Spencer Turnbull

Spencer Turnbull

31-Year-Old PitcherSP
Philadelphia Phillies
2024 Fantasy Outlook
After missing the whole 2022 season following Tommy John surgery, Turnbull made his return in 2023 but struggled to ever get on track. The veteran righty was limited to just 15 total starts in the majors and minors combined as he dealt with neck and toe injuries. When healthy, Turnbull didn't perform particularly well, turning in a 7.26 ERA and 1.68 WHIP across 31 innings for the Tigers. He only struck out 24 batters as well and his fastball was down a few ticks from when he last pitched in 2021. Turnbull was non-tendered by Detroit in November, meaning he'll now likely find a new home for the first time in his professional career. With the 31-year-old still trying to find his form following his surgery, he'll probably have to settle for a minor-league deal and will have to work his way into an MLB rotation. Turnbull had some success earlier in his tenure with Detroit, but at this point, he is off the fantasy radar until further notice. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#597
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $2 million contract with the Phillies in February of 2024. Contract includes up to $2 million incentives.
Takes step back Saturday
PPhiladelphia Phillies
April 14, 2024
Turnbull came away with a no-decision Saturday, giving up three runs on four hits and four walks over four-plus innings in a 4-3 win over the Pirates. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander was looking good through four innings but failed to get an out in the fifth, allowing a leadoff single to Alika Williams, a two-run homer to Oneil Cruz and a walk to Bryan Reynolds before getting the hook. Turnbull tossed 48 of 88 pitches for strikes as he gave up his first earned runs of the season, and through three starts he still sports a 1.80 ERA, 0.93 WHIP and 16:5 K:BB in 15 innings. He'll try to get back on track against a familiar foe, as the former Tiger lines up to make his next start at home next weekend against the White Sox.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
84
Last 10 Games
84
Last 5 Games
84
How many pitches does Spencer Turnbull generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Spencer Turnbull generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
Even Split
2024
 
 
-68%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-18%
BAA vs RHP
2022
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .253 109 20 9 25 8 0 5
Since 2022vs Right .253 97 20 11 21 6 0 1
2024vs Left .077 30 8 3 2 1 0 1
2024vs Right .241 31 8 2 7 3 0 0
2023vs Left .315 79 12 6 23 7 0 4
2023vs Right .259 66 12 9 14 3 0 1
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-21%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-100%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-29%
ERA at Home
2022
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 4.88 1.29 24.0 1 3 0 6.4 4.1 1.5
Since 2022Away 6.14 1.59 22.0 1 1 0 9.4 3.7 0.8
2024Home 3.00 1.22 9.0 1 0 0 10.0 4.0 1.0
2024Away 0.00 0.50 6.0 0 0 0 9.0 1.5 0.0
2023Home 6.00 1.33 15.0 0 3 0 4.2 4.2 1.8
2023Away 8.44 2.00 16.0 1 1 0 9.6 4.5 1.1
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Spencer Turnbull compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.20
 
K/9
9.6
 
BB/9
3.0
 
HR/9
0.6
 
Fastball
92.1 mph
 
ERA
1.80
 
WHIP
0.93
 
BABIP
.233
 
GB/FB
1.73
 
Left On Base
79.4%
 
Swinging Strike
9.4%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Now represented by Boras
PDetroit Tigers
May 12, 2023
Turnbull is now being represented by Scott Boras, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
ANALYSIS
Turnbull had previously been represented by Kent Matthes. The change comes with Turnbull set to hit free agency after the 2024 season with one more year of arbitration eligibility left for the right-hander. In seven appearances thus far for the Tigers, Turnbull has struggled to a 7.26 ERA and 24:15 K:BB over 31 innings after missing all of the 2022 season while recovering from Tommy John surgery. He's currently out with a neck issue.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Following Tommy John surgery in July 2021, Turnbull missed the entire 2022 season, though he should be ready to go for the start of spring training in 2023. When we last saw the righty, he posted a solid 2.88 ERA and 0.98 WHIP, though he only logged 50 innings before getting shut down. The year before that was the condensed 2020 campaign, in which Turnbull posted a 3.97 ERA across 56.2 innings. You have to go back to 2019 to find anything resembling a normal starter's workload. That year, Turnbull posted a 4.61 ERA and 1.44 WHIP while striking out 146 across 148.1 innings, which stands as his career high for innings. Considering how little we've seen of Turnbull the past few seasons, it's hard to project what kind of results he's capable of. He's had some success at the MLB level, so fantasy managers may want to keep an eye on him if he gets hot, but expectations should be tempered.
Turnbull pitched surprisingly excellent baseball through nine starts in 2021 before his body failed him. He opened the season 4-2 over those nine starts with a 2.88 ERA (2.95 FIP) and 0.98 WHIP while holding the opposition to a .201 batting average. All the growing pains from his ugly 2019 season and the ups and downs of the sprint through 2020 were beginning to be rewarded until he could not answer the bell after the fourth inning of his final outing. The elbow pain was diagnosed as a UCL tear and Turnbull had Tommy John surgery July 31, which means he will very likely miss the entirety of the 2022 season. Turnbull could be back on the fantasy radar sometime in 2023 once he is two full seasons removed from his surgery.
Turnbull is the kind of pitcher that would get us excited in years past when our access to stats was mostly limited to what was on a baseball card. He went .500 for a bad team with a sub-4.00 ERA, a high groundball rate, nary a home run and nearly a strikeout per inning. Below the surface, things do not look as nice. He walks too many batters, gives up quite a bit of hard contact and his outcomes were better than what a pitcher with a 9.1 K-BB% normally enjoys. Nearly every expected stat in his profile portends bad things in 2021 if he repeats the issues with walks from 2020. Conversely, if he found better command and could lean more on his awesome slider, he could take a significant step forward in 2021. The potential is there for this talented arm to go either way, but you should lean toward another year of growing pains.
You have to feel for a guy who posts a 3.99 FIP and goes 3-17 on the season over 30 starts. Turnbull had a 22.3 K% last year, but the 9.0 BB% led to a high WHIP. Around those issues, he had nine quality starts and had eight starts where he struck out at least seven batters. He lives off his fastball and breaking balls, which help him hold righties at bay, as they have a .234/.325/.380 slash line against him in the majors. Lefties fare better against him (.296/.364/.432) because Turnbull has yet to come up with an effective pitch that either fades away or cuts in. He has worked on a cutter to give him something against lefties, but either that pitch or finding a changeup is needed for him to narrow his splits. He is better than his W-L record indicates, but there is still room for improvement.
Turnbull earned his first big-league callup in September, starting three games for the Tigers and appearing in another one in relief. He struggled to a 6.06 ERA, a result that isn't too surprising considering he'd only ever made two starts at the Triple-A level prior to his promotion. His underlying numbers in his small sample were actually quite promising, as he struck out a roughly average 21.7% of batters while walking just 5.8%, leading to a 2.85 FIP. His true talent undoubtedly lies somewhere in the large space between his ERA and FIP. On a rebuilding Tigers team, he may be given the chance to show what he can do over a larger sample. The 26-year-old didn't project as anything more than a back-end starter as a prospect, with poor control and no standout secondary pitches.
More Fantasy News
Fires six shutout innings
PPhiladelphia Phillies
April 8, 2024
Turnbull did not factor in the decision during Monday's win against St. Louis. He allowed two hits and a walk over six shutout frames while recording six strikeouts.
ANALYSIS
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Dazzles in debut
PPhiladelphia Phillies
April 2, 2024
Turnbull (1-0) earned the win in Tuesday's 9-4 over the Reds after allowing one unearned run on three hits while striking out seven over five innings.
ANALYSIS
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Slated for 80-to-85 pitches
PPhiladelphia Phillies
April 2, 2024
Phillies manager Rob Thomson said that Turnbull prepared for 80-to-85 pitches during Tuesday's start against the Reds, Alex Coffey of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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Making first start Tuesday
PPhiladelphia Phillies
March 28, 2024
Turnbull secured a spot in the Phillies' Opening Day rotation and is scheduled to make his first start Tuesday versus the Reds in Philadelphia, Todd Zolecki of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Could open season in rotation
PPhiladelphia Phillies
March 24, 2024
Taijuan Walker's shoulder injury could push Turnbull into the Phillies' rotation to begin the season, Todd Zolecki of MLB.comreports.
ANALYSIS
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