Spencer Turnbull

Spencer Turnbull

31-Year-Old PitcherSP
Philadelphia Phillies
2024 Fantasy Outlook
After missing the whole 2022 season following Tommy John surgery, Turnbull made his return in 2023 but struggled to ever get on track. The veteran righty was limited to just 15 total starts in the majors and minors combined as he dealt with neck and toe injuries. When healthy, Turnbull didn't perform particularly well, turning in a 7.26 ERA and 1.68 WHIP across 31 innings for the Tigers. He only struck out 24 batters as well and his fastball was down a few ticks from when he last pitched in 2021. Turnbull was non-tendered by Detroit in November, meaning he'll now likely find a new home for the first time in his professional career. With the 31-year-old still trying to find his form following his surgery, he'll probably have to settle for a minor-league deal and will have to work his way into an MLB rotation. Turnbull had some success earlier in his tenure with Detroit, but at this point, he is off the fantasy radar until further notice. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#597
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $2 million contract with the Phillies in February of 2024. Contract includes up to $2 million incentives.
Starting Tuesday
PPhiladelphia Phillies
April 28, 2024
Manager Rob Thomson said Turnbull will start Tuesday's game against the Angels, Alex Coffey of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
At least to begin the upcoming week, the Phillies will keep a six-man rotation in place following the return of Taijuan Walker from the injured list Sunday. In order to keep Turnbull in the fold in a starting role, the Phillies will move Zack Wheeler's next start to Wednesday and Aaron Nola's to Friday. Thomson said that he wanted to give Wheeler and Nola some extra rest ahead of their next starts, adding that he's not inclined to go with a six-man rotation moving forward. However, keeping a six-man rotation in place for this week will buy Thomson one more opportunity to evaluate Turnbull and Walker, with how either pitcher performs in their upcoming start perhaps determining which of the two sticks around as part of a five-man rotation. Turnbull has dazzled thus far with a 1.33 WHIP, 0.85 WHIP and 30:10 K:BB in 27 innings through five starts, but the Phillies are conscious of monitoring his workload after he missed the 2022 season while recovering from Tommy John surgery before tossing just 57 total innings between the majors and minors in 2023 while missing time with a neck injury.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
87
Last 5 Games
87
How many pitches does Spencer Turnbull generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Spencer Turnbull generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-6%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-39%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-18%
BAA vs RHP
2022
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .231 132 27 10 28 8 0 6
Since 2022vs Right .218 119 27 15 22 6 0 1
2024vs Left .104 53 15 4 5 1 0 2
2024vs Right .170 53 15 6 8 3 0 0
2023vs Left .315 79 12 6 23 7 0 4
2023vs Right .259 66 12 9 14 3 0 1
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-29%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-51%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-29%
ERA at Home
2022
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 3.77 1.10 31.0 2 3 0 6.7 3.8 1.2
Since 2022Away 5.33 1.52 27.0 1 1 0 10.3 4.0 1.0
2024Home 1.69 0.88 16.0 2 0 0 9.0 3.4 0.6
2024Away 0.82 0.82 11.0 0 0 0 11.5 3.3 0.8
2023Home 6.00 1.33 15.0 0 3 0 4.2 4.2 1.8
2023Away 8.44 2.00 16.0 1 1 0 9.6 4.5 1.1
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Spencer Turnbull compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.00
 
K/9
10.0
 
BB/9
3.3
 
HR/9
0.7
 
Fastball
91.8 mph
 
ERA
1.33
 
WHIP
0.85
 
BABIP
.193
 
GB/FB
1.63
 
Left On Base
89.1%
 
Exit Velocity
82.4 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.3%
 
Spin Rate
2492 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
24.6%
 
Swinging Strike
10.1%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Receiving another start?
PPhiladelphia Phillies
April 28, 2024
Turnbull could be an option to start Tuesday against the Angels, according to Corey Seidman of NBC Sports Philadelphia.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander was set to shift to the bullpen due to Taijuan Walker returning from the injured list for his season debut Sunday, but it appears Turnbull may receive another start. The 31-year-old has certainly earned the opportunity, as he has a 1.33 ERA, 0.85 WHIP and 30:10 K:BB across 27 frames in five starts this season. Turnbull could receive more consistent starting chances of the Phillies shift to a six-man rotation, but that's not likely in the immediate future with scheduled off days each of the next two Thursdays.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Following Tommy John surgery in July 2021, Turnbull missed the entire 2022 season, though he should be ready to go for the start of spring training in 2023. When we last saw the righty, he posted a solid 2.88 ERA and 0.98 WHIP, though he only logged 50 innings before getting shut down. The year before that was the condensed 2020 campaign, in which Turnbull posted a 3.97 ERA across 56.2 innings. You have to go back to 2019 to find anything resembling a normal starter's workload. That year, Turnbull posted a 4.61 ERA and 1.44 WHIP while striking out 146 across 148.1 innings, which stands as his career high for innings. Considering how little we've seen of Turnbull the past few seasons, it's hard to project what kind of results he's capable of. He's had some success at the MLB level, so fantasy managers may want to keep an eye on him if he gets hot, but expectations should be tempered.
Turnbull pitched surprisingly excellent baseball through nine starts in 2021 before his body failed him. He opened the season 4-2 over those nine starts with a 2.88 ERA (2.95 FIP) and 0.98 WHIP while holding the opposition to a .201 batting average. All the growing pains from his ugly 2019 season and the ups and downs of the sprint through 2020 were beginning to be rewarded until he could not answer the bell after the fourth inning of his final outing. The elbow pain was diagnosed as a UCL tear and Turnbull had Tommy John surgery July 31, which means he will very likely miss the entirety of the 2022 season. Turnbull could be back on the fantasy radar sometime in 2023 once he is two full seasons removed from his surgery.
Turnbull is the kind of pitcher that would get us excited in years past when our access to stats was mostly limited to what was on a baseball card. He went .500 for a bad team with a sub-4.00 ERA, a high groundball rate, nary a home run and nearly a strikeout per inning. Below the surface, things do not look as nice. He walks too many batters, gives up quite a bit of hard contact and his outcomes were better than what a pitcher with a 9.1 K-BB% normally enjoys. Nearly every expected stat in his profile portends bad things in 2021 if he repeats the issues with walks from 2020. Conversely, if he found better command and could lean more on his awesome slider, he could take a significant step forward in 2021. The potential is there for this talented arm to go either way, but you should lean toward another year of growing pains.
You have to feel for a guy who posts a 3.99 FIP and goes 3-17 on the season over 30 starts. Turnbull had a 22.3 K% last year, but the 9.0 BB% led to a high WHIP. Around those issues, he had nine quality starts and had eight starts where he struck out at least seven batters. He lives off his fastball and breaking balls, which help him hold righties at bay, as they have a .234/.325/.380 slash line against him in the majors. Lefties fare better against him (.296/.364/.432) because Turnbull has yet to come up with an effective pitch that either fades away or cuts in. He has worked on a cutter to give him something against lefties, but either that pitch or finding a changeup is needed for him to narrow his splits. He is better than his W-L record indicates, but there is still room for improvement.
Turnbull earned his first big-league callup in September, starting three games for the Tigers and appearing in another one in relief. He struggled to a 6.06 ERA, a result that isn't too surprising considering he'd only ever made two starts at the Triple-A level prior to his promotion. His underlying numbers in his small sample were actually quite promising, as he struck out a roughly average 21.7% of batters while walking just 5.8%, leading to a 2.85 FIP. His true talent undoubtedly lies somewhere in the large space between his ERA and FIP. On a rebuilding Tigers team, he may be given the chance to show what he can do over a larger sample. The 26-year-old didn't project as anything more than a back-end starter as a prospect, with poor control and no standout secondary pitches.
More Fantasy News
Strikes out eight Wednesday
PPhiladelphia Phillies
April 24, 2024
Turnbull didn't factor into the decision Wednesday against Cincinnati, allowing one run on three hits and three walks over five innings. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
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Move to bullpen coming soon
PPhiladelphia Phillies
April 22, 2024
Phillies manager Rob Thomson implied Friday that Turnbull will likely move to the bullpen after he starts Wednesday's game in Cincinnati, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Stellar vs. White Sox
PPhiladelphia Phillies
April 19, 2024
Turnbull (2-0) earned the win Friday against the White Sox, allowing one hit and two walks over seven scoreless innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Takes step back Saturday
PPhiladelphia Phillies
April 14, 2024
Turnbull came away with a no-decision Saturday, giving up three runs on four hits and four walks over four-plus innings in a 4-3 win over the Pirates. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Fires six shutout innings
PPhiladelphia Phillies
April 8, 2024
Turnbull did not factor in the decision during Monday's win against St. Louis. He allowed two hits and a walk over six shutout frames while recording six strikeouts.
ANALYSIS
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