Collette Calls: Offense Has Opted Out of the Season

Collette Calls: Offense Has Opted Out of the Season

This article is part of our Collette Calls series.

A few weeks back, an installment of this column cautioned both that the super happy fun ball was likely coming back in 2020 and that the overall offensive environment was likely to be lower this season. Only one of those appears to be true to date, and it is not the postulation on the baseball.

We are roughly 15 percent into this season, but it is abundantly clear we are playing in a lessened run environment. The super happy fun ball has not shown up, and offense as a whole appears to have opted out of the 2020 season. The table below shows the league-wide numbers as play began on Aug. 9:

Season

G

PA

HR

R

RBI

SB

BB%

K%

ISO

BABIP

AVG

OBP

SLG

wOBA

2016

4860

184577

5610

21744

20746

2537

8%

21%

0.162

0.300

0.255

0.322

0.417

0.318

2017

4860

185295

6105

22582

21558

2527

9%

22%

0.171

0.300

0.255

0.324

0.426

0.321

2018

4860

185139

5585

21630

20606

2474

9%

22%

0.161

0.296

0.248

0.318

0.409

0.315

2019

4860

186516

6776

23467

22471

2280

9%

23%

0.183

0.298

0.252

0.323

0.435

0.320

2020

410

15235

505

1796

1724

184

9%

24%

0.165

0.276

0.231

0.311

0.396

0.310

A 31-point drop in batting average, a 22-point drop in BABIP and a 39-point drop in slugging percentage are noticeable in watching these games while other indicators such as walk rate and strikeout rate remain mostly constant. The per-game rates is where the impact of this shows up:

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jason Collette
Jason has been helping fantasy owners since 1999 at RotoJunkie, Fanball, Baseball Prospectus and now here at RotoWire. He covers the Tampa Bay Rays at theprocessreport.net. You can hear Jason weekly on many of the Sirius/XM Fantasy channel offerings throughout the season as well as on the Sleeper and the Bust podcast on iTunes. An eight-time FSWA finalist, Jason won the FSWA's Fantasy Baseball Writer of the Year award in 2013 and the Baseball Series of the Year award in 2018 for Collette Calls.
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