This article is part of our MLB Picks series.
Top MLB Betting Picks for June 6: Expert Predictions and Best Bets
Previous article 2-0 ( +1.88 units) (Twins pick voided with Balley Ober scratched)
Season 59-62-1 (-4.57 units)
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Key MLB Betting Trends and Matchups Analysis
Before locking in your MLB bets Friday, be sure to check out these key betting trends.
Overall View of the slate - This might be one of the ugliest slates I have seen in recent memory with a lot of bad pitching going. You can see this reflected in the totals with an average of 8.9. There is only 1 moneyline over -190.
Road Favorites - Mets -292 at Rockies, Royals -148 at White Sox
Home Favorites (Largest) - Yankees -190 vs Red Sox, Tigers -175 vs Cubs
Totals - Athletics/Orioles 11.0, Mets/Rockies 10.5, Dbacks/Reds 9.5, Angels/Mariners 9.5
Tigers/Cubs 7.0, Braves/Giants 7.5
MLB Line Movement (One of the biggest number of line moves I have seen this year)
Yankees -32, Cubs -27, Astros -28, White Sox -28, Cardinals -20, Rockies -35
Bullpen Rankings (updated 5/30/25)
Top 10 (Twins, Mets, Astros, Yankees, Red Sox, Dodgers, Blue Jays, Padres, Phillies, Giants). These are teams you can feel confident betting in full-game situations.
Bottom 10 (Angels, Dbacks, Braves, Rockies, Athletics, Orioles, Marlins, White Sox, Reds, Rays, Nationals). These are teams you can feel confident betting against in full-game situations. If you want to bet these teams, only focus on first 5 inning lines.
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Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants Betting Insights
On a Friday night slate with a LOT of bad pitching, we get the best matchup in a pitchers' park and it features two teams struggling on offense. I rode the UNDER in Padres/Giants yesterday and it looked at risk early on, but the runs stopped and it went how I thought it would.
We should get a similar type of game with Spencer Schwellenbach against Hayden Birdsong. SS has a 3.13 ERA and 1.03 WHIP, while Birdsong has a 2.48 ERA and 1.29 WHIP.
In the last 10 games the Braves have averaged 3.7 runs per game and the Giants just 2.2 runs per game.
Trends
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 12 of San Francisco's last 13 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games against Atlanta.
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 9 games at home.
- The total has gone UNDER in 9 of San Francisco's last 12 games when playing at home against Atlanta.
MLB Best Bets: Braves/Giants UNDER 7.5 runs for 1 unit (DraftKings -110)
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Chicago Cubs vs Detroit Tigers Best Bets and Predictions
Much like the Braves/Giants matchup, I will lean on the UNDER in Cubs/Tigers with Tarik Skubal carrying much of the load. But Ben Brown on the other side can also keep this one relatively low.
Skubal has a dominant UNDER profile at home with a 8-1-1 record in his last 10 starts with an average of 1.8 runs per game scored by the Tigers opponents. I have this game projected at Tigers 4-2.
Trends
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago Cubs' last 7 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Detroit's last 15 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games at home.
MLB Best Bets: Cubs/Tigers UNDER 7 runs for 1 unit (DraftKings -112)
Philadelphia Phillies vs Pittsburgh Pirates Best Bets and Predictions
This looks to be a totals slate for me today and I have had more success with them. This is one of the worst pitching matchups on the slate with Joe Ross against Bailey Falter. I was taking UNDER on the Pirates for a while, but they have started to play better baseball. Falter has pitched pretty well lately with a 1.80 ERA in his last 7 starts. This one looks to be a team total OVER play on the Pirates.
MLB Best Bets: Pirates OVER 4.5 runs for 1 unit (DraftKings +120)
MLB Picks Today Recap
- Braves/Giants UNDER 7.5 runs for 1 unit (DraftKings -110)
- Cubs/Tigers UNDER 7 runs for 1 unit (DraftKings -112)
- Pirates OVER 4.5 runs for 1 unit (DraftKings +120)
