Sammy Watkins
Sammy Watkins
25-Year-Old Wide ReceiverWR
Kansas City Chiefs
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Watkins finally got to play in a credible passing offense, and the results were mixed. On the one hand, he scored eight times on 70 targets, the same number of TDs as A.J. Green, who had 142 looks, and Watkins averaged 15.2 YPC and 8.5 YPT, more than respectable per-play efficiency in this dink-and-dunk era. On the other hand, he saw only 70 targets, despite his competition for market share being third-round rookie Cooper Kupp and his former complement in Buffalo, Robert Woods. Why the Rams didn't feel the need to get Watkins the ball is unclear, but the Chiefs guaranteed him $30 million this offseason to play opposite Tyreek Hill, so that should change - to an extent. Hill was the most explosive receiver in the league last year, and tight end Travis Kelce functions as a co-No. 1, often lining up in the slot. The Chiefs also throw to their tailbacks a good deal, so if everyone stays healthy, Watkins' ceiling is relatively modest. But Watkins - who has good size at 6-1, 211, and impressive speed (4.43 40) - should have a better floor given his contract and the lack of receiving depth beyond the aforementioned options. He will have to play with untested second-year quarterback Pat Mahomes, but that might redound to his benefit, as Mahomes hasn't established a long-term rapport with Hill or Kelce, either, and he has a cannon for an arm that fits well with Watkins' (and Hill's) downfield playmaking abilities. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a three-year, $48 million contract with the Chiefs in March of 2018.
Leads team in receiving yardage
WRKansas City Chiefs
January 20, 2019
Watkins caught four of eight targets for 114 yards during Sunday's 37-31 AFC Championship Game overtime loss to the Patriots.
ANALYSIS
With Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce commanding plenty of coverage, Watkins stepped up to lead the team in receiving yardage. He broke off two gains longer than 35 yards, including one that nearly turned into a 55-yard touchdown on the opening drive of the third quarter. Watkins posted 10 catches for 176 yards over two playoff appearances, which is an improvement on the 51.9 yards per game he averaged during the regular season. He'll look to continue building his rapport with Patrick Mahomes heading into the 2019 campaign.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Sammy Watkins' 2018 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
Air Yards Per Game
63.6
 
Air Yards Per Snap
1.38
 
% Team Air Yards
11.1%
 
% Team Targets
11.3%
 
Avg Depth of Target
9.0 Yds
 
Catch Rate
70.4%
 
Drop Rate
4.2%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
6.5
 
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Kansas City ChiefsChiefs 2018 WR Snap Distribution See more data like this
% of Team Snaps

1023
36
882
36
590
0
431
35
45
15
36
14
36
0
26
4
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Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Sammy Watkins lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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Measurables Review View College Player Page
How do Sammy Watkins' measurables compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his draft workout metrics with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average.
Height
6' 1"
 
Weight
211 lbs
 
40-Yard Dash
4.43 sec
 
Shuttle Time
4.34 sec
 
Cone Drill
6.95 sec
 
Vertical Jump
34.0 in
 
Broad Jump
126 in
 
Bench Press
16 reps
 
Hand Length
9.63 in
 
Arm Length
32.00 in
 
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Sammy Watkins
NFL Game Previews: Conference Championship Matchups
3 days ago
Erik Siegrist analyzes the conference championship games as Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs will look to avenge a regular-season loss to the Patriots and advance to the Super Bowl.
DraftKings NFL: Conference Championship Picks
4 days ago
Derek VanRiper analyzes the conference championship games on DraftKings as Michael Thomas figures to be highly owned despite his top price.
Weekly Rankings: Championship Game Value Meter
4 days ago
Damien Williams will likely carry another heavy workload against the Pats in the AFC Championship Game this week.
FanDuel Fantasy Football: Conference Championship Picks
4 days ago
With all four quarterbacks priced within $1,000 of each other, Kevin Payne likes Patrick Mahomes with his average of more than 26 fantasy points per game this season and his high floor.
Beating the Book: Chris Liss Handicaps the Conference Title Games
6 days ago
Chris likes Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs laying three points against the Patriots at Arrowhead.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
Health is the chief -- and only -- concern with Watkins, who missed 11 games the past two seasons. When he has played, he's been as advertised, a big-play threat with good size, great speed and excellent ball skills. Watkins put those skills to good use in 2015 when he had seven catches for 40-plus on only 96 targets, easily the league's highest big-play rate. He also led the NFL that year with 10.9 YPT. The question, though, is whether Watkins can hold up. In May 2016 he broke a bone in his foot and had a screw inserted. While he suited up for Week 1, he was clearly at less than full capacity. He tried to play through it but was shut down from Week 2 through Week 12, after which he finished the season on the still-broken bone. Watkins had a second surgery in January and sat out voluntary workouts in April before learning the Bills declined to pick up his fifth-year option in May. Just three months later, he found himself a member of the Rams, joining former Bill Robert Woods. The downgrade from Tyrod Taylor to Jared Goff will more than likely inhibit his ability to produce, but if he stays healthy, Watkins is by far the most talented receiver on his new squad.
Watkins quietly had a huge season in 12.5 games. Watkins was the NFL's most efficient receiver last year - his 10.7 YPT was first among the league's 40 90-target WR, and his 17.5 YPC was second. Watkins had six catches of 40-plus yards, one fewer than Antonio Brown on less than half the targets. And Watkins scored nine TDs, despite only seven looks inside the 20 and four inside the 10. That should change in 2016, as Watkins saw all his red-zone targets in the final six games and all his inside-the-10 targets in the final five. His rapport with first-year starter Tyrod Taylor improved vastly in the second half - Watkins had five 100-yard games in the last nine weeks and double-digit targets in four of the last six. Watkins isn't dependent on red-zone targets for scores, either. With his blazing speed - 4.43 40 at the Combine, 4.33 unofficially - and athleticism, he can strike from anywhere. And at 6-1, 211, he has above-average size for a burner, and the toughness to be effective in traffic. With Taylor and Watkins in their second seasons together, and no serious competition for targets, Watkins should see a significant increase in volume. If he comes close to last years efficiency, look out. Watkins had foot surgery in May, and while he returned during the preseason, it still adds some risk. (Prior to the news, he was our No. 6 WR.)
Considering Watkins battled through nagging injuries and subpar quarterback play throughout his rookie season, it was a promising professional debut. He narrowly missed being the ninth rookie to break the 1,000-yard barrier since 2000, but managed a passable 7.7 YPT (22nd among the league's 41 100-target WR) and 15.1 YPC (8th) while playing in the NFL's fifth-least efficient passing offense (6.7 YPA). At 6-1, 211, Watkins has decent size and blazing speed (4.43 official Combine time, but ran 4.33 and 4.37 unofficially) and is tough and athletic enough to make contested plays anywhere on the field. With Percy Harvin and Charles Clay in the fold along with incumbent Robert Woods, Watkins will have more competition for targets this year, and new coach Rex Ryan plans to have a more run-heavy attack behind newly acquired LeSean McCoy. Still, Watkins is the premier talent among the pass catchers in this group and, health permitting, should grow in Year 2. Watkins, who had hip surgery this offseason, isn't expected to take part in OTAs, but should be ready for the start of training camp.
Taken with the fourth overall pick, Watkins should be the Bills’ top target right away now that Steve Johnson’s gone. Watkins’ prospects will hinge in large part on the development of second-year quarterback EJ Manuel who struggled through an injury-riddled rookie year. Moreover, rookie receivers rarely make significant impacts – when Keenan Allen broke 1,000 yards last year, he became only the fifth to do so this millennium. And 1,000 yards is not a particularly high bar to clear in the modern NFL – 23 receivers hit that mark in 2013. That said, few rookie receivers are their teams’ likely No. 1’s out of the gate, and few have Watkins’ combination of decent size (6-1, 205), toughness and blazing speed; Watkins’ official NFL Combine time was 4.43, but he unofficially ran a 4.33 and 4.37. The Bills brought in Mike Williams this offseason from Tampa Bay, and Robert Woods makes for a nice possession option, but both profile as complementary pieces.
More Fantasy News
Shakes off rust in win
WRKansas City Chiefs
January 12, 2019
Watkins caught six of eight targets for 62 yards during Saturday's 31-13 win over the Colts. He lost two yards on the ground and fumbled during the contest.
ANALYSIS
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Playing for first time since Week 11
WRKansas City Chiefs
January 12, 2019
Watkins (foot) is active for Saturday's divisional-round game against the Colts, James Palmer of NFL Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Likely to play
WRKansas City Chiefs
Foot
January 12, 2019
Watkins (foot) is listed as questionable, but is expected to play Saturday against the Colts according to Ian Rapoport of NFL Network.
ANALYSIS
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Listed as questionable
WRKansas City Chiefs
Foot
January 10, 2019
Watkins (foot) is listed as questionable for Saturday's playoff game against the Colts after logging limited practices this week.
ANALYSIS
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Logs another limited practice
WRKansas City Chiefs
Foot
January 9, 2019
Watkins (foot) remained limited at practice Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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