Handicapping the NBA: Wednesday Picks

Handicapping the NBA: Wednesday Picks

This article is part of our Handicapping the NBA series.

Alex Barutha

Suns to win (-110) at LAC – BetMGM (1:20 PM CT)

At this point, I'm going down with the ship. Stubbornly, I'm going to keep betting the Suns since I believe they're the better team. It's essentially a pick'em for this Clippers home game, which isn't surprising given how this series has gone, but I still think that's decent value for Phoenix.

Nick Whalen

Chris Paul OVER 32.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists at LAC – DraftKings (12:12 PM CT)

I have absolutely no handle on how this series will play out anymore, so let's start with a player prop. This is a pretty favorable line for Paul, who went over this number (barely) in Game 3, as well as in all four games against the Nuggets in Round 2. As he's further removed from the COVID-19 absence, Paul should continue to round into form, and he had his best shooting performance of the series in Game 5. With so much on the line tonight, I think we see Paul take matters into his own hands and exert his will on this game – for better or for worse. The assists will be there, so I'm banking on Paul coming out and aggressively hunting his shots from the first quarter on.

Cameron Johnson OVER 1.5 made three-pointers (+120) at LAC – DraftKings

Johnson finally had somewhat of a breakout in Game 5, hitting three three-pointers (3-3 3Pt) for the first time this postseason. He's shooting the three at a 45 percent clip in the playoffs, but the volume simply hasn't been there on a game-to-game basis. If Monty Williams trusts Johnson to play 20-plus minutes again (he's done so in four of the last five games), I love his chances to hit at least two threes at this favorable number.

Alternate spread: Clippers -2.5 at the end of the First Quarter vs. PHO (+148) – DraftKings

Again, I have no idea what to expect in this series. No result tonight would be surprising. But I love how the shorthanded Clippers are playing, and I think they truly believe they're going to take Game 6. The Clippers' home crowd isn't exactly Penn State in a whiteout, but the building will be on their side, and they should come out with plenty of energy as they continue to essentially play each of these games with house money. My gut says the Suns ultimately win the game, but I like the Clips to get off to a fast start.

Ken Crites

OVER on Deandre Ayton 11.5 rebounds (+105)DraftKings (12:27 PM CT)

Ayton is averaging 13.0 rebounds per contest over these five playoff games versus the Clippers. The further he gets from the basket, the worse the Suns do. He needs to return to dominating the paint for the Suns to end this. I think coach Monty Williams will insist Ayton stay closer to the hoop, even if the Clippers stay with their small-ball lineups.

Jacob Lebowitz

Paul George to record a triple-double (+1000) vs. PHODraftKings (11:41 AM CT)

Although George hasn't gotten a triple-double all year, I think tonight is the night. After a recent 41-point performance in Game 5, it's clear the Suns will need to defend George better, which I think will lead to him giving out more assists. In this series, George is averaging 30.2 points, 10.8 rebounds and 6.2 assists. I know this bet is risky, but if the Suns can slow down George, the star should be forced to dish the ball out more, leading to plenty of assists. Overall, I expect another great performance from George tonight, but I think it'll be because of his all-around playmaking skills rather than his scoring-ability.

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ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Alex Barutha
Alex is RotoWire's NBA Assistant Editor. He writes articles about daily fantasy, year-long fantasy and sports betting. You can hear him on the RotoWire NBA Podcast, Sirius XM, DraftKings Live and other platforms. Vince Carter and Alex both first dunked during their respective sophomore years of high school.
Ken
An early RotoWire contributor from the 90's, K-Train returns with the grace of Gheorghe Muresan and the wisdom of Joe Gibbs. Tweet @KenCrites or e-mail at ken@rotowire.com. Ken won the FSWA 2014 Humor Article Of The Year award. He's also the 2016 Champion of the prestigious RW NBA Keeper League and the 2019 Champion of the RW NFL Ottonue Keeper League. Ken still owns a RotoNews shirt.
Jacob Lebowitz
Jacob writes about fantasy sports and sports betting for RotoWire. He's always doing something sports-related whether that's playing NBA 2K, watching a football game or playing a game of pickup basketball.
Nick Whalen
RotoWire's NBA Editor and host of the RotoWire NBA Podcast. Nick was awarded the FSWA Best Podcast -- All Sports award in 2017 and 2018. Many years ago, Stromile Swift gave Nick his unbelievably sweaty headband after a preseason game. Despite its failure to match his school colors, Nick went on to wear that headband for the entirety of his sixth grade basketball season. Catch Nick on Twitter @wha1en.
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