Joe Ross
Joe Ross
26-Year-Old PitcherRP
Washington Nationals
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Ross pitched a handful of forgettable innings as he continued his recovery from Tommy John surgery. He will be 18 months removed from his surgery when pitchers and catchers report to camp this spring, and there is still some recovery work ahead of him. The common problem with pitchers returning from Tommy John surgery is how we define success in that return. The pitcher can get their velocity back within 12-to-15 months of the surgery, and that has happened for Ross. The larger issue is regaining command of their arsenal. Without it, the results are often pretty poor. We saw that last year with Ross when he did pitch, and we'll likely see more of it this season as well. In a standard redraft league, you can cross him off your draft prep list. In NL-only leagues, keeper leagues and deep draft-and-holds, sure, you can take an endgame flier. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $1 million contract with the Nationals in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Earns third win
PWashington Nationals
August 13, 2019
Ross (3-3) allowed one earned run on five hits and two walks while striking out three across 6.2 innings to earn the win Tuesday against the Reds.
ANALYSIS
Ross relied on 11 groundball outs to hold the Reds' offense in check. That covered up the fact that he was hardly dominant, whiffing just three batters on the strength of eight swinging strikes across 92 total pitches. Still, he's turned in three consecutive strong outings, allowing just one earned run in 18 innings. In that same span, he's recorded only a 11:9 K:BB, suggesting he may be pitching over his head. Nevertheless, he's in line to draw a positive matchup in his next projected start Monday at Pittsburgh.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-12%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-27%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-22%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .309 294 53 28 80 14 1 13
Since 2017vs Right .273 293 58 18 73 23 0 11
2019vs Left .338 89 13 15 24 4 0 2
2019vs Right .247 107 23 7 24 9 0 3
2018vs Left .242 38 4 3 8 2 0 1
2018vs Right .310 30 3 1 9 5 0 2
2017vs Left .310 167 36 10 48 8 1 10
2017vs Right .284 156 32 10 40 9 0 6
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-4%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-57%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-43%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-39%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 5.22 1.56 81.0 5 4 0 7.3 3.0 1.4
Since 2017Away 5.44 1.42 51.1 3 4 0 7.9 3.3 1.9
2019Home 9.00 2.24 17.0 1 2 0 6.9 5.3 1.6
2019Away 3.86 1.25 25.2 2 1 0 8.1 4.2 0.7
2018Home 4.09 1.36 11.0 0 1 0 2.5 2.5 0.0
2018Away 7.20 1.20 5.0 0 1 0 7.2 1.8 5.4
2017Home 4.25 1.38 53.0 4 1 0 8.5 2.4 1.7
2017Away 6.97 1.69 20.2 1 2 0 7.8 2.6 2.6
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Stat Review
How does Joe Ross compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 20 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.64
 
K/9
7.6
 
BB/9
4.6
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
94.0 mph
 
ERA
5.91
 
WHIP
1.64
 
BABIP
.338
 
GB/FB
1.46
 
Left On Base
63.5%
 
Exit Velocity
86.8 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
8.2%
 
Spin Rate
2008 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
37.3%
 
Swinging Strike
10.9%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Joe Ross
DraftKings MLB: Tuesday Picks
5 days ago
Adam Zdroik is honing in on a Dodgers stack Tuesday on the road in Miami.
FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Breakdown
5 days ago
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NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
7 days ago
Jan Levine and Paul Martinez join forces to provide the latest and greatest pickup candidates, including a Braves' starter possibly returning to his earlier strong form.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Lynn Joins the Elite
8 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as the Rangers' Lance Lynn is pitching as well as he has all season.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: deGrom Days of August
15 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as two-starter Jacob deGrom is pitching as well as he has all season.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2012
The Nationals surprisingly sent Ross to Triple-A at the end of spring training, instead opting to use Jeremy Guthrie as their fifth starter to open the season. Guthrie's stint with the Nats lasted less than one inning, and Ross was ultimately called up in mid-April the next time the team needed a fifth starter. After winning his 2017 debut, Ross scuffled in consecutive outings and was sent back to Syracuse. Once he returned in May, he tossed a gem in his first start back, but he struggled to find consistency with his sinker and slider. Ross had a six-start stretch that included a 2.95 ERA from early June through July 4th, but his velocity dropped and it was revealed that he had a torn UCL, which required Tommy John surgery in July. A return in 2018 is possible, though it's unlikely to happen before August, if it happens at all.
Ross followed in his brother Tyson's footsteps straight to the DL in 2016, as shoulder issues cost him 10 weeks over the summer, but his overall numbers were similar to his rookie performance. His BABIP spiked and took his WHIP with it, but his K/9, BB/9 and HR/9 rates were all right in line with 2015. Left-handers still punished him to the tune of a .356 wOBA, as he has yet to find an offspeed pitch that can give them trouble. The biggest concern with Ross remains his long-term health, considering Tyson's career arc and the similarities in their builds and mechanics on the mound. The Nationals are counting on a healthy Ross to shore up the middle of their rotation. His 93-mph fastball, excellent slider and work-in-progress changeup should be up to the task. The long-term health risks are certainly legitimate, but in single-season leagues, the younger Ross deserves another look at a clearance price.
Tyson’s younger brother seemed to have learned a lot from big brother (six years difference) and looked a lot like him on the mound physically, in mechanics and pitch arsenal. Joe’s biggest difference is a positive: his walk rate. Tyson has never had fewer than 3.3 BB/9 in a season which kept in line with his minor league record. Joe had a 2.6 BB/9 as a minor leaguer and then a 2.5 with Washington. There’s work to be done, though. The changeup was a nightmare and led to a 348-point platoon split in favor of lefties. Big bro’s response to a similar issue has been “what’s a changeup?” as his use of one has essentially vanished. Joe doesn’t need to do the same just yet as his change has shown flashes of being at least average. He’ll need to improve vs. lefties because he’s unlikely to stay otherworldly vs. righties (2nd-best OPS vs. RHB from his callup; between Kershaw and Greinke). His 2015 ERA over a full season would still be good at 23 years old.
Ross was trending toward joining his older brother Tyson in the San Diego rotation as early as 2015 before he was traded to Washington in the offseason. Reaching Double-A for the first time as a 21-year-old last season, the younger Ross impressed with a 19:1 K:BB over 20 innings with San Antonio. The success down the stretch followed improvement in his numbers with the move from the Midwest League to the California League to begin 2014. In addition to missing bats at a steady clip, Ross has continued to induce a lot of contact outs on the ground, posting a combined 1.59 GO/AO in 2014. With a three-pitch arsenal that includes a 91-92 mph two-seam fastball (he can touch 96 mph with his four-seamer), above-average slider and improving changeup, Ross may become a very good mid-rotation starter in short order.
The Padres used their 2011 first-round draft pick (25th overall) on Ross, a right-handed pitcher out of Bishop O'Dowd High School in Oakland. His fastball has been clocked as high as 95 mph and he also throws a power curve and a nice change-up.
More Fantasy News
Shuts down Giants in win
PWashington Nationals
August 7, 2019
Ross (2-3) picked up the win Wednesday, allowing three hits and two walks over six scoreless innings while striking out five in a 4-1 victory over the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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Earns first win
PWashington Nationals
August 2, 2019
Ross (1-3) earned the win Friday after holding the Diamondbacks scoreless over 5.1 innings. He allowed five walks and a hit while striking out three.
ANALYSIS
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Blasted in bulk relief role
PWashington Nationals
July 27, 2019
Ross (0-3) took the loss Saturday, giving up seven runs (six earned) on nine hits and two walks over 4.2 innings while striking out seven in a 9-3 loss to Dodgers on Saturday.
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Will throw bulk of innings Saturday
PWashington Nationals
July 27, 2019
Ross is scheduled to appear as the primary pitcher behind opener Matt Grace against the Dodgers on Saturday, Jamal Collier of MLB.com reports.
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Draws another start
PWashington Nationals
July 26, 2019
Ross will start Saturday's game against the Dodgers, Jesse Dougherty of The Washington Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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