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Staff Picks: Week 7 Edition

Chris Liss

Chris Liss is RotoWire's Managing Editor and Host of RotoWIre Fantasy Sports Today on Sirius XM radio.

Erickson was the only one with a winning record last week at 8-7, and it continues to be ugly for Stopa who at 4-11 has now sunk into a last place tie with me. Moreover, our consensus picks are an unbelievable 6-15-2, something that's very hard to achieve no matter how much you study the NFL or how hard you try.

This week we have three more consensus picks, but don't fade them. It's impossible to make money fading anyone going forward no matter how much you would have made had you done it in the past.

Erickson Pianowski Liss Stopa Del Don
Seahawks -6.5 at Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals
Patriots -4 at Jets Jets Patriots Jets Jets Jets
Chargers -7.5 at Jaguars Chargers Jaguars Jaguars Jaguars Jaguars
Texans +6.5 at Chiefs Texans Chiefs Texans Texans Chiefs
Bengals +3 at Lions Lions Bengals Bengals Bengals Lions
Bills +8 at Dolphins Dolphins Bills Bills Bills Dolphins
Bears +1 at Redskins Redskins Redskins Redskins Redskins Redskins
Cowboys +3 at Eagles Cowboys Cowboys Cowboys Cowboys Eagles
Rams +6 at Panthers Panthers Rams Panthers Panthers Panthers
Buccaneers +7 at Falcons Buccaneers Falcons Buccaneers Buccaneers Buccaneers
49ers -4 at Titans Titans Titans Titans Titans 49ers
Browns +10 at Packers Packers Browns Browns Browns Packers
Ravens +2 at Steelers Steelers Steelers Ravens Ravens Steelers
Broncos -6.5 at Colts Colts Colts Colts Broncos Colts
Vikings +3 at Giants Giants Giants Giants Giants Giants
Best Bet Panthers Patriots Cardinals Cowboys Steelers
Last Week's Record 8-7 7-8 6-9 4-11 7-8
2013 Record 48-40-4 39-49-4 36-52-4 36-52-4 47-41-4
Best Bet Record 3-3 2-4 1-5 3-3 1-5
2013 Consensus Pick Record 6-15-2
2012 Record 110-140-6 124-126-6 121-129-6 143-107-6 123-127-6
2011 Record 121-128-7 134-115-7 124-125-7 123-126-7 127-122-7
2010 Record 129-122-5 134-117-5 126-125-5 136-115-5 134-117-5
2009 Record 123-130-3 132-121-3 131-122-3 130-123-3 126-127-3
2008 Record 132-114-10 128-118-10 124-122-10 125-121-10 130-116-10
2007 Record 127-120 118-129 127-120 N/A 130-117
2006 Record 118-129 N/A 139-108 N/A N/A
2005 Record 121-126 N/A 127-120 N/A N/A
2004 Record 124-124 N/A 130-118 N/A N/A
2003 Record 121-126 118-129 124-123 N/A N/A
2002 Record 113-136 123-126 141-108 N/A N/A
2001 Record 124-113 117-120 118-119 N/A N/A
2000 Record 123-117 134-106 141-99 N/A N/A

Consensus Picks

This week we have three consensus picks: the Cardinals, Redskins and Giants. Last week we went 2-5 to put us at 6-15-2 on the season.


EricksonThe Rams-Texans was one of those all-time deceptive scores. Houston outgained them nearly 2:1, and hell, Matt Schaub wasn't even the problem on the turnovers. If turnovers are random to the degree most advanced metrics suggest, this was a completely anomalous result. The Rams still kind of stink, and Carolina I think is pretty good, though they have a 15% chance of sucking at any given moment. Still, I think it's worth laying the points here - a #BeatMeDown type of game is possible... It's a pain to have to pick HOU-KC now given the QB uncertainty, but I'll take the other side of that coin, too, and suggest Houston is much better than the dumpster fire they've been the last two weeks... I hate having to pick the Giants as a favorite, but Josh Freeman isn't a panacea to the Vikings' woes - at least, I don't think he is. Instead, he gets to suck in the same stadium for two different teams this season, against two different teams... I wanted to pick the Bills, but I really feel that Thaddeus Lewis Exposed moment is going to happen instead.
PianowskiBelichick excels with these in-season rematch games against the Jets. I'm also sure I'm going to get the Panthers-Rams game wrong, as I usually do. I hate both of those teams with the intensity of 1,000 suns.
LissAfter differing with DDD on only one pick last week (NO-NE, and he got awfully lucky), I differ with Stopa on only one pick this week (DEN-IND). Great minds think originally, but apparently idiots 16 games under .500 think alike.
Stopa Did you know the Panthers are ranked fourth on Massey-Peabody's rankings (behind only DEN, SEA, and GB)? The Panthers! Fourth! Apparently, I have no idea who's good in the NFL in 2013, so until I turn it around, feel free to keep backing my picks in even numbered years and fading me in odd years. In all seriousness, it's hard to say much with any confidence given the beating I'm taking, so I'll keep it short. I think Dallas is notably better than Philly, and it seems like the teams coming off a bye - Dolphins and Falcons - are laying more points than they should. Mostly, though, I just took the points. That's what you do when you lack confidence - take the points, as that's the only certainty.
Del Don I don't like any best bets this week, but I'll go back to the well with Pittsburgh, who looked a lot better coming off its bye last week. The two picks I struggled most with were the Packers and Panthers.

The players:

Jeff Erickson: RotoWire Senior editor, 2001, 2008 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Weekly Rankings. Covers and roots for the Bengals.

Scott Pianowski: Fantasy expert for Yahoo! Sports, and also contributes to 2009 and 2011 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the Patriots.

Chris Liss: RotoWire Managing Editor, 2000, 2002, 2006 Staff Picks Champ, 2003, 2004 co-champ. Writes East Coast Offense, Beating the Book and the Survivor column in addition to Staff Picks. Covers and roots for the Giants.

Mark Stopa: Staff Writer, 2010, 2012 Staff Picks Champ, Writes Run 'N' Shoot. Roots for the Bills.

Dalton Del Don: Fantasy Expert for Yahoo! Sports, 2007 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the 49ers.