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NBA Barometer: Small Sample Sizes

Shannon McKeown

Shannon McKeown

Shannon McKeown is the VP of Advertising Sales and Basketball Editor for He's a two-time FSWA finalist for Fantasy Basketball writer of the year. He also covers the Pistons and Tigers for the site.

Beware Small Sample Sizes

We're less than two weeks into the regular season and there have already been plenty of pleasant and unpleasant surprises in fantasy hoops.

Anthony Davis is in full breakout mode and already looks like a top-5 player. Derrick Rose looks nothing like the stud we've seen in past seasons and like the all-world player he was during an impressive stretch to wrap up the preseason.

We're only five games in and Larry Sanders looks like one of the bigger early-round busts. Meanwhile, Spencer Hawes is performing at a near first-round rate after costing owners a mid-to-late round pick in most standard formats.

Some breakouts or busts will turn out to be legit. Davis, in particular, looks like a lock to be a fantasy monster for the next decade. But regardless of which side of the spectrum a specific player may be pushing your love or hate, owners should be careful with any long-term valuation after such a small sample s

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