Vladimir Guerrero
25-Year-Old
2024 Stats
AVG
.253
HR
4
RBI
16
R
13
SB
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
In the spring of 2022, Guerrero Jr. famously stated that 2021 was a trailer and now fans will see a movie. Like most sequels, the team and the player has failed to deliver on promises. Guerrero's 2021 nomadic season in friendly run environments helped him established career hights he has failed to come close to in each of the past two seasons. Management tweaked Rogers Centre before the 2023 season, but that did not prevent Guerrero's overall numbers from sliding for a second consecutive season as he and the rest of the club struggled to produce runs despite plenty of traffic on the bases throughout the season. If you treat 2021 as an outlier rather than a ceiling, 2024 Guerrero Jr. should not disappoint you given his skills provide a very high floor. Just remember that sequels are rarely better than the original and Vlady's 2021 season is a cult classic that should be appreciated rather than expected. Read Past Outlooks
Three hits in Wednesday's win
Guerrero went 3-for-5 with an RBI in Wednesday's win over the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
All three hits were singles, but two of them had exit velocities over 113 mph. Guerrero appears to be heating up, batting .350 (14-for-40) over the last 10 games with three doubles and a homer, but his .246/.344/.373 slash line on the season remains disappointing,
All three hits were singles, but two of them had exit velocities over 113 mph. Guerrero appears to be heating up, batting .350 (14-for-40) over the last 10 games with three doubles and a homer, but his .246/.344/.373 slash line on the season remains disappointing,
Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
27
3
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
8
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
+5%
OPS vs RHP
2024
+37%
OPS vs LHP
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022vs Left | .761 | 281 | 7 | 29 | .271 | ||||
Since 2022vs Right | .802 | 1274 | 55 | 178 | .267 | ||||
2024vs Left | .921 | 35 | 1 | 8 | .321 | ||||
2024vs Right | .674 | 132 | 3 | 8 | .237 | ||||
2023vs Left | .766 | 124 | 2 | 9 | .284 | ||||
2023vs Right | .792 | 558 | 24 | 85 | .260 | ||||
2022vs Left | .711 | 122 | 4 | 12 | .245 | ||||
2022vs Right | .841 | 584 | 28 | 85 | .280 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
+4%
OPS on Road
2024
+6%
OPS at Home
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2022Home | .778 | 751 | 30 | 108 | .258 | ||||
Since 2022Away | .811 | 804 | 32 | 99 | .277 | ||||
2024Home | .748 | 70 | 1 | 7 | .279 | ||||
2024Away | .706 | 97 | 3 | 9 | .235 | ||||
2023Home | .716 | 336 | 10 | 46 | .238 | ||||
2023Away | .858 | 346 | 16 | 48 | .289 | ||||
2022Home | .842 | 345 | 19 | 55 | .273 | ||||
2022Away | .795 | 361 | 13 | 42 | .276 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Vladimir Guerrero compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.61BB Rate
12.0%K Rate
19.8%BABIP
.303ISO
.123AVG
.253OBP
.347SLG
.377OPS
.724wOBA
.327Exit Velocity
93.3 mphHard Hit Rate
39.8%Barrels/PA
8.4%Expected BA
.272Expected SLG
.469Sprint Speed
22.2 ft/secGround Ball %
49.6%Line Drive %
20.4%Fly Ball %
30.1%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Vladimir Guerrero See More
Marcus Semien and the World Series-champion Texas Rangers have a top-notch schedule up ahead, making them one of the teams to watch in Todd Zola's Weekly Hitter Rankings.
Erik Halterman looks at the players who had the best and worst Aprils relative to their draft position, including Ranger Suarez, who finished the month as the best pitcher in fantasy baseball.
Todd Zola considers the impact of the 2024 baseball on the homer totals of certain players, including Corey Seager.
Dan Marcus considers whether some early-season disappointments, such as Oneil Cruz, are worth hanging onto.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Shapiro mum on extension
According to Rob Longley of the Toronto Sun, Blue Jays president Mark Shapiro said Thursday that conversations regarding a possible extension for Guerrero will be kept "private."
ANALYSIS
Guerrero is making $19.9 million this season in his penultimate year of arbitration eligibility, so he's in the prime window for an extension. The 25-year-old totaled 26 homers and 94 RBI last season, though his .180 ISO and .444 SLG were both his lowest since his rookie campaign in 2019. Guerrero has missed just a handful of games over the past few seasons and remains one of the better power threats in MLB, but he seems unlikely to recreate the 48 long balls and 1.002 OPS from 2021.
Guerrero is making $19.9 million this season in his penultimate year of arbitration eligibility, so he's in the prime window for an extension. The 25-year-old totaled 26 homers and 94 RBI last season, though his .180 ISO and .444 SLG were both his lowest since his rookie campaign in 2019. Guerrero has missed just a handful of games over the past few seasons and remains one of the better power threats in MLB, but he seems unlikely to recreate the 48 long balls and 1.002 OPS from 2021.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
It was expected that Guerrero would drop back from his incredible 2021 season due to Toronto playing full-time at Rogers Centre rather than the cozy environments of Dunedin and Buffalo, as well as the changes to Camden Yards for road trips. Factor in the mushball and his homers dropped off to where we realistically should have expected them to be, but it was surprising to see both his runs and RBIs fall back below 100 considering the talent in the lineup around him in Toronto. Whereas he hit .315 with 11 homers with runners in scoring position in 2021, those numbers fell to .267 and five respectively last year in nearly identical sample sizes. RISP production lacks year-over-year stickiness, but it was an issue last year as the league did tend to pitch around him leading to more walks (11 percent) in those situations than others (eight percent.) The eight steals were a nice bonus, considering he is not the fleetest of foot. We can call him a five-category contributor as a first baseman; he cannot quite pull off a younger Paul Goldschmidt, but who can?
More Fantasy News
Launches grand slam
Guerrero went 2-for-4 with a walk and a grand slam during Sunday's 11-8 loss to the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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Launches third homer
Guerrero went 1-for-4 with a walk and a solo home run in Wednesday's 6-1 extra-innings loss to Seattle.
ANALYSIS
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RBI double in win
Guerrero went 2-for-4 with an RBI double and one run scored in Monday's 5-2 win against Seattle.
ANALYSIS
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Crushes first homer of season
Guerrero went 1-for-5 with a solo home run in Thursday's 8-2 win over the Rays on Opening Day.
ANALYSIS
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In line to bat second
Guerrero is expected to open the season batting second for the Blue Jays, Rob Longley of the Toronto Sun reports.
ANALYSIS
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