DraftKings Sportsbook: Wednesday NBA Picks

Can the Suns cover as road favorites in Golden State?
DraftKings Sportsbook: Wednesday NBA Picks
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Alex Barutha

Mavericks moneyline (-125) at Cavaliers – DraftKings, 3:35 PM CT

The Mavericks are on the second night of a back-to-back here, but I don't mind. They easily took care of the Lakers last night, and Doncic only needed to play 30 minutes. Spencer Dinwiddie is out but that's not a huge deal when compared to the absences of both Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley for the Cavaliers. I think the only way Cleveland wins this game is if Lauri Markkanen and Kevin Love catch fire from deep, but the Mavs actually allow the fewest made threes (10.8) in the NBA.

Nikola Jokic over 47.5 points + rebounds + assists at Pacers (-135)

The worry here is that the Nuggets get out to such a big lead that Jokic doesn't need to play in the fourth quarter, but he only needed 26 minutes to post 29/13/8 against the Wizards in an 18-point win on March 16. Indiana's frontcourt is extremely weak, and even the backups are banged up. It should be easy for Jokic to dominate from everywhere on the court, and even if the Pacers resort to double-teams, Jokic is a master at passing out for easy assists. This month, he's averaging 29/13/8.

Wizards moneyline (-155) vs. Magic

Washington is on the second night of a back-to-back, but their game yesterday – a 107-94 loss to the Bulls – was also at home, so there's no travel involved. They managed to play the Bulls well before a poor fourth quarter as well, so I assume they'll easily be able to take care of business against an awful Magic squad. Since the All-Star break, Orlando has losses to Indiana, Detroit, OKC and Sacramento. The Wizards are better than all those teams.

Heat at Celtics over 213.5 (-105)

This is a play on Robert Williams' absence softening Boston's defense. The team is 5 points worse per 100 possessions with him off the court on defense, and much of that is in halfcourt defense, where the Celtics are 6 points worse with him off the floor. Miami only has an average halfcourt offense, but their core is healthy and they're well-coached, so I think they'll be able to exploit Williams' absence.

Suns -4.5 (-110) at Warriors

Golden State is -5.4 points per 100 possessions with Curry off the court – they just aren't a good team. As much clout as Draymond Green and Klay Thompson have, and has frisky as Jordan Poole and Jonathan Kuminga have been, I just don't trust them to play an extremely competitive game against the Suns, who are the favorite to win the title. Cam Johnson is out, but Phoenix has thrived through much worse.

Nick Whalen

Phoenix Suns -4.5 at Golden State Warriors – DraftKings Sportsbook, 12:57 PM CT

I feel like I'm alternating between betting on the Suns and betting against the Lakers on a nightly basis, but both have been profitable strategies. At some point, the Warriors should snap out of their post-Curry-injury malaise, but asking them to do it against the best and most consistent team in the NBA is too tough of a task. With Chris Paul back and already playing heavy minutes, I like the Suns to hand the Warriors their latest loss at home.

Denver Nuggets -9.5 at Indiana Pacers – DraftKings Sportsbook

It's a big slate, so why not offer up a bonus bet? It's very important to keep in mind that one team is definitely trying to win games (Denver) and one team is very interested in losing games (Indiana). The Pacers have enough pieces to make this game somewhat interesting, but they have five players listed as questionable, including Malcolm Brogdon, who's likely to keep his rest streak going. Denver hasn't exactly been blowing teams out of late, but the Pacers offer a nice soft spot in an otherwise brutal late-season schedule. Coming off of a rest day Tuesday, I like Jokic and Co. to roll.

ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Alex is RotoWire's Chief NBA Editor. He writes articles about daily fantasy, year-long fantasy and sports betting. You can hear him on the RotoWire NBA Podcast, Sirius XM, VSiN and other platforms. He firmly believes Robert Covington is the most underrated fantasy player of the past decade.
Now in his 10th year with the company, Nick is RotoWire's Senior Media Analyst, a position he took on after several years as the Head of Basketball Content. A multi-time FSGA and FSWA award winner, Nick co-hosts RotoWire's flagship show on Sirius XM Fantasy alongside Jeff Erickson, as well as The RotoWire NBA Show on Sirius XM NBA with Alex Barutha. He also co-hosts RotoWire's Football and Basketball podcasts. You can catch Nick's NBA and NFL analysis on VSiN and DraftKings, as well as RotoWire's various social and video channels. Follow him on Twitter and Instagram @wha1en.
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