray generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2023
-7%
BAA vs LHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2021vs Left | .246 | 176 | 108 | 161 | 44 | |||
Since 2021vs Right | .242 | 197 | 71 | 190 | 35 | |||
2023vs Left | .242 | 79 | 46 | 72 | 13 | |||
2023vs Right | .261 | 64 | 34 | 80 | 9 | |||
2022vs Left | .265 | 65 | 44 | 62 | 22 | |||
2022vs Right | .221 | 89 | 22 | 74 | 16 | |||
2021vs Left | .221 | 32 | 18 | 27 | 9 | |||
2021vs Right | .252 | 44 | 15 | 36 | 10 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-39%
ERA on Road
2023
-46%
ERA on Road
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2021Home | 5.93 | 1.52 | 170.0 | 8.8 | 4.7 | ||||
Since 2021Away | 3.59 | 1.31 | 208.1 | 8.9 | 3.9 | ||||
2023Home | 5.49 | 1.69 | 59.0 | 7.3 | 5.8 | ||||
2023Away | 2.97 | 1.32 | 100.0 | 8.6 | 3.8 | ||||
2022Home | 6.12 | 1.46 | 67.2 | 10.0 | 4.4 | ||||
2022Away | 4.11 | 1.27 | 81.0 | 8.8 | 3.7 | ||||
2021Home | 6.23 | 1.36 | 43.1 | 8.9 | 3.7 | ||||
2021Away | 4.28 | 1.35 | 27.1 | 10.9 | 4.9 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Josiah Gray compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
1.79K/9
8.1BB/9
4.5HR/9
1.2Fastball
93.4 mphERA
3.91WHIP
1.46BABIP
.299GB/FB
1.02Left On Base
79.5%Exit Velocity
81.6 mphBarrels/BBE
5.7%Spin Rate
2075 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
23.2%Swinging Strike
11.3%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
Gray reached the majors as a 23-year-old in 2021 and showed why he was a key piece in the Trea Turner deal. Gray has two excellent breaking balls that each generated whiffs 45% of the time or more and the league hit below .200 against both offerings. Those two pitches helped him strike out 25% or more of the hitters he faced at every stop throughout the minor leagues. It was not until he reached the majors that hitters became more disciplined and forced him to throw fastballs when down in the count and made him pay for it with 12 homers, a .282 average and .620 slugging percentage. All in all, he allowed 19 homers in 70.2 innings last season while struggling with his command, which marked the first time he had any such struggles to that extent. More consistent fastball command could allow him to take a big step forward in 2022 as a guaranteed member of the Nationals' rotation.
More Fantasy News

Earns eighth win
Gray (8-12) earned the win Wednesday, allowing one run on five hits and three walks over five innings against the White Sox. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Season-high 10 strikeouts in loss
Gray (7-12) took the loss Thursday, allowing two runs on five hits over 6.1 innings against the Pirates. He struck out 10 and did not walk a batter.
ANALYSIS
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Returning to rotation Thursday
Gray is scheduled to return to the Washington rotation for a start Thursday against the Pirates at PNC Park.
ANALYSIS
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Goes four innings vs. Miami
Gray did not factor into the decision Sunday, allowing three runs on four hits and four walks over four innings against the Marlins. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Will stay on turn Sunday
Nationals manager Dave Martinez confirmed Thursday that Gray will start Sunday's series finale against the Marlins, Bobby Blanco of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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