Sammy Watkins
Sammy Watkins
27-Year-Old Wide ReceiverWR
Kansas City Chiefs
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Watkins' 2019 season was in some ways a microcosm of his career. The fourth overall pick in 2014 put up an 11-9-198-3 line in Week 1, but he didn't crack 80 yards or score a touchdown again until he went 10-7-114-1 in the AFC title game win over the Titans. The flashes of his elite pedigree have always been there, but injuries, inconsistency and adapting to new locations and roles have prevented him from reaching expectations. At 6-1, 211, and with 4.43 speed at the 2014 combine, Watkins has the athleticism and agility of a No. 1 NFL receiver. He's probably lost at least half a step due to injuries, but is still only 27. With Tyreek Hill and Mecole Hardman around, Watkins won't run many deep routes, and tight end Travis Kelce is Patrick Mahomes' favorite target over the middle. But Watkins will see work in the slot and outside and, after restructuring his deal in April, seems to again be the No. 3 option in the league's best passing game. Just realize his solid volume last year (90 targets in 14 games) came with Hill missing the better part of five games. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#138.18
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $9 million restructured contract with the Chiefs in April of 2020.
Agrees to restructured deal
WRKansas City Chiefs
April 3, 2020
Watkins and Kansas City agreed Friday to a one-year, $9 million contract with up to an additional $7 million in incentives, Terez A. Paylor of Yahoo Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
Watkins would have counted $21 million against Kansas City's cap space under the original deal, which was signed in the last of its three years. There's probably something to infer from the fact that the Chiefs didn't extend Watkins -- he simply took a paycut on his one remaining year -- but with this restructured deal he's all but guaranteed to start in Kansas City another year. If he retains the same role as he did in 2019, Watkins would likely serve as the Chiefs' primary slot and underneath wideout target. It's a development that will likely delay the proper breakout of second-year wideout Mecole Hardman.
Read More News
NFL Stats
Loading NFL Stats...
Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
Loading Fantasy/Red Zone Stats...
Advanced NFL Stats
How do Sammy Watkins' 2019 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
Air Yards Per Game
61.5
 
Air Yards Per Snap
1.15
 
% Team Air Yards
18.6%
 
% Team Targets
16.2%
 
Avg Depth of Target
9.6 Yds
 
Catch Rate
57.8%
 
Drop Rate
4.4%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
5.9
 
Loading Advanced NFL Stats...
2019
2018
2017
2016
2019 NFL Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
Standard
PPR
Half PPR
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Loading Game Log...
2018 NFL Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
Standard
PPR
Half PPR
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Loading Game Log...
2017 NFL Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
Standard
PPR
Half PPR
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Loading Game Log...
2016 NFL Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
Standard
PPR
Half PPR
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Loading Game Log...
Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Kansas City ChiefsChiefs 2019 WR Snap Distribution See more data like this
% of Team Snaps

858
0
807
0
688
0
518
0
151
0
20
0
6
0
Loading Weekly Snap Counts...
Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Sammy Watkins lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
Detailed
Grouped
Side
Loading Alignment Breakdown...
Loading Alignment Breakdown...
Loading Alignment Breakdown...
Loading Team Alignment Breakdown...
2019 Sammy Watkins Split Stats
Loading NFL Split Stats...
Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Sammy Watkins' measurables compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 1"
 
Weight
211 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.43 sec
 
Shuttle Time
4.34 sec
 
Cone Drill
6.95 sec
 
Vertical Jump
34.0 in
 
Broad Jump
126 in
 
Bench Press
16 reps
 
Hand Length
9.63 in
 
Arm Length
32.00 in
 
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Sammy Watkins
NFL Observations: Snarky 150
10 days ago
Kerryon Johnson, damaged during turbulence, clocks in at No. 85, six spots below failed professional wrestler Rob Gronkowski.
2020 Training Camp Preview: Kansas City Chiefs
16 days ago
The Chiefs will look to defend their Super Bowl title following an unprecedented offseason.
Job Battles: Chiefs WR Rotation
25 days ago
Mecole Hardman is the presumed breakout receiver in Kansas City, but Sammy Watkins might be overlooked after a strong playoffs showing. Also breaking down Watkins' potential 2021 replacements.
ADP Analysis: Mostert Sinking, Coleman Rising
28 days ago
Raheem Mostert's trade request is making fantasy drafters nervous, creating a nice opportunity to get the 49ers' lead back at a reduced price. Jerry Donabedian analyzes the latest ADP data.
WR Tiers and Rankings (Top 75)
53 days ago
A foot injury drops Deebo Samuel outside the top 40, but that doesn't necessarily make Brandon Aiyuk a prized commodity for redraft leagues.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
With Watkins the question is always health. Last year, he managed 10 games, 9.4 YPT, 13.0 YPC and two catches of 40-plus yards on only 55 targets. And that doesn't include the playoffs when he caught 10 of 16 targets for 176 yards over two contests. With Patrick Mahomes under center, it's hard not to be efficient, and Watkins, still only 26, has the size (6-1, 211) and speed (4.43 40) to make plays. But Watkins fought through hamstring and hip injuries early on before missing six games with a right foot injury. It wasn't the same foot on which he had two surgeries earlier in his career, but Watkins has missed at least three games in three of the last four seasons and shows up on the injury report almost every week, i.e., he's rarely at full strength. He signed a contract guaranteeing him $30 million last offseason, so he's locked in as one of the Chiefs' key receiving options if he stays healthy. Moreover, top receiver Tyreek Hlll, who pleaded guilty to domestic assault and battery of his girlfriend in college, was investigated for a domestic battery incident involving his three-year-old son this offseason. Should Hill receive discipline from he NFL - or go the way of Kareem Hunt whom the Chiefs released for his own off-field transgression - Watkins would be the top wideout in the league's best offense. Of course, all-world tight end Travis Kelce is still around, and the Chiefs drafted Mecole Hardman with the 56th pick ostensibly to fill Hill's role, so Watkins' target ceiling is probably capped even if he stays healthy.
Watkins finally got to play in a credible passing offense, and the results were mixed. On the one hand, he scored eight times on 70 targets, the same number of TDs as A.J. Green, who had 142 looks, and Watkins averaged 15.2 YPC and 8.5 YPT, more than respectable per-play efficiency in this dink-and-dunk era. On the other hand, he saw only 70 targets, despite his competition for market share being third-round rookie Cooper Kupp and his former complement in Buffalo, Robert Woods. Why the Rams didn't feel the need to get Watkins the ball is unclear, but the Chiefs guaranteed him $30 million this offseason to play opposite Tyreek Hill, so that should change - to an extent. Hill was the most explosive receiver in the league last year, and tight end Travis Kelce functions as a co-No. 1, often lining up in the slot. The Chiefs also throw to their tailbacks a good deal, so if everyone stays healthy, Watkins' ceiling is relatively modest. But Watkins - who has good size at 6-1, 211, and impressive speed (4.43 40) - should have a better floor given his contract and the lack of receiving depth beyond the aforementioned options. He will have to play with untested second-year quarterback Pat Mahomes, but that might redound to his benefit, as Mahomes hasn't established a long-term rapport with Hill or Kelce, either, and he has a cannon for an arm that fits well with Watkins' (and Hill's) downfield playmaking abilities.
Health is the chief -- and only -- concern with Watkins, who missed 11 games the past two seasons. When he has played, he's been as advertised, a big-play threat with good size, great speed and excellent ball skills. Watkins put those skills to good use in 2015 when he had seven catches for 40-plus on only 96 targets, easily the league's highest big-play rate. He also led the NFL that year with 10.9 YPT. The question, though, is whether Watkins can hold up. In May 2016 he broke a bone in his foot and had a screw inserted. While he suited up for Week 1, he was clearly at less than full capacity. He tried to play through it but was shut down from Week 2 through Week 12, after which he finished the season on the still-broken bone. Watkins had a second surgery in January and sat out voluntary workouts in April before learning the Bills declined to pick up his fifth-year option in May. Just three months later, he found himself a member of the Rams, joining former Bill Robert Woods. The downgrade from Tyrod Taylor to Jared Goff will more than likely inhibit his ability to produce, but if he stays healthy, Watkins is by far the most talented receiver on his new squad.
Watkins quietly had a huge season in 12.5 games. Watkins was the NFL's most efficient receiver last year - his 10.7 YPT was first among the league's 40 90-target WR, and his 17.5 YPC was second. Watkins had six catches of 40-plus yards, one fewer than Antonio Brown on less than half the targets. And Watkins scored nine TDs, despite only seven looks inside the 20 and four inside the 10. That should change in 2016, as Watkins saw all his red-zone targets in the final six games and all his inside-the-10 targets in the final five. His rapport with first-year starter Tyrod Taylor improved vastly in the second half - Watkins had five 100-yard games in the last nine weeks and double-digit targets in four of the last six. Watkins isn't dependent on red-zone targets for scores, either. With his blazing speed - 4.43 40 at the Combine, 4.33 unofficially - and athleticism, he can strike from anywhere. And at 6-1, 211, he has above-average size for a burner, and the toughness to be effective in traffic. With Taylor and Watkins in their second seasons together, and no serious competition for targets, Watkins should see a significant increase in volume. If he comes close to last years efficiency, look out. Watkins had foot surgery in May, and while he returned during the preseason, it still adds some risk. (Prior to the news, he was our No. 6 WR.)
Considering Watkins battled through nagging injuries and subpar quarterback play throughout his rookie season, it was a promising professional debut. He narrowly missed being the ninth rookie to break the 1,000-yard barrier since 2000, but managed a passable 7.7 YPT (22nd among the league's 41 100-target WR) and 15.1 YPC (8th) while playing in the NFL's fifth-least efficient passing offense (6.7 YPA). At 6-1, 211, Watkins has decent size and blazing speed (4.43 official Combine time, but ran 4.33 and 4.37 unofficially) and is tough and athletic enough to make contested plays anywhere on the field. With Percy Harvin and Charles Clay in the fold along with incumbent Robert Woods, Watkins will have more competition for targets this year, and new coach Rex Ryan plans to have a more run-heavy attack behind newly acquired LeSean McCoy. Still, Watkins is the premier talent among the pass catchers in this group and, health permitting, should grow in Year 2. Watkins, who had hip surgery this offseason, isn't expected to take part in OTAs, but should be ready for the start of training camp.
Taken with the fourth overall pick, Watkins should be the Bills’ top target right away now that Steve Johnson’s gone. Watkins’ prospects will hinge in large part on the development of second-year quarterback EJ Manuel who struggled through an injury-riddled rookie year. Moreover, rookie receivers rarely make significant impacts – when Keenan Allen broke 1,000 yards last year, he became only the fifth to do so this millennium. And 1,000 yards is not a particularly high bar to clear in the modern NFL – 23 receivers hit that mark in 2013. That said, few rookie receivers are their teams’ likely No. 1’s out of the gate, and few have Watkins’ combination of decent size (6-1, 205), toughness and blazing speed; Watkins’ official NFL Combine time was 4.43, but he unofficially ran a 4.33 and 4.37. The Bills brought in Mike Williams this offseason from Tampa Bay, and Robert Woods makes for a nice possession option, but both profile as complementary pieces.
More Fantasy News
Candidate to have deal re-worked
WRKansas City Chiefs
February 25, 2020
Watkins, who is slated to count $21 million against the Chiefs' salary cap this coming season, is a candidate to have his deal restructured, Herbie Teope of the Kansas City Star reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Won't retire this offseason
WRKansas City Chiefs
February 6, 2020
Watkins confirmed that he plans to play football in 2020, but he acknowledged that his future with the Chiefs is uncertain, SiriusXM NFL Radio reports. "I need some down time," Watkins said. "I'm gonna talk to coach Reid about it. I don't control the contracts, or the trade, or if they're gonna give me a better contract."
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Could stay in KC
WRKansas City Chiefs
February 5, 2020
The Chiefs hope to retain Watkins for 2020, though his $14 million salary could make it difficult, Tom Pelissero of NFL Network reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Excels in complementary role
WRKansas City Chiefs
February 2, 2020
Watkins secured five of six targets for 98 yards during the Chiefs' 31-20 win over the 49ers in Super Bowl LIV on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Keeping options open
WRKansas City Chiefs
January 30, 2020
Watkins suggested Thursday that he's considering different options with regard to the 2020 NFL season, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.