Spencer Turnbull

Spencer Turnbull

30-Year-Old PitcherSP
Detroit Tigers
2022 Fantasy Outlook
Turnbull pitched surprisingly excellent baseball through nine starts in 2021 before his body failed him. He opened the season 4-2 over those nine starts with a 2.88 ERA (2.95 FIP) and 0.98 WHIP while holding the opposition to a .201 batting average. All the growing pains from his ugly 2019 season and the ups and downs of the sprint through 2020 were beginning to be rewarded until he could not answer the bell after the fourth inning of his final outing. The elbow pain was diagnosed as a UCL tear and Turnbull had Tommy John surgery July 31, which means he will very likely miss the entirety of the 2022 season. Turnbull could be back on the fantasy radar sometime in 2023 once he is two full seasons removed from his surgery. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#474
ADP
$Signed a two-year, $3.65 million contract with the Tigers in April of 2022.
Taking part in offseason work
PDetroit Tigers
November 8, 2022
The Tigers announced Tuesday that Turnbull (elbow) is fully healthy and participating in his normal offseason program, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander missed the entire 2022 campaign while he rehabbed from Tommy John surgery in July of last year, but he's ready to go for the start of spring training. Turnbull made nine starts in 2021 prior to the procedure and had a 2.88 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and 44:12 K:BB in 50 innings, and he should be in the rotation for Detroit to begin 2023.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-21%
BAA vs LHP
2022
No Stats
2021
 
 
-24%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-18%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .185 230 48 24 37 8 2 2
Since 2020vs Right .233 201 46 16 42 10 0 2
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021vs Left .176 101 22 6 16 2 1 2
2021vs Right .231 100 22 6 21 5 0 0
2020vs Left .193 129 26 18 21 6 1 0
2020vs Right .236 101 24 10 21 5 0 2
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-45%
ERA at Home
2022
No Stats
2021
 
 
-7%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-61%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 2.51 1.06 57.1 6 2 0 8.0 2.8 0.2
Since 2020Away 4.56 1.30 49.1 2 4 0 8.0 4.2 0.5
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Home 2.79 1.03 29.0 3 1 0 8.4 2.2 0.3
2021Away 3.00 0.90 21.0 1 1 0 7.3 2.1 0.4
2020Home 2.22 1.09 28.1 3 1 0 7.6 3.5 0.0
2020Away 5.72 1.59 28.1 1 3 0 8.6 5.7 0.6
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Spencer Turnbull
MLB Barometer: Risers & Fallers
194 days ago
Bryce Harper tops Erik Halterman's list of risers and fallers, as he's slashing .305/.361/.634 even with an injured elbow.
MLB FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
June 17, 2021
Jason Shebilske looks at the leading waiver-wire options for the week, including the Ray’s Pete Fairbanks who appears to be the ninth-inning favorite in Tampa Bay.
The Z Files: Spin City
The Z Files: Spin City
June 15, 2021
June 15, 2021
Todd Zola takes a look at the spin rate leaderboards on individual pitches and finds some surprising numbers from veteran hurlers like Adam Wainwright.
Fantasy Baseball Injury Report: Trouble for Mariners' Lewis
June 8, 2021
Jeff Stotts describes Kyle Lewis' latest knee issue, a meniscus tear in the same knee in which he's had a history of injuries.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
Turnbull is the kind of pitcher that would get us excited in years past when our access to stats was mostly limited to what was on a baseball card. He went .500 for a bad team with a sub-4.00 ERA, a high groundball rate, nary a home run and nearly a strikeout per inning. Below the surface, things do not look as nice. He walks too many batters, gives up quite a bit of hard contact and his outcomes were better than what a pitcher with a 9.1 K-BB% normally enjoys. Nearly every expected stat in his profile portends bad things in 2021 if he repeats the issues with walks from 2020. Conversely, if he found better command and could lean more on his awesome slider, he could take a significant step forward in 2021. The potential is there for this talented arm to go either way, but you should lean toward another year of growing pains.
You have to feel for a guy who posts a 3.99 FIP and goes 3-17 on the season over 30 starts. Turnbull had a 22.3 K% last year, but the 9.0 BB% led to a high WHIP. Around those issues, he had nine quality starts and had eight starts where he struck out at least seven batters. He lives off his fastball and breaking balls, which help him hold righties at bay, as they have a .234/.325/.380 slash line against him in the majors. Lefties fare better against him (.296/.364/.432) because Turnbull has yet to come up with an effective pitch that either fades away or cuts in. He has worked on a cutter to give him something against lefties, but either that pitch or finding a changeup is needed for him to narrow his splits. He is better than his W-L record indicates, but there is still room for improvement.
Turnbull earned his first big-league callup in September, starting three games for the Tigers and appearing in another one in relief. He struggled to a 6.06 ERA, a result that isn't too surprising considering he'd only ever made two starts at the Triple-A level prior to his promotion. His underlying numbers in his small sample were actually quite promising, as he struck out a roughly average 21.7% of batters while walking just 5.8%, leading to a 2.85 FIP. His true talent undoubtedly lies somewhere in the large space between his ERA and FIP. On a rebuilding Tigers team, he may be given the chance to show what he can do over a larger sample. The 26-year-old didn't project as anything more than a back-end starter as a prospect, with poor control and no standout secondary pitches.
More Fantasy News
Won't return in 2022
PDetroit Tigers
Elbow
July 27, 2022
Manager A.J. Hinch said Wednesday that Turnbull (elbow) won't return in 2022, Evan Woodbery of MLive.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Steps back on mound
PDetroit Tigers
Elbow
July 13, 2022
Tigers manager A.J. Hinch said Wednesday that Turnbull (elbow) has recently thrown a couple bullpen sessions at the team's extended spring training complex in Lakeland, Fla., Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Lands on 60-day injured list
PDetroit Tigers
Elbow
April 6, 2022
Turnbull (elbow) was placed on the 60-day injured list Wednesday.
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Nabs two-year deal
PDetroit Tigers
Elbow
April 5, 2022
Turnbull (elbow) agreed Tuesday with the Tigers on a two-year, $3.65 million contract to avoid arbitration, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
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Undergoes Tommy John surgery
PDetroit Tigers
Elbow
July 30, 2021
Turnbull underwent Tommy John surgery Thursday, Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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