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According to the Data: The Best and Worst RB Values In Round 1

Jonathan Bales

Jonathan Bales

Jonathan Bales is the author of the Fantasy Football for Smart People book series. In addition to RotoWire, Jonathan also provides content to the New York Times, Dallas Morning News,, and NBC.

The Best and Worst Running Back Values in the First Round

There are different theories on how you should approach early-round draft picks in fantasy football. One is that you should seek scarcity - what you know you can't get later - which has led to the early runs on running backs this year. Another is that you should prioritize consistency; with the cost of early picks being so much, why not take Aaron Rodgers and know what you're going to get? Others draft their first few players at positions they think they can't exploit later. If I have a handful of mid-round receivers ranked well ahead of their ADP, I might as well wait on receivers early and target positions that don't present an arbitrage situation in the middle rounds, right?

Regardless of your strategy, you're always seeking value - players whose projected output exceeds the expectation that's priced into their ADP. I'm in the midst of a slow dynasty draft right now, and I drew the first overall s

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