Handicapping the NBA: Wednesday Picks

Handicapping the NBA: Wednesday Picks

This article is part of our Handicapping the NBA series.

Alex Barutha: Damian Lillard over 4.5 threes (+125) vs. Pelicans DraftKings, 12:47 PM CT

I'm not going to overthink this one. The Pelicans allow the most made threes in the NBA (16.0), and Lillard loves to shoot from distance. He's averaging 4.2 made threes per game across the past six contests, so I like getting the plus money on the over. Lillard has also hit the over in 13 of his 30 appearances this season.

Nick Whalen: Tobias Harris OVER 7.5 rebounds (-110) vs. Houston – DraftKings Sportsbook

I like this bet for two reasons: First, Harris is averaging 7.4 rebounds per game on the year, so you're not asking him to do anything exceptional. Second, the Rockets have been the league's worst rebounding team (TRB%) without Christian Wood. Over the last five games, they rank 24th in offensive rebound rate and 25th in defensive rebound rate, all while playing at a top-10 pace and ranking 29th in effective field goal percentage. With DeMarcus Cousins struggling, the Rockets have been forced to go small up front, and the results haven't been pretty. The likely return of Joel Embiid may hurt Harris' chances to rack up boards, but he's grabbed double-digit rebounds in four of his last six games.

Joe Bartel: Trae Young UNDER 3.5 rebounds (+125)(DraftKings Sportsbook - 12:53 PM)

Honestly, this is purely a bet from an odds perspective. Considering all my "obvious" parlay fillers have been putrid as of late, might as well try the flip side to reverse the luck. This isn't a gut bet by any means though. Young has gone under this total in four of the last five games and is averaging just 3.9 rebounds per game on the year. The Celtics also tend to do well against opposing point guards defensively, so I think all signs point to a nice target for plus money.

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ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Joe Bartel
Joe Bartel is RotoWire's Operations Specialist and football contributor among many other things. When not at the office, he's probably playing a variety of Gen 4 console games or rooting on his beloved Green Bay Packers.
Alex Barutha
Alex is RotoWire's NBA Assistant Editor. He writes articles about daily fantasy, year-long fantasy and sports betting. You can hear him on the RotoWire NBA Podcast, Sirius XM, DraftKings Live and other platforms. Vince Carter and Alex both first dunked during their respective sophomore years of high school.
Nick Whalen
RotoWire's NBA Editor and host of the RotoWire NBA Podcast. Nick was awarded the FSWA Best Podcast -- All Sports award in 2017 and 2018. Many years ago, Stromile Swift gave Nick his unbelievably sweaty headband after a preseason game. Despite its failure to match his school colors, Nick went on to wear that headband for the entirety of his sixth grade basketball season. Catch Nick on Twitter @wha1en.
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