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Cowboys 2016 Mock Draft 5.0, Final Version

No sooner had I done what I thought was going to be my final mock draft of the offseason for the Cowboys last week, two things happened. One, the Eagles traded up with the Browns to grab the second overall pick, thus basically ensuring that Jared Goff and Carson Wentz would be the first two picks off the board. Two, DeMarcus Lawrence went and got suspended for four games, joining Randy Gregory on the sidelines for the first month of 2016 and leaving Dallas comically thin at DE.

So, on the eve of the draft itself, I figure I'd better crank out one more mock using Fanspeak's On the Clock simulator. Doing mock drafts may be an exercise in futility when it comes to actually predicting who will go in any particular draft slot, but it's a great way to force yourself to become familiar with the draft class beyond the obvious big names.

The Cowboys are one of the teams who lean heavily on SPARQ scores to differentiate prospects, an approach pioneered by the Seahawks, so the players likely to be on the team's radar are not necessarily the ones the pundits expect, and later-round surprises are almost a certainty.

I'm using Fanspeak's own default big board again, after sticking with it on the first two mocks, the Drafttek board for mock 3.0 and CBS for 4.0, as it was updated yesterday. Version 1.0 saw Dallas pop for Carson Wentz with the fourth overall pick, while in version 2.0 they traded down with the Rams and nabbed Andrew Billings. Version 3.0 led with Jalen Ramsey, the player most likely to be at the top of the Cowboys' actual draft board, while in version 4.0 they missed on Ramsey and settled for Vernon Hargreaves instead.

Round 1 (pick 4): Joey Bosa, DE, Ohio State. Bosa was basically everyone's lazy default pick for the Cowboys a month ago, before all the mammoth trades, so why am I only going to him now? At this point, most observers seem to think the Cowboys have three choices open to them. One, they'll take Ramsey if he's there, but once again he gets snatched up at 3 in this mock draft. The second choice, if you listen to a couple of people who may have insider knowledge (as well as a very vocal portion of the fanbase that includes Jerry Jones who may or may not be stuck in the '90s, pining for Emmitt Smith), is Ezekiel Elliott, but I refuse to believe a competent NFL front office is going to use the fourth overall pick on a running back in 2016. The third choice is a trade-down, but who is anybody going to want to trade up for at this point, with both top QBs gone? More importantly, why would they trade all the way to 4 to do it, if they have a bee in their bonnet for Paxton Lynch or Laremy Tunsil? No, in all likelihood the Cowboys will be stuck where they are, and if so logic dictates that they might just have to "settle" for Bosa, who's only the top DE in the draft class. He doesn't appear to be a QB wrecking machine off the edge, but what he lacks in upper-tier athleticism he makes up for in advanced technique and motor. He's probably the most NFL-ready player in the draft despite being one of the youngest players in his draft class, and is a great fit for Dallas both in terms of long-term value and immediate need, even if rookie DEs don't tend to make huge splashes.

Round 2 (pick 34): Karl Joseph, S, West Virginia. Joseph is a wrecking ball at safety but isn't a liability in coverage, and he's a high-character guy and team captain to boot. Comps like Antoine Bethea and even Earl Thomas get tossed around with Joseph, so if he doesn't get taken by someone like the Steelers in the first round, he's a great get for Dallas here despite a knee injury that ended his last season of college early. He'll form an outstanding safety duo with Byron Jones down the road, and Barry Church shouldn't be much of an obstacle between Joseph and the starting lineup.

Round 3 (pick 67): Dak Prescott, QB, Mississippi State. The Cowboys have paid a lot of attention to Prescott during the offseason so they clearly have interest here, and after being shut out of Wentz and Goff by those crazy trades, they'll probably need to grab Prescott on Day Two if they like him as a fallback plan. I have no love for him as a prospect and think he'll be a backup at best in the NFL due to accuracy concerns, but his boosters throw around Donovan McNabb and Russell Wilson comps and the Cowboys absolutely need to start finding Tony Romo's successor (whether they admit it in public or not), so here he is.

Round 4 (pick 101): Sheldon Day, DT, Notre Dame. Jason Garrett and the coaching staff got a long look at Day during the Senior Bowl and he didn't disappoint, but undersized DTs tend to fall to Day Three of the draft, so this feels like a good spot for him. He's got the agility and motor to get into the backfield, and is the kind of DT a coordinator like Rod Marinelli can find a use for.

Round 4 (pick 135): Isaac Seumalo, C/G, Oregon State. A foot injury that cost him the entire 2014 season puts a bit of a cloud over Seumalo, but he appeared healthy last year, has shown good footwork and technique, and played every spot on the line other than left guard during his college career. That versatility could make him an ideal interior backup option to replace Mackenzy Bernadeau for the Cowboys.

Round 6 (pick 189): Jatavis Brown, LB, Akron. I admit, this is a bit of a stretch for two reasons. One, I don't think Brown falls this far, so if the Cowboys do take him it will probably be with a fourth or fifth round pick acquired in a trade. Two, the Cowboys haven't had any offseason contact with him in terms of visits, but they did bring in his teammate Rodney Coe (a possible UDFA as a project DT) so I know they've seen Brown's work. He jumps off the screen when you watch his game film, though. He's a human missile as a LB, although his size might get him labeled by some teams as a tweener box safety, and his pSPARQ backs up that he has the athleticism to make it in the NFL. At worst he'll be a special teams star, but I think he'll be able to take useful snaps on defense as well and could eventually become a starting-caliber 4-3 Will LB.

Round 6 (pick 212): Moritz Boehringer, WR, Schwäbisch Hall. The German mystery man has one of the highest pSPARQ scores in this year's draft class and almost the ideal height/weight/speed measurements for a modern NFL wideout, but he's very raw as a football player and will be a major project. The Cowboys need depth at the position, though, especially after what happened last year when Dez Bryant got hurt.

Round 6 (pick 216): Marquez North, WR, Tennessee. Did I say the Cowboys needed depth at WR? North also has good size, speed and athleticism, but after a big freshman year in college, injuries kept him from blossoming. As a sixth round lottery ticket, North's worth taking a chance on to see if he can stay healthy and reach the ceiling his physical traits suggest.

Round 6 (pick 217): Jason Fanaika, DE, Utah. An older prospect due to a church mission, Fanaika isn't a pure quick-twitch athlete, but he plays with good strength and technique and could profile as a strong-side 4-3 DE in the NFL if he develops to the point of taking regular snaps in a rotation.