Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jean-Gabriel Pageau
28-Year-Old CenterC
New York Islanders
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Pageau rode an elite shooting percentage - 17.2 percent, 14th in the league among players who scored at least 20 goals - en route to a career season last year and translated it into a $30-million extension from the Isles. That sort of performance screams regression, especially when you've just cracked 20 goals for the first time in six full seasons and have no history of elite offensive play. Pageau doesn't shoot very often, plays on the power play rather sparingly and also plays on a team that has ranked 22nd in goals per game in each of the past two campaigns. He has some fantasy value in rotisserie leagues that count hits, but fantasy managers looking for offensive upside should steer away. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a six-year, $30 million contract extension with the Islanders in February of 2020.
Pots winner on power play
CNew York Islanders
February 22, 2021
Pageau scored the game-winning goal on the power play in Monday's 3-2 victory over the Sabres.
ANALYSIS
With the score tied 2-2 and less than five minutes left on the clock in the third period, Pageau capped some sustained pressure by the Isles with his seventh goal of the season. The 28-year-old is proving his career-high 26 tallies last year was no fluke, and now has 11 points through 18 games to begin the current campaign.
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NHL Stats
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2020 NHL Game Log
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2019 NHL Game Log
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2018 NHL Game Log
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2017 NHL Game Log
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2020–21 Time On Ice Stats
  • Average Time On Ice:
    16:54
  • Average Power Play TOI:
    1:43
  • Average Short-Handed TOI:
    1:33
 
Ice Time
Power Play
Short-Handed
2018–19
17:51
0:55
2:00
2019–20
19:18
1:39
2:20
2019–20
18:00
2:56
1:33
2020–21
16:54
1:43
1:33
Islanders Depth Chart
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Islanders Power Play Depth Chart
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jean-Gabriel Pageau
NHL Waiver Wire: Pickups of the Week
2 days ago
Evan Berofsky analyzes the top waiver-wire picks for the week, including Evgenii Dadonov, who has a prime position on Ottawa's top power play.
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9 days ago
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11 days ago
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2020-21 Forward Tiers - Version Two
45 days ago
Sasha Yodashkin breaks this year's option at forward into tiers.
DraftKings NHL: Tuesday Breakdown
165 days ago
The Lightning have the Islanders on the ropes in Game 5 on Tuesday, and Sasha Yodashkin has your picks to help build a winning lineup.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
Pageau suffered a devastating Achilles injury during the opening days of training camp last fall and was limited to just 39 games as a result. While the center fared well in his return to the ice -- four goals, eight helpers and 83 shots -- it likely won't put him atop most fantasy draft boards. Still, the Ottawa native is capable of reaching the 35-point mark and could be a sneaky depth option for fantasy owners heading into the 2019-20 season. Considering the 26-year-old is entering the final year of his contract, he could also be a trade candidate at the deadline, which would likely see his fantasy value rise.
Pageau failed to reach 15 goals in either of the past two seasons which didn't bode well for his outlook this upcoming season, but after tearing his Achilles tendon during training camp testing, the center will be lucky to play in 10 contests this year. At 25 years old, it was time for Pageau to prove he was worthy of being a part of Ottawa's long-term future -- how missing the 2018-19 campaign factors into the club's plans likely won't be known until the 2019 offseason.
Pageau took a step back in his second full season with the Senators in 2016-17, tallying 33 points (12 goals, 21 assists) in 82 games after notching 43 points in 2015-16. That decline in production can largely be attributed to the 5-foot-10 pivot’s failure to score a single shorthanded goal last season after potting seven shorties in 2015-16, but therein lies the problem with Pageau as a fantasy asset. The 24-year-old forward is buried on Ottawa’s depth chart behind Kyle Turris and Derick Brassard, and he isn't expected to occupy a spot on either of his team’s power-play units next season, so he’s forced to earn all of his offensive production while at even strength or shorthanded. Pageau is a dependable depth option who could easily produce 35 or so points as well as a strong hit total, but his limited role caps his fantasy upside.
To put it in simple terms, Pageau exploded in the 2015-16 season. Improvement across the board is one thing, but the unheralded pivot set career highs in every category, including establishing himself as a major threat when his team was a man down (seven shorthanded goals). The 2011 fourth-round pick appeared in all 82 contests, registering 19 tallies, 24 assists, a plus-17 rating (best on the roster) and 133 shots on goal. Ordinarily, that would make him a big-time fantasy sleeper entering this year, but Pageau’s stuck on the third line thanks to the arrival of veteran Derick Brassard and the expected healthy return of Kyle Turris (ankle). However, be ready to snatch the 23-year-old off the waiver wire if he finds his way into the top six.
Pageau was a key member of the Senators' second-half surge into the postseason, as he finished his 2014-15 campaign with 10 goals and nine assists in 50 games. A leg injury in the first round of the playoffs resulted in him finishing the season off the ice, but he’s expected to be back at full health for the team's training camp this fall. With a new two-year contract in tow, Pageau is set to see full-time action in Ottawa for the first time in his career, likely serving as the Senators' third-line center. It wouldn't be a surprise if he quietly challenged for a 35-to-40-point season.
Pageau was expected to make a big jump last season after an impressive playoff performance in 2013, but largely disappointed. The center suited up for 28 games in 2013-14, but was only able to muster two goals and 12 PIM over that span. He's still just 21-years-old, but with the Senators in a rebuilding mindset after trading Jason Spezza, 2014-15 could be Pageau's last opportunity to prove his worth to the franchise. He has great speed, and showed the ability to score with six points in 10 games in the playoffs two years ago, so he might be a decent super-sleeper pick in deeper leagues.
Pageau came up for the playoffs at the ripe old age of 20 and proceeded to post impressive numbers with four goals and two assists in 10 playoff games. He'll get a shot to be an every day player in Ottawa to start the year and his great speed could very well keep him in the big league. He's a high risk pick, but there's definitely potential to be found here.
More Fantasy News
Two-point performance Tuesday
CNew York Islanders
February 16, 2021
Pageau scored a goal and an assist in Tuesday's 3-0 win over the Sabres.
ANALYSIS
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Collects game-winner
CNew York Islanders
February 15, 2021
Pageau scored a goal on three shots in Monday's 3-1 win over Buffalo. He also won 10 of 17 faceoffs (58.8 percent).
ANALYSIS
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Red light comes on twice Saturday
CNew York Islanders
February 13, 2021
Pageau netted two goals Saturday in a 4-2 win over the Bruins.
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Goalless streak at eight games
CNew York Islanders
February 10, 2021
Pageau only has three assists in his last eight games.
ANALYSIS
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Swats home game-winner Monday
CNew York Islanders
January 18, 2021
Pageau scored the game-winning goal on his only shot in Monday's 1-0 win over the Bruins.
ANALYSIS
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