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Last Minute ADP Trends for PPR Leagues

With over 400 PPR league drafts used to compile the aggregate data here on Mock Draft Central, the most interesting thing to note is the lack of overall movement within the ADP rankings.  Sure, there's movement to see, but as we've discussed in the past, changes of less than 10.0|PERCENT| don't translate to much movement in drafts.  Maybe a pick or two here or there, but round to round movement is extremely minimal.  All of the players are exactly where you would assume them to be in a PPR league.  Receivers go a lot earlier and receiver runs in snake drafts occur a little more frequently.  You're more likely to see a run of five or six wideouts go in a span of 8 picks than you would for any of the other positions, save for the first six picks going to the top RB who also catch passes.  So with that, let's just take a look at a few notes on some of those players that do seem to move a little more in the ADP rankings for PPR leagues.  Nothing crazy, but if you still get to draft, some useful nuggets of information.

It doesn't matter if you're talking PPR leagues or NFL Standard, Ray Rice is one of the most popular risers in ADP rankings this year.  A month ago, he was a consensus top ten pick, but in the middle of the pack, but today, with a 27.7|PERCENT| increase, he has clearly become a top 3 target in most leagues.  With the hamstring issue for Arian Foster and the holdout that kept Chris Johnson out for almost the entire preseason, Rice has even gone number one in some leagues.  He's had a great pre-season and will be used in all situations in Baltimore, including a viable pass-catching option for Joe Flacco.
 
Felix Jones has seen a nice rise (12.5|PERCENT|) over the last two weeks and has become a staple in the late second/early third round in most leagues.  He's the primary back in Dallas and should get the majority of carries, every now and then getting spelled in the backfield.  But he's also a decent option for PPR players in the Dallas offense.  That's not to say that he's a great pass-catching back, but rather a product of his environment.  When the Cowboys meet some fo the tougher pass defenses, Jones will be leaned on heavily and used often as a safety valve for Tony Romo.  He'll get plenty of touches on the ground, but could also see a small but steady diet of targets when everything downfield is jammed.

You may notice the 21.5|PERCENT| increase for Julio Jones over the last two weeks, but he has reached a plateau around the 87th pick.  He's a great option there and should see plenty of targets in the Falcons passing game, but the days of him being a sleeper are long gone.  Some may even reach a little higher for him, especially if there are numerous receiver runs that happen early on.  Big runs on the wideouts early on could even push him into the 6th round for some leagues.

Similarly to Jones, tight end Greg Olsen has finally leveled off in the ADP rankings.  He's seen a 27.5|PERCENT| increase over the last two weeks, even more from the weeks before, but has reached a plateau around the 117th pick and has settled in amongst the lower half of the top 10 tight ends.  He and Cam Newton should post some solid numbers together.

Both Tim Hightower (20.6|PERCENT|) and Reggie Bush (12.6|PERCENT|) continue to ascend in the ADP rankings and both are now considered to be within the top 100 in PPR leagues.  Bush no longer has Larry Johnson pushing him and has also managed to fend off Daniel Williams enough to be the lead back in an offense that could rely heavily on him in the passing game.  If he can stay healthy, then he'll make for a solid flex position pick in your ninth or tenth round.  Hightower continues to receive accolades in the pre-season, and is going to get plenty more work than Ryan Torain.  The fact that he has been named the lead back already by Mike Shanahan, is huge for his value right now.

Lee Evans' climb through the ADP rankings continues on a small scale.  His 11.6|PERCENT| increase over the last two weeks has settled in the past seven days and he sits just outside of the top 150 overall.  Of course, just like any receiver, especially those with deep threat capabilities like Evans, he could be grabbed earlier by an overzealous owner if the receiver runs start too soon.

And finally, look out for Devery Henderson in the early goings this season.  He's seen a 17.0|PERCENT| increase over the last two weeks, barely bumping him onto people's radar, but with both Marques Colston and Lance Moore nursing injuries, Henderson could be a favorite target for Drew Brees during the first couple of weeks.  If you're looking to add someone in the last round or two, Henderson could be a nice option.  He could also make for some interesting trade bair after the first few weeks if you can find a believer.