Rougned Odor
Rougned Odor
25-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
Texas Rangers
10-Day IL
Injury Knee
Est. Return 4/26/2019
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Coming off a 2017 season with conflicting underlying metrics and surface stats, Odor took the disconnect to a higher level last season. As expected, Odor's BABIP rebounded, though based on an elevated 45.2% hard-hit rate, his .305 BABIP was low. More curious was a drop in HR/FB despite playing half his games in Globe Life Park, one of the best venues for lefty power. The drop in HR/FB in tandem with a slight decline in flyball rate resulted in just 18 homers, after he slugged a combined 63 the previous two campaigns, though missing a month early tempered his total. Consistency is also an issue as Odor posted a .602 OPS through June 28 while registering a .605 mark from Aug. 12 on. In between he recorded a 1.055 OPS. Odor managed a dozen steals, but since he was caught an equal number of times, he may not be given the green light as often. Odor has the underlying skills to be a top-10 second baseman. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a six-year, $49.5 million contract extension with the Rangers in March of 2017. Contract includes $13.5 million team option ($3 million buyout) for 2023.
Targeting weekend return
2BTexas Rangers
Knee
April 22, 2019
Odor (knee) could return during the Rangers' weekend series against the Mariners, Evan Grant of The Dallas Morning News reports.
ANALYSIS
Odor resumed baseball activities Wednesday and has evidently made significant progress, considering the Rangers are optimistic about a possible return from the injured list over the weekend. Danny Santana will either fall back into a bench role or be sent to Triple-A upon Odor's activation.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
8
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+23%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+59%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+9%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+59%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .590 377 46 9 32 3 .205 .274 .316
Since 2017vs Right .728 856 114 39 108 25 .232 .289 .439
2019vs Left .641 13 2 0 0 0 .250 .308 .333
2019vs Right .402 34 3 0 2 1 .133 .235 .167
2018vs Left .711 194 27 4 14 3 .257 .337 .374
2018vs Right .773 341 49 14 49 9 .251 .321 .452
2017vs Left .452 170 17 5 18 0 .145 .200 .252
2017vs Right .719 481 62 25 57 15 .225 .270 .449
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+41%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+79%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+36%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+45%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .804 624 103 28 88 18 .262 .331 .473
Since 2017Away .569 609 57 20 52 10 .186 .236 .332
2019Home .593 25 3 0 1 0 .227 .320 .273
2019Away .332 22 2 0 1 1 .100 .182 .150
2018Home .865 275 49 10 40 9 .291 .374 .491
2018Away .635 260 27 8 23 3 .217 .277 .358
2017Home .769 324 51 18 47 9 .242 .296 .473
2017Away .532 327 28 12 28 6 .168 .208 .324
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Stat Review
How does Rougned Odor compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.27
 
BB Rate
8.5%
 
K Rate
31.9%
 
BABIP
.259
 
ISO
.048
 
AVG
.167
 
OBP
.255
 
SLG
.214
 
OPS
.470
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2012
Odor is coming off back-to-back 30-10 seasons and is just entering his age-24 campaign, but he's a risky investment. There were concerns about his approach coming into 2017, and those concerns proved justified as Odor hit under .200 in three separate months of the season, resulting in just a 61 wRC+ for the year (the worst among 144 qualified hitters). His strikeout issues got worse down the stretch, with Odor fanning over 30 percent of the time over the final month. Sure, he had a bit of tough luck on balls in play (.224 BABIP), and to his credit Odor did start to draw more walks later in the year, but the "expected" numbers from Statcast suggest he deserved his fate for the most part (.285 xwOBA, .221 xBA). He just signed an extension last spring and would seem to have a decent leash in his role, but Odor's power/speed contributions will be offset to a great extent by the batting-average drain if he can't make some adjustments.
A popular sleeper heading into 2016, Odor did anything but stink up the joint, instead cashing in as one of fantasy's most profitable players. Despite his pint-sized build (5-foot-11, 195 pounds), he ranked third in home runs among second basemen and tied for 21st overall. He launched more flyballs than in his 2015 rookie stint, and Odor enjoyed one of the league's most significant improvements in his rate of infield pop-ups (19.1 percent in 2015, 8.2 percent in 2016). He was getting more out of his aerial attacks with an apparently more effective bat path through the zone. That should keep him above 20 taters, even with regression. The 14 stolen bases (thanks to his elite base running rating) and .271 batting average -- despite his low walk rate -- look repeatable. Of course, those looking for a great batting average won't find it: He's an aggressive pull-hitting hacker. Fantasy players in on-base-percentage leagues may want to avoid overpaying. Even with his contact flaws, however, the four-category production makes him one of fake baseball's best second basemen, especially pertaining to power.
Odor’s 5-foot-11 frame (if you buy the listings) wasn’t expected to produce power, but he needed only 470 plate appearances to mash a career-high 16 home runs in his second season in the major leagues. Combine his time in the minor leagues and Odor now has 36 home runs over the past two seasons. Among second basemen with at least 400 plate appearances last year, nobody had a better slugging percentage than Odor’s .465; only Brian Dozier had a higher isolated power mark than Odor. At a position severely lacking in power, Odor is one of the few to flex his muscles. Odor is just 22, and though his size will be limiting, he’s certainly young enough to bulk up and develop even more power. He has a .260 career batting average and is unlikely to get much better than that unless he can improve on his 16.9-percent strikeout rate. Still, the total package competes well with any second baseman in the league.
Considering Odor played 114 games of above-replacement-level baseball at an up-the-middle position as a 20-year-old, his 2014 season was quite impressive. He started at Double-A Frisco, but was called up five weeks into the season because the team was lacking a legitimate second baseman with Jurickson Profar out for the season with a partial tear in his shoulder. Odor did alright for himself, slashing .259/.297/.402 with nine home runs and four steals in 417 plate appearances. There is no denying he was rushed to the majors, but the fact that Odor was able to hold his own against big-league pitching as the youngest player in MLB for much of the season should do wonders for his development. Texas will have a tough decision to make if Profar comes to camp close to healthy, as Odor has marginally outperformed Profar as a big leaguer to this point. If Odor opens the season as an everyday player, he will be a prime breakout candidate.
Odor rocketed all the way to Double-A Frisco as a 19-year-old, slashing .306/.354/.530 in 30 games after a nice season at High-A Myrtle Beach (.305/.369/.454 in 100 games). He's a top fantasy prospect at second base as a result, and the trade of Ian Kinsler this winter to Detroit removed one obstacle in Odor's way. He still has Jurickson Profar and Elvis Andrus ahead of him up the middle, so questions remain as to whether his future is with Texas or another team. He has All-Star upside regardless of what team he plays for, and could be as ready for a full-time role as early as 2015.
Odor made his pro debut in the short-season Northern League, hitting .262/.323/.352.
More Fantasy News
Begins baseball activities
2BTexas Rangers
Knee
April 18, 2019
Odor (knee) took groundballs and batting practice Wednesday, T.R. Sullivan of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Lands on injured list
2BTexas Rangers
Knee
April 13, 2019
Odor was placed on the 10-day injured list Saturday with a right knee sprain.
ANALYSIS
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Late scratch Friday
2BTexas Rangers
Knee
April 12, 2019
Odor is out of the lineup Friday against Oakland due to right knee soreness, Jeff Wilson of the Fort Worth Star-Telegram reports.
ANALYSIS
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Takes seat Wednesday
2BTexas Rangers
April 10, 2019
Odor is not in the lineup Wednesday against the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
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Dropped to sixth in order
2BTexas Rangers
April 6, 2019
Odor batted sixth in the order Saturday and went 0-for-4 with two strikeouts in a 5-1 loss to the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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