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According to the Data: Visualizing 2012 Value to Help Prepare for 2013

Jonathan Bales

Jonathan Bales

Jonathan Bales is the author of the Fantasy Football for Smart People book series. In addition to RotoWire, Jonathan also provides content to the New York Times, Dallas Morning News,, and NBC.

Visualizing 2012 Value to Help Prepare for 2013

I've been doing a lot of work with "VBD" (Value Based Drafting) lately because I think it's a powerful metric in assessing fantasy football value. VBD is measured at Pro Football Reference as a player's points minus the points for a specific baseline player (No. 12 QB, No. 24 RB, No. 30 WR, and No. 12 TE, e.g.). Adrian Peterson's 2012 VBD, for example, is his fantasy points (307 in standard leagues) minus the points for the 24th-ranked running back - Danny Woodhead (117).

VBD is useful because it naturally captures scarcity. If the No. 24-ranked running back had scored 290 points last season, Peterson's adjusted VBD of just 17 would be miniscule. That small number represents the ability to find a comparable player later in the draft. All other things equal, we don't necessarily want the player who will score the most points, but the pl

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