Nick Lodolo

Nick Lodolo

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Cincinnati Reds
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Expectations were high for Lodolo entering his sophomore season, but he ended up making just seven starts before going down with a stress reaction in his left tibia. The southpaw appeared to be on the verge of a return in August, but a second stress reaction in the same tibia took a return off the table. Fortunately for Lodolo and the Reds, offseason surgery is not expected to be necessary. During his brief time on the field, Lodolo's stuff was down across the board. He allowed 10 home runs in 34.1 innings for an unsightly 27.0% HR/FB. Lodolo admitted in spring training that he was having some trouble adjusting to the pitch clock, so that may have played a factor. No matter how you slice it, it was a lost season for the 2019 No. 7 overall pick. He was still able to rack up the strikeouts even with diminished velocity last season (28.3 K%), and Lodolo is just entering his age-26 season. Cincinnati will have him take the ball every fifth day for as long as his body allows. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#256
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Reds in March of 2024.
Activated ahead of start
PCincinnati Reds
May 27, 2024
Lodolo (groin) was activated from the 15-day injured list Monday ahead of his scheduled start against the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
An extended bullpen session last Wednesday put Lodolo in the clear to return after the minimum, and without a rehab assignment. The left-hander has pitched brilliantly in between IL stints this season, posting a 3.34 ERA, 0.94 WHIP and 43:9 K:BB over 35 innings. While he may not be available for 90-plus pitches right away in his return, there has been nothing to suggest Lodolo will face any major restrictions against St. Louis.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
90
Last 10 Games
90
Last 5 Games
92
How many pitches does Nick Lodolo generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Nick Lodolo generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-42%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-23%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-34%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-57%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .154 103 37 8 14 3 0 1
Since 2022vs Right .265 644 184 50 150 25 4 25
2024vs Left .150 24 7 3 3 0 0 0
2024vs Right .196 116 36 6 21 6 0 3
2023vs Left .240 26 9 1 6 2 0 1
2023vs Right .361 140 38 9 44 5 1 9
2022vs Left .109 53 21 4 5 1 0 0
2022vs Right .252 388 110 35 85 14 3 13
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-10%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-45%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-73%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-44%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 4.29 1.47 105.0 6 6 0 11.3 3.0 1.4
Since 2022Away 3.86 1.00 67.2 3 4 0 11.8 3.1 1.3
2024Home 4.41 1.35 16.1 1 1 0 8.8 2.8 0.6
2024Away 2.41 0.59 18.2 2 1 0 13.0 1.9 1.0
2023Home 8.46 2.24 22.1 2 1 0 11.3 3.2 3.2
2023Away 2.25 0.83 12.0 0 0 0 14.3 1.5 1.5
2022Home 2.85 1.24 66.1 3 4 0 11.9 3.0 0.9
2022Away 5.11 1.27 37.0 1 3 0 10.5 4.1 1.5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Nick Lodolo compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.78
 
K/9
11.1
 
BB/9
2.3
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
93.7 mph
 
ERA
3.34
 
WHIP
0.94
 
BABIP
.274
 
GB/FB
1.21
 
Left On Base
69.4%
 
Exit Velocity
79.9 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.2%
 
Spin Rate
2390 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
20.0%
 
Swinging Strike
15.4%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Has talked extension with CIN
PCincinnati Reds
April 19, 2023
Lodolo has engaged in contract extension talks with the Reds, Charlie Goldsmith of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
Cincinnati signed Hunter Greene to a six-year, $53 million contract extension Tuesday and would surely like to lock up Lodolo to form a pair of long-term co-aces. There's also chatter about Graham Ashcraft being an extension candidate. Lodolo, 25, has pitched to a 3.89 ERA with 162 strikeouts through his first 125 major-league innings since debuting in 2022. He's currently under the Reds' control through 2027.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
The seventh overall pick in 2019, Lodolo is already paying dividends for Cincinnati. He began the 2022 season as the Reds' No. 5 starter but made just three starts before a back issue cropped up that would ultimately sidelined the lefty well beyond the initial estimated timetable. Once finally back, Lodolo pitched like a star in the making, posting a 2.92 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 21.3 K-BB% in 77 innings after the All-Star break. Lodolo sits around 94 mph with his fastball variations and can break off a nasty curveball to put hitters away. Hunter Greene gets most of the attention in the Reds' rotation, but Lodolo is arguably better equipped for major-league success right now given his secondary pitches and command of his arsenal.
Reports of Lodolo struggling at the alternate training site threw us off the scent, but he showed in 2021 that he can still make good on his potential as a mid-rotation starter, perhaps sooner than later. The lanky 6-foot-6 lefty logged a 2.31 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, a 78:11 K:BB and a groundball rate over 54% in 50.2 innings across 13 starts (11 at Double-A, two at Triple-A). A blister knocked him out of action for four weeks early in the summer and a shoulder strain ended his season in August, so Lodolo was unable to build up his innings to a satisfactory level in his first full season in the minors. In many ways, Lodolo is the antithesis of org. mate Hunter Greene, as he lacks high-octane stuff, but he has excellent command of four average or better pitches. His upper-80s slider and low-to-mid-90s sinker are his bread and butter offerings, enabling him to miss enough bats while generating weak contact. The Reds have already made it clear that Lodolo will get to compete for a rotation spot this spring. Barring some big trades after the lockout, he will likely head back to Triple-A, but chances are he will make more appearances in the majors than in the minors.
The consensus top college starter in a very weak 2019 pitching class, Lodolo was seen as more floor than ceiling, already possessing three average or better pitches and potentially plus command. At 6-foot-6, 205 pounds, he was also seen as projectable by college hurler standards. When the Driveline crew took over Reds pitching development, it seemed that projection might become a reality, but so far that has not been the case. Reports from the Reds' alternate training site weren't very promising, as he didn't show up in tip top baseball shape and his fastball was quite hittable as a result. The lanky lefty has typically sat in the low-90s, which means he really needs to spot his pitches against advanced hitters. His curveball has plus potential, but his changeup and fastball lag behind. There is still a chance his stuff will tick up, and it will need to if he is to develop into more than a No. 4 starter.
Despite being the consensus top pitcher heading into the 2019 draft, Lodolo was seen as more floor than ceiling -- a "safe" college arm. After striking out 30 and walking none in an 18.1-inning pro debut across the Pioneer League and Midwest League, it's fair to wonder if the 6-foot-6 southpaw out of TCU offers a bit more upside than initially believed. Lodolo pairs a low-90s fastball with two above-average secondaries (slider, changeup). He was already a candidate for added velocity, given his wiry frame and good mechanics, and with the Reds hiring Kyle Boddy of Driveline Baseball as pitching coordinator, Lodolo adding a tick or two to his fastball seems more likely than not. By the time he reaches the majors, Lodolo could have three plus pitches and plus command, which would make him a No. 2 starter. He is on track to spend most of his first full season in the upper levels, setting up a 2021 MLB debut.
More Fantasy News
Still on track for Monday return
PCincinnati Reds
Groin
May 23, 2024
Lodolo (groin) threw a successful extended bullpen session Wednesday and is set to throw off the mound again Saturday, Charlie Goldsmith of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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Extended bullpen on tap
PCincinnati Reds
Groin
May 21, 2024
Reds manager David Bell said Tuesday that Lodolo (groin) will throw an extended bullpen session within the next day or two, Charlie Goldsmith of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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Optimistic for minimum IL stay
PCincinnati Reds
Groin
May 15, 2024
Lodolo, who was placed on the 15-day injured list Wednesday with a left groin strain, is hopeful that he'll require only a minimum-length stay on the shelf, Mark Sheldon of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Lands on IL with groin strain
PCincinnati Reds
Groin
May 15, 2024
The Reds placed Lodolo on the 15-day injured list Wednesday with a left groin strain.
ANALYSIS
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Gives up grand slam in loss
PCincinnati Reds
May 11, 2024
Lodolo (3-2) took the loss Saturday versus the Giants, allowing four runs on five hits and a walk while striking out six over six innings.
ANALYSIS
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