TJ Friedl

TJ Friedl

28-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Cincinnati Reds
2024 Fantasy Outlook
While he may not look the part, Friedl became a fantasy darling last season with a .279/.352/.467 line, 18 homers and 27 steals in 556 plate appearances. He projects to be the Reds' everyday center fielder after a surprising 4.4 fWAR season, but Friedl will continue to have his doubters even with his high contact rate given the fact that his xSLG, average exit velocity and barrel rate all ranked in the bottom seven percent of the league, among other reasons. Friedl did a disproportionate amount of his damage at home, managing a .724 OPS on the road. He hit lefty pitching well, but he was rather fortunate in that regard (.425 BABIP) and some giveback against same-side pitching should be expected. Signed in 2016 as an undrafted free agent -- there were 40 rounds back in 2016 -- Friedl has made a career out of proving people wrong. If he continues to do so, he will reach folk hero status in Cincinnati and fantasy circles. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#160
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Reds in March of 2023.
Having monster finish
OFCincinnati Reds
September 27, 2023
Friedl went 1-for-4 with a walk, a solo home run and an additional run scored in Tuesday's 11-7 win over the Guardians.
ANALYSIS
Friedl homered for a fourth consecutive game and extended his hit streak to seven contests, during which he's 10-for-25 with seven walks, five extra-base hits, eight RBI, two steals and six runs scored. The outfielder, who had slumped after the All-Star break, has bounced back in September just as he reached a career high in plate appearances. Friedl's slashing .348/.471/.768 in 23 games this month.
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Batting Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
40
57
1
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
1
3
5
6
6
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+29%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
+23%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+57%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+9%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021vs Left .981 138 16 4 17 8 .350 .422 .558
Since 2021vs Right .761 712 99 23 76 26 .252 .325 .436
2023vs Left .962 110 12 3 12 7 .354 .421 .542
2023vs Right .785 446 61 15 54 20 .260 .336 .449
2022vs Left 1.121 22 3 1 5 1 .333 .455 .667
2022vs Right .716 236 30 7 20 6 .232 .301 .415
2021vs Left .833 6 1 0 0 0 .333 .333 .500
2021vs Right .767 30 8 1 2 0 .280 .367 .400
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+30%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+28%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+21%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+197%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021Home .912 388 56 18 50 17 .302 .373 .538
Since 2021Away .700 462 59 9 43 17 .239 .314 .387
2023Home .926 265 33 13 41 14 .291 .365 .561
2023Away .724 291 40 5 25 13 .267 .340 .384
2022Home .837 104 16 4 7 3 .297 .375 .462
2022Away .691 154 17 4 18 4 .201 .273 .418
2021Home 1.121 19 7 1 2 0 .471 .474 .647
2021Away .378 17 2 0 0 0 .071 .235 .143
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Stat Review
How does TJ Friedl compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.52
 
BB Rate
8.5%
 
K Rate
16.2%
 
BABIP
.308
 
ISO
.189
 
AVG
.279
 
OBP
.352
 
SLG
.467
 
OPS
.819
 
wOBA
.358
 
Exit Velocity
86.7 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
25.4%
 
Barrels/PA
2.3%
 
Expected BA
.240
 
Expected SLG
.321
 
Sprint Speed
24.8 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
38.5%
 
Line Drive %
19.6%
 
Fly Ball %
41.9%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring TJ Friedl See More
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Yesterday
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2017
Friedl has the chance to be one of those overlooked players who falls into more playing time than their skillset otherwise deserves because he is on a bad ball club bereft of talent to overtake him at the position. Friedl is a high contact hitter with speed and little power who could benefit from reduced shifting and use his willingness to accept walks and convert them into steals on the bases under the new rules. Friedl's home to first time, a good indicator of potential steals, is near the 90th percentile league-wide, so he has the skills to at least duplicate the 17 steals he had in 2022 between Triple-A and the majors in 21 attempts. He is also projected to hit leadoff as things currently stand on the roster making him an excellent candidate to potentially triple his MLB steals total from 2022 on volume alone if he can improve his ability to get on base. Simply put, he is an intriguing late game speed dart throw in all league formats.
Friedl made his big-league debut last year, hitting .290 with one home run and more walks (four) than strikeouts (two) in 36 PA. He will once again be in line for some work in the majors, particularly if the Reds don't add to the roster after the lockout. Known as a light-hitting outfielder with good contact skill and plus speed, Friedl is capable of playing center field or left field, and he fits best as a fourth or fifth outfielder. His .264/.357/.422 slash line and 111 wRC+ at Triple-A was not overly impressive for a player who is set to turn 27 in August. However, he should at least make enough contact to hold is own at the bottom third of the lineup against right-handed pitching. He makes for a fine depth piece in NL-only and deep draft-and-hold formats, given his speed and the fact the Reds will likely have playing time available.
Friedl's story is pretty incredible. A perfect storm of draft status confusion, limitations imposed by draft allotment rules and plain oversight (among other factors), led to Friedl going undrafted in 2016. The Reds did their homework and ended up signing Friedl in August, giving him the largest signing bonus ever for an undrafted player. He began to reward the organization immediately, posting a .423 OBP and 16 extra-base hits from the left side of the plate in a 29-game stint with rookie-level Billings. The 21-year-old also stole seven bases, flashing the plus-plus speed that should keep him in center field. That speed along with advanced plate skills and surprising power for a 5-foot-10, 170 pound frame, is enough to put Friedl among the top 10 in the Reds' system, but those in keeper leagues may want to wait and see how Friedl fares with a full-season affiliate before investing.
More Fantasy News
Produces against lefty
OFCincinnati Reds
September 24, 2023
Friedl went 2-for-4 with a walk, a double, a home run and a stolen base in Saturday's 13-12 loss to the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
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On base five times
OFCincinnati Reds
September 23, 2023
Friedl went 2-for-2 with three walks, a home run, two RBI, a stolen base and an additional run scored in Friday's 7-5 loss to the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
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Notches two extra-base hits in win
OFCincinnati Reds
September 11, 2023
Friedl went 2-for-4 with a solo home run, a triple, and two runs scored in Sunday's win over the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting against lefty
OFCincinnati Reds
September 8, 2023
Friedl is out of the lineup Friday against the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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Goes deep in loss
OFCincinnati Reds
September 4, 2023
Friedl went 2-for-5 with a solo home run in Sunday's 15-7 loss to the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
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