Tyreek Hill
Tyreek Hill
27-Year-Old Wide ReceiverWR
Kansas City Chiefs
2021 Fantasy Outlook
There’s never been any doubt about Hill’s efficiency — he’s eclipsed 9.5 yards per target every year since he broke out in 2017 — but his volume was usually modest, due to injuries and the variety of weapons on the Chiefs. But the two times Hill has cracked 135 targets, first in 2018 (1,630 scrimmage yards, 14 total TDs) and now in 2020 (1,399 scrimmage yards 17 total TDs, despite sitting out Week 17) the results have been massive. At 5-10, 185, Hill is arguably the fastest player in the league — he ran a 4.24 40 at his Pro Day in 2016. But Hill is also as quick as he is fast, and almost impossible to corral in open space. The Chiefs even use him in the running game, and he’s had six rushing TDs in his career, a bonus that’s projectable. And even though Hill is small, the Chiefs use him from in close — 12 targets from inside the 10 (T-5th) and six inside the five (T-12th). He returns in 2021 with Patrick Mahomes as his QB and Andy Reid as his head coach, and at age 27 there’s no reason Hill should slow down. Travis Kelce will absorb a large portion of the team’s targets, but Mahomes finished last season fifth in passing attempts (588) and inside-the-10 attempts (46), despite missing Week 17, so there’s plenty to go around. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
$Signed a three-year, $54 million contract with the Chiefs in September of 2019.
Held in check by opponent
WRKansas City Chiefs
September 19, 2021
Hill had just three receptions (four targets) for 14 yards in Sunday's 36-35 loss to the Ravens. He added 15 yards on one carry.
ANALYSIS
The Ravens came into this contest with a clear gameplan to stop Hill from beating them deep by constantly doubling the wideout, and they succeeded in that endeavor. They weren't able to stop Patrick Mahomes or the rest of Kansas City's receivers for the majority of the contest, but their plan ended up thwarting Hill's fantasy managers' plans of a repeat monster performance. The speedster will not be held in check like this every week so long as Mahomes is under center, so chalk this up to a rare dud and roll Hill out there with confidence against the Chargers next Sunday.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Tyreek Hill's 2021 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
Air Yards Per Game
222.0
 
Air Yards Per Snap
3.89
 
% Team Air Yards
72.1%
 
% Team Targets
44.1%
 
Avg Depth of Target
14.8 Yds
 
Catch Rate
57.9%
 
Drop Rate
0.0%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
5.3
 
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2021
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2021 NFL Game Log
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Kansas City ChiefsChiefs 2021 WR Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
#% of Team Snaps

574%
484%
453%
111%
50%
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Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Tyreek Hill lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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This Week's Opposing Pass Defense
How does the Ravens pass defense compare to other NFL teams this season?
The bars represents the team's percentile rank (based on QB Rating Against). The longer the bar, the better their pass defense is. The team and position group ratings only include players that are currently on the roster and not on injured reserve. The list of players in the table only includes defenders with at least 3 attempts against them.
BAL
@ Ravens
Sunday, Sep 19th at 8:20PM
Overall QB Rating Against
92.7
 
Cornerbacks
77.7
 
Safeties
110.4
 
Linebackers
118.8
 
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2021 Tyreek Hill Split Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Tyreek Hill
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6 days ago
Clyde Edwards-Helaire isn't a top-15 back in Week 2 against the Ravens.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
The good news was Hill wasn't suspended last year. The bad - he missed nearly five games with a shoulder injury and had to play without superstar quarterback Patrick Mahomes for two and a half more when he returned. When he played, Hill was his usual superstar self, averaging 9.7 YPT and catching six passes of 40-plus yards on only 89 targets. At 5-10, 185, Hill is small but blazingly fast - 4.24 40 at his pro day - and as dangerous as anyone in the league in open space. He was rarely used in the red zone (seven targets in 11 full games), but he still scored seven times, thanks to his deep-ball prowess and ability after the catch. It's almost unfair one of the league's fastest and most agile receivers would be paired with the quarterback who has the biggest arm and is the best at keeping his focus downfield while escaping the pass rush. Moreover, Hill usually supplements his production with rushing stats, but last year had only 23 yards on eight carries after hurting his shoulder Week 1. With a clean bill of health, don't be surprised if he's more involved again on gadget plays. The only question for Hill at this point is volume. All-world tight end Travis Kelce is still there, Sammy Watkins restructured his contract to stick around and fellow speedster Mecole Hardman could see his role grow. But even on a modest (for his talent) 137 targets in 2018, Hill was the league's WR1 in non-PPR.
On the field, Hill's 2018 production was superstar level - 10.8 YPT (2nd), eight catches of 40-plus yards (1st), 17.0 YPC (2nd) and 12 touchdowns (4th) on 137 targets (11th). Undersized at 5-10, 185, Hill is arguably the fastest player in the NFL and its most dangerous in open space (he ran a 4.24 40 at his pro day). Hill dropped nine passes, but some of those were from long range - his average depth of target was 14.8 yards (3rd). And despite his diminutive stature, he saw plenty of work in the red zone - 16 targets from inside the 20, seven inside the 10 and four inside the five. When you're getting the easy ones from in close and can also strike from long range like no one else in the league, the result is double-digit scores. Hill also has NFL MVP Patrick Mahomes under center in Kansas City and Andy Reid designing the offense. All-Pro tight end Travis Kelce, who often lines up in the slot and runs short and intermediate routes, is Hill's perfect complement. As training camp approached, the NFL concluded that an investigation into off-field allegations regarding Hill didn't provide enough evidence to conclude that the wide receiver violated the league's personal conduct policy. He's now eligible to participate in all team activities, including regular-season games.
People were puzzled when the Chiefs released their No. 1 outside receiver Jeremy Maclin last year. Now we know why. Despite playing with a QB known more for avoiding errors than generating big plays down the field, Hill led the NFL with nine catches of 40-plus yards on only 105 total targets (T-29th). Not surprisingly, he also led the league with 11.3 YPT and was sixth with 15.8 YPC. At 5-10, 185, Hill is small but lightning quick, as dangerous as any player in the league in open space, and reportedly ran a blistering 4.24 40 at his college pro day, i.e., he's arguably the fastest player in the NFL. The downside for Hill is his lack of red-zone work - only four of his targets came from that area, so he has to do his damage from distance. While he managed seven TDs on a modest target total, there's far more variance when you're reliant on 40-yard TDs than when you post up at the goal line for short tosses. Accordingly, unless the Chiefs target him more from in close - something that's unlikely, given the presence of elite TE Travis Kelce and other bigger receivers like newly signed Sammy Watkins - Hill could range anywhere from four to 10 scores in 2018, the same way DeSean Jackson has during his career. Hill might see a slight boost to his stats as a gadget-play rusher, though last year (17 carries for 59 yards) he was far less successful in that role than in 2016 (24-267-3). Of course, the biggest wild card for Hill is the loss of QB Alex Smith, who despite his reputation for caution took advantage of Hill's skills. Second-year man Pat Mahomes is less polished, but he'll buy extra time with his athleticism, and he has a cannon for an arm, making Hill a good bet to lead the league in big plays again in 2018. Just don't expect a spike in volume, as Watkins will almost certainly see more targets than the departed Albert Wilson.
The cautionary comp here is Cordarrelle Patterson, a dynamic, versatile rookie that turned out to be everything except a competent wide receiver. Apparently, coach Andy Reid isn't concerned -- this spring he said he'd like to get Hill more targets, and why not? Hill scored 12 times despite totaling only 107 touches from scrimmage last season, and while almost all of his pass-catching opportunities came on short throws, he impressively hauled in 61 of his 83 targets (73 percent, 6th). Hill also had 24 carries for 267 yards and three touchdowns, with another trio of scores as a return man. At 5-10, 185, Hill is small but reportedly ran a 4.24 40 at his Pro Day, and he's as quick as anyone in the league. The Chiefs apparently have high hopes for the second-year speedster, who likely will take over as the team's No. 1 wide receiver after Jeremy Maclin was cut in June. TE Travis Kelce could be the primary pass catcher, and fellow wideout Chris Conley also figures to benefit, but Maclin's release still speaks volumes about Kansas City's confidence in Hill. And while his size might serve to limit his red-zone opportunities, Hill did draw 15 targets in the area last season, though he converted only three into touchdowns. The only downside is that his role on special teams likely will be scaled back.
Character issues led to a big drop in the NFL Draft but Hill ran a blazing self-reported 4.24 40-yard dash at his Pro Day and has impressed early in camp. The rookie was listed as the team’s top punt returner on the initial depth chart release, but seems unlikely to see consistent playing time on offense this season.
More Fantasy News
Massive numbers in Week 1 win
WRKansas City Chiefs
September 12, 2021
Hill caught 11 of 15 targets for 197 yards and a touchdown and gained four yards on his only carry in Sunday's 33-29 win over the Browns.
ANALYSIS
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Scores on deep ball
WRKansas City Chiefs
August 27, 2021
Hill caught his only target for a 35-yard touchdown in Friday night's 28-25 preseason win over the Vikings.
ANALYSIS
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Practicing Monday
WRKansas City Chiefs
August 23, 2021
Hill (hamstring) is slated to practice Monday, Sam McDowell of The Kansas City Star reports.
ANALYSIS
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Tending to hamstring issue
WRKansas City Chiefs
Hamstring
August 20, 2021
Hill didn't play in Friday's preseason win at Arizona due to a hamstring injury, Sam McDowell of The Kansas City Star reports.
ANALYSIS
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Looks good in return to practice
WRKansas City Chiefs
August 5, 2021
Hill (knee) returned to practice Thursday, Adam Teicher of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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