Joe Ross
Joe Ross
27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Washington Nationals
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Ross is now entering his sixth season at the major-league level as the afterthought of the Trea Turner trade during the winter of 2014. Ross dealt with shoulder and elbow issues before opting out of the 2020 season. He tore his UCL in 2017, and has pitched 80 innings since recovering from that surgery, and while the velocity has returned, the pre-surgery command still has not shown up. Ross has a full bag of pitches at his disposal, but we have not seen him put it all together, nor have we seen many flashes since his rookie season. Washington wants him in the rotation in 2021, which is asking quite a bit for someone with durability concerns and coming off a full year layoff. The risks outweigh the reward here as there are safer players with upside to target. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#585
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $1.5 million contract with the Nationals in December of 2020.
Roughed up Saturday
PWashington Nationals
May 16, 2021
Ross (2-3) took the loss against Arizona on Saturday, giving up eight runs on eight hits and three walks while striking out five over four innings.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander gave up three runs in the first inning and another three in the fourth. He returned to the mound in the fifth frame and allowed the first two batters of the inning to reach base, leading to his removal from the contest. Both baserunners eventually came around to score, and Ross was charged with eight total runs in his shortest outing of the campaign. He has allowed two or fewer runs in five of his seven starts this season, but two disastrous outings have pushed his ERA to an undesirable 5.80. Ross will look for a better result in his next start, which is tentatively scheduled for Thursday at Wrigley Field.
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2021 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2020 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2019 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2018 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2017 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
86
Last 10 Games
86
Last 5 Games
89
How many pitches does Joe Ross generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Joe Ross generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-15%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-18%
BAA vs RHP
2020
No Stats
2019
 
 
-13%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .305 217 45 34 54 9 0 7
Since 2019vs Right .259 235 45 16 55 15 0 8
2021vs Left .288 73 18 12 17 2 0 3
2021vs Right .237 84 15 5 18 3 0 5
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Left .314 144 27 22 37 7 0 4
2019vs Right .272 151 30 11 37 12 0 3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-57%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-66%
ERA on Road
2020
No Stats
2019
 
 
-54%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 8.48 1.98 40.1 2 5 0 8.3 4.9 2.2
Since 2019Away 3.64 1.33 59.1 4 2 0 8.0 4.2 0.8
2021Home 11.17 1.86 9.2 0 2 0 7.4 4.7 4.7
2021Away 3.81 1.31 26.0 2 1 0 8.7 4.2 1.0
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Home 7.63 2.02 30.2 2 3 0 8.5 5.0 1.5
2019Away 3.51 1.35 33.1 2 1 0 7.6 4.3 0.5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Joe Ross compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.94
 
K/9
8.3
 
BB/9
4.3
 
HR/9
2.0
 
Fastball
93.4 mph
 
ERA
5.80
 
WHIP
1.46
 
BABIP
.285
 
GB/FB
1.29
 
Left On Base
71.1%
 
Exit Velocity
81.9 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
7.9%
 
Spin Rate
2038 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
28.6%
 
Swinging Strike
10.6%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Joe Ross
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Wheeling and Dealing
3 days ago
Todd Zola's weekly pitcher rankings has a prime spot for Zack Wheeler, who is maintaining a high ground-ball rate while ramping up his strikeout rate.
DraftKings MLB: Saturday Breakdown
3 days ago
With Domingo German having already beaten the Orioles this season, Christopher Olson expects the righty to produce a similar result.
Collette Calls: Concerned About Pitching
4 days ago
Jason Collette analyzes the increased workloads on pitchers this season and how that could impact injuries.
DraftKings MLB: Sunday Breakdown
9 days ago
Dan Marcus says the Yankees-Nationals matchup should be high-scoring and selects a few bats from each side.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Aces Not High
10 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching, as Shane Bieber is one of the few aces with two starts.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2012
Ross tossed 16 post-Tommy John surgery frames to end 2018, so he headed into last offseason on a normal routine, with a chance to break camp in the Nationals' rotation. Despite working 10.2 innings in the spring, registering a 2.53 ERA with 10 strikeouts and three walks, he began the season with Triple-A Fresno as a reliever. It didn't take long before he was summoned to pitch out of the bullpen. The transition did not go well. In late May, he was sent back to Fresno after recording a 9.22 ERA and 1.83 WHIP. Ross was stretched out and when he returned, he was used as a starter and primary pitcher. His 3.83 ERA appeared impressive, but the 1.54 WHIP and 24 walks in 49.1 innings were more telling. Ross' velocity matched pre-surgery, but he never regained control. Despite the sketchy underlying metrics, Ross should get another chance to start. He's worth a flier provided his spring control shows improvement.
Ross pitched a handful of forgettable innings as he continued his recovery from Tommy John surgery. He will be 18 months removed from his surgery when pitchers and catchers report to camp this spring, and there is still some recovery work ahead of him. The common problem with pitchers returning from Tommy John surgery is how we define success in that return. The pitcher can get their velocity back within 12-to-15 months of the surgery, and that has happened for Ross. The larger issue is regaining command of their arsenal. Without it, the results are often pretty poor. We saw that last year with Ross when he did pitch, and we'll likely see more of it this season as well. In a standard redraft league, you can cross him off your draft prep list. In NL-only leagues, keeper leagues and deep draft-and-holds, sure, you can take an endgame flier.
The Nationals surprisingly sent Ross to Triple-A at the end of spring training, instead opting to use Jeremy Guthrie as their fifth starter to open the season. Guthrie's stint with the Nats lasted less than one inning, and Ross was ultimately called up in mid-April the next time the team needed a fifth starter. After winning his 2017 debut, Ross scuffled in consecutive outings and was sent back to Syracuse. Once he returned in May, he tossed a gem in his first start back, but he struggled to find consistency with his sinker and slider. Ross had a six-start stretch that included a 2.95 ERA from early June through July 4th, but his velocity dropped and it was revealed that he had a torn UCL, which required Tommy John surgery in July. A return in 2018 is possible, though it's unlikely to happen before August, if it happens at all.
Ross followed in his brother Tyson's footsteps straight to the DL in 2016, as shoulder issues cost him 10 weeks over the summer, but his overall numbers were similar to his rookie performance. His BABIP spiked and took his WHIP with it, but his K/9, BB/9 and HR/9 rates were all right in line with 2015. Left-handers still punished him to the tune of a .356 wOBA, as he has yet to find an offspeed pitch that can give them trouble. The biggest concern with Ross remains his long-term health, considering Tyson's career arc and the similarities in their builds and mechanics on the mound. The Nationals are counting on a healthy Ross to shore up the middle of their rotation. His 93-mph fastball, excellent slider and work-in-progress changeup should be up to the task. The long-term health risks are certainly legitimate, but in single-season leagues, the younger Ross deserves another look at a clearance price.
Tyson’s younger brother seemed to have learned a lot from big brother (six years difference) and looked a lot like him on the mound physically, in mechanics and pitch arsenal. Joe’s biggest difference is a positive: his walk rate. Tyson has never had fewer than 3.3 BB/9 in a season which kept in line with his minor league record. Joe had a 2.6 BB/9 as a minor leaguer and then a 2.5 with Washington. There’s work to be done, though. The changeup was a nightmare and led to a 348-point platoon split in favor of lefties. Big bro’s response to a similar issue has been “what’s a changeup?” as his use of one has essentially vanished. Joe doesn’t need to do the same just yet as his change has shown flashes of being at least average. He’ll need to improve vs. lefties because he’s unlikely to stay otherworldly vs. righties (2nd-best OPS vs. RHB from his callup; between Kershaw and Greinke). His 2015 ERA over a full season would still be good at 23 years old.
Ross was trending toward joining his older brother Tyson in the San Diego rotation as early as 2015 before he was traded to Washington in the offseason. Reaching Double-A for the first time as a 21-year-old last season, the younger Ross impressed with a 19:1 K:BB over 20 innings with San Antonio. The success down the stretch followed improvement in his numbers with the move from the Midwest League to the California League to begin 2014. In addition to missing bats at a steady clip, Ross has continued to induce a lot of contact outs on the ground, posting a combined 1.59 GO/AO in 2014. With a three-pitch arsenal that includes a 91-92 mph two-seam fastball (he can touch 96 mph with his four-seamer), above-average slider and improving changeup, Ross may become a very good mid-rotation starter in short order.
The Padres used their 2011 first-round draft pick (25th overall) on Ross, a right-handed pitcher out of Bishop O'Dowd High School in Oakland. His fastball has been clocked as high as 95 mph and he also throws a power curve and a nice change-up.
More Fantasy News
Fans seven in no-decision
PWashington Nationals
May 9, 2021
Ross allowed two runs on three hits and five walks while striking out seven in five innings in Sunday's loss to the Yankees. He didn't factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Gets little help in loss
PWashington Nationals
May 4, 2021
Ross (2-2) took the loss Tuesday, allowing two runs on five hits and two walks over 5.1 innings in a 6-1 defeat against Atlanta. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Starting Tuesday vs. Atlanta
PWashington Nationals
April 30, 2021
Ross will start Tuesday against Atlanta, Jesse Dougherty of The Washington Post reports
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Strong effort against Mets
PWashington Nationals
April 24, 2021
Ross (2-1) picked up the win Saturday, allowing one run on five hits and a walk over six innings in a 7-1 victory over the Mets. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Crumbles against Cards
PWashington Nationals
April 20, 2021
Ross (1-1) took the loss Monday as the Nationals were hammered 12-5 by the Cardinals, coughing up 10 runs on eight hits -- including four home runs -- and three walks over 4.1 innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.