Joe Ross
Joe Ross
26-Year-Old PitcherRP
Washington Nationals
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Ross pitched a handful of forgettable innings as he continued his recovery from Tommy John surgery. He will be 18 months removed from his surgery when pitchers and catchers report to camp this spring, and there is still some recovery work ahead of him. The common problem with pitchers returning from Tommy John surgery is how we define success in that return. The pitcher can get their velocity back within 12-to-15 months of the surgery, and that has happened for Ross. The larger issue is regaining command of their arsenal. Without it, the results are often pretty poor. We saw that last year with Ross when he did pitch, and we'll likely see more of it this season as well. In a standard redraft league, you can cross him off your draft prep list. In NL-only leagues, keeper leagues and deep draft-and-holds, sure, you can take an endgame flier. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $1 million contract with the Nationals in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Strikes out eight in win
PWashington Nationals
September 29, 2019
Ross (4-4) gave up just one run on four hits and two walks as he struck out eight hitters en route to earning the win over the Indians Sunday.
ANALYSIS
Sunday was one of Ross's best outings of the season, marking just his third quality start since earning his first start of the season in late July. The right-hander lowered his ERA to a 5.48 and should be expected to resort back to the bullpen as the Nationals figure to ride with a rotation of Max Scherzer, Patrick Corbin, Stephen Strasburg and Anibal Sanchez in the playoffs -- should they beat the Brewers in the Wild Card Game at home Tuesday.
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
42
Last 10 Games
84
Last 5 Games
75
How many pitches does Joe Ross generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Joe Ross generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-13%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-22%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .304 349 67 35 93 17 1 15
Since 2017vs Right .281 337 65 22 86 26 0 11
2019vs Left .314 144 27 22 37 7 0 4
2019vs Right .272 151 30 11 37 12 0 3
2018vs Left .242 38 4 3 8 2 0 1
2018vs Right .310 30 3 1 9 5 0 2
2017vs Left .310 167 36 10 48 8 1 10
2017vs Right .284 156 32 10 40 9 0 6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-5%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-54%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-43%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-39%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 5.32 1.58 94.2 6 5 0 7.8 3.2 1.4
Since 2017Away 5.03 1.46 59.0 3 4 0 7.6 3.5 1.7
2019Home 7.63 2.02 30.2 2 3 0 8.5 5.0 1.5
2019Away 3.51 1.35 33.1 2 1 0 7.6 4.3 0.5
2018Home 4.09 1.36 11.0 0 1 0 2.5 2.5 0.0
2018Away 7.20 1.20 5.0 0 1 0 7.2 1.8 5.4
2017Home 4.25 1.38 53.0 4 1 0 8.5 2.4 1.7
2017Away 6.97 1.69 20.2 1 2 0 7.8 2.6 2.6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Joe Ross compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.73
 
K/9
8.0
 
BB/9
4.6
 
HR/9
1.0
 
Fastball
94.1 mph
 
ERA
5.48
 
WHIP
1.67
 
BABIP
.352
 
GB/FB
1.49
 
Left On Base
67.9%
 
Exit Velocity
87.1 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.5%
 
Spin Rate
2020 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
36.0%
 
Swinging Strike
10.3%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Joe Ross
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
28 days ago
Jan Levine concludes his column for the year by providing a couple late-season surgers while also adding a few who are set to produce in 2020.
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43 days ago
Mike Barner likes a pair of Braves' bombers to post plenty of points versus Nationals' starter Austin Voth.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Young Guns
50 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as a trio of emerging aces, including Cleveland's Mike Clevinger, populate the top 5.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
56 days ago
Despite some offensive hiccups this season, Jan Levine believes Harrison Bader's recent form will keep him seeing plenty of action.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Yu Gotta Believe
57 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as Yo Darvish makes his return to the top 10 thanks to a turnaround that came out of nowhere.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2012
The Nationals surprisingly sent Ross to Triple-A at the end of spring training, instead opting to use Jeremy Guthrie as their fifth starter to open the season. Guthrie's stint with the Nats lasted less than one inning, and Ross was ultimately called up in mid-April the next time the team needed a fifth starter. After winning his 2017 debut, Ross scuffled in consecutive outings and was sent back to Syracuse. Once he returned in May, he tossed a gem in his first start back, but he struggled to find consistency with his sinker and slider. Ross had a six-start stretch that included a 2.95 ERA from early June through July 4th, but his velocity dropped and it was revealed that he had a torn UCL, which required Tommy John surgery in July. A return in 2018 is possible, though it's unlikely to happen before August, if it happens at all.
Ross followed in his brother Tyson's footsteps straight to the DL in 2016, as shoulder issues cost him 10 weeks over the summer, but his overall numbers were similar to his rookie performance. His BABIP spiked and took his WHIP with it, but his K/9, BB/9 and HR/9 rates were all right in line with 2015. Left-handers still punished him to the tune of a .356 wOBA, as he has yet to find an offspeed pitch that can give them trouble. The biggest concern with Ross remains his long-term health, considering Tyson's career arc and the similarities in their builds and mechanics on the mound. The Nationals are counting on a healthy Ross to shore up the middle of their rotation. His 93-mph fastball, excellent slider and work-in-progress changeup should be up to the task. The long-term health risks are certainly legitimate, but in single-season leagues, the younger Ross deserves another look at a clearance price.
Tyson’s younger brother seemed to have learned a lot from big brother (six years difference) and looked a lot like him on the mound physically, in mechanics and pitch arsenal. Joe’s biggest difference is a positive: his walk rate. Tyson has never had fewer than 3.3 BB/9 in a season which kept in line with his minor league record. Joe had a 2.6 BB/9 as a minor leaguer and then a 2.5 with Washington. There’s work to be done, though. The changeup was a nightmare and led to a 348-point platoon split in favor of lefties. Big bro’s response to a similar issue has been “what’s a changeup?” as his use of one has essentially vanished. Joe doesn’t need to do the same just yet as his change has shown flashes of being at least average. He’ll need to improve vs. lefties because he’s unlikely to stay otherworldly vs. righties (2nd-best OPS vs. RHB from his callup; between Kershaw and Greinke). His 2015 ERA over a full season would still be good at 23 years old.
Ross was trending toward joining his older brother Tyson in the San Diego rotation as early as 2015 before he was traded to Washington in the offseason. Reaching Double-A for the first time as a 21-year-old last season, the younger Ross impressed with a 19:1 K:BB over 20 innings with San Antonio. The success down the stretch followed improvement in his numbers with the move from the Midwest League to the California League to begin 2014. In addition to missing bats at a steady clip, Ross has continued to induce a lot of contact outs on the ground, posting a combined 1.59 GO/AO in 2014. With a three-pitch arsenal that includes a 91-92 mph two-seam fastball (he can touch 96 mph with his four-seamer), above-average slider and improving changeup, Ross may become a very good mid-rotation starter in short order.
The Padres used their 2011 first-round draft pick (25th overall) on Ross, a right-handed pitcher out of Bishop O'Dowd High School in Oakland. His fastball has been clocked as high as 95 mph and he also throws a power curve and a nice change-up.
More Fantasy News
Strikes out four in no-decision
PWashington Nationals
September 24, 2019
Ross pitched four innings and did not factor into the decision in Tuesday's 4-1 win over the Phillies in the first game of a doubleheader. He allowed one run on five hits and two walks while striking out four.
ANALYSIS
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Starting Tuesday
PWashington Nationals
Forearm
September 23, 2019
Ross (forearm) will start the first game of Tuesday's doubleheader against the Phillies, Byron Kerr of MASN Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
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Could throw bullpen next week
PWashington Nationals
Forearm
September 14, 2019
Ross (forearm) could throw a bullpen session next week, Mark Zuckerman of MASN Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
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Out with forearm soreness
PWashington Nationals
Forearm
September 6, 2019
Ross will not start Saturday's game against the Braves after feeling forearm pain during a recent bullpen session, Jesse Dougherty of The Washington Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Chased early by Mets
PWashington Nationals
September 2, 2019
Ross (3-4) took the loss Monday as the Nationals fell 7-3 to the Mets, coughing up seven runs on eight hits and three walks over 3.2 innings while striking out four.
ANALYSIS
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