EuroLeague Primer: Round 11 - Friday

EuroLeague Primer: Round 11 - Friday

This article is part of our EuroLeague Primer series.

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STATS AND INFO.

THE SLATE

ALBA Berlin at UNICS Kazan

Status Check: Louis Olinde (BER), Tim Schneider (BER), Janis Timma (UNK), Andrey Vorontsevich (UNK)

Best Bets for Success: The visiting team has gotten a lot out of Luke Sikma, Oscar da Silva and Maodo Lo this season, and all three players are returning some of the most value on the DraftKings board at their current price points. However, da Silva and Lo have slowed a bit, so Sikma is the only ALBA player who comes into this one on a roll. He is always a threat to put up a big number in fantasy contests given his contributions in multiple areas, but he will have a tough time doing so Friday, as UNICS ranks top-5 against forwards in all counting stats and is limiting to the worst success rate from the field. ALBA, meanwhile, is on the exact opposite end of the spectrum against guards, so both Lorenzo Brown and Isaiah Canaan land here for the Russian team. Brown has been more consistent over the course of the season, but Canaan was more productive over the past two Rounds.

DFS Darlings: While Lo's recent numbers knock him out of the section above, he is still worth considering in contests given his $8,300 price on DraftKings and the fact UNICS is allowing the second-most points to opposing guards. Lo still ranks 10th in the league in points per game heading into Round 10, and ALBA will need some players to score the ball if UNICS contains their talented forward duo. For most of the same reasons you can look at Marcus Eriksson, who sits at his highest price point of the season but earned his way there by putting up 14.7 ppg after returning from a six-Round absence. Ben Lammers is still cheap enough at $7,300 to garner a mention as well. Given ALBA's issues with guards, O.J. Mayo is an intriguing DraftKings option at just $6,500. ALBA is doing a good job against frontcourt players, but they've had a lot of success against forwards and not so much against players listed at the center spot, so Tonye Jekiri could be a sneaky play.

AS Monaco at Anadolu Efes Istanbul

Status Check: Leo Westermann (ASM), James Anderson (EFS)

Best Bets for Success: Vasilije Micic, Shane Larkin and Mike James were arguably the three best guards in the league over the past several years, so the backcourts will be in focus in this one. All three are capable of a big night every time they step on the court, but it could be tough for both Micic and Larkin to return significant value in this one, as Monaco ranks top-4 against opposing guards in all of points, three-pointers, field goal percentage and three-point percentage. Despite not scoring as frequently as he did in years past, James is still coming through on a regular basis, putting up at least 27.8 DraftKings points in seven of his 10 appearances. James isn't the only Monaco player to land here in Round 11, as Donta Hall has simply been too good not to qualify. Efes is faring pretty well against opposing centers, but it's tough to ignore Hall's averages of 13.3 points, 9.0 rebounds and 1.8 blocks over the last four Rounds.

DFS Darlings: While the French team has done a good job against guards, that's partly because they have given opposing frontcourt players free rein, allowing them to record more points and rebounds and as many attempts from the field than any other team. Only a few Efes frontcourt players have done anything of note recently, but Tibor Pleiss and Adrien Moerman fall into that category, and Filip Petrusev has enough upside to take a gamble on at $6,000. The Turkish team isn't faring too well against forwards, so Will Thomas will have a chance to return 3x value at $7,200, and you can also check out Dwayne Bacon, as the former and likely still future NBA'er seems to have secured a primary role on the offensive end, getting up 24 total attempts from the field, 10 shots beyond the arc, and 10 attempts at the charity stripe over the last two Rounds. This game notably has the highest over/under on the board, so don't be afraid to load up on value plays. 

AX Armani Exchange Milan at Zenit Saint Petersburg

Status Check: Malcolm Delaney (AXM), Konstantinos Mitoglou (AXM), Riccardo Moraschini (AXM), Shabazz Napier (ZEN), Dmitry Kulagin (ZEN)

Best Bets for Success: Milan was run over by one Russian foe in Round 10, and they will be tested by another one in Round 11, as they take on a Zenit team that comes in having won four games in a row. The Italian team figures to lean on its talented frontcourt duo of Shavon Shields and Nicolo Melli, particularly with Mitoglou sidelined with a broken foot. Zenit is doing a good job limiting forwards, but this could be a case where the opportunity overcomes the matchup. The Zenit charge will be led by Jordan Loyd, who dropped a 50-burger on DraftKings in Round 10. He's certainly the player on the Russian team most likely to put up the most fantasy points, but he will carry some risk on DraftKings, as his price jumped $1,200 and Milan has been one of the best against opposing backcourt players.

DFS Darlings: With Mitoglou's absence opening up some minutes, Kyle Hines and Luigi Datome get a bit of a boost, and you might even be able to throw a dart at Kaleb Tarczewski on DraftKings at just $4,400. There aren't many options that stand out on the Zenit side, but Jordan Mickey brings some good upside to the table at $8,300, and Mateusz Ponitka can be considered on DraftKings with his price down to a season-low $7,200.

Fenerbahce Beko Istanbul at Zalgiris Kaunas

Status Check: Dyshawn Pierre (FBB), Danilo Barthel (FBB), Joffrey Lauvergne (ZAL), Niels Giffey (ZAL), Paulius Jankunas (ZAL), Regimantas Miniotas (ZAL)

Best Bets for Success: There is talent up and down Fenerbahce's roster, but Jan Vesely remains the only team member who is producing regularly in fantasy contests, as he has put up 26.3 DraftKings points in five straight games while the reset of his teammates have hit that number a total of only three times over the same span. Zalgiris' Josh Nebo has easily been his club's top producer since Round 2, but with him being limited to just 10 minutes his last time out and facing a Fenerbahce defense that has been better against centers than anyone else, Tyler Cavanaugh seems like the club's safest option for Round 11. He averaged 23.6 DraftKings points over the last four Rounds and will face a Fenerbahce team that ranks at or near the bottom against forwards in all counting stats.

DFS Darlings: While Fenerbahce isn't getting steady production from many players, they do have a couple intriguing options on DraftKings in Round 11, as all of Devin Booker, Marko Guduric and Achille Polonara bring a lot of upside to the table beneath the $8,000 mark. There doesn't appear to be much for value on the Zalgiris side, as their backcourt is firmly in flux. However, given the Turkish team's issues with forwards and Giffey out, Edgaras Ulanovas will be in play on DraftKings at just $7,100.

Maccabi Playtika Tel Aviv at Olympiacos Piraeus

Status Check: Mathias Lessort (MTA), Livio Jean-Charles (OLY)

Best Bets for Success: All kinds of Maccabi players can be considered in this section, as four of their frontcourt players have been producing steadily and Scottie Wilbekin is coming off a stellar 58.0-point DraftKings night. With five options to choose from and Olympiacos pretty neutral against all positions, it's tough to predict who will be Maccabi's top producer in Round 11. However, Wilbekin naturally brings the most upside, and Ante Zizic and James Nunnally are returning some of the most value on the board. Six different Olympiacos players put up at least 27.0 DraftKings points over the last four Rounds, but Sasha Vezenkov was the only player to do so twice, so he will occupy this spot for the Greek squad. 

DFS Darlings: Tyler Dorsey was shut down his last time out, but he was on a pretty good run prior to that, making him a nice option at $8,300. Shaq McKissic saw a bump in playing time in Round 10 with Jean-Charles out, and at just $5,900 and Jean-Charles still out, he can be considered on DraftKings. With Maccabi getting a lot from its top players, don't expect to find much for value on their side.

CSKA Moscow at Bitci Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz

Status Check: Joel Bolomboy (CSK), Alec Peters (BKN), Matt Costello (BKN)

Best Bets for Success: CSKA is as healthy as they have been in a long time, and Baskonia looked like an entirely different team its last time out, so it's tough to gauge how things will shake out for the Russian team. Baskonia has had issues containing forwards, though, so Will Clyburn and Tornike Shengelia seem like the best bets to produce. Both players are returning some of the most value on the DraftKings board. The Spanish squad has a number of players on a roll, namely Rokas Giedraitis and Simone Fontecchio. Given their prices, Giedraitis gets the slight edge on DraftKings.

DFS Darlings: While his minutes are not guaranteed with everyone healthy, Johannes Voigtmann deserves ample consideration on DraftKings, as he is returning the most value on the board at $8,200. Steven Enoch can almost go in the section above given how he has played of late, but we will keep him here for now since the sample size is small. The Russian team is allowing the most points to opposing centers and is also ceding its fair share of rebounds, so it will be tough to pass up on Enoch at just $8,000. Wade Baldwin also seems like a quality option at $8,600, as CSKA is giving up quite a few points to opposing guards.

FC Barcelona at LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne

Status Check: Nick Calathes (BAR), Cory Higgins (BAR), Alex Abrines (BAR), David Lighty (ASV), William Howard (ASV), Raymar Morgan (ASV), Antoine Diot (ASV), Victor Wembanyama (ASV)

Best Bets for Success: With Higgins out and Calathes questionable for Round 11, Nikola Mirotic is the clear-cut top option for Barcelona in this one. A big night could be in store for him, as ASVEL ranks bottom-5 against opposing forwards in most counting stats and is also allowing players at those positions to get up some of the most shots. It remains the Elie Okobo and Chris Jones show for ASVEL, but it could be tough for both of them to come through Friday, as Barcelona has done a good job containing opposing guards. They are allowing backcourt players to get up plenty of shots from both the field and the charity stripe, though.

DFS Darlings: ASVEL has done a pretty good job against both guards and centers, but given the question marks in Barcelona's backcourt, you can consider Nicolas Laprovittola and Rokas Jokubaitis. Should Calathes sit, Brandon Davies would likely move up a notch on the pecking order on the offensive end. Howard will be worth considering with him back in action and Lighty out, though he is a bit risky coming off his injury.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Kevin O'Brien plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: kevob100, DraftKings: kevob100.
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Kevin O'Brien
Kevin mans the Packers and Brewers beats and moonlights as RotoWire's Director of Operations.
EuroLeague Primer: Round 12 - Friday
EuroLeague Primer: Round 12 - Friday
EuroLeague Primer: Round 12 - Thursday
EuroLeague Primer: Round 12 - Thursday
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EuroLeague Primer: Round 11 - Thursday
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EuroLeague Primer: Round 10 - Tuesday
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