Tyreek Hill
Tyreek Hill
24-Year-Old Wide ReceiverWR
Kansas City Chiefs
2018 Fantasy Outlook
People were puzzled when the Chiefs released their No. 1 outside receiver Jeremy Maclin last year. Now we know why. Despite playing with a QB known more for avoiding errors than generating big plays down the field, Hill led the NFL with nine catches of 40-plus yards on only 105 total targets (T-29th). Not surprisingly, he also led the league with 11.3 YPT and was sixth with 15.8 YPC. At 5-10, 185, Hill is small but lightning quick, as dangerous as any player in the league in open space, and reportedly ran a blistering 4.24 40 at his college pro day, i.e., he's arguably the fastest player in the NFL. The downside for Hill is his lack of red-zone work - only four of his targets came from that area, so he has to do his damage from distance. While he managed seven TDs on a modest target total, there's far more variance when you're reliant on 40-yard TDs than when you post up at the goal line for short tosses. Accordingly, unless the Chiefs target him more from in close - something that's unlikely, given the presence of elite TE Travis Kelce and other bigger receivers like newly signed Sammy Watkins - Hill could range anywhere from four to 10 scores in 2018, the same way DeSean Jackson has during his career. Hill might see a slight boost to his stats as a gadget-play rusher, though last year (17 carries for 59 yards) he was far less successful in that role than in 2016 (24-267-3). Of course, the biggest wild card for Hill is the loss of QB Alex Smith, who despite his reputation for caution took advantage of Hill's skills. Second-year man Pat Mahomes is less polished, but he'll buy extra time with his athleticism, and he has a cannon for an arm, making Hill a good bet to lead the league in big plays again in 2018. Just don't expect a spike in volume, as Watkins will almost certainly see more targets than the departed Albert Wilson. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a four-year, $2.59 million contract with the Chiefs in May of 2016.
Catches one pass
WRKansas City Chiefs
January 20, 2019
Hill caught one of three targets for 42 yards during Sunday's 37-31 AFC Championship Game overtime loss to the Patriots.
ANALYSIS
Hill faced waves of coverage, as New England did its best to take him out of the game. He did break free for a long gain, but he didn't impact the box score otherwise. Although Hill fared better in his prior outing, his nine catches for 114 yards through two postseason games is a bit disappointing, especially considering the 1,479 yards and 12 touchdowns he posted during the regular season. Still, the speedster established himself as an elite fantasy asset this season and will head into the 2019 campaign as one of the top options at his position.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Tyreek Hill's 2018 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
Air Yards Per Game
133.0
 
Air Yards Per Snap
2.35
 
% Team Air Yards
39.7%
 
% Team Targets
23.7%
 
Avg Depth of Target
15.2 Yds
 
Catch Rate
62.9%
 
Drop Rate
5.7%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
6.2
 
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NFL Game Log
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Scoring
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PPR
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Kansas City ChiefsChiefs 2018 WR Snap Distribution See more data like this
% of Team Snaps

1023
94
882
93
590
0
431
75
45
16
36
14
36
0
26
14
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Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Tyreek Hill lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
Detailed
Grouped
Side
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This Week's Opposing Pass Defense
How does the Patriots pass defense compare to other NFL teams this season?
The bars represents the team's percentile rank (based on QB Rating Against). The longer the bar, the better their pass defense is. The team and position group ratings only include players that are currently on the roster and not on injured reserve. The list of players in the table only includes defenders with at least 3 attempts against them.
NE
vs Patriots
Sunday, Jan 20th at 6:40PM
Overall QB Rating Against
81.8
 
Cornerbacks
76.1
 
Safeties
91.6
 
Linebackers
87.4
 
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Tyreek Hill
NFL Game Previews: Conference Championship Matchups
2 days ago
Erik Siegrist analyzes the conference championship games as Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs will look to avenge a regular-season loss to the Patriots and advance to the Super Bowl.
DraftKings NFL: Conference Championship Picks
3 days ago
Derek VanRiper analyzes the conference championship games on DraftKings as Michael Thomas figures to be highly owned despite his top price.
Weekly Rankings: Championship Game Value Meter
3 days ago
Damien Williams will likely carry another heavy workload against the Pats in the AFC Championship Game this week.
Beating the Book: Chris Liss Handicaps the Conference Title Games
5 days ago
Chris likes Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs laying three points against the Patriots at Arrowhead.
Yahoo DFS Football: Conference Championship Picks
5 days ago
Sasha Yodashin digs into the two-game conference championship slate and expects Drew Brees to rise to the occasion as he attempts to march the Saints back to the Super Bowl.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
The cautionary comp here is Cordarrelle Patterson, a dynamic, versatile rookie that turned out to be everything except a competent wide receiver. Apparently, coach Andy Reid isn't concerned -- this spring he said he'd like to get Hill more targets, and why not? Hill scored 12 times despite totaling only 107 touches from scrimmage last season, and while almost all of his pass-catching opportunities came on short throws, he impressively hauled in 61 of his 83 targets (73 percent, 6th). Hill also had 24 carries for 267 yards and three touchdowns, with another trio of scores as a return man. At 5-10, 185, Hill is small but reportedly ran a 4.24 40 at his Pro Day, and he's as quick as anyone in the league. The Chiefs apparently have high hopes for the second-year speedster, who likely will take over as the team's No. 1 wide receiver after Jeremy Maclin was cut in June. TE Travis Kelce could be the primary pass catcher, and fellow wideout Chris Conley also figures to benefit, but Maclin's release still speaks volumes about Kansas City's confidence in Hill. And while his size might serve to limit his red-zone opportunities, Hill did draw 15 targets in the area last season, though he converted only three into touchdowns. The only downside is that his role on special teams likely will be scaled back.
Character issues led to a big drop in the NFL Draft but Hill ran a blazing self-reported 4.24 40-yard dash at his Pro Day and has impressed early in camp. The rookie was listed as the team’s top punt returner on the initial depth chart release, but seems unlikely to see consistent playing time on offense this season.
More Fantasy News
Scores on end-around
WRKansas City Chiefs
January 12, 2019
Hill caught eight of 13 targets for 72 yards and added a 36-yard touchdown run during Saturday's 31-13 win over the Colts.
ANALYSIS
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Gets in end zone twice
WRKansas City Chiefs
December 30, 2018
Hill had five catches (seven targets) for 101 yards and a touchdown, adding 15 yards and another score on his lone carry in Sunday's 35-3 win over the Raiders.
ANALYSIS
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Inefficient performance
WRKansas City Chiefs
December 23, 2018
Hill caught four of his nine targets for 74 yards in Sunday's 38-31 loss to the Seahawks. He also added two carries for 17 yards.
ANALYSIS
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Quiet night in loss
WRKansas City Chiefs
December 13, 2018
Hill (heel/wrist) brought in four of seven targets for 46 yards, netted minus-5 yards on three rushes and recovered a Patrick Mahomes fumble in the Chiefs' 29-28 loss to the Chargers on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Suits up Thursday
WRKansas City Chiefs
December 13, 2018
Hill (heel/wrist) is listed as active for Thursday night's game against the Chargers, BJ Kissel of the Chiefs' official site reports.
ANALYSIS
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