Sammy Watkins
Sammy Watkins
25-Year-Old Wide ReceiverWR
Kansas City Chiefs
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Watkins finally got to play in a credible passing offense, and the results were mixed. On the one hand, he scored eight times on 70 targets, the same number of TDs as A.J. Green, who had 142 looks, and Watkins averaged 15.2 YPC and 8.5 YPT, more than respectable per-play efficiency in this dink-and-dunk era. On the other hand, he saw only 70 targets, despite his competition for market share being third-round rookie Cooper Kupp and his former complement in Buffalo, Robert Woods. Why the Rams didn't feel the need to get Watkins the ball is unclear, but the Chiefs guaranteed him $30 million this offseason to play opposite Tyreek Hill, so that should change - to an extent. Hill was the most explosive receiver in the league last year, and tight end Travis Kelce functions as a co-No. 1, often lining up in the slot. The Chiefs also throw to their tailbacks a good deal, so if everyone stays healthy, Watkins' ceiling is relatively modest. But Watkins - who has good size at 6-1, 211, and impressive speed (4.43 40) - should have a better floor given his contract and the lack of receiving depth beyond the aforementioned options. He will have to play with untested second-year quarterback Pat Mahomes, but that might redound to his benefit, as Mahomes hasn't established a long-term rapport with Hill or Kelce, either, and he has a cannon for an arm that fits well with Watkins' (and Hill's) downfield playmaking abilities. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a three-year, $48 million contract with the Chiefs in March of 2018.
Gains 74 yards
WRKansas City Chiefs
October 21, 2018
Watkins caught four passes (seven targets) for 74 yards in Sunday's 45-10 win over the Bengals.
ANALYSIS
Watkins did most of his damage on a crisp crossing route where Patrick Mahomes hit him in stride for a 50-yard gain. The veteran wideout reached seven targets for the fourth time this season, gaining at least 55 yards on each of those occasions. That said, Watkins is, at best, the fourth weapon in Kansas City's prolific offense. That will still produce useful fantasy days, but he has the tendency to disappear other times, making him tough to trust on a weekly basis. That inconsistency makes Watkins merely a deep-league option next week against the Broncos.
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Sammy Watkins NFL Stats
Total
Fantasy/Red Zone
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Sammy Watkins NFL Game Log
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Snap Counts
  • 2018 Offensive Snaps:
    353
  • 2018 Special Teams Snaps:
    0
 
Off Snaps:
ST Snaps:
2016
382
0
2017
778
1
2018
353
0
Measurables Overview

(Compared to other WRs)

Height:   6' 1"
AVERAGE
Weight:   211 lbs
ABOVE AVERAGE
40-Yard Dash:   4.43 sec
GOOD
Shuttle Time:   4.34 sec
WEAK
Cone Drill:   6.95 sec
WEAK
Arm Length:   32.00 in
BELOW AVERAGE
Hand Length:   9.63 in
ABOVE AVERAGE
Vertical Jump:   34 in
WEAK
Broad Jump:   126 in
GREAT
Bench Press:   16 reps
GOOD
Kansas City Chiefs Team Injury Report
Questionable
Doubtful
Out
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
Health is the chief -- and only -- concern with Watkins, who missed 11 games the past two seasons. When he has played, he's been as advertised, a big-play threat with good size, great speed and excellent ball skills. Watkins put those skills to good use in 2015 when he had seven catches for 40-plus on only 96 targets, easily the league's highest big-play rate. He also led the NFL that year with 10.9 YPT. The question, though, is whether Watkins can hold up. In May 2016 he broke a bone in his foot and had a screw inserted. While he suited up for Week 1, he was clearly at less than full capacity. He tried to play through it but was shut down from Week 2 through Week 12, after which he finished the season on the still-broken bone. Watkins had a second surgery in January and sat out voluntary workouts in April before learning the Bills declined to pick up his fifth-year option in May. Just three months later, he found himself a member of the Rams, joining former Bill Robert Woods. The downgrade from Tyrod Taylor to Jared Goff will more than likely inhibit his ability to produce, but if he stays healthy, Watkins is by far the most talented receiver on his new squad.
Watkins quietly had a huge season in 12.5 games. Watkins was the NFL's most efficient receiver last year - his 10.7 YPT was first among the league's 40 90-target WR, and his 17.5 YPC was second. Watkins had six catches of 40-plus yards, one fewer than Antonio Brown on less than half the targets. And Watkins scored nine TDs, despite only seven looks inside the 20 and four inside the 10. That should change in 2016, as Watkins saw all his red-zone targets in the final six games and all his inside-the-10 targets in the final five. His rapport with first-year starter Tyrod Taylor improved vastly in the second half - Watkins had five 100-yard games in the last nine weeks and double-digit targets in four of the last six. Watkins isn't dependent on red-zone targets for scores, either. With his blazing speed - 4.43 40 at the Combine, 4.33 unofficially - and athleticism, he can strike from anywhere. And at 6-1, 211, he has above-average size for a burner, and the toughness to be effective in traffic. With Taylor and Watkins in their second seasons together, and no serious competition for targets, Watkins should see a significant increase in volume. If he comes close to last years efficiency, look out. Watkins had foot surgery in May, and while he returned during the preseason, it still adds some risk. (Prior to the news, he was our No. 6 WR.)
Considering Watkins battled through nagging injuries and subpar quarterback play throughout his rookie season, it was a promising professional debut. He narrowly missed being the ninth rookie to break the 1,000-yard barrier since 2000, but managed a passable 7.7 YPT (22nd among the league's 41 100-target WR) and 15.1 YPC (8th) while playing in the NFL's fifth-least efficient passing offense (6.7 YPA). At 6-1, 211, Watkins has decent size and blazing speed (4.43 official Combine time, but ran 4.33 and 4.37 unofficially) and is tough and athletic enough to make contested plays anywhere on the field. With Percy Harvin and Charles Clay in the fold along with incumbent Robert Woods, Watkins will have more competition for targets this year, and new coach Rex Ryan plans to have a more run-heavy attack behind newly acquired LeSean McCoy. Still, Watkins is the premier talent among the pass catchers in this group and, health permitting, should grow in Year 2. Watkins, who had hip surgery this offseason, isn't expected to take part in OTAs, but should be ready for the start of training camp.
Taken with the fourth overall pick, Watkins should be the Bills’ top target right away now that Steve Johnson’s gone. Watkins’ prospects will hinge in large part on the development of second-year quarterback EJ Manuel who struggled through an injury-riddled rookie year. Moreover, rookie receivers rarely make significant impacts – when Keenan Allen broke 1,000 yards last year, he became only the fifth to do so this millennium. And 1,000 yards is not a particularly high bar to clear in the modern NFL – 23 receivers hit that mark in 2013. That said, few rookie receivers are their teams’ likely No. 1’s out of the gate, and few have Watkins’ combination of decent size (6-1, 205), toughness and blazing speed; Watkins’ official NFL Combine time was 4.43, but he unofficially ran a 4.33 and 4.37. The Bills brought in Mike Williams this offseason from Tampa Bay, and Robert Woods makes for a nice possession option, but both profile as complementary pieces.
More Fantasy News
Sees just four targets
WRKansas City Chiefs
October 16, 2018
Watkins caught just two passes for 18 yards on four targets Sunday night against the Patriots.
ANALYSIS
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Snatches six passes
WRKansas City Chiefs
October 7, 2018
Watkins caught six of eight targets for 78 yards during Sunday's 30-14 win over the Jaguars.
ANALYSIS
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Suits up Sunday
WRKansas City Chiefs
October 7, 2018
Watkins (hamstring) is listed as active or Sunday's game against the Jaguars, BJ Kissel of the Chiefs' official site reports.
ANALYSIS
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Trending toward availability
WRKansas City Chiefs
Hamstring
October 7, 2018
There is optimism that Watkins (hamstring) will play Sunday against the Jaguars, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Listed as questionable for Week 5
WRKansas City Chiefs
Hamstring
October 5, 2018
Watkins (hamstring) is listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Jaguars after practicing in a limited fashion all week.
ANALYSIS
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