Ryne Nelson

Ryne Nelson

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Arizona Diamondbacks
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Nelson worked as a back-end starter for Arizona in 2023, but it was an underwhelming rookie campaign with a 5.31 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 96:46 K:BB across 144 innings. His 7.4 percent walk rate was solid and consistent with his time in the minors, but he had a 15.5 percent strikeout rate and a 1.5 HR/9. He still made the postseason roster and had a minimal role prior to the World Series, when he allowed just one run over 5.1 frames of valuable long relief in Game 4. Despite that strong finish, Nelson likely won't enter 2024 with any guarantee for a rotation spot, especially since Arizona made additions in free agency. However, the right-hander still has plenty of upside and was encouragingly less reliant on his fastball last season, and he could be a solid back-end piece in 2024 if he's able to better utilize his secondary offerings. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#417
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Diamondbacks in March of 2024.
Steady in no-decision
PArizona Diamondbacks
July 12, 2024
Nelson allowed three runs on five hits and struck out five without walking a batter over seven innings in a no-decision versus the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
After an inconsistent June, Nelson has settled down in July. He's allowed five runs and posted a 13:2 K:BB over 18.2 innings across his last three starts, though he has just one win in that span. The right-hander is nevertheless trending in the right direction, with his ERA now at 4.98 to go with a 1.42 WHIP and 59:20 K:BB over 86.2 innings this season.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
83
Last 10 Games
86
Last 5 Games
82
How many pitches does Ryne Nelson generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Ryne Nelson generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-8%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-28%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-6%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-15%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .267 526 77 46 125 31 10 17
Since 2022vs Right .290 539 94 26 146 33 7 19
2024vs Left .247 188 26 11 43 10 2 7
2024vs Right .341 190 33 9 60 15 4 3
2023vs Left .294 304 42 33 77 19 8 9
2023vs Right .276 314 54 13 82 18 2 15
2022vs Left .156 34 9 2 5 2 0 1
2022vs Right .133 35 7 4 4 0 1 1
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-50%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-38%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-58%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-100%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 6.85 1.69 109.0 5 9 0 5.8 3.1 1.3
Since 2022Away 3.41 1.14 140.0 10 6 0 6.5 2.3 1.3
2024Home 6.21 1.57 42.0 3 3 0 6.4 1.7 0.4
2024Away 3.83 1.28 44.2 3 3 0 5.8 2.4 1.6
2023Home 8.25 1.92 55.2 2 5 0 5.0 3.7 1.9
2023Away 3.46 1.11 88.1 6 3 0 6.6 2.3 1.2
2022Home 2.38 0.97 11.1 0 1 0 7.1 4.8 1.6
2022Away 0.00 0.57 7.0 1 0 0 9.0 0.0 0.0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Ryne Nelson compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.95
 
K/9
6.1
 
BB/9
2.1
 
HR/9
1.0
 
Fastball
95.0 mph
 
ERA
4.98
 
WHIP
1.42
 
BABIP
.334
 
GB/FB
1.40
 
Left On Base
67.0%
 
Exit Velocity
83.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.1%
 
Spin Rate
2233 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
22.5%
 
Swinging Strike
8.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2023 Fantasy Outlook
Nelson's 2022 season was quite the roller coaster. He gave up 43 earned runs over a 53.1-inning stretch from mid-April to mid-June, righted the ship somewhat over the next couple months, excelled over three MLB starts and ended the season on the injured list with shoulder inflammation. His struggles in the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League shouldn't be a prohibitive factor in his 2023 outlook, especially given that he had success at Double-A and in a small MLB sample. Nelson threw his plus fastball (touches 98 mph, excellent rising action) 70% of the time while mixing in a couple breaking balls and a changeup. He showed impressive flashes against quality big-league hitters and should break camp in Arizona's rotation if his shoulder issue is in the rearview mirror. There is some risk that his reliance on his fastball will be exploited as hitters see him a second time, but Nelson has legitimately good stuff and size (6-foot-3, 184 pounds) and a clear opportunity.
More Fantasy News
Cruises by Padres
PArizona Diamondbacks
July 8, 2024
Nelson (6-6) got the win over the Padres on Sunday, allowing one run on three hits and a walk while striking out five over 6.2 innings.
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Pitches well Tuesday
PArizona Diamondbacks
July 2, 2024
Nelson allowed one run on six hits and a walk while striking out three over five innings in a no-decision versus the Dodgers on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Pitching behind opener
PArizona Diamondbacks
July 2, 2024
Nelson will pitch behind opener Joe Mantiply against the Dodgers on Tuesday, Theo Mackie of The Arizona Republic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Crushed for six runs
PArizona Diamondbacks
June 27, 2024
Nelson (5-6) was charged with the loss against Minnesota on Wednesday, allowing six runs on 10 hits over 3.2 innings while striking out three.
ANALYSIS
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Highly efficient in win
PArizona Diamondbacks
June 20, 2024
Nelson (5-5) earned the win Thursday, allowing two runs on three hits in seven innings against the White Sox. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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