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Staff Picks: Colts, Bucs and Raiders

Chris Liss

Chris Liss is RotoWire's Managing Editor and Host of RotoWIre Fantasy Sports Today on Sirius XM radio.

Dalton and Stopa made moves last week, with the former going 10-4 and the latter 9-5. That puts Dalton in second place, three games behind Pianowski who went 7-7 and one game ahead of Stopa and me. Erickson, who also went 7-7, is six games out in last place. Mercifully, we have only three consensus picks this week.

Enjoy the games.

Erickson Pianowski Liss Stopa Del Don
Jaguars pick 'em at Bills Bills Bills Bills Jaguars Bills
Chiefs +8 at Colts Colts Colts Colts Colts Colts
Buccaneers +6.5 at Bengals Buccaneers Buccaneers Buccaneers Buccaneers Buccaneers
Packers -2.5 at Redskins Packers Packers Redskins Redskins Packers
Rams +3 at Lions Lions Rams Lions Lions Lions
Bears -2.5 at Panthers Panthers Panthers Panthers Bears Panthers
Giants +3 at Texans Giants Texans Texans Giants Texans
Broncos +7 at Ravens Broncos Broncos Ravens Broncos Broncos
Falcons -3 at Browns Browns Falcons Browns Falcons Falcons
Saints -7 at Cardinals Cardinals Saints Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals
Titans +6.5 at Cowboys Cowboys Titans Cowboys Titans Titans
Chargers -6 at Raiders Raiders Raiders Raiders Raiders Raiders
Eagles +3.5 at 49ers 49ers Eagles 49ers Eagles 49ers
Vikings +4 at Jets Jets Vikings Jets Jets Jets
Best Bet Bills Broncos Cardinals Colts Colts
Last Week's Record 7-7 7-7 7-7 9-5 10-4
2010 Record 29-30-3 35-24-3 31-28-3 31-28-3 32-27-3
Best Bet Record 1-3 1-1-1 2-2 2-1-1 1-2-1
Consensus Pick Record 11-9-1
2009 Record 123-130-3 132-121-3 131-122-3 130-123-3 126-127-3
2008 Record 132-114-10 128-118-10 124-122-10 125-121-10 130-116-10
2007 Record 127-120 118-129 127-120 N/A 130-117
2006 Record 118-129 N/A 139-108 N/A N/A
2005 Record 121-126 N/A 127-120 N/A N/A
2004 Record 124-124 N/A 130-118 N/A N/A
2003 Record 121-126 118-129 124-123 N/A N/A
2002 Record 113-136 123-126 141-108 N/A N/A
2001 Record 124-113 117-120 118-119 N/A N/A
2000 Record 123-117 134-106 141-99 N/A N/A

Consensus Picks

This week we have three consensus picks: Colts, Buccaneers and Raiders.

Last week we went 5-3 on consensus picks, putting us at 11-9-1 on the year. We finished 2009 at 19-23-1 on consensus picks, and were 24-19-2 on them in 2008.


EricksonI think that both the Bills and Lions will win their first game, and that the Browns will win outright against the Falcons.
PianowskiThis Ravens defense isn't nearly as good as the name brand suggests. I'll keep taking the Rams until the number adjusts. It hasn't caught up yet.
LissI like the Cardinals, Bills and Ravens best, but overall this was a tougher-than-usual slate.
StopaThe lines for the 0-4 home teams are interesting. Everyone presumes the Bills, Lions and 49ers will win eventually, and a home matchup in "winnable" games seems as good a time as any, but clearly that factor is built into the lines. I wrote "Jaguars" and "Eagles" pretty easily because they're the better teams and, in the Eagles case, they're getting more than a FG. Call me crazy, but I'd like to see the 49ers win a game before I lay more than a FG against a playoff-caliber team. I sided with the Jags because I can't get past the Bills run defense (last in NFL in rushing yards allowed and rushing TDs) - MJD should have a field day. I don't have a good feel for the Broncos yet, so until I do, I have to take points. I feel like the Browns are due for a stinker, and if the Falcons win that division, and I think they will, they'll handle a team like Cleveland. The Bears aren't as bad as they looked against the Giants - most teams can't exploit their offensive line like the Giants can. Laying less than a FG against an inferior team screams "trap," but I'll take the bait. You wanna lay more than a FG with the Bengals? I don't. I have a feeling I'm gonna be on the Raiders until Vegas adjusts for the Gradkowski factor. They're not a bad team any more - not a playoff team, mind you, but 7-9 could happen. I said last week I wouldn't lay 14 with the Saints until they prove it on the field. Once you account for the home/road factor, this week's line is basically the same. "Best bet" is a Colts team that will rebound at home, where their speed really matters. The Chiefs can't match up. Redskins/Packers was tough for me. I feel like Green Bay will win, in which case less than a FG is no big deal, but the Redskins have been solid, especially at home, and as good as Aaron Rodgers is, I'm starting to feel like the Packers are like the Saints teams from years past - flashy offense but overrated elsewhere. I also struggled on Titans/Cowboys, as both teams have been inconsistent.
Del Don Not an easy slate this week, and I'm not exactly comfortable backing the biggest spread on the board against an undefeated team coming off a bye, but so be it - the Colts are my best bet.

The players: