Tyreek Hill
Tyreek Hill
24-Year-Old Wide ReceiverWR
Kansas City Chiefs
2018 Fantasy Outlook
People were puzzled when the Chiefs released their No. 1 outside receiver Jeremy Maclin last year. Now we know why. Despite playing with a QB known more for avoiding errors than generating big plays down the field, Hill led the NFL with nine catches of 40-plus yards on only 105 total targets (T-29th). Not surprisingly, he also led the league with 11.3 YPT and was sixth with 15.8 YPC. At 5-10, 185, Hill is small but lightning quick, as dangerous as any player in the league in open space, and reportedly ran a blistering 4.24 40 at his college pro day, i.e., he's arguably the fastest player in the NFL. The downside for Hill is his lack of red-zone work - only four of his targets came from that area, so he has to do his damage from distance. While he managed seven TDs on a modest target total, there's far more variance when you're reliant on 40-yard TDs than when you post up at the goal line for short tosses. Accordingly, unless the Chiefs target him more from in close - something that's unlikely, given the presence of elite TE Travis Kelce and other bigger receivers like newly signed Sammy Watkins - Hill could range anywhere from four to 10 scores in 2018, the same way DeSean Jackson has during his career. Hill might see a slight boost to his stats as a gadget-play rusher, though last year (17 carries for 59 yards) he was far less successful in that role than in 2016 (24-267-3). Of course, the biggest wild card for Hill is the loss of QB Alex Smith, who despite his reputation for caution took advantage of Hill's skills. Second-year man Pat Mahomes is less polished, but he'll buy extra time with his athleticism, and he has a cannon for an arm, making Hill a good bet to lead the league in big plays again in 2018. Just don't expect a spike in volume, as Watkins will almost certainly see more targets than the departed Albert Wilson. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a four-year, $2.59 million contract with the Chiefs in May of 2016.
Tops 200 yards, scores twice Monday
WRKansas City Chiefs
November 19, 2018
Hill caught 10 of 14 targets for 215 yards and two touchdowns in Monday night's 54-51 loss to the Rams.
ANALYSIS
Hill was basically unguardable, gashing the Rams secondary for gains of all varieties. His first touchdown came on a 25-yard pass during the first quarter. Then, with the Chiefs down 10 points, he sprang free for a 73-yard bomb to cut the deficit to start the fourth. In doing so, Hill not only went for his longest catch of the season, but also fueled a new career high in receiving yards. Inarguably the league's most explosive, big-play wideout, Hill now sports back-to-back multi-touchdown outings heading into Kansas City's Week 12 bye.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Tyreek Hill's 2018 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
Air Yards Per Game
126.4
 
Air Yards Per Snap
2.20
 
% Team Air Yards
41.0%
 
% Team Targets
24.9%
 
Avg Depth of Target
14.8 Yds
 
Catch Rate
69.1%
 
Drop Rate
4.3%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
6.2
 
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NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Kansas City ChiefsChiefs 2018 WR Snap Distribution See more data like this
% of Team Snaps

632
233
502
182
462
109
210
116
36
0
11
6
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Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Tyreek Hill lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
The cautionary comp here is Cordarrelle Patterson, a dynamic, versatile rookie that turned out to be everything except a competent wide receiver. Apparently, coach Andy Reid isn't concerned -- this spring he said he'd like to get Hill more targets, and why not? Hill scored 12 times despite totaling only 107 touches from scrimmage last season, and while almost all of his pass-catching opportunities came on short throws, he impressively hauled in 61 of his 83 targets (73 percent, 6th). Hill also had 24 carries for 267 yards and three touchdowns, with another trio of scores as a return man. At 5-10, 185, Hill is small but reportedly ran a 4.24 40 at his Pro Day, and he's as quick as anyone in the league. The Chiefs apparently have high hopes for the second-year speedster, who likely will take over as the team's No. 1 wide receiver after Jeremy Maclin was cut in June. TE Travis Kelce could be the primary pass catcher, and fellow wideout Chris Conley also figures to benefit, but Maclin's release still speaks volumes about Kansas City's confidence in Hill. And while his size might serve to limit his red-zone opportunities, Hill did draw 15 targets in the area last season, though he converted only three into touchdowns. The only downside is that his role on special teams likely will be scaled back.
Character issues led to a big drop in the NFL Draft but Hill ran a blazing self-reported 4.24 40-yard dash at his Pro Day and has impressed early in camp. The rookie was listed as the team’s top punt returner on the initial depth chart release, but seems unlikely to see consistent playing time on offense this season.
More Fantasy News
Finds end zone twice in Week 10 win
WRKansas City Chiefs
November 11, 2018
Hill brought in seven of 10 targets for 117 yards and two touchdowns and also added 20 yards on his sole rush in the Chiefs' 26-14 win over the Cardinals on Sunday. He netted zero yards on his two punt returns.
ANALYSIS
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Tallies 85 yards
WRKansas City Chiefs
November 4, 2018
Hill caught four of five targets for 69 yards and added 16 yards on two carries during Sunday's 37-21 win over Cleveland.
ANALYSIS
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Cleared to play Sunday
WRKansas City Chiefs
November 2, 2018
Hill (groin) doesn't carry an injury designation into Sunday's game against the Browns after logging a full practice Friday, BJ Kissel of the Chiefs' official site reports.
ANALYSIS
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Finishes week with full practice
WRKansas City Chiefs
November 2, 2018
Hill (groin) was a full participant in Friday's practice, Adam Teicher of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Limted at practice Thursday
WRKansas City Chiefs
Groin
November 1, 2018
Hill (groin) was limited at Thursday's practice.
ANALYSIS
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