Miguel Vargas

Miguel Vargas

24-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
Los Angeles Dodgers
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Vargas was a trendy pick in 2023 fantasy drafts as news emerged that he would be the Dodgers' Opening Day second baseman, but by mid-July he was back in the minors, where he remained for the remainder of the campaign. The heralded prospect struggled to a .195/.305/.367 slash line over 81 games, and the demotion came after he batted a paltry .079 (5-for-63) over his final 23 contests. Despite the disappointing stat line, there are reasons to believe that Vargas can succeed at the MLB level. He demonstrated refined plate discipline while up with the big club, posting a hearty 12.5 percent walk rate and a respectable 20.1 percent strikeout rate along with a borderline-elite 20.8 percent chase rate, per Statcast. Vargas didn't hit the ball hard consistently, but it's promising that of his 50 big-league hits last year, over half went for extra bases. Importantly, Vargas didn't sulk after being sent down, instead extending his run of minor-league success with an .886 OPS and 10 homers over 60 Triple-A contests. Los Angeles filled the void at second base following Vargas' demotion primarily by transitioning Mookie Betts from right field, and the experiment went smoothly enough that Betts will likely see considerable time at the keystone again in 2024. While that could limit Vargas' opportunities at the position, it may also mean that he gets reps in the corner outfield, where he logged some time down the stretch in the minors last season. It's unlikely that he'll be handed the keys to a starting spot out the gate as he was last year, but the Dodgers clearly still see Vargas as a part of their future, and he could earn a substantial role with a strong spring. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#414
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Dodgers in March of 2024.
Swats go-ahead homer
2BLos Angeles Dodgers
July 7, 2024
Vargas hit a solo home run as a pinch hitter in Saturday's 5-3 win over the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
Vargas batted for Gavin Lux in the eighth inning and came through with a solo blast to give Los Angeles a 4-3 lead. The 24-year-old has been very productive when given the opportunity this season, slashing .349/.408/.651 with three homers, four doubles, nine RBI, 10 runs and a stolen base over 49 plate appearances. Vargas hasn't been a consistent part of the lineup, however, as he's started just once across Los Angeles' past seven contests.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
3
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
2
4
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+14%
OPS vs LHP
2024
 
 
+64%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
+5%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+7%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .718 147 18 6 18 2 .205 .293 .425
Since 2022vs Right .630 272 32 5 31 3 .199 .292 .339
2024vs Left .974 30 4 2 4 0 .321 .367 .607
2024vs Right .594 36 6 1 5 1 .188 .250 .344
2023vs Left .696 93 11 3 10 2 .171 .301 .395
2023vs Right .662 210 25 4 22 1 .206 .306 .356
2022vs Left .471 24 3 1 4 0 .174 .167 .304
2022vs Right .439 26 1 0 4 1 .167 .231 .208
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+7%
OPS on Road
2024
 
 
+21%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+4%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+51%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .638 214 28 5 22 1 .196 .296 .342
Since 2022Away .684 205 22 6 27 4 .207 .288 .397
2024Home .856 27 5 2 4 0 .280 .296 .560
2024Away .708 39 5 1 5 1 .229 .308 .400
2023Home .658 149 19 2 15 1 .195 .324 .333
2023Away .684 154 17 5 17 2 .195 .286 .398
2022Home .406 38 4 1 3 0 .139 .184 .222
2022Away .614 12 0 0 5 1 .273 .250 .364
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Stat Review
How does Miguel Vargas compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.42
 
BB Rate
7.6%
 
K Rate
18.2%
 
BABIP
.261
 
ISO
.217
 
AVG
.250
 
OBP
.303
 
SLG
.467
 
OPS
.770
 
wOBA
.333
 
Exit Velocity
87.4 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
24.5%
 
Barrels/PA
4.5%
 
Expected BA
.223
 
Expected SLG
.386
 
Sprint Speed
23.5 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
28.6%
 
Line Drive %
22.4%
 
Fly Ball %
49.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Miguel Vargas See More
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21 days ago
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22 days ago
Gunnar Henderson and the Baltimore Orioles are one of the teams that is home for all seven games, as Todd Zola highlights the prime hitting matchups for the week of June 24-30.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2020
2019
Vargas is simply one of the best pure hitters who is still technically a prospect. He hit .304/.404/.511 with a 14.6 K%, 31.7 Hard% and 17 home runs in 113 games as a 22-year-old at Triple-A and predictably played sparingly during a cup of coffee in the majors. His team context - the Dodgers seemingly always have a few quality options for his positions (first base, third base, left field) - is by far the biggest knock on Vargas in the short term. Vargas is not thought of as a burner, but he stole 17 bases on 22 attempts and has a 94th percentile sprint speed, so he could at least be a 4.5-category contributor with regular playing time. He is talented enough to take the left field job and run with it early this season, but it's possible that the Dodgers' crowded depth chart leads to Vargas being a post-hype sleeper in 2024.
Always seen as a bat-first player with a strong hit tool, Vargas solidified himself as a top-50 prospect for dynasty leagues by hitting for significantly more power than he had to date against full-season pitching. He hit .319/.380/.526 with 23 home runs, a 16.4 K% and an 8.3 BB% in 120 games at High-A and Double-A. He was at least 40% better than the average hitter at each level and clearly has one of the better hit tools in the minors. Vargas will chase out of the zone a decent amount, but his ability to make contact and do damage on pitches in the zone allowed him to have a dominant season at an appropriate age (21) for his levels. Vargas got work at third base, second base and first base last season and could qualify at some combination of those positions in the majors. The Dodgers have a never-ending stream of infielders marching to the majors, but Vargas might be the best hitter of those who have yet to reach The Show. He will likely spend most of the year at Triple-A and could earn the call sometime this summer.
Vargas is a great hitter with an uncertain defensive home in an organization with seemingly unlimited depth on the position player side. This makes him a tricky player to evaluate for dynasty leagues. His 19.4 Hard% is a very poor mark for a player with his defensive profile, but considering over 35% of his hits went to the opposite field and he played half the year as a 19-year-old at High-A, we can excuse the lack of blistering contact for now. Vargas is a hitter first, and a power hitter second, but the power will have to come eventually for him to get playing time. As a 6-foot-3, 205-pound third baseman who throws and hits right-handed, it will be imperative that he maintains the lateral agility necessary to stick at the hot corner, as the Dodgers probably won't find room for a player of his ilk at first base. He kept his weight in check last season, which is an encouraging sign.
After a two-year absence from competitive baseball, Vargas burst onto the dynasty-league radar by leading the Pioneer League with a .394 AVG before earning a promotion to the Midwest League. Vargas, who turned 19 in November, defected from Cuba when he was 16 and signed with the Dodgers for $300,000 in September of 2017. He was too advanced for rookie-level pitchers, but met some resistance at Low-A. Vargas used the whole field at all three stops, but after his promotion to Low-A, his LD% plummeted from 25.3% to 17.9% and his GB% spiked from 38.0% to 51.8%, which largely explains his drop in production. Already 6-foot-3, 200 pounds, it is quite possible Vargas (R/R) will be a below-average defensive third baseman by the time he is big-league ready, but the Dodgers won't move him to first base until they absolutely have to. His offensive production has a chance to be good enough for mediocre defense to be tolerated at third base.
More Fantasy News
Goes yard in win
2BLos Angeles Dodgers
July 5, 2024
Vargas went 2-for-3 with a two-run home run, a walk and an additional run scored in Friday's 8-5 win over the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Called up from Triple-A
2BLos Angeles Dodgers
June 17, 2024
The Dodgers recalled Vargas from Triple-A Oklahoma City on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Demotion official
2BLos Angeles Dodgers
June 12, 2024
The Dodgers optioned Vargas to Triple-A Oklahoma City on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Set to return to minors
2BLos Angeles Dodgers
June 12, 2024
The Dodgers are expected to option Vargas to Triple-A Oklahoma City on Wednesday, Jack Harris of the Los Angeles Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Swipes bag Thursday
2BLos Angeles Dodgers
June 7, 2024
Vargas went 1-for-4 with a double, a walk, a stolen base and a run in Thursday's 11-7 victory versus Pittsburgh.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
May be in danger of demotion
2BLos Angeles Dodgers
July 7, 2023
Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said Friday that Vargas could be demoted to the minors if he continues to struggle offensively, Mike DiGiovanna of the Los Angeles Times reports.
ANALYSIS
The 23-year-old has been absent from the starting lineup in three of the Dodgers' last four games, with Mookie Betts instead getting the call at second base. Vargas brought considerable fantasy hype into the 2023 campaign, but he's slashing just .133/.235/.286 over his last 116 plate appearances dating back to May 26. His season OPS has fallen to .670.
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